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FHSF Power Rankings Index: Week 8 statewide game forecast

The FHSF PRI computer has crunched the numbers and told us who is going to get victories this week

byJoshua Wilson
October 12, 2023
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Welcome to the FloridaHSFootball.com Power Rankings Index. The index ranks teams and forecasts games based on the strength of schedule, including the strength of opposition and margin of victory, with more recent games weighing more heavily as a factor. The forecasted margin of victory is determined by subtracting the power ranking of the lower-rated team from the power ranking of the higher-rated team.

While it should be noted that things look similar in style to what the legendary Joe Pinkos did in determining his forecasts (which we honor his legacy in formatting the forecast the way he did), the formula created here is not part of Joe’s formula which was a secret and unfortunately lost when Joe passed away almost two years ago.

Game forecasts are sorted by classification of favorites and listed alphabetically. The underdog’s classification is noted for inter-classification games.

Here is the forecast for Week 8:

CLASS 4M

Alonso 10 over Strawberry Crest

Apopka 13 over Lake Brantley

Boca Raton 4 over Santaluces

Coral Gables 7 over (3M) Miami Beach

Coral Glades 17 over Taravella

Coral Springs 5 over Olympic Heights

Durant 13 over Newsome

East Lake 16 over Sickles

Goleman 14 over Miami High

Hagerty 36 over Colonial

Jupiter 26 over Palm Beach Lakes

Lake Mary 28 over Evans

Lake Nona 10 over Freedom (Orlando)

Mandarin 4 over (4S) Fleming Island

Miami Palmetto 5 over South Dade

Oak Ridge 1 over Cypress Creek (Orlando)

Olympia 10 over Dr. Phillips

Palm Beach Central 23 over Forest Hill

Palm Beach Gardens 32 over Royal Palm Beach

Palm Harbor University 4 over Steinbrenner

Park Vista 13 over Lake Worth

Plant 19 over Plant City

Sandalwood 6 over Atlantic Coast

Seminole (Sanford) 8 over (4S) DeLand

Somerset Academy (Pembroke Pines) 17 over Cooper City

Stoneman Douglas 14 over (3M) Boyd Anderson

Sumner 11 over Riverview (Riverview)

Timber Creek 19 over University (Orlando)

Wellington 18 over John I. Leonard

West Broward 1 over (4S) Gulf Coast

West Orange 24 over Windermere

Western 2 over Cypress Bay

CLASS 3M

Blanche Ely 8 over Deerfield Beach

Coconut Creek 10 over West Boca Raton

Dr. Krop 6 over Hollywood Hills

East Bay 37 over Lennard

Edgewater 13 over (4M) Ocoee

First Coast 4 over Terry Parker

Fletcher 3 over Englewood

Hialeah 3 over North Miami

Hillsborough 33 over Leto

Homestead 18 over Miami Southridge

Horizon 3 over Wekiva

Jesuit 14 over Gaither

Jones 9 over (4M) Boone

Largo 14 over Seminole

Lyman 12 over East River

Miramar 25 over American

Northeast (St. Petersburg) 35 over Hollins

Osceola (Seminole) 19 over Countryside

Oviedo 20 over Lake Howell

Pembroke Pines Charter 7 over Everglades

Pinellas Park 17 over St. Petersburg

Piper 12 over Nova

Plantation 12 over Dillard

South Broward 11 over McArthur

Spoto 1 over Bloomingdale

St. Thoams Aquinas 43 over Fort Lauderdale

Tampa Bay Tech 15 over Wharton

CLASS 2M

American Heritage (Plantation) 17 over Stranahan

Berkeley Prep 41 over Dunedin

Bishop Kenny 9 over Episcopal

Bolles 22 over Wolfson

Booker T. Washington (Miami) 1 over Miami Northwestern

Calvary Christian (Clearwater) 5 over Clearwater

Calvary Christian (Fort Lauderdale) 14 over North Broward Prep

Cardinal Gibbons 49 over Hallandale

Immaculata-LaSalle 10 over Miami Jackson

Inlet Grove 12 over Glades Central

King 3 over Chamberlain

King’s Academy 38 over Suncoast

Lakewood 16 over Gibbs

Miami Central 10 over Miami Norland

Miami Killian 4 over South Miami

Miami Springs 4 over (3M) Mater Academy

Middleton 20 over Brandon

North Miami Beach 3 over Miami Carol City

Raines 21 over Ribault

Robinson 23 over Jefferson

Saint Andrew’s 9 over Boynton Beach

Somerset Canyons 8 over American Heritage (Delray Beach)

St. Brendan 2 over Westland Hialeah

Tampa Catholic 10 over Blake

CLASS 1M

Cardinal Newman 48 over St. John Paul II (Boca Raton)

Carrollwood Day 20 over Seffner Christian

Clearwater Central Catholic 24 over Cambridge Christian

First Academy (Orlando) 16 over Duval Charter

Florida Christian 22 over (IND) Hialeah-Miami Lakes

Indian Rocks Christian 3 over (4S) New Smyrna Beach

Northside Christian 14 over (IND) American Collegiate

Orlando Christian Prep 6 over (2M) Bishop Moore

Somerset South Homestead 17 over Everglades Prep

Trinity Christian (Jacksonville) 1 over University Christian

True North 2 over (2S) Bradford

Westminster Christian 1 over Palmer Trinity

CLASS 4S

Bartram Trail 6 over Creekside

Buchholz 24 over Oakleaf

Chiles 15 over Leon

Forest 14 over East Ridge

Gulf Breeze 4 over Tohopekaliga

Haines City 6 over Bartow

Heritage 3 over Melbourne

Ida Baker 4 over Riverdale

Immokalee 11 over Palmetto Ridge

Lake Gibson 20 over Kathleen

Lake Minneola 37 over South Lake

Lakeland 29 over George Jenkins

Land O’ Lakes 1 over Springstead

Lehigh 8 over Charlotte

Mosley 15 over Crestview

Navarre 17 over Milton

Nease 4 over Flagler Palm Coast

Osceola (Kissimmee) 26 over Celebration

Pace 21 over Tate

Palmetto 8 over Lakewood Ranch

Ponte Vedra 6 over Tocoi Creek

Ridge Community 2 over Winter Haven

St. Cloud 1 over (IND) TRU Prep

Treasure Coast 21 over Fort Pierce Central

University (Orange City) 1 over Spruce Creek

Venice 28 over Sarasota

Vero Beach 28 over Centennial

Viera 13 over Harmony

Wiregrass Ranch 29 over Sunlake

CLASS 3S

Barron Collier 4 over Golden Gate

Booker T. Washington (Pensacola) 14 over Fort Walton Beach

Braden River 6 over Parrish Community

Cape Coral 1 over Island Coast

Clay 7 over Menendez

Columbia 6 over Middleburg

Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel) 30 over Wesley Chapel

Cypress Lake 6 over East Lee County

Dunbar 15 over Lowndes (GA)

Escambia 5 over Choctawhatchee

Fivay 11 over Citrus

Fort Myers 6 over South Fort Myers

Jensen Beach 22 over South Fork

Lake Region 2 over Davenport

Lake Wales 54 over Gateway (Kissimmee)

Lecanto 5 over Gulf

Leesburg 7 over Belleview

Lincoln 15 over Rickards

Mainland 19 over Deltona

Matanzas 9 over Gainesville

Merritt Island 27 over Bayside

Naples 25 over Lely

North Fort Myers 1 over Mariner

Orange Park 13 over Ridgeview

Port St. Lucie 10 over Okeechobee

Rockledge 6 over Satellite

Seabreeze 14 over Pine Ridge

Sebring 26 over Fort Pierce Westwood

Vanguard 23 over Tavares

Zephyrhills 21 over Pasco

CLASS 2S

Astronaut 12 over (SSAA) Space Coast

Baker County 7 over Yulee

Baldwin 34 over (2M) Westside

Booker 4 over DeSoto County

Clewiston 8 over Lake Placid

Cocoa 23 over Titusville

Crescent City 15 over Atlantic (Port Orange)

Dunnellon 22 over Crystal River

Estero 15 over Key West

Eustis 17 over Umatilla

Fernandina Beach 5 over West Nassau

Florida High 30 over Godby

Frostproof 6 over Mulberry

Hardee 12 over Avon Park

Hudson 48 over Weeki Wachee

Lemon Bay 32 over Bayshore

Marianna 2 over Gadsden County

Mount Dora 4 over The Villages

North Bay Haven 11 over Rutherford

North Marion (4S) West Port

Palatka 2 over Keystone Heights

Palm Bay 10 over (SSAA) Sebastian River

Port Charlotte 32 over Southeast

South Sumter 31 over Hernando

South Walton 14 over Bay

Suwannee 1 over (1R) Madison County

Tenoroc 3 over Central (Brooksville)

Walton 15 over Pensacola Catholic

West Florida 43 over Pensacola

CLASS 1S

Evangelical Christian 1 over Moore Haven

First Baptist 17 over St. John Neumann

Holy Trinity 31 over Melbourne Central Catholic

John Carroll 1 over Cardinal Mooney

John Carroll 1 over Cardinal Newman

Lakeland Christian 15 over Victory Christian

Munroe Day 2 over Maclay

North Florida Christian 20 over Rocky Bayou Christian

St. John Paul II (Tallahassee) 30 over (3S) Arnold

Trinity Catholic 22 over (IND) Central Florida Christian

CLASS 1R

Aucilla Christian 22 over Georgia Christian (GA)

Baker 22 over (1S) FAMU DRS

Chipley 32 over Destin

Cottondale 27 over Baconton Charter (GA)

Fort White 9 over Dixie County

Hawthorne 6 over Union County

Hilliard 34 over Hamilton County

Holmes County 19 over Freeport

Newberry 3 over (2S) Eastside

Northview 27 over Jay

Pahokee 2 over (1M) Benjamin

Pike Liberal Arts (AL) 2 over Liberty County

Port St. Joe 7 over Bozeman

Sneads 32 over (SSAA) Lighthouse PCA

Trenton 4 over (SSAA) Bronson

Wewahitchka 21 over Franklin County

Wildwood 14 over (4M) Spanish River

SSAA 11-MAN

All Saints 53 over Berean Christian

Boca Raton Christian 1 over St. Edward’s

Bradenton Christian 18 over (IND) Bishop McLaughlin

Christ’s Church Academy 11 over (IND) Young Kids In Motion

Coral Springs Charter 1 over (2M) Pine Crest

Covenant Day (NC) 8 over Orangewood Christian

Eagle’s View Academy 1 over Bishop Snyder

Gateway Charter 7 over Tradition Prep

Glades Day 9 over (1S) Southwest Florida Christian

Harvest Community 7 over Stanton

Impact Christian 21 over North Florida Educational

Interlachen 11 over Bell

Jupiter Christian 3 over (1M) Avant Garde

Lake Weir 3 over (2S) Taylor (Pierson)

Legacy Charter 18 over Bell Creek Academy

Oak Hall 32 over (1S) P.K. Yonge

Out-of-Door 17 over Cocoa Beach

Oxbridge Academy 6 over (IND) Somerset Academy Key

Santa Fe Catholic 26 over Oasis

The Master’s Academy (Oviedo) 7 over (1M) Providence

Trinity Christian (Deltona) 13 over Trinity Prep

Westminster Academy 1 over NSU University School

SSAA 8-MAN

Canterbury (St. Petersburg) 31 over Academy at the Lakes

Classical Academy 3 over Cornerstone Academy

Florida Deaf & Blind 4 over First Coast Christian

Gainesville Christian 9 over Four Corners Charter

Geneva Classical 13 over Foundation Christian

Lake Mary Prep 15 over Eastland Christian

Lakeside Christian 23 over City of Life Christian

Merritt Island Christian 2 over Hernando Christian

Oasis Christian 10 over St. John Lutheran

Ocala Christian 40 over Liberty Christian

Old Plank Christian 23 over SLAM Tampa

Real Life Christian 10 over Geneva School

Shorecrest Prep 21 over Sarasota Christian

INDEPENDENTS

Beachside 29 over (SSAA) Paxon

Braddock 23 over Varela

Clearwater Academy International 11 over (4S) Riverview (Sarasota)

Coral Reef 23 over Miami Sunset

Dr. Joaquin Garcia 1 over Aubrey Rogers

Ferguson 29 over (3M) Southwest Miami

Hollis Christian 10 over Joshua Christian

IMG Academy National 5 over (3S) Pine Forest

Keswick Christian 1 over (SSAA) First Academy-Leesburg

LaBelle 6 over (1M) St. Petersburg Catholic

Lake Highland Prep 43 over (2M) Lake Buena Vista

Miami Coral Park 4 over Hialeah Gardens

Miami Country Day 15 over Somerset Prep

Poinciana 9 over North Port

Pompano Beach 1 over South Plantation

Reagan 7 over Mourning

Saint Francis Catholic 2 over (SSAA) Cedar Creek Christian

West Oaks 13 over (SSAA) St. Joseph

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