Joe Pinkos’ Week 5 Game Forecast

JOE PINKOS’ POWER RATINGS

Florida High School Football

FORECAST FOR WEEK 5

Joe Pinkos’ Power Ratings are calculated by a formula based on strength of opposition and margin of victory with greater weight given to recent games. The forecasted margin of victory for each game is determined by subtracting the power rating of the lower-rated team from the power rating of its higher-rated opponent.

Forecast Record
Last Week 206-43, 82.7%
Season 831-184, 81.9%

Forecast Focus

This week’s featured forecasts listed by game day and game site from north to south.

Thursday
St. Augustine Florida School for the Deaf Dragons (3-0) at Orange Park St. Johns Country Day Spartans (2-1)
Power Pick: Spartans by 7

Coral Gables Cavaliers (3-0) vs. Miami Coral Reef Barracudas (3-1) at FIU Stadium
Power Pick: Barracudas by 13

Friday
Venice Indians (3-1) at Plano, Texas Plano East Panthers (4-0)
Power Pick: Indians by 10

Bronson Eagles (4-0) at Cottondale Hornets (3-1)
Power Pick: Eagles by 2

Port St. Joe Sharks (3-1) at Chipley Tigers (2-1)
Power Pick: Tigers by 3

Bristol Liberty County Bulldogs (4-0) at Blountstown Tigers (4-0)
Power Pick: Tigers by 11

Tallahassee Lincoln Trojans (3-1) vs. Tallahassee Rickards Raiders (3-0) at Gene Cox Stadium, Tallahassee
Power Pick: Trojans by 1

Havana East Gadsden Jaguars (2-2) at Crawfordville Wakulla War Eagles (4-0)
Power Pick: War Eagles by 7

Quincy Munroe Day Bobcats (3-0) at Jacksonville Cedar Creek Christian Saints (3-1)
Power Pick: Bobcats by 11

Jacksonville Ed White Commanders (3-1) at Orange Park Raiders (2-1)
Power Pick: Commanders by 28

Jacksonville University Christian Christians (3-1) at Jacksonville Trinity Christian Conquerors (3-0)
Power Pick: Conquerors by 23

Hilliard Red Flashes (3-1) at Jacksonville Bishop Snyder Cardinals (4-0)
Power Pick: Red Flashes by 11

Ocala Vanguard Knights (3-1) at Jacksonville Bolles Bulldogs (3-1)
Power Pick: Bulldogs by 13

Jacksonville First Coast Buccaneers (2-1) at Jacksonville Atlantic Coast Stingrays (4-0)
Power Pick: Buccaneers by 4

Windermere Prep Lakers (3-1) at Leesburg First Academy Eagles (3-0)
Power Pick: Eagles by 14

Viera Hawks (4-0) at Titusville Astronaut War Eagles (2-2)
Power Pick: War Eagles by 7

Orlando Dr. Phillips Panthers (4-0) at Orlando University Cougars (3-1)
Power Pick: Panthers by 17

Oviedo Lions (4-0) at Merritt Island Mustangs (4-0)
Power Pick: Lions by 7

Port St. Lucie Treasure Coast Titans (2-1) at Melbourne Palm Bay Pirates (3-1)
Power Pick: Pirates by 14

Tarpon Springs Spongers (3-1) at Tarpon Springs East Lake Eagles (4-0)
Power Pick: Eagles by 28

Ocala Trinity Catholic Celtics (3-1) at Clearwater Central Catholic Marauders (3-1)
Power Pick: Celtics by 6

Seffner Armwood Hawks (4-0) at Tampa Jefferson Dragons (3-0)
Power Pick: Hawks by 10

Tampa Plant Panthers (3-0-1) at Tampa Bay Tech Titans (2-1)
Power Pick: Panthers by 15

Largo Packers (3-1) at St. Petersburg Lakewood Spartans (3-1)
Power Pick: Spartans by 3

Frostproof Bulldogs (4-0) at Wauchula Hardee Wildcats (2-1)
Power Pick: Wildcats by 6

Orlando The First Academy Royals (3-1) at Bradenton IMG Academy Ascenders (4-0)
Power Pick: Ascenders by 21

Tampa Catholic Crusaders (3-1) at Sarasota Cardinal Mooney Cougars (3-0)
Power Pick: Crusaders by 13

Daytona Bch. Mainland Buccaneers (4-0) at Plantation American Heritage Patriots (3-1)
Power Pick: Patriots by 19

Centerville, Ohio Elks (4-0) at Naples Golden Eagles (3-0)
Power Pick: Golden Eagles by 3

Naples First Baptist Lions (3-1) at Naples St. John Neumann Celtics (2-1)
Power Pick: Lions by 12

Miami Booker T. Washington Tornadoes (4-0) at Miami Monsignor Pace Spartans (3-0)
Power Pick: Tornadoes by 61

North Miami Pioneers (3-0) at Miami Beach Hi-Tides (3-0)
Power Pick: Pioneers by 14

Statewide Forecast

Game forecasts are sorted by classification/conference of favorite and listed alphabetically. The underdog’s classification/conference is noted for inter-classification/inter-conference games.

Class 8A
Alonso 26 over (5A) Spoto
Apopka 41 over Freedom-Orlando
Columbus 1 over (6A) Norland
Cooper City 7 over Lexington SC
Coral Reef 13 over Coral Gables
Cypress Bay 4 over Everglades
Cypress Creek 16 over (7A) Celebration
DeLand 11 over Spruce Creek
Deerfield Beach 51 over Coral Springs
Dr. Phillips 17 over University-Orlando
Ferguson 28 over Coral Park
First Coast 4 over (7A) Atlantic Coast
Flanagan 29 over McArthur
Fort Pierce Central 35 over (7A) Sebastian River
Hagerty 1 over University-Orange City
Lake Brantley 1 over Lyman
Lake Mary 18 over Sanford Seminole
Manatee 63 over (5A) Southeast
Mandarin 28 over (4A) Baldwin
Miramar 61 over Western
Monarch 8 over Douglas
Newsome 23 over (5A) Jesuit
North Miami 14 over Miami Beach
Oviedo 7 over (5A) Merritt Island
Palm Beach Gardens 1 over Boca Raton
Palm Harbor University 10 over (7A) Seminole
Plant 15 over (7A) Tampa Bay Tech
Riverview 4 over (5A) Middleton
Sandalwood 41 over (4A) Andrew Jackson
Santaluces 10 over Jupiter
Seminole Ridge 7 over Palm Beach Central
South Dade 31 over Varela
South Miami 16 over Braddock
South Plantation 20 over Piper
Southwest Miami 37 over Miami High
St. Petersburg 23 over (5A) Boca Ciega
Sunset 17 over Hialeah Gardens
Taravella 43 over Coral Glades
Timber Creek 8 over Olympia
Vero Beach 21 over (7A) George Jenkins
Wellington 30 over Spanish River
West Orange 60 over (4A) Jones
Wharton 12 over (7A) East Bay
Winter Park 18 over Boone

Class 7A
American 30 over Westland Hialeah
Atlantic-Delray Beach 9 over Palm Beach Lakes
Braden River 1 over (5A) Booker
Charlotte 16 over Lakewood Ranch
Crestview 3 over (6A) Fort Walton Beach
East Lake 28 over (5A) Tarpon Springs
Eau Gallie 7 over (5A) Satellite
Fleming Island 29 over (5A) Ridgeview
Fletcher 13 over (6A) Creekside
Fort Lauderdale 20 over (Ind.) West Broward
Fort Myers 3 over (6A) Barron Collier
Gaither 1 over Durant
Haines City 1 over (5A) Lake Wales
Kathleen 6 over (6A) Winter Haven
Kissimmee Osceola 30 over Harmony
Lake Howell 10 over Wekiva
Lake Nona 17 over Liberty
Lakeland 15 over (8A) North Miami Beach
Leon 10 over (4A) Florida High
Lincoln 1 over (5A) Rickards
Melbourne 18 over (8A) Centennial
Miami Springs 21 over Hialeah-Miami Lakes
Mourning 16 over Goleman
Niceville 28 over Greene County MS
North Port 15 over (5A) DeSoto
Oak Ridge 31 over East Ridge
Palmetto 28 over (5A) Bayshore
Pinellas Park 24 over (6A) Dixie Hollins
Plant City 5 over (8A) Bloomingdale
Port Charlotte 38 over (6A) Lehigh
Ridge Community 8 over (8A) Evans
Royal Palm Beach 5 over Lake Worth
St. Cloud 6 over Gateway
St. Thomas Aquinas 54 over Nova
Strawberry Crest 17 over Freedom-Tampa
Tate 6 over (6A) Pine Forest
West Boca Raton 16 over Forest Hill
William T. Dwyer 56 over Olympic Heights
Winter Springs 10 over East River

Class 6A
Armwood 10 over Jefferson
Bayside 42 over Westwood
Blake 7 over King
Boynton Beach 13 over Stranahan
Carol City 22 over (8A) Southridge
Chamberlain 7 over (7A) Brandon
Choctawhatchee 38 over (1A) Northview
Columbia 56 over Englewood
Dillard 45 over Pembroke Pines Charter
Ed White 28 over Orange Park
Hallandale 26 over Coconut Creek
Heritage 33 over Okeechobee
Hillsborough 36 over Lennard
Homestead 9 over (8A) Killian
Ida Baker 28 over Estero
Jesuit LA 7 over Pensacola
Lake Gibson 26 over (8A) Miami Palmetto
Lake Minneola 6 over (5A) Mount Dora
Lake Region 14 over (5A) Mulberry
Land O’ Lakes 36 over (5A) Gulf
Leesburg 20 over (8A) West Port
Mitchell 3 over (5A) River Ridge
Naples 3 over Centerville OH
Navarre 4 over Milton
New Smyrna Beach 7 over (8A) Flagler Palm Coast
Northwestern 24 over (7A) Ely
Palmetto Ridge 7 over (5A) Lely
Port St. Lucie 1 over Jensen Beach
Robinson 63 over Leto
Seabreeze 17 over Bartram Trail
Seminole Osceola 25 over (5A) Dunedin
South Lake 19 over (5A) Eustis
South Fort Myers 25 over (8A) Belen Jesuit
Springstead 7 over (3A) Berkeley Prep
St. Augustine 6 over (5A) Ponte Vedra
Suncoast 17 over Archbishop McCarthy
Sunlake 36 over (5A) Ridgewood
Terry Parker 7 over Robert E. Lee
Venice 10 over Plano East TX

Class 5A
American Heritage-Plantation 19 over (6A) Mainland
Anclote 1 over (6A) Fivay
Astronaut 7 over (7A) Viera
Baker County 33 over Forrest
Belleview 12 over (Ind.) Lecanto
Bishop Kenny 31 over Paxon
Cape Coral 20 over North Fort Myers
Cardinal Gibbons 33 over (7A) Northeast-Oakland Park
Clay 14 over (7A) Oakleaf
Dunbar 23 over Lemon Bay
Dunnellon 22 over Crystal River
Gibbs 19 over (7A) Clearwater
Gulf Breeze 3 over Bay
Hardee 6 over (3A) Frostproof
Immokalee 26 over (6A) Gulf Coast
Island Coast 52 over Mariner
Lakewood 3 over (6A) Largo
Menendez 14 over (4A) Fernandina Beach
Miami Jackson 49 over (4A) Edison
Mosley 6 over Arnold
North Marion 21 over Eastside
Palatka 24 over (4A) Bradford
Palm Bay 14 over (8A) Treasure Coast
Pasco 21 over Nature Coast
Pensacola Catholic 24 over Rutherford
Poinciana 4 over (4A) Lake Placid
Ribault 52 over Stanton Prep
Santa Fe 35 over (4A) Interlachen
South Sumter 56 over Central-Brooksville
Tavares 14 over (6A) Lake Weir
Titusville 11 over (6A) Matanzas
Wakulla 7 over (4A) East Gadsden
West Florida Tech 42 over Alma Bryant AL
Yulee 24 over Wolfson
Zephyrhills 22 over Weeki Wachee

Class 4A
Atlantic-Port Orange 42 over (6A) Pine Ridge
Bolles 13 over (6A) Vanguard
Booker T. Washington 61 over Monsignor Pace
Clewiston 23 over (2A) Dade Christian
Cocoa 24 over (5A) Hernando
Gulliver Prep 17 over (7A) Martin County
Keystone Heights 6 over (1A) Newberry
Madison County 12 over (6A) Pace
Marianna 3 over (7A) Chiles
Somerset Academy 23 over (Ind.) Archbishop Carroll
University School 44 over (7A) Boyd Anderson
Walton 56 over (1A) Holmes County

Class 3A
American Heritage-Delray 41 over (6A) East Lee County
Bishop Verot 1 over (4A) LaBelle
Calvary-Clearwater 12 over (2A) Bradenton Christian
Cardinal Newman 14 over (8A) John I. Leonard
Fort Meade 6 over (7A) Bartow
Holy Trinity Episcopal 2 over (4A) Cocoa Beach
King’s Academy 70 over (2A) Coral Springs Christian
Lakeland Christian 26 over (4A) Avon Park
Maclay 4 over (2A) FAMU DRS
Melbourne Central Catholic 42 over Father Lopez
P.K. Yonge 6 over (1A) Hawthorne
Providence 58 over (Ind.) Arlington Country Day
Tampa Catholic 13 over Cardinal Mooney
Trinity Catholic 6 over Clearwater Central Catholic
Trinity Christian-Jacksonville 23 over (2A) University Christian
Trinity Prep 17 over Episcopal
Westminster Christian 14 over (Ind.) Keys Gate Charter

Class 2A
Barrington Christian 1 over (Ind.) Doral Academy
Boca Raton Christian 15 over Highlands Christian
Cambridge 23 over (Ind.) All Saints’ Academy
Canterbury-St. Pete 20 over (GAFC) St. Stephen’s Episcopal
Carrollwood Day 8 over (3A) Admiral Farragut
Champagnat Catholic 56 over (Ind.) Inlet Grove
First Baptist 12 over St. John Neumann
Foundation Academy 6 over (3A) Orangewood Christian
Glades Day 24 over Agape Christian
Harvest Community 25 over (1A) Taylor-Pierson
Indian Rocks Christian 14 over (3A) Shorecrest Prep
Jupiter Christian 11 over (4A) North Broward Prep
Keswick Christian 4 over (SSAC) Faith Christian
Moore Haven 46 over Marco Island Academy
North Florida Christian 42 over (1A) Jefferson County
Southwest Florida Christian 16 over Imagine School
Trinity Christian-Deltona 1 over (6A) Deltona
Victory Christian 3 over (1A) Crescent City
Warner Christian 45 over (5A) Lake Highland Prep

Class 1A
Baker 42 over (NFFC) Rocky Bayou Christian
Bell 56 over (NFFC) Oak Hall (Game cancelled)
Blountstown 11 over Liberty County
Branford 4 over (NFFC) John Paul II Catholic
Bronson 2 over Cottondale
Chiefland 5 over (4A) West Nassau
Chipley 3 over Port St. Joe
Flomaton AL 10 over Jay
Graceville 32 over Freeport
Hilliard 11 over (Ind.) Bishop Snyder
Lafayette 32 over (Ind.) Potter’s House Christian
Union County 20 over Hamilton County
Vernon 3 over Bozeman
West Gadsden 12 over Sneads
Wewahitchka 28 over Franklin County
Williston 17 over Wildwood

Independent
IMG Academy 21 over (3A) The First Academy
Zion Lutheran 39 over (GAFC) Northwest Christian

Gulf Atlantic Football Conference (GAFC)
Berean Christian 15 over Gateway Charter
Canterbury-Fort Myers 28 over Oasis
Community School of Naples 27 over (2A) Evangelical Christian

North Florida Football Conference (NFFC)
Aucilla Christian 35 over St. Francis
Munroe Day 11 over (2A) Cedar Creek Christian
St. Johns Country Day 7 over Florida Deaf
St. Joseph 21 over (Ind.) Beacon of Hope

Southeastern Football Conference (SFC)
Archbishop Curley 12 over Miami Country Day
Benjamin 25 over Pompano Beach
Coral Springs Charter 35 over St. Andrew’s
Florida Christian 4 over Coral Shores
John Carroll 28 over Calvary-Fort Lauderdale
LaSalle 63 over Ransom Everglades
Pope John Paul II 30 over Pine Crest
Westminster Academy 30 over Marathon

Sunshine State Athletic Conference (SSAC)
City of Life 36 over Calvary-Ormond Beach
First Academy-Leesburg 14 over Windermere Prep
International Community 22 over Cornerstone Charter
Legacy Charter 4 over Ocala Christian
Master’s Academy-Oviedo 28 over Merritt Island Christian
Mount Dora Bible 28 over Seven Rivers Christian
Orlando Christian Prep 1 over (Ind.) Montverde Academy
Seffner Christian 45 over Santa Fe Catholic