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Steinbrenner Warriors

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  1. Go to their projection link... at the top says projection accuracy for 2022 http://calpreps.com/2022/projection_accuracy.htm Their model has projected 1288 Wins and lost 249 for 83.8% Their national pre game projections of games this year is 35,143- 6892 for 83.6% The model is phenomenal... it is based on point spread which increases greatly how well they can pinpoint wins and losses... the FHSAA model takes out the most important piece of the accuracy of power ratings
  2. The Strength is legit just the rating of each of that teams' opponents added together and divided by the number of games played. I have been working on cracking the formula quite a bit and have figured out a few things a long the way. This may be public knowledge and I just never knew but Maxpreps, rating and Strength numbers are exact mirror copies of whatever Calpreps posts. So Calpreps computers do the work, maxpreps uses those numbers as their ratings. Calpreps may I add does a phenomenal job. Whatver the formula is they use is pretty damn good as nearly all state games are predicted at 82% or better. We are in a tight race with Dr. Phillips and Olympia for the last 2 playoffs spots in 4m 2. I predicted using what I thought was the formula within a couple tenths of a point this week. The issue is I still cannot for the life of me figure out exactly what they are using and being a couple tenths off this coming week means playoffs or no playoffs. I really do not understand the logic of not sharing the formula. Even share it on maxpreps pages so it generates traffic and advertising. Have a what if calculator and get 100 million new clicks with bored coaches and fans trying to see how they can get in. There is no doubt in my mind the current formula is a bit wonky because you can't just remove point spread from a beautiful computer formula that uses point spread heavily in their formula and expect a pretty picture. Current top 10 4m2 Maxpreps FHSAA 1. Ocoee 1. West Orange 2. West Orange 2. East Lake 3. Plant 3. Ocoee 4. East Lake 4. Plant 5. Sumner 5. Sumner 6. Steinbrenner 6. Durant 7. Durant 7. Dr. Phillips 8. Olympia 8. Olympia 9. Newsome 9. Steinbrenner 10. Riverview 10. Alonso We are a 6 seed per maxpreps, who mind you is the same company that does the FHSAA rankings but with the FHSAA we are not in the playoffs at this moment. This is why I wish they would give us the formula so we could see how things are being done so we can say, hey that makes sense... it is a pretty good tool. When the group that has us as a 6th seed, also ranks us as a 9th seed using whatever the different formula is... it is a bit tougher to swallow I do respect the FHSAA is trying to make things more fair and more balanced so the right teams get in and the better teams get chances to host even if their district was brutal. It is a bit disheartening however that we are left to sit until Sunday without knowing how to figure out if we are in or not but hoping and having faith the numbers have all been entered correctly.
  3. Followed up with Robbie Lindeman All games are going to be included. Any game not played on the 4th will have to be approved to be played on the 5th. This may delay the rankings.
  4. Robbie Lindeman confirmed before hurricane Ian the following release dates He confirmed the following: The rankings are now a power ranking and the release dates are as follows. First Ranking Release Date: Tuesday, September 27, 2022 Second Ranking Release Date: Tuesday, October 4, 2022 Third Ranking Release Date: Tuesday, October 11, 2022 Fourth Ranking Release Date: Tuesday, October 18, 2022 Fifth Ranking Release Date: Tuesday, October 25, 2022 Sixth Ranking Release Date: Tuesday, November 1, 2022 Last Ranking Release Date for Regional Seeding: Saturday, November 5, 2022 He has since confirmed rankings are now released on Wednesdays... So I assume the last rankings will still come out on Saturday to give teams the weekend to prep for round 1. That is my assumption not fact. Really Hope that all games are included for the 11 week season. If I recall correctly one year they didn't count the final games of the schedule in the RPI.
  5. Will you be making the trip to Steinbrenner tomorrow with the team? If so, come introduce yourself. I'll be the coach doing all the goofy hand signals lol
  6. Agreed fully. Just cap the MoV. If you hit a running clock you've reached the maximum it matters for MoV. So cap it at 35. So racking up 70 on someone doesn't benefit the team but 35 tells you there was a gap in talent in that game
  7. He have the same issue. We did not get off to the start we hoped at 2-3 currently. Maxpreps has us 6th in 4m Region 2 but fhsaa has us 15th in the region. Our SOS on maxpreps is like a 16.1 and a rating of 18 but FHSAA our SOS is a 1 and rating a -1.7... to make it more interesting... 2-4 Plant City, who has 1 more loss than us and lost to us by 40 is rated higher than us on FHSAA. I asked the FHSAA and maxpreps to please provide some clarity how this is possible. FHSAA ignored the email and maxpreps sent me their generic link on how ratings work... answered nothing. The FHSAA needs to do better. We are hoping to push for a 6-7-8 spot and have no clue how numbers are even being used or what things are based on. It is an issue.
  8. I spoke yesterday with the head of football at the FHSAA (Robbie Lindeman) through email. He confirmed the following: The rankings are now a power ranking and the release dates are as follows. First Ranking Release Date: Tuesday, September 27, 2022 Second Ranking Release Date: Tuesday, October 4, 2022 Third Ranking Release Date: Tuesday, October 11, 2022 Fourth Ranking Release Date: Tuesday, October 18, 2022 Fifth Ranking Release Date: Tuesday, October 25, 2022 Sixth Ranking Release Date: Tuesday, November 1, 2022 Last Ranking Release Date for Regional Seeding: Saturday, November 5, 2022 I expressed concern about their not being a public formula being used for the rankings for us to have the opportunity to double check the numbers as there were multiple mistakes made in the RPI input over the past couple years. Those mistakes being small or large mistakes are still mistakes and can lead to a team being ousted who shouldn't be. I was told it is a modified ranking that doesn't take into account the point spread. I am curious if the reason for keeping private are... Doesn't make sense to me. We are being ranked without really knowing how exactly (obviously you win you are in...but would be lovely to know the criteria).
  9. It’s been announced. Their JV head coach Cyril Brockmeier will take over at the helm
  10. Silas is at Steinbrenner. Hope all are having a safe and healthy off season
  11. A big congratulations to Apopka. Wonderful venue and great hosts. Much love to all and good luck in the Championship. We gave you all we had but unfortunately we didn't have our best night when we needed it. Obviously it didn't end how we had hoped but we very proud of our young men and their relentless effort and dedication this year. Academic State Champions for 8a for the 3rd year in a row and a state semifinalist run. Outstanding student-athletes. Love to our wonderful senior group who left the program better than they found it and for setting a new bar for our young guys to claw for
  12. In fairness his point isn't what happened 16 years ago but for the past 16 years... With that said "give em hell" and let this be the team the breaks the trends and barriers and catapults your wonderful program to the next level. Good luck
  13. Perhaps a little dramatic lol. But that man was on a different level lol. 108 career rushing td's to break Emmitt Smith's record if I remember right
  14. As a Dr. Phillips football alum, I was hoping for a chance to make the trip back to Dr. Phillips so my kiddos could see where their pops played (now that they are a little older) and have a chance to coach against some of my former teammates and buddies. Instead, we will have our first meeting as a program with Osceola. The 1 memory that has been etched in my mind since 1999 about Osceola... This may be a little dramatized but this is how I remember it. In 1999 we at Dr. Phillips had a massive match up with defending 5a state champ Osceola and their superstar running back Willie Green. We knew he was a stud but figured we have seen similar backs in Alex Haynes from Evans. Fast forward to my first series against them. I great read on a screen to than running back and state record holder Willie Green. I came up full speed knowing that I was going to knock him silly... between my speed and strength and a perfect read on the play, I was primed for a highlight hit on the states best back. As he turned and saw me coming, he yelled "RED LIGHT"...time stopped. Willie's eyes got big and as I stood there frozen. He looked me deep in the eyes and said "please don't do this to yourself man." I felt bad but was wondering why he misspoke and said "to yourself" because I was about to lay him out. Willie looked at me and said, I am sorry. I was confused. I noticed him smile... he snapped his fingers and said GREEN LIGHT. I stood there confused but decided not to take his advice and went in shoulder first against the states leading running back. As I soared backwards through the air, I noticed how wonderful air was and how lucky we are to have it. As I hit the Earth, I couldn't help but notice Willie had a piece of gum stuck to the bottom of his cleats. As I tried to stop him and let him know, he seemed to really not like the idea of gum on his shoe because he used my stomach to try to get the gum off his shoe. I did not realize he and I were making a trade...he gave me his gum and in return took every ounce of air I thought I owned. I searched the ground for any air I could find as I watched the man they called "Smoke" zoom to the end zone for a touchdown. After the game he was very humble and apologized and asked me if I was able to find some air anywhere. I did. I am reminded of him and Osceola every time I look at my forever mark on the side of my stomach. This Friday I'd like to replace that memory with Steinbrenner's First Regional Title. GO WARRIORS!
  15. There is no in fairness. The guy could have legit killed him. It is one thing to tussle and push and shove. He haymakered him with a helmet
  16. I get that people get busy and sometimes the work plate is overflowing... but years of updates missing is absolutely ridiculous? There really is no excuse for it. If it is part of an individuals job duties it needs to get done. Pay me and I will have it done in a week. There is nothing hard about updating a record book if the stats are all available. The FHSAA is the governing body and needs to do a better job on this in my opinion. My name in the Flag Football record book has been spelled incorrectly since 2013 and I don't even have my name in as the coach for 2012, something I asked to be corrected in 2013, 2014, 2015... I stopped trying at that point lol
  17. We are hosting our first playoff game ever... 2015 we finished 9-1 and headed to Dr. Phillips as the runner up in our district to Manatee. We held a lead on Dr. Phillips with 6 minutes left. Our center, hiding the fact he dislocated his shoulder in the 4th, had 2 arrant snaps that both were recovered by DP. They won 30-18. Looking forward to a great game tonight!
  18. 8A-R1 No. 4 Timber Creek (9-1) (changed with the arrest news) 8A-R4 No. 4 Western (7-2) 7A-R1 No. 3 Fleming Island (9-0) 7A-R3 No. 5 Venice (5-4) 6A-R1 No. 6 Columbia (7-3) 6A-R1 No. 2 Robert E. Lee (7-3) 6A-R4 No. 4 Miami Central (7-3) 5A-R2 No. 2 Dunnellon (9-1) 5A-R3 No. 3 River Ridge (8-2) 4A-R2 No. 4 Keystone Heights (7-2) 3A-R1 No. 5 Trinity Christian (Jacksonville) (5-5) 3A-R3 No. 5 Clearwater Central Catholic (7-3) 2A-R3 No. 3 Seffner Christian (7-3) 1A-R1 No. 5 Graceville (7-3) 1A-R4 No. 5 Chiefland (6-4)
  19. They do announce the sportsmanship clauses at every game. Most refs usually are good about giving a warning to a player/coach. Not all do obviously. It does happen. I do think 6 games would be a bit much for cursing to the air if that is what happened
  20. I have never seen this until the past week. Almost every maxpreps click the past week results in a server error and you have to reload the page 3-4 times for it to come up. Anyone else having these issues? and we won't even discuss how the referee giving the out of bounds server penalty has 1 club hand, is giving some sort of peace sign penalty and has no eyes...and is wearing a blue belt with black pants. Want is going on here... LOAD MY PAGE!!! In other news Lebron's hairline is still retracting quicker than our shorelines.
  21. I have never seen this until the past week. Almost every maxpreps click the past week results in a server error and you have to reload the page 3-4 times for it to come up. Anyone else having these issues?
  22. Hillsborough schools don't pick their schedule. We are currently the highest scoring team in the state of Florida and have had a half time running clock on 8 of our 9 opponents (averaging 43 first half points). Our defense is giving up 5.7 points per game, a good portion of that was on our 2's. 813 said previously our schedule was easy and we would get run over by Plant and Hillsborough. We didn't As to how we will stack up against Sarasota and Dr. Phillips we will see if we get there...Both are great programs and we would love to get the shot to prove ourselves. Our last experience with each of them: We went to Dr. Phillips in 2015 for our first playoff game and we had a halftime lead on them and were tied in the 4th before losing by 12, they lost in the 3rd round by 1 to state runner up Osceola. Sarasota beat us last year 14-7. We fumbled out of the end zone with 30 seconds left which would have tied the game... they went on to the final 4 We play who is on our schedule. Our team is bought in and playing great football. No clue how we will match up against whoever the playoffs bring us but we will be ready to go and excited for the battle. I do disagree with 813. a 12-1 team is a good team. Majority of playoff teams are good teams. Elite and good are different. Thanks for the respect perspective. You all may have a shot to sneak in for a Sarasota matchup. It is gonna be tight For now... our focus is on Chamberlain. Good luck to all teams this week.
  23. You are forgetting a very popular one in Plant who started 0-6, is currently 2-6 and #9 in 8a region 2. Their SOS is absurd and helping them a lot. They will likely end 4-6 although their SOS will come down a bit. Will be interesting
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