Pipe Dreams

I will incorporate Brevard soon.
Cocoa #1-3
Rockledge #3-6
Viera #11-13

Rank, team, class-region, hypothetical spread
Edgewater — (7A-R1)  Cocoa — (4A-R2) +3 Jones — (5A-R2) +3 Seminole — (8A R1) +6 Winter Park — (8A-R1) +8 Rockledge — (5A-R3) +16 Osceola — (8A-R2) +16 Bishop Moore — (5A-R2) +16 Dr. Phillips — (8A-R2) +17 Mainland — (6A-R1) +17 Lake Mary — (8A-R1) +17 West Orange — (8A-R1) +20 Apopka — (8A-R1) +20 Viera — (7A-R2) +21 Wekiva — (7A-R1) +21 Oviedo — (8A-R1) +24 Spruce Creek — (8A-R1) +27 Ocoee — (8A-R1) +27 Olympia — (8A-R2) +28  
Ranking includes Orange (9 teams), Seminole (3), Brevard (3), Volusia (2), Osceola (1), Sumter (0) & Lake (0) counties.
 
`
`
 
The following games between the ranked teams (29 total) represent an average of 1.61 ranked regular season opponents per ranked team. There are also national opponents that have not been incoporated into this stat.
Weeks 1, 5, 7 and 11 are the best weeks of the season prior to the playoffs.
 
Week 1
DP @ Seminole - Pick: Seminole wins 35-20
Edgewater @ #Bishop Moore - Pick: Edgewater wins 35-17
#Olympia @ West Orange - Pick: West Orange wins 39-24
#Viera @ Cocoa - Pick: Cocoa wins 36-14
Winter Park @ Wekiva - Pick: Winter Park wins 24-13
 
Week 2
Seminole @ Lake Mary
West Orange @ Wekiva
 
Week 3
Jones @ Edgewater
Osceola @ Cocoa
West Orange @ DP
Olympia @ Wekiva
 
Week 4
Bishop Moore @ Jones
 
Week 5
#3 Seminole @ Mainland
#6 Rockledge @ Viera
Winter Park @ Edgewater
Apopka @ DP
 
Week 6
Lake Mary @ West Orange 
 
Week 7
 Mainland @ Cocoa
Apopka @ Jones
DP @ #Wekiva
Lake Mary @ Oviedo
 
Week 8
Winter Park @ Oviedo
Olympia @ DP
West Orange @ Apopka
 
Week 10
Lake Mary @ Apopka
 
Week 11
Cocoa @ Rockledge
West Orange @ Jones
Wekiva @ Apopka
Oviedo @ Spruce Creek

Rank, team, class-region, hypothetical spread
Edgewater — (7A-R1)  Cocoa — (4A-R2) +3 Jones — (5A-R2) +3 Seminole — (8A R1) +6 Winter Park — (8A-R1) +8 Rockledge — (5A-R3) +16 Osceola — (8A-R2) +16 Bishop Moore — (5A-R2) +16 Dr. Phillips — (8A-R2) +17 Mainland — (6A-R1) +17 Lake Mary — (8A-R1) +17 West Orange — (8A-R1) +20 Apopka — (8A-R1) +20 Viera — (7A-R2) +21 Wekiva — (7A-R1) +21 Oviedo — (8A-R1) +24 Spruce Creek — (8A-R1) +27 Ocoee — (8A-R1) +27 Olympia — (8A-R2) +28  
Ranking includes Orange (9 teams), Seminole (3), Brevard (3), Volusia (2), Osceola (1), Sumter (0) & Lake (0) counties.
 
`
`
 
The following games between the ranked teams (29 total) represent an average of 1.61 ranked regular season opponents per ranked team. There are also national opponents that have not been incoporated into this stat.
Weeks 1, 5, 7 and 11 are the best weeks of the season prior to the playoffs.
 
Week 1
DP @ Seminole - Pick: Seminole wins 35-20
Edgewater @ #Bishop Moore - Pick: Edgewater wins 35-17
#Olympia @ West Orange - Pick: West Orange wins 39-24
#Viera @ Cocoa - Pick: Cocoa wins 36-14
Winter Park @ Wekiva - Pick: Winter Park wins 24-13
 
Week 2
Seminole @ Lake Mary
West Orange @ Wekiva
 
Week 3
Jones @ Edgewater
Osceola @ Cocoa
West Orange @ DP
Olympia @ Wekiva
 
Week 4
Bishop Moore @ Jones
 
Week 5
#3 Seminole @ Mainland
#6 Rockledge @ Viera
Winter Park @ Edgewater
Apopka @ DP
 
Week 6
Lake Mary @ West Orange 
 
Week 7
 Mainland @ Cocoa
Apopka @ Jones
DP @ #Wekiva
Lake Mary @ Oviedo
 
Week 8
Winter Park @ Oviedo
Olympia @ DP
West Orange @ Apopka
 
Week 10
Lake Mary @ Apopka
 
Week 11
Cocoa @ Rockledge
West Orange @ Jones
Wekiva @ Apopka
Oviedo @ Spruce Creek

Osceola
KOC vs. Lakeland
#2 Columbus (Miami)
#3 Cocoa
#9 Manatee

So is Brevard not considered central Florida?

knew badbird was guru, liked the name guru better.
 
badbird/guru, remember when Berry’s son for Apopka punted in the 4th qtr vs DP in 2005, up 16-13, evading the SURE sack/block/fumble on the 1 while being tackled, and DP fumbled the punt return ???
We had y’all. Crazy 14-point play. 
badbird and I have actually been on opposing sidelines, head coach (APK) vs player (DP). I missed the first 6 games that year with a broken fibula. I’m sure Guru is relieved of that fact (ha)

Out of Brevard I’d include Cocoa (~ #1-4) and Rockledge (~ #6-8). Likely Viera as well. 
It’s tough to gauge Brevard comparatively because they tend to play other coastal teams (north and south of Brevard) and don’t have representation in 8A (where a ton of Orlando metro teams are placed).
-
SIDE NOTE.. The top 8 to 10 teams in the ranking are very close. We’ll see who rises to the top... for the most part they all play each other.

8A north has always been one of the most interesting mini-brackets in the state. It used to be 6A north until 2011. Year in and year out there are 5-8 serious state title contenders out of 8A Region 1 and 8A Region 2.
This has been my primary focus since ~2011. I focus primarily on these teams as well as other state contenders from 4A up. Here is my list of potentially lethal playoff contenders as well as potential dark horses, with my top 10 in CAPS. Asterisks given to Top 5
-
1 
MANDARIN*
Sandalwood
Bartram Trail
 
2
SEMINOLE*
Flagler Palm Coast
DeLand
Spruce Creek
 
3
WINTER PARK*
Oviedo
 
4
LAKE MARY
APOPKA
WEST ORANGE
 
5
DR PHILLIPS*
Boone
Olympia
 
6
OSCEOLA
Lake Nona
 
7
PLANT*
 
8
SARASOTA RIVERVIEW

Rank, team, class-region, hypothetical spread
Edgewater — (7A-R1)  Cocoa — (4A-R2) +3 Jones — (5A-R2) +3 Seminole — (8A R1) +6 Winter Park — (8A-R1) +8 Rockledge — (5A-R3) +16 Osceola — (8A-R2) +16 Bishop Moore — (5A-R2) +16 Dr. Phillips — (8A-R2) +17 Mainland — (6A-R1) +17 Lake Mary — (8A-R1) +17 West Orange — (8A-R1) +20 Apopka — (8A-R1) +20 Viera — (7A-R2) +21 Wekiva — (7A-R1) +21 Oviedo — (8A-R1) +24 Spruce Creek — (8A-R1) +27 Ocoee — (8A-R1) +27 Olympia — (8A-R2) +28  
Ranking includes Orange (9 teams), Seminole (3), Brevard (3), Volusia (2), Osceola (1), Sumter (0) & Lake (0) counties.
 
`
`
 
The following games between the ranked teams (29 total) represent an average of 1.61 ranked regular season opponents per ranked team. There are also national opponents that have not been incoporated into this stat.
Weeks 1, 5, 7 and 11 are the best weeks of the season prior to the playoffs.
 
Week 1
DP @ Seminole - Pick: Seminole wins 35-20
Edgewater @ #Bishop Moore - Pick: Edgewater wins 35-17
#Olympia @ West Orange - Pick: West Orange wins 39-24
#Viera @ Cocoa - Pick: Cocoa wins 36-14
Winter Park @ Wekiva - Pick: Winter Park wins 24-13
 
Week 2
Seminole @ Lake Mary
West Orange @ Wekiva
 
Week 3
Jones @ Edgewater
Osceola @ Cocoa
West Orange @ DP
Olympia @ Wekiva
 
Week 4
Bishop Moore @ Jones
 
Week 5
#3 Seminole @ Mainland
#6 Rockledge @ Viera
Winter Park @ Edgewater
Apopka @ DP
 
Week 6
Lake Mary @ West Orange 
 
Week 7
 Mainland @ Cocoa
Apopka @ Jones
DP @ #Wekiva
Lake Mary @ Oviedo
 
Week 8
Winter Park @ Oviedo
Olympia @ DP
West Orange @ Apopka
 
Week 10
Lake Mary @ Apopka
 
Week 11
Cocoa @ Rockledge
West Orange @ Jones
Wekiva @ Apopka
Oviedo @ Spruce Creek

8A north has always been one of the most interesting mini-brackets in the state. It used to be 6A north until 2011. Year in and year out there are 5-8 serious state title contenders out of 8A Region 1 and 8A Region 2.
This has been my primary focus since ~2011. I focus primarily on these teams as well as other state contenders from 4A up. Here is my list of potentially lethal playoff contenders as well as potential dark horses, with my top 10 in CAPS. Asterisks given to Top 5
-
1 
MANDARIN*
Sandalwood
Bartram Trail
 
2
SEMINOLE*
Flagler Palm Coast
DeLand
Spruce Creek
 
3
WINTER PARK*
Oviedo
 
4
LAKE MARY
APOPKA
WEST ORANGE
 
5
DR PHILLIPS*
Boone
Olympia
 
6
OSCEOLA
Lake Nona
 
7
PLANT*
 
8
SARASOTA RIVERVIEW

Dr Phillips Schedule
-
Kickoff Classic: @ Edgewater
-
@ Sanford Seminole
@ Timber Creek
@ West Orange
Boone
Apopka
Windermere
@ Wekiva
Olympia
East Ridge
@ Oak Ridge

Dr Phillips Schedule
-
Kickoff Classic: @ Edgewater
-
@ Sanford Seminole
@ Timber Creek
@ West Orange
Boone
Apopka
Windermere
@ Wekiva
Olympia
East Ridge
@ Oak Ridge

Here is the schedule for MC in 2019. Dates, time and determination of home and away games at Traz Powell Stadium TBA. But this is the order of games.
Pre-season Cedar Grove, Ga. @Traz
Wk 1 St. Frances Academy, MD. @Traz 
Wk 2 Booker T Washington @Traz 
Wk 3 Carol City @Traz 
Wk 4 South Ridge @Traz
Wk 5 Edison @Traz 
Wk 6 Belen @Traz 
Wk 7 Northwestern @Traz 
Wk 8 Norland @Traz 
Wk 9 South Miami @Tropical 
Wk 10 Chaminade @Chaminade 

ahhh the acronyms..... ban this man!!!

I’ve said it for years.
If a kid and his parents decide to move to another school zone, or to enroll in a school in search of better coaching (and college football opportunities), then they have every right to do so.
The free market approach makes certain school zones more desirable depending on what a family is looking for (school grade, athletic program, etc). 
If you build it they will come.

Two of the top 8 (Plant & Dr. Phillips) had to play each other in the second round 4 of those 10 years. 

I’ll rank them:
1t) Dr. Phillips
1t) Plant
3) Osceola
4) Sarasota Riverview
5) Lake Nona
6) Boone
7) Olympia
 
Plant and Dr. Phillips will renew their rivalry. Those were classics from 2011 to 2014. The 2013 OT game was a nightmare as a sure DP pick was tipped and the Plant WR took it ~80 yards to force OT in the last 2 minutes.

DP depth. Projected high impact players.
* D1 offer
^ D1AA offer
(2) multi-position player
 
QB - Joe Patti (So) / Brenden Cyr
 
RB - Brandon Fields *
RB - Nivon Holland
RB - Rodney Wells Jr (So)
 
ATH - Jaydan Taylor (So) (2) *
 
WR - Joanes Fortilien (So) *
WR - Jacquez Jones
WR - Jalen Washington (Jr)
WR - Ledger Hatch (Jr) *
WR/TE - Trey Schyck
 
TE - Jackson Hodor
 
T - Kyjuan Phillips (Jr) — 6’4, 270
T - Derek Haupt — 6’4, 280 ^
G - Austin Purpura (Jr) — 6’2, 280
G - Devin Hill (So) — 6’2, 280
C - Reggie Hayes (Jr) — 6’1, 245
 
-
 
CB - Tevin Griffey *
S - Jadai Smith (Jr) *
S - Jalen Moore (Jr)
CB - Kameryn Metcalf (So)
 
DE - Shemar Williams
DE - Shi Gaskin
DL - Malik Carson
DL - Chris Henson
 
MLB - Stephen Dix *
OLB- Jean Charles (So)
OLB/SS - Steve Julssaint
OLB - Jaydan Taylor (So) (2) *

DP will need the following to compete for the 8A title:
1) Consistent QB play. Patti does not turn the ball over as much as the spring game showed. This is the clear #1 factor by a longshot. Joe is Nick/Tony Patti’s cousin.
2) Depth on defense. The defensive line, defensive backfield and linebacker core do not have much proven talent beyond ~12 players. Many of those guys are high level, but young. 
3) DP averages around 270 on the OLINE but the talent is young. They need a big summer and this needs to be a strength of the team. The OLINE did not open enough holes last year. IF this offensive line comes together and plays to its potential DP’s offense will be lethal. This is the biggest opportunity area for DP heading into the summer alongside QB development.
4) A breakout season by RB Brandon Fields, a senior committed to South Carolina who did not play in the spring game due to baseball. See #3 - that will determine how good of a season Fields has. He needs open space and can be a bruiser.
This DP team has talent in every class, primarily the class of 2022 (sophomores this upcoming season). The wide receiver core is loaded - 6 deep - running back is loaded 3 deep, and the offensive line has the size to take control if they have a good summer. The defense is top-heavy with talent but needs depth.
 
D1 offers by class (& projected # of additional d1 offers)
2020: 4 (3-4) — 7-8 total
2021: 2 (3-4) — 5-6 total
2022: 2 (5-6) — 7-8 total (TBD)

Top Classes (College Prospects) by Year
*Major input from Chris Hays’ analysis, other outlets such as 247 and Rivals, and what I’ve seen on the field. 
 
2020
1. Jones (CB, RB, DT, DT, ATH, ATH, WR)
2. Dr. Phillips (LB, RB, WR, WR, WR, TE, OL)
3. Apopka (DE, RB, CB)
4. Winter Park (WR, CB, QB, WR)
5. West Orange (RB, WR, ATH, RB)
6. Seminole (TE, WR, ATH)
7. Edgewater (S, RB, OL)
8. Olympia (ATH, QB, WR)
 
2021
1. Jones
2. Dr. Phillips
3. Seminole
4. Apopka
5. Edgewater
6. Olympia
 
2022
1. Dr. Phillips
2. Jones
3. Lake Mary
4. Seminole
 
Overall, Jones and Dr. Phillips have the most prospects through the 2022 class by a good margin. Of course, this list will change. Behind Jones and DP... Seminole, Apopka, Edgewater and West Orange have a lot of underclassmen talent coming up.
Also - watch out for Olympia.
 
This list includes Lake, Orange, Osceola, Seminole and Sumter County. I don’t follow Volusia or Brevard close enough and I know de cleater will give me a pass for not ranking S Sumter.
Out of those two counties (Brevard, Volusia) I’d keep an eye out for Cocoa.... then DeLand, Mainland and Rockledge.

Cocoa and Rockledge are leading in Brevard but there are some surprises there as well in Brevard. I would also keep a lookout for New Symrna Beach too

Top Classes (College Prospects) by Year
*Major input from Chris Hays’ analysis, other outlets such as 247 and Rivals, and what I’ve seen on the field. 
 
2020
1. Jones (CB, RB, DT, DT, ATH, ATH, WR)
2. Dr. Phillips (LB, RB, WR, WR, WR, TE, OL)
3. Apopka (DE, RB, CB)
4. Winter Park (WR, CB, QB, WR)
5. West Orange (RB, WR, ATH, RB)
6. Seminole (TE, WR, ATH)
7. Edgewater (S, RB, OL)
8. Olympia (ATH, QB, WR)
 
2021
1. Jones
2. Dr. Phillips
3. Seminole
4. Apopka
5. Edgewater
6. Olympia
 
2022
1. Dr. Phillips
2. Jones
3. Lake Mary
4. Seminole
 
Overall, Jones and Dr. Phillips have the most prospects through the 2022 class by a good margin. Of course, this list will change. Behind Jones and DP... Seminole, Apopka, Edgewater and West Orange have a lot of underclassmen talent coming up.
Also - watch out for Olympia.
 
This list includes Lake, Orange, Osceola, Seminole and Sumter County. I don’t follow Volusia or Brevard close enough and I know de cleater will give me a pass for not ranking S Sumter.
Out of those two counties (Brevard, Volusia) I’d keep an eye out for Cocoa.... then DeLand, Mainland and Rockledge.

Cool stat I never considered...
Apopka and Dr. Phillips have represented the large class ‘north bracket’ in the title game 6 of the last 9 years — and the stat was 6/8 before this season. APK went 2-1 and DP went 1-2.
Mandarin (2018) represents this year obviously — Plant (2011) and Osceola (2015) were the others.

Below are teams that have appeared in 3 or more state title games in one or more of the past 5 decades(including this year's results).  In the 1970's and 1980's, no team in the larger classes appeared in more than 3 state title games in one decade.  That changed in 1990, when 3 teams did it.   
So far this decade, 5 teams in the larger classes have already appeared in 5 or more title games...more than last decade.  That number may well grow next season, since there are presently numerous teams with 4 appearances.  
Personally, I enjoy seeing different teams compete year-to-year, but the trend is leaning toward more and more repeat performances.  I think of the 1990's as the birth of the "superteam" in Florida.  
1970’s (5)
Atlantic/Delray-3
FAMU-3
Glades Central-3
Merritt Island-3
Milton-3
 
1980’s (6)
Glades Day-8 
Baker-5 
Manatee-3
Suwanee-3
Titusville-3
Woodham-3
 
1990’s (10)
Bolles-5
Southridge-4
St Thomas Aquinas-4
University Christian-4
Frostproof-3
Glades Central-3
Glades Day-3 
North Florida Christian-3 
Southeast-3
Union County-3
 
2000’s (16)
St Thomas Aquinas-7
Bolles-6
Pahokee-6
North Florida Christian-5
Fort Meade-4
Lakeland-4
Northwestern-4
Armwood-3
Chaminade-3
Edgewater-3
Madison County-3
Naples-3
Nease-3
Plant-3
Trinity Catholic-3
Trinity Christian-3
 
2010’s (18)
Armwood-7
Miami Central-6
St Thomas Aquinas-6
Miami Booker T Washington-5
Trinity Christian-5
American Heritage/Delray-4
American Heritage/Plantation-4
Bolles-4
Champagnat-4
Cocoa-4
Madison County-4
University Christian-4
Apopka-3
Chaminade-Madonna-3
Dr Phillips-3
Plant-3
Raines-3
Trenton-3