FHSF Power Rankings Index: Week 10 statewide game forecast

Welcome to the FloridaHSFootball.com Power Rankings Index. The index ranks teams and forecasts games based on the strength of schedule, including the strength of opposition and margin of victory, with more recent games weighing more heavily as a factor. The forecasted margin of victory is determined by subtracting the power ranking of the lower-rated team from the power ranking of the higher-rated team.

While it should be noted that things look similar in style to what the legendary Joe Pinkos did in determining his forecasts (which we honor his legacy in formatting the forecast the way he did), the formula created here is not part of Joe’s formula which was a secret and unfortunately lost when Joe passed away almost two years ago.

Game forecasts are sorted by classification of favorites and listed alphabetically. The underdog’s classification is noted for inter-classification games.

Here is the forecast for Week 10:

CLASS 4M

Apopka 3 over Evans (Orlando)

Boca Raton 12 over Lake Worth

Boone (Orlando) 9 over Oak Ridge (Orlando)

Columbus (Miami) 4 over Goleman (Miami)

Doral Academy 1 over Miami High

Durant (Plant City) 4 over Riverview (Riverview)

Flanagan (Pembroke Pines) 4 over Somerset Academy (Pembroke Pines)

Forest Hill (West Palm Beach) 12 over John I. Leonard (Greenacres)

Freedom (Orlando) 7 over Cypress Creek (Orlando)

Hagerty (Oviedo) 7 over (4S) Spruce Creek (Port Orange)

Jupiter 5 over Palm Beach Gardens

Lake Brantley (Altamonte Springs) 6 over (4S) Centennial (Port St. Lucie)

Lake Mary 5 over Seminole (Sanford)

Lake Nona (Orlando) 1 over (4S) Winter Haven

Mandarin (Jacksonville) 14 over Sandalwood (Jacksonville)

Monarch (Coconut Creek) 14 over Coral Springs

Ocoee 1 over Dr. Phillips (Orlando)

Olympia (Orlando) 4 over West Orange (Winter Garden)

Palm Beach Central (Wellington) 18 over Wellington

Palm Beach Lakes (West Palm Beach) 4 over Royal Palm Beach

Palm Harbor University 2 over East Lake (Tarpon Springs)

Plant (Tampa) 9 over Alonso (Tampa)

Santaluces (Lantana) 8 over Park Vista (Lake Worth)

Sickles (Tampa) 1 over Steinbrenner (Lutz)

South Dade (Homestead) 7 over Coral Gables

Stoneman Douglas (Parkland) 5 over Olympic Heights (Boca Raton)

Strawberry Crest (Dover) 4 over Plant City

Sumner (Riverview) 16 over Newsome (Lithia)

University (Orlando) 4 over Colonial (Orlando)

West Broward (Pembroke Pines) 20 over Cooper City

Western (Davie) 19 over Coral Glades (Coral Springs)

Winter Park 12 over Timber Creek (Orlando)

CLASS 3M

American (Hialeah) 2 over Pembroke Pines Charter

Atlantic (Delray Beach) 13 over (2M) Glades Central (Belle Glade)

Coconut Creek 16 over Deerfield Beach

Dr. Krop (Miami) 4 over McArthur (Hollywood)

East Bay (Gibsonton) 18 over Bloomingdale (Valrico)

Englewood (Jacksonville) 11 over Terry Parker (Jacksonville)

Fletcher (Neptune Beach) 1 over First Coast (Jacksonville)

Fort Lauderdale 10 over Boyd Anderson (Lauderdale Lakes)

Gaither (Tampa) 17 over Leto (Tampa)

Hialeah 25 over (2M) Miami Carol City

Hillsborough (Tampa) 1 over Jesuit (Tampa)

Homestead 15 over Belen Jesuit (Miami)

Jones (Orlando) 11 over Horizon (Winter Garden)

Lake Howell (Winter Park) 8 over East River (Orlando)

Largo 3 over Osceola (Seminole)

Mater Academy (Hialeah Gardens) 1 over Miami Beach

Miramar 6 over Everglades (Miramar)

Oviedo 26 over Winter Springs

Pinellas Park (Largo) 5 over Northeast (St. Petersburg)

Plantation 11 over Piper (Sunrise)

Seminole Ridge (Westlake) 10 over Dwyer (Palm Beach Gardens)

South Broward (Hollywood) 13 over Hollywood Hills

South Plantation 5 over Nova (Davie)

Spoto (Riverview) 1 over Lennard (Ruskin)

St. Petersburg 28 over Hollins (St. Petersburg)

St. Thomas Aquinas (Fort Lauderdale) 15 over Dillard (Fort Lauderdale)

Tampa Bay Tech 2 over Armwood (Seffner)

West Boca Raton 3 over Blanche Ely (Pompano Beach)

Wharton (Tampa) 27 over Freedom (Tampa)

CLASS 2M

American Heritage (Plantation) 24 over Hallandale

Berkeley Prep (Tampa) 5 over Clearwater

Bishop Kenny (Jacksonville) 1 over Bolles (Jacksonville)

Bishop Moore (Orlando) 12 over Lake Buena Vista (Orlando)

Blake (Tampa) 2 over Robinson (Tampa)

Boca Ciega (Gulfport) 6 over Gibbs (St. Petersburg)

Booker T. Washington (Miami) 15 over Westland Hialeah

Boynton Beach 2 over American Heritage (Delray Beach)

Brandon 3 over Chamberlain (Tampa)

Calvary Christian (Clearwater) 27 over Dunedin

Calvary Christian (Fort Lauderdale) 28 over Northeast (Oakland Park)

Cardinal Gibbons (Fort Lauderdale) 6 over Stranahan (Fort Lauderdale)

Episcopal (Jacksonville) 7 over Wolfson (Jacksonville)

Gulliver Prep (Pinecrest) 14 over South Miami

King’s Academy (West Palm Beach) 16 over Inlet Grove (Riviera Beach)

Miami Central 8 over Monsignor Pace (Miami Gardens)

Miami Edison 1 over Miami Jackson

Miami Norland 19 over North Miami Beach

Miami Northwestern 3 over Immaculata-LaSalle (Miami)

Middleton (Tampa) 4 over King (Tampa)

North Broward Prep (Coconut Creek) 9 over Pine Crest (Fort Lauderdale)

Raines (Jacksonville) 5 over Andrew Jackson (Jacksonville)

Saint Andrew’s (Boca Raton) 6 over Somerset Canyons (Boynton Beach)

Somerset Silver Palms (Miami) 4 over Miami Killian

Tampa Catholic 20 over Jefferson (Tampa)

CLASS 1M

Avant Garde (Hollywood) 11 over (IND) Somerset Prep (North Lauderdale)

Benjamin (Palm Beach Gardens) 7 over (2M) Ed White (Jacksonville)

Carrollwood Day (Tampa) 10 over Cambridge Christian (Tampa)

Chaminade-Madonna (Hollywood) 37 over St. John Paul II (Boca Raton)

Clearwater Central Catholic 17 over Seffner Christian

Everglades Prep (Homestead) 10 over Palm Glades Prep (Miami)

First Academy (Orlando) 1 over Foundation Academy (Winter Garden)

Florida Christian (Miami) 16 over BridgePrep Academy (Miami)

Indian Rocks Christian (Largo) 6 over (IND) LaBelle

Palmer Trinity (Palmetto Bay) 15 over (IND) Marathon

Trinity Christian (Jacksonville) 1 over Providence (Jacksonville)

True North (Miami) 15 over (1S) John Carroll (Fort Pierce)

University Christian (Jacksonville) 3 over (IND) Clearwater Academy International

CLASS 4S

Bartram Trail (St. Johns) 8 over Oakleaf (Orange Park)

Buchholz (Gainesville) 18 over Fleming Island

Charlotte (Punta Gorda) 9 over Ida Baker (Cape Coral)

Creekside (St. Johns) 7 over (4M) Atlantic Coast (Jacksonville)

Crestview 3 over Leon (Tallahassee)

DeLand 2 over New Smyrna Beach

East Ridge (Clermont) 2 over South Lake (Groveland)

Gulf Coast (Naples) 1 over Immokalee

Heritage (Palm Bay) 18 over Harmony

Lake Gibson (Lakeland) 3 over George Jenkins (Lakeland)

Lakeland 22 over Kathleen (Lakeland)

Lehigh (Lehigh Acres) 2 over Riverdale (Fort Myers)

Manatee (Bradenton) 4 over Palmetto

Martin County (Stuart) 12 over Fort Pierce Central

Melbourne 1 over Viera

Mitchell (New Port Richey) 23 over Sunlake (Land O’ Lakes)

Navarre 4 over Gulf Breeze

Niceville 1 over Mosley (Lynn Haven)

Pace 18 over Milton

Palmetto Ridge (Naples) 1 over (2S) DeSoto County (Arcadia)

Ponte Vedra 8 over Nease (Ponte Vedra)

Riverview (Sarasota) 8 over Sarasota

Springstead (Spring Hill) 6 over Haines City

St. Cloud 18 over Celebration

Tocoi Creek (St. Augustine) 2 over Flagler Palm Coast

Tohopekaliga (Kissimmee) 1 over Osceola (Kissimmee)

University (Orange City) 3 over (3M) Lyman (Longwood)

Venice 1 over (IND) IMG Academy White (Bradenton)

Vero Beach 6 over Treasure Coast (Port St. Lucie)

West Port (Ocala) 1 over Forest (Ocala)

Wiregrass Ranch (Wesley Chapel) 2 over Land O’Lakes

CLASS 3S

Barron Collier (Naples) 1 over (2M) St. Brendan (Miami)

Braden River (Bradenton) 16 over Southeast (Bradenton)

Choctawhatchee (Fort Walton Beach) 7 over Fort Walton Beach

Columbia (Lake City) 17 over Ridgeview (Orange Park)

Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel) 7 over Zephyrhills

Davenport 14 over Gateway (Kissimmee)

Dunbar (Fort Myers) 5 over South Fort Myers

East Lee County (Lehigh Acres) 9 over (IND) Aubrey Rogers (Naples)

Eau Gallie (Melbourne) 1 over Rockledge

Escambia (Pensacola) 9 over (4S) Tate (Cantonment)

Fivay (Hudson) 3 over River Ridge (New Port Richey)

Fort Myers 11 over Cypress Lake (Fort Myers)

Fort Pierce Westwood 3 over Port St. Lucie

Golden Gate (Naples) 6 over Lely (Naples)

Jensen Beach 21 over Bayside (Palm Bay)

Lake Region (Eagle Lake) 12 over Liberty (Kissimmee)

Lake Wales 6 over Auburndale

Lecanto 14 over Citrus (Inverness)

Leesburg 4 over (IND) Specially Fit Academy (Dover)

Lincoln (Tallahassee) 3 over (4S) Chiles (Tallahassee)

Mainland (Daytona Beach) 18 over Seabreeze (Daytona Beach)

Mariner (Cape Coral) 13 over Cape Coral

Matanzas (Palm Coast) 6 over Menendez (St. Augustine)

Merritt Island 10 over Satellite (Satellite Beach)

Middleburg 5 over Orange Park

Naples 24 over Bonita Springs

North Fort Myers 3 over Island Coast (Cape Coral)

Pasco (Dade City) 8 over Wesley Chapel

Pine Forest (Pensacola) 17 over Booker T. Washington (Pensacola)

Pine Ridge (Deltona) 10 over Deltona

Port Charlotte 9 over Parrish Community

Rickards (Tallahassee) 17 over Arnold (Panama City Beach)

Sebring 8 over Okeechobee

South Fork (Stuart) 8 over (2M) Suncoast (Riviera Beach)

St. Augustine 11 over Clay (Green Cove Springs)

Tavares 8 over Belleview

CLASS 2S

Atlantic (Port Orange) 2 over Taylor (Pierson)

Baker County (Glen St. Mary) 7 over Fernandina Beach

Baldwin 9 over (2M) Ribault (Jacksonville)

Bay (Panama City) 5 over Rutherford (Panama City)

Bayshore (Bradenton) 1 over (4S) Lakewood Ranch (Bradenton)

Bishop Verot (Fort Myers) 8 over Estero

Bradford (Starke) 4 over Palatka

Central (Brooksville) 3 over Weeki Wachee

Clewiston 13 over Avon Park

Cocoa 8 over Palm Bay (Melbourne)

Crystal River 2 over Hernando (Brooksville)

Eastside (Gainesville) 21 over Santa Fe (Alachua)

Eustis 1 over Mount Dora

Florida High (Tallahassee) 8 over Marianna

Fort Meade 3 over Frostproof

Gadsden County (Havana) 5 over Godby (Tallahassee)

Hardee (Wauchula) 13 over Lake Placid

Hudson 32 over Anclote (Holiday)

Key West 5 over Gateway (Fort Myers)

Keystone Heights 19 over (IND) Joshua Christian (Jacksonville)

Lemon Bay (Englewood) 6 over Booker (Sarasota)

Mulberry 12 over (IND) Poinciana (Kissimmee)

Pensacola Catholic 2 over West Florida (Pensacola)

South Sumter (Bushnell) 3 over Dunnellon

South Walton (Santa Rosa Beach) 6 over North Bay Haven (Panama City)

The Villages 5 over Umatilla

Titusville 17 over Astronaut (Titusville)

Wakulla (Crawfordville) 7 over Suwannee (Live Oak)

Walton (DeFuniak Springs) 30 over Pensacola

Yulee 13 over West Nassau (Callahan)

CLASS 1S

Cardinal Mooney (Sarasota) 29 over (IND) SmartEn Sports Academy (Miami)

Community School (Naples) 5 over First Baptist (Naples)

Evangelical Christian (Fort Myers) 13 over Southwest Florida Christian (Fort Myers)

Father Lopez (Daytona Beach) 6 over (IND) Saint Francis Catholic (Gainesville)

Halifax Academy (Daytona Beach) 1 over Melbourne Central Catholic

Lakeland Christian 25 over (IND) Ambassadors Christian Academy (Winter Haven)

Maclay (Tallahassee) 6 over Rocky Bayou Christian (Niceville)

North Florida Christian (Tallahassee) 15 over Munroe Day (Quincy)

St. John Neumann (Naples) 7 over (IND) Windermere Prep

St. John Paul II (Tallahassee) 15 over FAMU DRS (Tallahassee)

Trinity Catholic (Ocala) 8 over P.K. Yonge DRS (Gainesville)

Zephyrhills Christian 2 over (1M) Northside Christian (St. Petersburg)

CLASS 1R

Aucilla Christian (Monticello) 1 over Flint River Academy (GA)

Baker 4 over Pike Liberal Arts (AL)

Blountstown 5 over Liberty County (Bristol)

Branford 13 over (IND) Bishop McLaughlin (Spring Hill)

Chipley 15 over (2S) Taylor County (Perry)

Cottondale 16 over Vernon

Fort White 8 over Hilliard

Freeport 6 over Graceville

Hawthorne 38 over (IND) A’kelynn’s Angels Christian (Winter Haven)

Holmes County (Bonifay) 2 over Bozeman (Panama City)

Lafayette (Mayo) 24 over Jefferson County (Monticello)

Madison County (Madison) 5 over Chiefland

Newberry 9 over (2S) Crescent City

Sneads 1 over Port St. Joe

Trenton 15 over Hamilton County (Jasper)

Union County (Lake Butler) 7 over Dixie County (Cross City)

Wewahitchka 1 over Jay

Williston 24 over (2S) North Marion (Citra)

SSAA 11-MAN

State Championship Bracket
South

NSU University School (Fort Lauderdale) 6 over Jupiter Christian

Westminster Academy (Fort Lauderdale) 1 over Bradenton Christian

North

Christ’s Church Academy (Jacksonville) 4 over Zarephath Academy (Jacksonville)

Oak Hall (Gainesville) 12 over The Master’s Academy (Oviedo)

5A Bracket
South

Boca Raton Christian 1 over Saint Stephen’s Episcopal (Bradenton)

Glades Day (Belle Glade) 3 over Oasis (Cape Coral)

North

Bishop Snyder (Jacksonville) 9 over Orangewood Christian (Maitland)

Impact Christian (Jacksonville) 4 over Mount Dora Christian

4A Bracket
South

All Saints (Winter Haven) 11 over Out-of-Door (Sarasota)

St. Edward’s (Vero Beach) 2 over Palm Beach Christian Prep (Greenacres)

North

Eagle’s View (Jacksonville) 3 over Cornerstone Charter (Belle Isle)

Seven Rivers Christian (Lecanto) 9 over Lighthouse PCA (Pensacola)

3A Bracket
South

Oxbridge Academy (West Palm Beach) 2 over Gateway Charter (Fort Myers)

North

Legacy Charter (Ocoee) 7 over St. Joseph (St. Augustine)

2A Bracket
South

Santa Fe Catholic (Lakeland) 5 over Canterbury (Fort Myers)

North

Harvest Community (Jacksonville) 1 over Duval Charter (Jacksonville)

1A Bracket
South

Faith Christian (Orlando) 6 over Bell Creek Academy (Riverview)

North

First Academy-Leesburg 10 over Trinity Christian (Deltona)

SSAA Cup Bracket
South

Trinity Prep (Winter Park) 1 over Berean Christian (West Palm Beach)

North

Warner Christian (South Daytona) 5 over Cedar Creek Christian (Jacksonville)

Atlantic League Championship Bracket

Paxon (Jacksonville) 2 over Tradition Prep (Port St. Lucie)

Sebastian River 4 over Coral Springs Charter

Atlantic League 2A Bracket

Cocoa Beach 5 over Stanton (Jacksonville)

Lake Weir (Ocala) 9 over Interlachen

Atlantic League 1A Bracket

Bell 5 over Bronson

SSAA 8-MAN

Classical Academy (Sarasota) 10 over Foundation Christian (Valrico)

Donahue Catholic (Ave Maria) 12 over Canterbury (St. Petersburg)

Eastland Christian (Orlando) 13 over St. John Lutheran (Ocala)

Four Corners Charter (Davenport) 12 over Calvary Chapel (West Melbourne)

Gainesville Christian 4 over Geneva Classical (Lakeland)

Geneva School (Casselberry) 4 over Liberty Christian (Tavares)

Lake Mary Prep 6 over Real Life Christian (Clermont)

Master’s Academy (Vero Beach) 12 over Florida Deaf & Blind (St. Augustine)

Oasis Christian (Winter Haven) 14 over City of Life Christian (Kissimmee)

Ocala Christian 5 over Lakeside Christian (Clearwater)

Riverside Christian (Trenton) 19 over Academy at the Lakes (Land O’ Lakes)

Sarasota Christian 8 over Old Plank Christian (Jacksonville)

INDEPENDENTS

Archbishop McCarthy (Southwest Ranches) 9 over (2M) Miami Springs

Beachside (St. Johns) 25 over (1M) North Florida Educational (Jacksonville)

Braddock (Miami) 18 over Miami Sunset

Coral Shores (Tavernier) 1 over (1M) Somerset South Homestead

Ferguson (Miami) 3 over Coral Reef (Miami)

Hialeah Gardens 14 over Hialeah-Miami Lakes

Mourning (North Miami) 12 over Miami Coral Park

Pompano Beach 4 over Somerset Academy Key (Deerfield Beach)

Ransom Everglades (Miami) 3 over (1M) Archbishop Carroll (Miami)

Reagan (Doral) 1 over Varela (Miami)

Tarpon Springs 7 over North Port