![Arnold (Panama City Beach) is among the teams that have games this weekend to cap off Week 1 action. [Joshua Wilson/FloridaHSFootball.com]](https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/FPRI-Forecast-for-2-20-and-2-21-2026.jpg)
Welcome to the Florida Power Rankings Index Daily Forecast, your comprehensive guide to today’s flag football matchups across Florida. Each day during the season, we project outcomes for every scheduled game using advanced statistical modeling derived from FPRI team ratings.
How Forecasts Work: Our game predictions use FPRI team ratings as the foundation but apply additional factors beyond simple rating differences. The model accounts for home/away dynamics, recent performance trends, and competitive context to generate win probabilities and projected outcomes for each matchup. These are statistical projections based on current team strength—not guarantees of outcomes.
What’s Included:
- Forecasted Line: Point spread projection (Free for all users)
- Win Probability: Likelihood of each team winning the matchup (Premium Season Ticket subscribers only)
- Projected Final Score: Expected score for both teams (Premium Season Ticket subscribers only)
Premium Content: Win probabilities and projected final scores require a Premium Season Ticket or Monthly Premium Season Ticket subscription. The forecasted line is available free to all users for every game statewide.
Updates: Forecasts are published daily during the season and reflect the most current FPRI ratings. As teams play and ratings adjust, forecast accuracy improves throughout the year.
Important Reminder: These forecasts represent statistical projections based on mathematical modeling. Actual game outcomes depend on execution, matchups, and the unpredictable nature of competition. The FPRI forecasts are analytical tools, not certainties.
FORECAST ACCURACY TRACKER
FORECAST ACCURACY TRACKER
| Metric | Result |
|---|---|
| THURSDAY | Thu. 2/19 — 77-29 — 72.6% correct |
| Overall | 180-71 — 71.7% correct |
FORECAST FOR FEBRUARY 20, 2026
Games subjected to change without notice
DAILY FORECAST FOR FRI. FEB. 20, 2026
| Forecast |
|---|
| Arnold (Panama City Beach) 4 over Rutherford (Panama City) |
| Avon Park 14 over Frostproof |
| Belleview 12 over Redeemer Christian (Ocala) |
| Boyd Anderson (Lauderdale Lakes) 12 over Everglades (Miramar) |
| Carrollwood (Tampa) 12 over Wesley Chapel |
| Clay (Green Cove Springs) 12 over Ed White (Jacksonville) |
| Cypress Bay (Weston) 12 over West Broward (Pembroke Pines) |
| Discovery (Lake Alfred) 2 over Lake Placid |
| East Bay (Gibsonton) 4 over Bloomingdale (Valrico) |
| Estero 8 over Bonita Springs |
| Faith Christian (Orlando) 10 over Pinecrest Lakes Prep (Minneola) |
| Ferguson (Miami) 12 over Miami Coral Park |
| Fleming Island 10 over New Smyrna Beach |
| Florida High (Tallahassee) 14 over Bay (Panama City) |
| Fort Pierce Central 10 over Spruce Creek (Port Orange) |
| Fort Pierce Central 12 over Mainland (Daytona Beach) |
| Jones (Orlando) 6 over Bishop Moore (Orlando) |
| Lakewood Ranch (Bradenton) 8 over Manatee (Bradenton) |
| Lincoln Park Academy (Fort Pierce) 8 over Indian River Charter (Vero Beach) |
| Melbourne 12 over West Shore (Melbourne) |
| Miami Edison 12 over Mourning (Miami) |
| Miami Northwestern 12 over Coconut Creek |
| Miami Southridge 10 over Monsignor Pace (Miami) |
| Nova (Davie) 6 over Coral Glades (Coral Springs) |
| Orlando Science 10 over Faith Christian (Orlando) |
| Pinecrest Glades (Miami) 6 over Westwood Christian (Miami) |
| Piper (Sunrise) 12 over Northeast (Oakland Park) |
| Ridgeview (Orange Park) 8 over Orange Park |
| Royal Palm Beach 6 over Cardinal Newman (West Palm Beach) |
| Santa Fe (Alachua) 14 over Newberry |
| Seminole Ridge (Westlake) 12 over Dillard (Fort Lauderdale) |
| Somerset Academy Charter South Homestead 14 over Somerset Prep (Homestead) |
| Somerset Central Miramar 12 over Avant Garde (Hollywood) |
| South Fork (Stuart) 12 over Pine School (Hobe Sound) |
| Stoneman Douglas (Parkland) 12 over Chaminade-Madonna (Hollywood) |
| Western (Davie) 12 over Archbishop McCarthy (Southwest Ranches) |
| Yulee 12 over Creekside (St. Johns) |
FORECAST FOR FEBRUARY 21, 2026
Games subjected to change without notice
DAILY FORECAST FOR SAT. FEB. 21, 2026
| Forecast |
|---|
| Archbishop McCarthy (Southwest Ranches) 12 over West Broward (Pembroke Pines) |
| Brandon 14 over McKeel (Lakeland) |
| Chaminade-Madonna (Hollywood) 2 over Dillard (Fort Lauderdale) |
| Cypress Bay (Weston) 6 over Coconut Creek |
| Everglades (Miramar) 8 over Nova (Davie) |
| Largo 10 over Pasco (Dade City) |
| Largo 2 over Tampa Prep |
| Miami Edison 12 over Hialeah Gardens |
| Miami Northwestern 12 over Northeast (Oakland Park) |
| Newsome (Lithia) 12 over Wharton (Tampa) |
| Newsome (Lithia) 8 over Lecanto |
| Park Vista (Lake Worth) 12 over Tampa Bay Tech |
| Seminole Ridge (Westlake) 10 over Boyd Anderson (Lauderdale Lakes) |
| Stoneman Douglas (Parkland) 12 over Coral Glades (Coral Springs) |
| Strawberry Crest (Dover) 2 over Lecanto |
| Tampa Bay Tech 12 over McKeel (Lakeland) |
| Tampa Prep 12 over Hollins (St. Petersburg) |
| Western (Davie) 12 over Piper (Sunrise) |
PROJECTED FINALS (FRI & SAT)
Requires a Premium Season Ticket or Monthly Premium Season Ticket Membership
PROJECTED WIN PROBABLILITIES (FRI & SAT)
Requires a Premium Season Ticket or Monthly Premium Season Ticket Membership
![Viera (Melbourne) has started off as a brand new program, taking home a 38-0 victory over Cocoa on Thursday evening. [Viera Hawks Flag Football/Instagram]](https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Daily-Scoreboard-for-2-19-2026-120x86.jpg)
![No. 16 Somerset Canyons (Boynton Beach) blanked Olympic Heights on Thursday night to start of the season on a strong note. [Somerset Canyons Flag Football/Instagram]](https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Somerset-Canyons-Blanks-Olympic-Heights-2-120x86.jpg)
![Spurce Creek's Nina Macy returned an INT for a touchdown in the No. 17 Hawk's bounce back win over Matanzas (Palm Coast) on Thursday night. [Joshua Wilson/FloridaHSFootball.com]](https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Announcement-Landscape-6-1-120x86.jpg)
