Joe Pinkos’ 2018 Third Round Playoff Forecast

JOE PINKOS’ POWER RATINGS

Florida High School Football

2018 PLAYOFFS FORECAST-Week 3

Joe Pinkos’ Power Ratings are calculated by a formula based on strength of opposition and margin of victory with greater weight given to recent games. The forecasted margin of victory for each game is determined by subtracting the power rating of the lower-rated team from the power rating of its higher-rated opponent.

CLASS 8A (Regional Finals)

Region 1
Wekiva 6 over Mandarin

Region 2
Riverview (Sarasota) 7 over Dr. Phillips

Region 3
Deerfield Beach 8 over Palm Beach Central

Region 4
Columbus 7 over South Dade

CLASS 7A (Regional Finals)

Region 1
Robert E. Lee 3 over Edgewater

Region 2
Lakeland 7 over Plant

Region 3
Venice 13 over Bloomingdale

Region 4
St. Thomas Aquinas 27 over William T. Dwyer

CLASS 6A (Regional Finals)

Region 1
Navarre 1 over Crestview

Region 2
Vanguard 1 over Armwood

Region 3
Naples 7 over North Fort Myers

Region 4
Miami Central 17 over Northwestern

CLASS 5A (Regional Finals)

Region 1
Trinity Christian (Jacksonville) 24 over Bolles

Region 2
North Marion 9 over Nature Coast Tech

Region 3
Jesuit 14 over Jefferson

Region 4
American Heritage (Plantation) 6 over Cardinal Gibbons

CLASS 4A (Regional Finals)

Region 1
Raines 38 over West Nassau

Region 2
The Villages 1 over Dunnellon

Region 3
Cocoa 21 over Bishop Verot

Region 4
University School 3 over Glades Central

CLASS 3A (Regional Finals)

Region 1
Florida High 10 over Taylor County

Region 2
King’s Academy 17 over The First Academy

Region 3
Clearwater Central Catholic 34 over Berkeley Prep

Region 4
Chaminade-Madonna 28 over American Heritage (Delray Beach)

CLASS 2A (Regional Finals)

Region 1
University Christian 7 over North Florida Christian

Region 2
Victory Christian 3 over Foundation Academy

Region 3
Admiral Farragut 14 over Seffner Christian

Region 4
Champagnat Catholic 1 over St. John Neumann

CLASS 1A (Regional Finals)

Region 1
Baker 8 over Vernon

Region 2
Port St. Joe 10 over Jefferson County

Region 3
Madison County 27 over Chiefland

Region 4
Hawthorne 2 over Pahokee

Forecast Record
Last Week 52-13, 80.0%
FHSAA Playoffs 128-32, 80.0%
Last Nine Weeks 1,576-262, 85.7%
Entire Season 2,406-470, 83.7%

2017 Forecast Record
State Championship Games 7-1, 87.5%
Pre-playoffs forecast correctly selected 6 of the 8 eventual state champions.
FHSAA Playoffs 152-32, 82.6%
Entire season 2,216-477, 82.3%