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Home FHSAA

Week 10 FHSAA RPI Class 5A Football Playoff Rankings

byJoshua Wilson
October 28, 2021
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FHSAA Logo [Courtesy of The Florida High School Athletic Association]

FHSAA Logo [Courtesy of The Florida High School Athletic Association]

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Nine weeks are in the books for the 2021 Florida high school football season and the FHSAA has released their latest look at the RPI football playoff rankings as we head into Week 10 of the season.

As such this update provides the entire state a glimpse of what the potential playoff matchups could be looking like come the second week of November, but remember things change, as we still have three weeks worth of games (including this week) to go, however, the playoff picture is starting to become much more clearer with few games left.

In Classes 5A-8A, district record was taken into consideration except on certain exceptions which are noted.

For Class 5A, you will find a breakdown of RPI rankings for each team in every region and a projected seeding (including tiebreakers) based upon the guidelines as published by the FHSAA (click here to view), as well as quick thoughts about each region.

REGION 1

Rank Team Record RPI
1 West Florida 7-1 0.632
2 Baker County 6-2 0.605
3 Raines 6-2 0.596
4 Ed White 5-2 0.578
5 Wakulla 6-2 0.577
6 Bishop Kenny 5-2 0.566
7 Terry Parker 6-3 0.550
8 Clay 6-2 0.542
9 North Marion 5-3 0.540
10 Yulee 3-5 0.466
11 Suwannee 3-5 0.466
12 Godby 2-7 0.440
13 Menendez 3-5 0.428
14 Paxon 1-7 0.395
15 Ribault 1-8 0.387
16 Arnold 1-6 0.382
17 Eastside 1-7 0.364
18 Pensacola 1-7 0.339
19 Palatka 1-6 0.326

PROJECTED DISTRICT CHAMPS
This is based on current district standings and taking the highest-rated team among the district standings if they have won district games. Should a district not have any district games played as of yet, the highest-rated team will be mythically slotted in as a district champion for projection purposes only. Teams highlighted in red have officially clinched their district championship. 

5A-1: Wakulla – No. 3
5A-2: Baker County – No. 1
5A-3: Raines – No. 2
5A-4: Clay – No. 4

PROJECTED REGIONAL QUARTERFINAL PAIRINGS

No. 8 Terry Parker vs. No. 1 Baker County
No. 5 West Florida vs. No. 4 Clay
No. 6 Ed White vs. No. 3 Wakulla
No. 7 Bishop Kenny vs. No. 2 Raines

QUICK THOUGHTS: With three of the four districts clinched in this region this week, Clay and North Marion’s playoff hopes almost 100% rely on clinching their district championship to get into the bracket. Baker County is on track to get the No. 1 seed while the top-ranked team in the region, West Florida is guaranteed no higher than a No. 5 seed with Wakulla winning the district championship.

REGION 2

Rank Team Record RPI
1 Rockledge 7-1 0.690
2 Merritt Island 7-1 0.654
3 Dunnellon 6-2 0.629
4 Satellite 7-1 0.615
5 Tavares 7-1 0.551
6 Seabreeze 5-4 0.544
7 Leesburg 5-3 0.515
8 Bayside 4-4 0.492
9 Palm Bay 3-5 0.492
10 Deltona 5-3 0.490
11 Bishop Moore 3-5 0.488
12 Eustis 6-3 0.453
13 Crystal River 3-6 0.440
14 Citrus 2-6 0.418
15 Pine Ridge 2-6 0.354
16 Mount Dora 2-6 0.348
17 Titusville 0-8 0.336
18 Lake Weir 1-6 0.334
19 Atlantic (Port Orange) 1-6 0.329
20 Horizon 1-7 0.233
21 Lake Buena Vista 0-8 0.214

PROJECTED DISTRICT CHAMPS
This is based on current district standings and taking the highest-rated team among the district standings if they have won district games. Should a district not have any district games played as of yet, the highest-rated team will be mythically slotted in as a district champion for projection purposes only. Teams highlighted in red have officially clinched their district championship. 

5A-5: Dunnellon – No. 2
5A-6: Tavares – No. 3
5A-7: Seabreeze – No. 4
5A-8: Merritt Island – No. 1

PROJECTED REGIONAL QUARTERFINAL PAIRINGS

No. 8 Bayside vs. No. 1 Merritt Island
No. 5 Rockledge vs. No. 4 Seabreeze
No. 6 Satellite vs. No. 3 Tavares
No. 7 Leesburg vs. No. 2 Dunnellon

QUICK THOUGHTS: With half of the districts clinched in Region 2, nothing really changes what is expected to play out except that District 5A-8 has some interesting scenarios on its hands with likely three teams to represent that district in the playoffs. Merritt Island is now projected as the No. 1 seed at this moment, but things aren’t over yet, especially if Satellite pulls the win over the Mustangs, setting up for a three-way tie scenario. Another thing to note is Seabreeze and Tavares changed the No. 3 and No. 4 seeds thus setting up for some interesting matchups if this holds. As for the No. 8 seed, Bayside would be in at this time over Palm Bay due to winning percentage as those two teams have not played head-to-head as of yet, but will this week, which makes this scenario short-lived at most.

REGION 3

Rank Team Record RPI
1 Zephyrhills 7-1 0.642
2 Clearwater 7-1 0.633
3 Nature Coast 5-3 0.576
4 Sebring 5-3 0.560
5 Wesley Chapel 5-2 0.559
6 Gibbs 5-3 0.555
7 Port Charlotte 4-3 0.541
8 Hudson 5-3 0.519
9 Hardee 3-5 0.492
10 Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel) 3-5 0.444
11 Chamberlain 2-6 0.432
12 Tarpon Springs 3-5 0.423
13 Middleton 3-5 0.407
14 Gulf 2-5 0.370
15 Booker 0-7 0.350
16 Robinson 2-7 0.345
17 Dunedin 2-6 0.345
18 Weeki Wachee 0-8 0.330
19 Anclote 1-7 0.277

PROJECTED DISTRICT CHAMPS
This is based on current district standings and taking the highest-rated team among the district standings if they have won district games. Should a district not have any district games played as of yet, the highest-rated team will be mythically slotted in as a district champion for projection purposes only. Teams highlighted in red have officially clinched their district championship. 

5A-9: Zephyrhills – No. 1
5A-10: Clearwater – No. 2
5A-11: Chamberlain – No. 4
5A-12: Sebring- No. 3

PROJECTED REGIONAL QUARTERFINAL PAIRINGS

No. 8 Port Charlotte vs. No. 1 Zephyrhills
No. 5 Nature Coast vs. No. 4 Chamberlain
No. 6 Wesley Chapel vs. No. 3 Sebring
No. 7 Gibbs vs. No. 2 Clearwater

QUICK THOUGHTS: With their win last week which also clinched a district championship, Zephyrhills moves up to the No. 1 seed over Clearwater who falls to the No. 2 seed. Right now as it stands that the district champion from District 5A-11 is likely going to have a losing record going into the playoffs, which is not an ideal scenario given the goal of the FHSAA was to never have three-team districts, but could not be avoided when Mulberry rejected the district placement and decide to remain independent this season. For Wesley Chapel with their big win over Hudson, last week sees them move from the No. 8 seed to the No. 6 seed this week while Port Charlotte moves into the No. 8 spot, potentially leaving Hudson’s playoff chances hanging in the balance.

REGION 4

Rank Team Record RPI
1 Miami Killian 9-0 0.711
2 American Heritage (Plantation) 4-3 0.651
3 Miami Central 6-2 0.616
4 Stranahan 5-3 0.547
5 Key West 5-3 0.501
6 Boynton Beach 5-3 0.500
7 Cypress Lake 4-4 0.486
8 Estero 6-3 0.483
9 North Miami Beach 3-4 0.482
10 Jensen Beach 3-4 0.438
11 Miami Jackson 2-6 0.436
12 St. Brendan 1-7 0.388
13 Bonita Springs 3-5 0.367
14 Miami Springs 1-6 0.334
15 Island Coast 1-6 0.329
16 Mariner 2-6 0.325
17 LaBelle 1-6 0.313
18 Hialeah-Miami Lakes 0-9 0.268

PROJECTED DISTRICT CHAMPS
This is based on current district standings and taking the highest-rated team among the district standings if they have won district games. Should a district not have any district games played as of yet, the highest-rated team will be mythically slotted in as a district champion for projection purposes only. Teams highlighted in red have officially clinched their district championship. 

5A-13: Estero – No. 4
5A-14: American Heritage (Plantation) – No. 3
5A-15: Miami Central – No. 2
5A-16: Miami Killian – No. 1

PROJECTED REGIONAL QUARTERFINAL PAIRINGS

No. 8 Cypress Lake vs. No. 1 Miami Killian
No. 5 Stranahan vs. No. 4 Estero
No. 6 Key West vs. No. 3 Miami Central
No. 7 Boynton Beach vs. No. 2 American Heritage

QUICK THOUGHTS: With three of the four districts decided in Region 4, the playoff picture is starting to shape up some. However, as it stands right now, Miami Central might miss out on getting a Top 2 seed in the region which could force the Rockets on the road after the first round depending on how things shake out. The biggest loser this week? North Miami Beach which falls outside now of the projected seeds for the region.

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