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Jeff Fisher National Polls


Zoe Boy

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Keep in mind that Jeff's polls have zero human aspects and it's all algorithm. 

In fact, he wrote: 

"Now, as the creator of the algorithm, I need to point-out that the formula I created in 2013 and continue to tweak each year, is really designed to work best in-season when we have real data from real games. I remind you of this every year, so that you don’t go into fits of rage if your team isn’t exactly where you think they should be on July 17."

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ECHS05 combined the Preseason Top 100s from both CalPreps and HSFBA... gave #1 105 points (an extra 5 for making the top 100) all the way down to #100 getting 6 points... check'er'aout

Ties in points were broken by seeing which team achieved the highest rank at either poll.

 

1(tie). St. John Bosco CA (209)

1(tie). Mater Dei CA (209)

3. IMG Academy USA (204)

4. Allen TX (203)

5. Bishop Gorman NV (203)

6. Corona Centennial CA (198)

7. St. Joseph Regional NJ (193)

8. Bergen Catholic NJ (189)

9(tie). Chandler AZ (185)

9(tie). Grayson GA (185)

11. DeSoto TX (183)

12. De La Salle CA (182)

13. East (Salt Lake City) UT (180)

14. Hoover AL (173)

15. St. Xavier OH (173)

16. St. Peter's Prep NJ (165)

17. Brentwood Academy TN (165)

18. DeMatha MD (164)

19. Loyola Academy IL (164)

20. Denton Ryan TX (162)

21. St. Thomas Aquinas FL (158)

22. Lake Travis TX (158)

23. St. Ignatius OH (158)

24. Ben Davis IL (148)

25. American Heritage (Plantation) FL (148)

26. South Pointe SC (147)

27. Carol City FL (146)

28. John Curtis LA (145)

29. St. Frances Academy MD (142)

30. Trinity (Louisville) KY (140)

31. Warren Central IN (135)

32. Manvel TX (134)

33. Highland Park TX (133)

34. Wayne (Huber Heights) OH (132)

35. Carmel IN (128)

36. Don Bosco Prep NJ (128)

37. La Salle OH (119)

38. Mountain Pointe AZ (118)

39. St. Edward OH (115)

40. Archbishop Wood PA (114)

41. Mission Viejo CA (114)

42. Narbonne CA (112)

43. Liberty NV (104)

44. St. Joseph's Prep PA (102)

45. Bingham UT (101)

46. St. John's DC (100)

47. DePaul Catholic NJ (100)

48. Valdosta GA (98)

49. Miami Northwestern FL (95)

50. Cocoa FL (89)

51. Chaminade CA (88)

52. Katy TX (87)

53. The Woodlands TX (86)

54. JSerra CA (84)

55. Center Grove IN (84)

56. Saguaro AZ (83)

57. Aledo TX (81)

58. St. Louis HI (80)

59. Colerain OH (79)

60. Cartersville GA (79)

61. Prairie Ridge IL (78)

62. Colquitt Co. GA (77)

63(tie). Paramus Catholic NJ (76)

63(tie). McDonogh MD (76)

65. Trinity Christian FL (71)

66. Archbishop Spalding MD (70)

67. Pickerington Central OH (69)

68. Cibolo Steele TX (68)

69. Union (Tulsa) OK (67)

70. Ridge Point TX (64)

71. Armwood FL (62)

72. Dutch Fork SC (61)

73. Cedar Hill TX (60)

74. St. Pius X TX (58)

75. Pickerington North OH (57)

76. Pitt. Central Catholic PA (57)

77. Converse Judson TX (53)

78(tie). Long Beach Poly CA (52)

78(tie). Waco Midway TX (52)

80. Landry Walker LA (51)

81(tie). Cass Tech MI (50)

81(tie). Rome GA (50)

83. Bishop Sullivan VA (50)

84. Fort Dorchester SC (48)

85. Serra (Gardena) CA (48)

86(tie). Evangel Christian LA (46)

86(tie). Christian Brothers MO (46)

88. Sachse TX (45)

89(tie). Wake Forest NC (44)

89(tie). Edison (Huntington Beach) CA (44)

91(tie). Miami Central FL (43)

91(tie). St. Mary's (Stockton) CA (43)

93. Murrieta Valley CA (41)

94. Klein Collins TX (41)

95. Rancho Cucamonga CA (40)

96. Chaminade-Madonna FL (39)

97. Jenks OK (37)

98. Oxford MS (36)

99. Lamar Houston TX (35)

100. Hebron TX (35)

====

The Rest:

101. Central (Phenix City) AL

102. Valor Christian CO

103. Punahou HI

104. Bishop Miege KS 

105. Cedar Ridge TX

106. Westfield TX

107. North Little Rock AR

108. Lowndes GA

109. Westlake TX

110. Pulaski Academy AR

111. East St. Louis IL

112. San Clemente CA

113. Buford GA

114. Valencia CA

115. Norman North OK

116. Harrison GA

117. Ensworth TN

118. Good Counsel MD

119. Gonzaga DC

120. Roswell GA

121. Pine-Richland PA

122. Hewitt-Trussville AL

123. Parkway LA

124. Solon OH

125. North Shore TX

126. Cedar Park TX

127. Plant FL

128. Carthage TX

129. Denton Guyer TX

130. Erie Cathedral Prep PA

131. Montgomery Bell Academy TN

132. Booker T. Washington FL

133. Kahuku HI

134. Perry AZ

135. Kirkwood MO

136. Pittsburg CA

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IMG had arguably the hardest schedule last year.  IMG went undefeated last year travelling across the nation.  IMG has arguably the hardest schedule this year.  Although they appear down a bit talent-wise, IMG has one of the most stacked teams again this year.   What gives?

How they are  #5 in a poll that is allowed to rate them baffles me.

 

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22 minutes ago, BrowardHandicapper said:

IMG had arguably the hardest schedule last year.  IMG went undefeated last year travelling across the nation.  IMG has arguably the hardest schedule this year.  Although they appear down a bit talent-wise, IMG has one of the most stacked teams again this year.   What gives?

How they are  #5 in a poll that is allowed to rate them baffles me.

 

I have them at 3 in my current poll but honestly this poll became irrelavant when he ranked armwood over Miami northwestern, Miami Central and Miami Carol City 

 

Smh they gonna overrank armwood again this year, guess this guy didn't listen to anything i said last year lol 

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2 minutes ago, ColumbiaHighFan2017class said:

I have them at 3 in my current poll but honestly this poll became irrelavant when he ranked armwood over Miami northwestern, Miami Central and Miami Carol City 

 

Smh they gonna overrank armwood again this year, guess this guy didn't listen to anything i said last year lol 

I'm backing up facts.  You're backing up opinion with IMG.

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12 minutes ago, ColumbiaHighFan2017class said:

I have them at 3 in my current poll but honestly this poll became irrelavant when he ranked armwood over Miami northwestern, Miami Central and Miami Carol City 

 

Smh they gonna overrank armwood again this year, guess this guy didn't listen to anything i said last year lol 

What is your reasoning on rating 2 teams higher than IMG?

I believe IMG can be beat by an elite team, but for now (pre-season) I would have to rate them #1 nationally based on the reasoning that I stated. 

 

 

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1 minute ago, ColumbiaHighFan2017class said:

Oh i agree their schedule is stout 

 

Main reason i have them at 3 is i don't see them going undefeated

So if we are rating teams pre-season based on projections of potential losses, you must have a team like Miami Central somewhat low right now?  Considering they likely will not go undefeated.

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4 minutes ago, BrowardHandicapper said:

What is your reasoning on rating 2 teams higher than IMG?

I believe IMG can be beat by an elite team, but for now (pre-season) I would have to rate them #1 nationally based on the reasoning that I stated. 

 

 

So you would have them higher then Bishop Gorman who hasn't lost in like 3 years and defending 2 time national champs?

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5 minutes ago, BrowardHandicapper said:

So if we are rating teams pre-season based on projections of potential losses, you must have a team like Miami Central somewhat low right now?  Considering they likely will not go undefeated.

Well i only done through top 25 and i still have to change things, i been busy with the Florida preseason poll so haven't spent much time on national one yet,  plus I'm waiting for more preseason projections to come out before i continue on list

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Just now, ColumbiaHighFan2017class said:

So you would have them higher then Bishop Gorman who hasn't lost in like 3 years and defending 2 time national champs?

I'm fine  with Bishop Gorman at 1 based on that reasoning and considering they generally play a couple top 25 elite teams yearly.  

I just don't think anyone can argue that anyone went undefeated with a harder schedule combined with the stacked roster of an IMG in 2016.

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On 7/19/2017 at 10:39 AM, BrowardHandicapper said:

IMG had arguably the hardest schedule last year.  IMG went undefeated last year travelling across the nation.  IMG has arguably the hardest schedule this year.  Although they appear down a bit talent-wise, IMG has one of the most stacked teams again this year.   What gives?

How they are  #5 in a poll that is allowed to rate them baffles me.

 

Add to their roster the # 3 rated QB in the nation and a 4**** WR with that big line and I can't see losing to anyone again this year. I think there is a bitterness and little hold out from being a sports academy that is allowed to recruit nationally for some of those that rank teams.

I would easily have them at #1 last year and probably this year also. They traveled to California and beat one of the top rated teams in the country. You don't do that 3000 miles away from home unless you are real good.

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25 minutes ago, Cat_Scratch said:

Add to their roster the # 3 rated QB in the nation and a 4**** WR with that big line and I can't see losing to anyone again this year. I think there is a bitterness and little hold out from being a sports academy that is allowed to recruit nationally for some of those that rank teams.

I would easily have them at #1 last year and probably this year also. They traveled to California and beat one of the top rated teams in the country. You don't do that 3000 miles away from home unless you are real good.

I can't rank them over The Bishop until the Bishop either loses or plays a weak schedule and from looking at the schedule they play this year the weak schedule not a problem 

 

So until they lose they should be number 1

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