Here is your Thanksgiving weekend predictions from Joe Pinkos.
JOE PINKOS’ POWER RATINGS
Florida High School Football
PLAYOFF FORECAST-Week 14
Joe Pinkos’ Power Ratings are calculated by a formula based on strength of opposition and margin of victory with greater weight given to recent games. The forecasted margin of victory for each game is determined by subtracting the power rating of the lower-rated team from the power rating of its higher-rated opponent.
CLASS 8A (Regional Finals)
Region 1
Apopka 6 over First Coast
Region 2
Manatee 1 over Dr. Phillips
Region 3
Flanagan 14 over Wellington
Region 4
Columbus 6 over Killian
CLASS 7A (Regional Finals)
Region 1
Niceville 18 over Oakleaf
Region 2
Kissimmee Osceola 21 over Tampa Bay Tech
Region 3
East Lake 3 over Fort Myers
Region 4
St. Thomas Aquinas 24 over Royal Palm Beach
CLASS 6A (Regional Finals)
Region 1
Choctawhatchee 4 over Ed White
Region 2
Armwood 27 over Gainesville
Region 3
Mainland 1 over South Fort Myers
Region 4
Miami Central 29 over Heritage
CLASS 5A (Regional Finals)
Region 1
Godby 12 over Bishop Kenny
Region 2
Lakewood 3 over Suwannee
Region 3
Bishop Moore 14 over Jesuit
Region 4
American Heritage-Plantation 28 over Island Coast
CLASS 4A (State Semifinals)
North
Bolles 20 over Madison County
South
Booker T. Washington 4 over Cocoa
CLASS 3A (State Semifinals)
North
Trinity Christian-Jacksonville 20 over Lakeland Christian
South
American Heritage-Delray 21 over Clearwater Central Catholic
CLASS 2A (State Semifinals)
North
Victory Christian 1 over North Florida Christian
South
Indian Rocks Christian 21 over Glades Day
CLASS 1A (State Semifinals)
North
Port St. Joe 2 over Vernon
South
Dixie County 17 over Hamilton County
Forecast Record
Last Week 38-10, 79.2%
Playoffs 116-26, 81.7%
Season 2,307-542, 81.0%











![Celebration is among the teams to kickoff the 2026 Flag Football season today. [Kyle Zedaker/Tampa Bay Buccaneers]](https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/FPRI-Forecast-for-2-16-2026-120x86.jpg)
![Robinson (Tampa) leads off the 2026 FPRI POWER 25 Flag Football Rankings as the top team in the state as they seek 10 straight [Robinson Flag Football/Instagram]](https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/FPRI-Power-25-Rankings-2026-Flag-Football-Preseason-120x86.jpg)
![QB Gabby Werr for Alonso will help the No. 1 ranked team in Class 4A FPRI rankings defend their state championship in 2026. [Tori Richman/Tampa Bay Buccaneers]](https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/FPRI-Power-16-Classification-Rankings-2026-Flag-Football-Preseason-120x86.jpg)
![Robinson (Tampa), Miami Edison, Wildwood, Seminole Ridge, and Alonso lead with the best probabilities for winning a flag football state championship in 2026. [Robinson Flag Football/Instagram; Miami Edison Flag Football/Instagram; Wildwood Flag Football/Instagram; Seminole Ridge High School/Instagram; Alonso Flag Football/Instagram]](https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Preseason-2026-State-Championship-Probabilites-According-to-the-Florida-Power-Rankings-Index-Preseason-Rankings-120x86.jpg)
![Robinson (Tampa) looks to make a run towards a 10th consecutive flag football state championship and 11th overall in program history this spring. [Robinson Flag Football/Instagram]](https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Tampa-Bay-Preseason-Flag-Football-Preview-Rankings-Robinson-120x86.jpg)
![Miami Edison, which captured their first flag football state championship in 2025 will be among the top teams in South Florida to start off the 2026 season. [Miami Edison Flag Football/Instagram]](https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/South-Florida-Flag-Preseason-Top-25-Analysis-2026-120x86.jpg)
