Joe Pinkos’ Weekly Game Forecast – 2015: Week 4

JOE PINKOS’ POWER RATINGS

Florida High School Football

FORECAST FOR WEEK 4

Joe Pinkos’ Power Ratings are calculated by a formula based on strength of opposition and margin of victory with greater weight given to recent games. The forecasted margin of victory for each game is determined by subtracting the power rating of the lower-rated team from the power rating of its higher-rated opponent.

Game forecasts are sorted by classification/conference of favorite and listed alphabetically. The underdog’s classification/conference is noted for inter-classification/inter-conference games.

Class 8A
American 31 over Hialeah Gardens
Apopka 17 over Dr. Phillips
Atlantic (Delray Beach) 14 over (4A) Glades Central
Belen Jesuit 32 over Ferguson
Boca Raton 20 over Spanish River
Boone 3 over University (Orlando)
Columbus 19 over Miami High
Coral Gables 29 over Killian
Coral Reef 6 over Braddock
Deerfield Beach 39 over Coral Springs
Dr. Krop 1 over North Miami Beach
Everglades 4 over Western
Flanagan 32 over South Plantation
Fort Pierce Central 6 over (4A) Clewiston (Monday)
Gateway 9 over Haines City
Lake Brantley 6 over Lake Mary
Lake Worth 7 over Park Vista
Manatee 20 over Alonso
Mandarin 10 over DeLand
Miami Beach 22 over Coral Park
Miramar 3 over Plantation
Monarch 12 over Taravella
Newsome 2 over Palm Harbor University
North Miami 7 over Hialeah
Oak Ridge 40 over Freedom (Orlando)
Olympia 24 over Cypress Creek
Osceola (Kissimmee) 6 over (7A) Winter Haven
Ridge Community 10 over George Jenkins
Sandalwood 9 over Spruce Creek
Santaluces 3 over John I. Leonard
Seminole Ridge 4 over Palm Beach Gardens
South Dade 26 over Miami Palmetto
Southwest Miami 19 over Varela
Steinbrenner 18 over Riverview (Sarasota)
University (Orange City) 10 over Seminole (Sanford)
Vero Beach 43 over (5A) Port St. Lucie
Wekiva 1 over Timber Creek
Wellington 13 over Palm Beach Central
Winter Park 27 over Colonial
Winter Springs 3 over Lyman

Class 7A
Bartow 9 over (6A) Auburndale
Bartram Trail 11 over Fleming Island
Braden River 24 over Lakewood Ranch
Celebration 23 over East River
Chiles 12 over (3A) Taylor County
Columbia 20 over Robert E. Lee
Countryside 21 over Seminole
Creekside 7 over (3A) Providence
Doral Academy 51 over Westland Hialeah
Durant 4 over East Bay
East Lake 1 over St. Petersburg
Edgewater 6 over Ocoee
First Coast 63 over (Ind.) Arlington Country Day
Fletcher 1 over Atlantic Coast
Freedom (Tampa) 7 over (5A) Spoto
Hagerty 4 over Lake Minneola
Hollywood Hills 6 over Cooper City
Lake Nona 20 over Liberty
Lakeland 33 over Fort Lauderdale
Lennard 16 over (8A) Riverview
Martin County 13 over (8A) Treasure Coast
Mater Academy 51 over Mourning
McArthur 20 over South Broward
Miami Springs 10 over South Miami
Nova 3 over West Broward
Oakleaf 6 over Buchholz
Palmetto 24 over Sarasota
Pinellas Park 10 over (5A) Tarpon Springs
Plant 61 over Leto
Plant City 27 over Strawberry Crest
Riverdale 17 over (6A) East Lee County
Royal Palm Beach 3 over Forest Hill
Sickles 31 over Wiregrass Ranch
South Fork 16 over (5A) Suncoast
South Fort Myers 3 over (6A) Fort Myers
St. Cloud 9 over Harmony
St. Thomas Aquinas 55 over (8A) Cypress Bay
Sunset 9 over Goleman
Tampa Bay Tech 14 over Bloomingdale
Venice 48 over North Port
Viera 17 over Kathleen
West Boca Raton 45 over Olympic Heights
West Port 1 over Lake Howell
Wharton 14 over Gaither
William T. Dwyer 35 over Palm Beach Lakes

Class 6A
Armwood 52 over Chamberlain
Barron Collier 21 over Lehigh
Boyd Anderson 20 over Golden Gate
Boynton Beach 37 over (3A) Cardinal Newman
Brandon 23 over Blake
Carol City 31 over Hialeah-Miami Lakes
Charlotte 31 over Ida Baker
Clearwater 42 over Boca Ciega
Crestview 29 over (Ind.) International School of Broward
Deltona 18 over New Smyrna Beach
Dillard 18 over (8A) Douglas
Englewood 4 over Middleburg
Escambia 3 over Jesuit LA
Gainesville 24 over Lake Weir
Heritage 38 over Eau Gallie
Hillsborough 23 over King
Jensen Beach 41 over Bayside
Lake Gibson 4 over Lake Wales
Largo 31 over Dixie Hollins
Leesburg 5 over Forest
Mainland 70 over Pine Ridge
Matanzas 21 over Seabreeze
Miami Central 14 over Norland
Mitchell 38 over Springstead
Naples 26 over (7A) Gulf Coast
Navarre 17 over Choctawhatchee
Nease 6 over Ed White
Niceville 1 over Bassfield MS
North Fort Myers 14 over Island Coast
Northeast (St. Petersburg) 3 over Osceola Fundamental
Pace 13 over Booker T. Washington (Pensacola)
Palmetto Ridge 24 over Estero
Pine Forest 18 over Gulf Breeze
Port Charlotte 13 over Cape Coral
Sebring 40 over Lake Region
Sebastian River 3 over Okeechobee
St. Augustine 39 over (7A) Melbourne
Sunlake 7 over Land O’ Lakes
Tate 7 over (5A) Pensacola
Vanguard 9 over (5A) Lakewood

Class 5A
American Heritage (Plantation) 28 over Coconut Creek
Baker County 4 over Menendez
Bay 14 over Arnold
Bentonville AR 17 over Rickards
Bishop Kenny 3 over Westside
Bishop Moore 70 over Poinciana
Clay 10 over Orange Park
Crystal River 28 over Citrus
Dunbar 11 over Lely
Eustis 10 over Tavares
Godby 6 over (7A) Leon
Hallandale 28 over Stranahan
Hardee 1 over Booker
Hudson 3 over Anclote
Jesuit 22 over Jefferson
Lecanto 25 over Hernando
Lemon Bay 11 over DeSoto
Mariner 3 over Cypress Lake
Merritt Island 31 over Space Coast
Miami Jackson 20 over Cardinal Gibbons
Nature Coast Tech 32 over Central (Brooksville)
North Marion 13 over (6A) Pasco
Palatka 13 over Ridgeview
Palm Bay 14 over Rockledge
Ponte Vedra 52 over Wolfson
Ribault 39 over Paxon
Ridgewood 7 over Wesley Chapel
River Ridge 53 over Fivay
Robinson 20 over Middleton
Southeast 21 over Bayshore
Suwannee 14 over Yulee
Titusville 11 over Satellite
Wakulla 34 over (3A) Trinity Catholic
West Florida Tech 12 over Mosley
Westwood 11 over (8A) Jupiter
Zephyrhills 24 over Gulf

Class 4A
Astronaut 17 over Atlantic (Port Orange)
Avon Park 27 over Tenoroc
Bishop Verot 32 over Lake Placid
Bolles 62 over Andrew Jackson
Booker T. Washington (Miami) 4 over (8A) Southridge
Bradford 14 over PK Yonge
Cocoa 35 over Lake Highland Prep
Dunnellon 42 over (5A) Belleview
Edison 20 over Keys Gate Charter
Gulliver Prep 3 over Monsignor Pace
Jones 11 over (8A) Evans
Keystone Heights 10 over (Ind.) Bishop Snyder
LaBelle 3 over Mulberry
Mount Dora 11 over The Villages
Raines 70 over Fernandina Beach
Rutherford 7 over (6A) Fort Walton Beach
Santa Fe 52 over Interlachen
South Sumter 31 over Umatilla
University School 52 over Somerset Academy
Walton 28 over (1A) Baker
West Nassau 16 over (3A) Episcopal

Class 3A
Berkeley Prep 62 over (FIFC) Miami Community Charter
Chaminade-Madonna 56 over Everglades Prep
Clearwater Central Catholic 21 over (5A) South Lake
Florida High 11 over (1A) Madison County
Lakeland Christian 32 over Calvary Christian (Clearwater)
Melbourne Central Catholic 24 over Holy Trinity Episcopal
Pensacola Catholic 1 over (6A) Milton
The First Academy 1 over (7A) East Ridge
Trinity Christian (Jacksonville) 8 over (8A) West Orange
Trinity Prep 38 over (Ind.) Cocoa Beach
Westminster Christian 61 over Somerset Charter

Class 2A
Agape Christian 11 over Maclay
Cambridge Christian 52 over Out-of-Door Academy
Carrollwood Day 31 over Bradenton Christian
Dade Christian 3 over Champagnat Catholic
First Baptist 42 over Evangelical Christian
Glades Day 3 over Village Academy
Indian Rocks Christian 18 over (1A) Frostproof
Moore Haven 39 over Marco Island Academy
North Florida Christian 3 over (1A) Hamilton County
Northside Christian 23 over Foundation Academy
Southwest Florida Christian 35 over St. John Neumann
Trinity Christian (Deltona) 24 over Harvest Community
Victory Christian 1 over Admiral Farragut
Warner Christian 36 over (Ind.) Landmark Christian

Class 1A
Baldwin 8 over Hawthorne
Bell 1 over (2A) Eagle’s View Academy
Chiefland 17 over Branford
Chipley 2 over Northview
Dixie County 44 over Bronson
Fort Meade 42 over Taylor (Pierson)
Freeport 37 over (Ind.) North Bay Haven
Graceville 10 over Holmes County
Jay 3 over West Gadsden
Jefferson County 24 over Lafayette
Liberty County 38 over Franklin County
Newberry 28 over Williston
Pahokee 19 over Crescent City
Port St. Joe 25 over Bozeman
South Walton 14 over Blountstown
Union County 38 over Hilliard
Vernon 10 over Cottondale
Wewahitchka 1 over Sneads

Independent
Canterbury (Fort Myers) 29 over Ambassador Christian
IMG Academy 4 over Bergen Catholic NJ
Potter’s House Christian 42 over (2A) Halifax Academy

Florida Independent Football Conference (FIFC)
Hillel 12 over Palmer Trinity
Highlands Christian 1 over (Ind.) Archbishop Carroll

Gold Coast Football Conference (GCFC)
Archbishop McCarthy 21 over (3A) John Carroll Catholic
Key West 7 over North Broward Prep
Pembroke Pines Charter 24 over Coral Glades

North Florida Football Conference (NFFC)
Crisp Academy GA 1 over Munroe Day
Florida Deaf 7 over Texas Deaf TX
John Paul II Catholic 37 over Aucilla Christian
St. Johns Country Day 1 over St. Francis Catholic
St. Joseph Academy 13 over Oak Hall

Southeastern Football Conference (SFC)
Benjamin 8 over King’s Academy
Calvary Christian (Fort Lauderdale) 1 over St. John Paul II
Coral Springs Charter 18 over Westminster Academy
Immaculata-LaSalle 21 over Florida Christian
Miami Country Day 16 over Marathon
Pine Crest 10 over Coral Shores
Pompano Beach 10 over St. Andrew’s
Ransom Everglades 14 over Archbishop Curley Notre Dame

Sunshine State Athletic Conference (SSAC)
Berean Christian 20 over Jupiter Christian (Monday)
Berean Christian 10 over (GCFC) Inlet Grove
Bishop McLaughlin 7 over Keswick Christian
Central Florida Christian 38 over Mount Dora Christian
Christ’s Church Academy 29 over The Master’s Academy
First Academy-Leesburg 20 over St. John Lutheran
Legacy 28 over Orangewood Christian
Orlando Christian Prep 55 over Lake Mary Prep
Santa Fe Catholic 12 over Windermere Prep
Seven Rivers Christian 30 over Ocala Christian
St. Edward’s 6 over Boca Raton Christian
St. Stephen’s Episcopal 28 over Canterbury (St. Petersburg)

Forecast Record
Last Week 196-44, 81.7%
Season 604-164, 78.6%