181pl

If any program needs a shot in the arm its Chamberlain. Their tradition was ripped away from them when their nickname of 60 years was taken away by PC jackasses. It seems like their winning traditions have been forgotten. Wilder was a sophomore LB/RB at Chamberlain before transferring to Plant so he has ties to the school. He probably would’ve stayed at Chamberlain if they would’ve named Turner’s son as the head coach but he went to Plant and won state titles and national acclaim. 
From from what I understand he is a high energy and sophisticated coach. Hoping he does great to revive the Chiefs (I mean the storm). The talent flooded out at Chamberlain about 10 to 15 years ago and never came back. Hopefully he will draw some players. I know he’s been running fb  camps for quite a while. 
Good luck Coach!!
 

7 classes still too many. just separate the private schools and call it a day…

Class 7A, District 1
Atlantic Coast (Jacksonville)
Creekside (St. Johns)
Sandalwood (Jacksonville)
Class 7A, District 2
DeLand
Flagler Palm Coast
Spruce Creek (Port Orange)
University (Orange City)
Class 7A, District 3
Hagerty (Oviedo)
Lake Brantley
Lake Mary
Seminole (Sanford)
Class 7A, District 4
Colonial (Orlando)
Oak Ridge (Orlando)
Timber Creek (Orlando)
University (Orlando)
Winter Park
Class 7A, District 5
Apopka
East Ridge (Clermont)
Ocoee
West Orange (Winter Garden)
West Port (Ocala)
Class 7A, District 6
George Jenkins (Lakeland)
Haines City
Ridge Community (Davenport)
Winter Haven
Class 7A, District 7
Alonso (Tampa)
Newsome (Lithia)
Plant City
Strawberry Crest (Dover)
Sumner (Riverview)
Class 7A, District 8
Lehigh (Lehigh Acres)
North Port
Riverview (Sarasota)
Sarasota
Venice
Class 7A, District 9
Boone (Orlando)
Dr. Phillips (Orlando)
Olympia (Orlando)
Windermere
Class 7A, District 10
Celebration
Cypress Creek (Orlando)
Harmony
Lake Nona (Orlando)
Tohopekaliga (Kissimmee)
Class 7A, District 11
Centennial (Port St. Lucie)
Fort Pierce Central
Treasure Coast (Port St. Lucie)
Vero Beach
Class 7A, District 12
Jupiter
Palm Beach Central (Wellington)
Palm Beach Lakes (West Palm Beach)
Wellington
Class 7A, District 13
John I. Leonard (Greenacres)
Lake Worth
Park Vista (Lake Worth)
Santaluces (Lantana)
Class 7A, District 14
Boca Raton
Coral Glades (Coral Springs)
Douglas (Parkland)
Spanish River (Boca Raton)
Class 7A, District 15
Cypress Bay (Weston)
Goleman (Miami)
Taravella (Coral Springs)
Western (Davie)
Class 7A, District 16
Columbus (Miami)
Coral Gables
Miami
Miami Palmetto
South Dade (Homestead)
 

Nobody likes sta. fhsaa bends over backwards to kiss their ass. STA is an abomination and has been terrible for football in this state. Separate the private schools already. different playing field. People that argue against this are dishonest or uninformed…

I got to watch 3 or 4 games and congrats to the winners. Couldn’t watch Lakeland v Venice bc of Christmas party but followed on score stream.
Chaminade is probably the class of the state.
Columbus looked good. BP looked good. If Homestead could kick a FG most of us on here would be celebrating. 
lakeland and mainland won classics.
Bradford was tough and played Cocoa fairly close. 
 
looking forward to things going back to normal next year with seven classes and that open division will make teams like Chaminade and St. Thomas earn titles (although this year was probably the year to get STA) Should be interesting.

Don’t think so

I got to watch 3 or 4 games and congrats to the winners. Couldn’t watch Lakeland v Venice bc of Christmas party but followed on score stream.
Chaminade is probably the class of the state.
Columbus looked good. BP looked good. If Homestead could kick a FG most of us on here would be celebrating. 
lakeland and mainland won classics.
Bradford was tough and played Cocoa fairly close. 
 
looking forward to things going back to normal next year with seven classes and that open division will make teams like Chaminade and St. Thomas earn titles (although this year was probably the year to get STA) Should be interesting.

I got to watch 3 or 4 games and congrats to the winners. Couldn’t watch Lakeland v Venice bc of Christmas party but followed on score stream.
Chaminade is probably the class of the state.
Columbus looked good. BP looked good. If Homestead could kick a FG most of us on here would be celebrating. 
lakeland and mainland won classics.
Bradford was tough and played Cocoa fairly close. 
 
looking forward to things going back to normal next year with seven classes and that open division will make teams like Chaminade and St. Thomas earn titles (although this year was probably the year to get STA) Should be interesting.

If any program needs a shot in the arm its Chamberlain. Their tradition was ripped away from them when their nickname of 60 years was taken away by PC jackasses. It seems like their winning traditions have been forgotten. Wilder was a sophomore LB/RB at Chamberlain before transferring to Plant so he has ties to the school. He probably would’ve stayed at Chamberlain if they would’ve named Turner’s son as the head coach but he went to Plant and won state titles and national acclaim. 
From from what I understand he is a high energy and sophisticated coach. Hoping he does great to revive the Chiefs (I mean the storm). The talent flooded out at Chamberlain about 10 to 15 years ago and never came back. Hopefully he will draw some players. I know he’s been running fb  camps for quite a while. 
Good luck Coach!!
 

Columbus just routed Mandarin. Clown rankings. Clown Association . Can’t rely on phony 3rd party rankings. Have to use a point system.

definitely wouldn’t qualify This as one of the biggest upsets. Berkeley beat American Heritage the week before who has a much better pedigree the Norland.

Also Berkeley lost their starting QB in week 6 but that didn't stop them from beating Norland unlike those other teams ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

could also leave open one or two wildcard slots in the open division for teams that have really stepped up and are loaded with talent.

for the open division, I don’t think it should be based on any sort of hokie ranking. It should be based on a point system. X amount of points for state titles won within the last five years, X amount of points for total playoff wins in the last five years, X amount of total wins over the last five years, X amount of points for winning percentage over the last five years.
I would also exclude all rural teams from the open division. There’s no way that a small rural team would be able to compete with chaminade. Ever.  Not enough of a population to draw from.  

I know they are not part of FSHAA but why leave IMG out of the conversation, this would be a way to get them into the the fold. If you want to find out the best of the best why leave them out.

As the end of this article points out, there are still several questions that need to be answered.   At first blush, this whole concept does not appear to have been well or thoroughly thought out.   I'm concerned that someone will start raising questions at the next FHSAA Board meeting and that, in their haste, they'll try to come up with something on the fly, not fully understanding or contemplating all of the unintended consequences that could result. 

I see two great matchups in the four games you listed. I think the other two may end up being competitive and one of them could result in a big upset. But they could also end in large margin wins.
The two games that I think will be decided by a touchdown or less are:
1. Mandarin vs Columbus
2. Mainland vs St. Augustine
I actually think that BP could upset Norland. But I would not be surprised either if Norland wins comfortably. And I think Venice's offense will overwhelm Lakeland this year. 

This is how the computers have it. These are the state rankings. 
 
1 Chaminade vs 13 CCC
2 STA vs 14 Homestead 
5 Venice vs 12 Lakeland
9 Mainland vs 11 St Augustine 
6 Mandarin vs 15 Columbus 
4 Norland vs 19 Berkeley 
3 Cocoa vs 30 Bradford 
16 Hawthorne vs 57 Mad Co
97 Cardinal Mooney vs 101 OTC

I was just about to say that Vanguard put up a huge win against a defending state champ...

Hillsborough providing cannon fodder to the South Florida schools. Plant and  Gaither are not state semi final teams in any other bracket other than what the FHSAA forces everyone to endure.
Running clocks should not be happening in a large class state semi final. So anti-climatic 

My assessment of their chance against Mandarin, for what it's worth, is based on the season Apopka had. Apopka beat all the teams in Dp's district except Windemere, the weakest team which we did not play. We lost convincingly to Seminole twice and to Lake Mary once. Mandarin cleared them both in the playoffs playing on the road. Dp put up a solid performance against Plant. This leads me to believe that Plant is probably slightly better than Dp, but not by a lot. If I am correct, then I see Mandarin being about 10 points better than Plant. Now 10 points is certainly not insurmountable, but it's a meaningful edge. 
Anyway, I would rather Plant win it all than either Columbus or Mandarin, so my support is behind your program.

Congrats 181! It's great to see Plant back in the mix! Get the upset next week!

I think your assessment is fair. CCC has the best chance of making the finals as I think it's better than 50/50; unfortunately, if they do, they face what is likely the best team in the state.
Ironically, the team with the best chance of winning a state title if it got there is Gaither, who, if by some magic, could upset St. Thomas in the  semis, would at least have a 45/55 shot at beating either Homestead or Jones the following week. 
If Plant beats Columbus, which is plausible, though it will be difficult, they would still be an underdog against either Mandarin or Monarch. But at least they would not be an overwhelming underdog. I believe their odds, should they beat Columbus, would likely be about 40% - 45%. 
Unfortunately for Berkeley, they will face back to back giants on the way to a state title. Beating one seems possible if unlikely, beating both, would be a once in a lifetime achievement and would be a little too much to realistically expect. 

I was just about to say that Vanguard put up a huge win against a defending state champ...

4M- Plant @ Columbus- Plant first time back in the semis in several years. Columbus defending state champs. Plant's best offensive player re-injured his nagging ankle injury Friday night but they still found a way. 11 in a row. Only two losses were close to BP who is still alive (see below) and Tech, who just lost a close one to Jones. Plant will need to find at least 24 points next week to have a shot and the defense has to continue to swarm. Columbus the favorite.Saw Columbus beat Jesuit pretty handily this year but the Tigers got better as the year went. Columbus will have a big size advantage on the lines. Pulling for Plant but Columbus likely wins by at least 10 at home. If the game was at Plant I'd think they'd find some Dad's Stadium magic, but it will tough on the road.

3M- Gaither @ St. Thomas Aquinas- HUGE win for Cowboys in OT over Jesuit. They go 5-5 in the regular season and then step up playing out of their minds. Of course when you play 14 time state champion Aquinas, you will likely be outclassed. But much respect to the Cowboys for pulling a stunner over Jesuit. Probably Aquinas by 21.

2M- Berkeley @ Am. Heritage Plantation- Again, going on road to play National Power. Berekely has the horses to hang with AHP, but AHP is the favorite. Winner likely gets Norland, who only beat 10-time state champ Central twice this year. Go Bucs! Very close game but Tampa team going on road to play national power probably means a close AHP win. 

1M- Jax TCA v. CCC- Two perenniel winners. TCA has hardware and CCC wants a title. Game at CCC helps. I think they can win a pretty close game. Winner gets the unenviable task of likely taking on CM.