FLORIDA POWER RANKINGS INDEX: 2025 season Class 4A district projections with projected win-loss records

As the 2025 high school football season nears, the Florida Power Rankings Index (FPRI) provides a data-driven outlook on how teams are projected to perform across the state. Built exclusively on results from the 2024 season and the upcoming 2025 schedules, the FPRI uses a proprietary formula that factors in Opponent Strength Index (OSI), average margin of victory, and an overall performance rating to produce accurate, unbiased projections. While actual results may vary under the lights, these projections offer a clear snapshot of expectations heading into the fall. Below is a breakdown of projected records and projected order of finish for all 16 districts in Class 4A.

Note: Teams are listed in projected order based on Florida Power Rankings Index (FPRI) and do not represent an official seeding or ranking.

DISTRICT 4A-1

1. Escambia

Projected Record: 8-2 Projected Wins: West Florida, Bay, Booker T. Washington (Pensacola), Navarre, Pensacola, Crestview, Pine Forest, Tate Projected Losses: Niceville, Mosley

2. Pine Forest

Projected Record: 4-5 Projected Wins: Pensacola, Crestview, Booker T. Washington (Pensacola), West Florida Projected Losses: Daphne (AL), Niceville, Choctawhatchee, Pace, Escambia

3. Booker T. Washington (Pensacola)

Projected Record: 3-7 Projected Wins: West Florida, Milton, Gulf Breeze Projected Losses: Port St. Joe, Fort Walton Beach, Escambia, Pensacola, Pine Forest, Tate, Destin

DISTRICT 4A-2

1. Choctawhatchee

Projected Record: 8-2 Projected Wins: Navarre, Crestview, Pine Forest, Arnold, South Walton, Rickards, Fort Walton Beach, Enterprise (AL) Projected Losses: Gulf Shores (AL), Niceville

2. Arnold

Projected Record: 5-5 Projected Wins: Bay, South Walton, Fort Walton Beach, Rickards, Rutherford Projected Losses: Providence Christian (AL), Blountstown, Choctawhatchee, Walton, Mosley

3. Rickards

Projected Record: 2-8 Projected Wins: Eastside, Fort Walton Beach Projected Losses: Godby, Mosley, Chiles, Colquitt County (GA), Bishop Kenny, Choctawhatchee, Arnold, Lincoln

4. Fort Walton Beach

Projected Record: 2-8 Projected Wins: West Florida, Booker T. Washington (Pensacola) Projected Losses: Tate, South Walton, Walton, Rickards, Wakulla, Arnold, Choctawhatchee, Crestview

DISTRICT 4A-3

1. St. Augustine

Projected Record: 10-0 Projected Wins: Palatka, Menendez, Bolles, Riverside, Nease, Columbia, Clay, Bartram Trail, Ridgeview, Mandarin Projected Losses: None

2. Columbia

Projected Record: 4-6 Projected Wins: Suwannee, Hillsborough, Ridgeview, Clay Projected Losses: Coffee (GA), Madison County, Trinity Christian (Jacksonville), St. Augustine, Manatee, Bolles

3. Clay

Projected Record: 2-8 Projected Wins: Ridgeview, Orange Park Projected Losses: Fleming Island, Yulee, Middleburg, Tocoi Creek, First Coast, St. Augustine, Fernandina Beach, Columbia

4. Ridgeview

Projected Record: 1-9 Projected Wins: KIPP Bold City Projected Losses: Orange Park, West Nassau, Englewood, Middleburg, Clay, Columbia, Impact Christian, St. Augustine, Episcopal

DISTRICT 4A-4

1. Riverside

Projected Record: 4-6 Projected Wins: Orange Park, Ribault, Englewood, Ed White Projected Losses: Oakleaf, Fleming Island, St. Augustine, Raines, Trinity Christian (Jacksonville), Bolles

2. Ed White

Projected Record: 6-4 Projected Wins: Westside, Englewood, Terry Parker, Atlantic Coast, Sandalwood, Baldwin Projected Losses: Trinity Christian (Jacksonville), Merritt Island, Oakleaf, Riverside

3. Englewood

Projected Record: 2-8 Projected Wins: Ridgeview, Wolfson Projected Losses: Baldwin, Beachside, Ed White, Stanton, Paxon, Riverside, Andrew Jackson, Terry Parker

DISTRICT 4A-5

1. Vanguard

Projected Record: 8-2 Projected Wins: Lake Minneola, Newberry, Leesburg, Dunnellon, Lecanto, North Marion, Gainesville, Forest Projected Losses: Buchholz, Palm Beach Central

2. Lecanto

Projected Record: 8-2 Projected Wins: West Port, The Villages, Nature Coast, Gainesville, Crystal River, Citrus, Lyman, Leesburg Projected Losses: Vanguard, Madison County

3. Gainesville

Projected Record: 6-4 Projected Wins: Aubrey Rogers, Davenport, Crystal River, Forest Hill, Leesburg, Eastside Projected Losses: Lecanto, Buchholz, Williston, Vanguard

4. Leesburg

Projected Record: 5-5 Projected Wins: University (Orlando), Wildwood, Innovation, Eustis, Lyman Projected Losses: Vanguard, Land O' Lakes, Gainesville, Lecanto, South Lake

DISTRICT 4A-6

1. New Smyrna Beach

Projected Record: 9-1 Projected Wins: DeLand, Ransom Everglades, Crescent City, Seabreeze, Tavares, Pine Ridge, Deltona, Rockledge, Orlando Christian Prep Projected Losses: University (Orange City)

2. Rockledge

Projected Record: 4-6 Projected Wins: Viera, Seabreeze, Deltona, Pine Ridge Projected Losses: Eau Gallie, Cardinal Mooney, Mandarin, Vero Beach, New Smyrna Beach, Cocoa

3. Deltona

Projected Record: 3-7 Projected Wins: Matanzas, Pine Ridge, Seabreeze Projected Losses: Crescent City, Viera, DeLand, Rockledge, New Smyrna Beach, Tavares, University (Orange City)

4. Seabreeze

Projected Record: 2-8 Projected Wins: Atlantic (Port Orange), Pine Ridge Projected Losses: Spruce Creek, Halifax Academy, Rockledge, Matanzas, New Smyrna Beach, Deltona, Viera, Mainland

5. Pine Ridge

Projected Record: 1-9 Projected Wins: Atlantic (Port Orange) Projected Losses: Winter Springs, St. Cloud, Lake Howell, Mount Dora Christian, Lake Weir, Deltona, New Smyrna Beach, Rockledge, Seabreeze

DISTRICT 4A-7

1. Jones

Projected Record: 10-0 Projected Wins: Winter Park, Timber Creek, Evans, Edgewater, Osceola (Kissimmee), Auburndale, Lake Wales, Wekiva, Lake Region, Ocoee Projected Losses: None

2. Lake Wales

Projected Record: 6-4 Projected Wins: Ridge Community, Auburndale, Sebring, Lake Region, Clearwater, Bartow Projected Losses: Specially Fit Academy, Seminole (Sanford), Jones, Osceola (Kissimmee)

3. Auburndale

Projected Record: 7-3 Projected Wins: Kathleen, Bartow, Ridge Community, Poinciana, Lake Region, Wildwood, Winter Haven Projected Losses: Lakeland, Lake Wales, Jones

4. Lake Region

Projected Record: 1-9 Projected Wins: Winter Haven Projected Losses: George Jenkins, Celebration, Gateway (Kissimmee), Tenoroc, Lake Wales, Poinciana, Auburndale, Jones, Mulberry

DISTRICT 4A-8

1. Zephyrhills

Projected Record: 8-2 Projected Wins: Springstead, Wesley Chapel, Land O' Lakes, Gulf, Pasco, Freedom (Tampa), South Sumter, Fivay Projected Losses: Wiregrass Ranch, Port Charlotte

2. Fivay

Projected Record: 6-4 Projected Wins: Crystal River, Freedom (Tampa), Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel), West Port, Pasco, Hudson Projected Losses: North Marion, River Ridge, Gulf, Zephyrhills

3. Freedom (Tampa)

Projected Record: 3-7 Projected Wins: King, Pasco, Brandon Projected Losses: Wharton, Chamberlain, Fivay, Jefferson, Spoto, Zephyrhills, Fort Meade

4. Pasco

Projected Record: 0-10 Projected Wins: None Projected Losses: Lennard, Nature Coast, Springstead, Wesley Chapel, Zephyrhills, Hernando, Fivay, Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel), Freedom (Tampa), Wildwood

DISTRICT 4A-9

1. Jesuit

Projected Record: 6-4 Projected Wins: Benjamin, Blake, Middleton, Brandon, Hillsborough, Tampa Catholic Projected Losses: Bishop Verot, Valdosta (GA), Cardinal Newman, University (Orange City)

2. Blake

Projected Record: 6-4 Projected Wins: Bloomingdale, Middleton, King, Brandon, Hillsborough, Strawberry Crest Projected Losses: Plant City, Lennard, Jesuit, East Bay

3. Hillsborough

Projected Record: 3-7 Projected Wins: Riverview (Riverview), Middleton, Brandon Projected Losses: East Bay, Columbia, Armwood, Sumner, Blake, Jesuit, Gaither

4. Middleton

Projected Record: 2-8 Projected Wins: Leto, Brandon Projected Losses: Strawberry Crest, Riverview (Riverview), Hillsborough, Alonso, Blake, Jefferson, Jesuit, Newsome

5. Brandon

Projected Record: 1-9 Projected Wins: King Projected Losses: Chamberlain, Strawberry Crest, Jefferson, Bloomingdale, Hillsborough, Blake, Jesuit, Middleton, Freedom (Tampa)

DISTRICT 4A-10

1. Clearwater

Projected Record: 7-3 Projected Wins: Bartow, Lakewood Ranch, Largo, Gulf, River Ridge, East Lake, Countryside Projected Losses: Wiregrass Ranch, Clearwater Central Catholic, Lake Wales

2. Gulf

Projected Record: 6-4 Projected Wins: Hudson, Anclote, Sunlake, Countryside, Fivay, River Ridge Projected Losses: Mitchell, Zephyrhills, Clearwater, Tarpon Springs

3. River Ridge

Projected Record: 5-5 Projected Wins: Steinbrenner, Fivay, Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel), Hudson, Countryside Projected Losses: Land O' Lakes, Mitchell, Clearwater, Gulf, Wiregrass Ranch

4. Countryside

Projected Record: 0-10 Projected Wins: None Projected Losses: Dunedin, Gibbs, Hollins, Seminole (Seminole), Palm Harbor University, River Ridge, Gulf, Osceola (Seminole), Clearwater, East Lake

DISTRICT 4A-11

1. St. Petersburg

Projected Record: 10-0 Projected Wins: Gibbs, Boca Ciega, East Lake, Palm Harbor University, Lakewood, Southeast, Largo, Northeast (St. Petersburg), Calvary Christian (Clearwater), Osceola (Seminole) Projected Losses: None

2. Northeast (St. Petersburg)

Projected Record: 3-7 Projected Wins: Gibbs, Osceola (Seminole), Southeast Projected Losses: Lakewood, Mitchell, Tarpon Springs, Boca Ciega, St. Petersburg, Pinellas Park, Largo

3. Osceola (Seminole)

Projected Record: 4-6 Projected Wins: Indian Rocks Christian, Dunedin, Southeast, Countryside Projected Losses: Tarpon Springs, Largo, Northeast (St. Petersburg), Seminole (Seminole), St. Petersburg, Pinellas Park

4. Southeast

Projected Record: 5-5 Projected Wins: Robinson, Cypress Creek (Orlando), DeSoto County, Braden River, Aubrey Rogers Projected Losses: Manatee, Lakewood Ranch, St. Petersburg, Osceola (Seminole), Northeast (St. Petersburg)

DISTRICT 4A-12

1. Naples

Projected Record: 9-1 Projected Wins: Riverview (Sarasota), Barron Collier, Immokalee, Golden Gate, Dunbar, Fort Myers, South Fort Myers, Lely, Port Charlotte Projected Losses: Booker

2. Port Charlotte

Projected Record: 6-2 Projected Wins: Island Coast, North Fort Myers, South Fort Myers, Dunbar, Charlotte, Zephyrhills Projected Losses: Venice, Naples

3. Dunbar

Projected Record: 7-3 Projected Wins: Cypress Lake, Island Coast, Treasure Coast, East Lee County, Lehigh, North Fort Myers, South Fort Myers Projected Losses: Naples, Port Charlotte, Fort Myers

4. South Fort Myers

Projected Record: 3-7 Projected Wins: Gateway (Fort Myers), Barron Collier, Clewiston Projected Losses: Riverdale, Fort Myers, Port Charlotte, Cypress Lake, Naples, Dunbar, Lely

DISTRICT 4A-13

1. John Carroll

Projected Record: 10-0 Projected Wins: Fort Pierce Westwood, Okeechobee, Centennial, Port St. Lucie, Forest Hill, Holy Trinity, Jensen Beach, Sebastian River, Benjamin, St. John Paul II (Boca Raton) Projected Losses: None

2. Jensen Beach

Projected Record: 8-2 Projected Wins: South Fork, Treasure Coast, Fort Pierce Westwood, Sebastian River, Port St. Lucie, Fort Pierce Central, Okeechobee, Martin County Projected Losses: Benjamin, John Carroll

3. Sebastian River

Projected Record: 6-4 Projected Wins: Harmony, South Fork, Okeechobee, Astronaut, Legacy (Port St. Lucie), Port St. Lucie Projected Losses: University (Orange City), Fort Pierce Central, Jensen Beach, John Carroll

4. Port St. Lucie

Projected Record: 1-9 Projected Wins: Okeechobee Projected Losses: Royal Palm Beach, South Fork, Holy Trinity, John Carroll, Jensen Beach, Fort Pierce Westwood, Jupiter Christian, Sebastian River, Centennial

5. Okeechobee

Projected Record: 1-9 Projected Wins: DeSoto County Projected Losses: John Carroll, South Fork, St. Edward's, Sebastian River, Centennial, Port St. Lucie, Bayside, Jensen Beach, Legacy (Port St. Lucie)

DISTRICT 4A-14

1. Dillard

Projected Record: 9-1 Projected Wins: Stranahan, Northeast (Oakland Park), Boyd Anderson, Miramar, Suncoast, Blanche Ely, Dr. Joaquin Garcia, Boynton Beach, Deerfield Beach Projected Losses: Dr. Phillips

2. Dr. Joaquin Garcia

Projected Record: 8-2 Projected Wins: Lake Worth, Suncoast, John I. Leonard, Martin County, Boynton Beach, Wellington, Northeast (Oakland Park), Royal Palm Beach Projected Losses: Atlantic (Delray Beach), Dillard

3. Boynton Beach

Projected Record: 5-5 Projected Wins: Suncoast, Park Vista, Northeast (Oakland Park), John I. Leonard, Lake Worth Projected Losses: Boca Raton, Martin County, Santaluces, Dr. Joaquin Garcia, Dillard

4. Suncoast

Projected Record: 3-7 Projected Wins: Olympic Heights, John I. Leonard, Northeast (Oakland Park) Projected Losses: Dr. Joaquin Garcia, Royal Palm Beach, Boynton Beach, Dillard, Jupiter, Forest Hill, Palm Beach Lakes

5. Northeast (Oakland Park)

Projected Record: 1-9 Projected Wins: Taravella Projected Losses: Pembroke Pines Charter, Dillard, Hallandale, South Plantation, Coral Springs Charter, Boynton Beach, Suncoast, Dr. Joaquin Garcia, Pompano Beach

DISTRICT 4A-15

1. American Heritage (Plantation)

Projected Record: 9-0 Projected Wins: St. Joseph's Prep (PA), Chaminade-Madonna, Edna Karr (LA), Miami Central, Plantation, Flanagan, Miami Norland, Archbishop McCarthy, St. Thomas Aquinas Projected Losses: None

2. Miami Norland

Projected Record: 5-4 Projected Wins: Miami Carol City, South Dade, Atlantic (Delray Beach), Archbishop McCarthy, Plantation Projected Losses: Lake Mary, Miami Northwestern, Cocoa, American Heritage (Plantation)

3. Plantation

Projected Record: 3-7 Projected Wins: South Broward, Archbishop McCarthy, South Plantation Projected Losses: Western, Miramar, West Broward, Piper, American Heritage (Plantation), Blanche Ely, Miami Norland

4. Archbishop McCarthy

Projected Record: 4-6 Projected Wins: Cardinal Gibbons, Community School, St. Brendan, Somerset Canyons Projected Losses: True North, Miami Norland, Plantation, American Heritage (Plantation), Calvary Christian (Fort Lauderdale), King's Academy

DISTRICT 4A-16

1. Hialeah

Projected Record: 7-2 Projected Wins: Belen Jesuit, Doral Academy, Miami, South Miami, Hialeah-Miami Lakes, American, Miami Springs Projected Losses: Miami Carol City, Miami Southridge

2. Belen Jesuit

Projected Record: 3-7 Projected Wins: American, Southwest Miami, South Miami Projected Losses: Calvary Christian (Fort Lauderdale), Hialeah, Immaculata-La Salle, Key West, BridgePrep Village Green, Gulliver Prep, Miami Killian

3. American

Projected Record: 1-8 Projected Wins: South Miami Projected Losses: Miami Edison, Goleman, Miami Jackson, North Miami Beach, Belen Jesuit, Dr. Krop, Hialeah, North Miami

4. South Miami

Projected Record: 0-9 Projected Wins: None Projected Losses: Coral Reef, Miami, Southwest Miami, Miami Springs, Westland Hialeah, Hialeah, Miami Carol City, Belen Jesuit, American