FLORIDA POWER RANKINGS INDEX: 2025 season Class 5A district projections with projected win-loss records

As the 2025 high school football season nears, the Florida Power Rankings Index (FPRI) provides a data-driven outlook on how teams are projected to perform across the state. Built exclusively on results from the 2024 season and the upcoming 2025 schedules, the FPRI uses a proprietary formula that factors in Opponent Strength Index (OSI), average margin of victory, and an overall performance rating to produce accurate, unbiased projections. While actual results may vary under the lights, these projections offer a clear snapshot of expectations heading into the fall. Below is a breakdown of projected records and projected order of finish for all 16 districts in Class 5A.

Note: Teams are listed in projected order based on Florida Power Rankings Index (FPRI) and do not represent an official seeding or ranking.

DISTRICT 5A-1

1. Niceville

Projected Record: 9-1 Projected Wins: Escambia, Pine Forest, Crestview, Choctawhatchee, Gulf Breeze, Godby, Mosley, Milton, Navarre Projected Losses: Lincoln

2. Mosley

Projected Record: 8-2 Projected Wins: Rutherford, Bay, Rickards, Navarre, Escambia, Milton, Arnold, Gulf Breeze Projected Losses: Niceville, Florida High

3. Milton

Projected Record: 1-9 Projected Wins: Gulf Breeze Projected Losses: Crestview, Pensacola, Booker T. Washington (Pensacola), Tate, Navarre, Mosley, West Florida, Niceville, Pace

4. Gulf Breeze

Projected Record: 0-10 Projected Wins: None Projected Losses: South Walton, Tate, Pace, Booker T. Washington (Pensacola), Niceville, West Florida, Milton, Navarre, Mosley, Pensacola

DISTRICT 5A-2

1. Lincoln

Projected Record: 8-2 Projected Wins: Niceville, Nease, Ware County (GA), Leon, Chiles, Trinity Christian (Jacksonville), Godby, Rickards Projected Losses: Madison County, Gadsden County

2. Chiles

Projected Record: 4-6 Projected Wins: Wakulla, Rickards, Leon, Suwannee Projected Losses: Dothan (AL), Pelham (GA), Godby, Impact Christian, Florida High, Lincoln

3. Leon

Projected Record: 0-10 Projected Wins: None Projected Losses: Wakulla, Bozeman, Jefferson County, Port St. Joe, Lincoln, Cairo (GA), Marianna, Bradford, Chiles, Taylor County

DISTRICT 5A-3

1. Fleming Island

Projected Record: 9-1 Projected Wins: Clay, Riverside, Orange Park, Ponte Vedra, Creekside, Beachside, Terry Parker, Middleburg, Flagler Palm Coast Projected Losses: Oakleaf

2. Ponte Vedra

Projected Record: 8-2 Projected Wins: Bartram Trail, Baker County, Beachside, Menendez, Middleburg, Orange Park, IMG Academy Junior National, Creekside Projected Losses: Nease, Fleming Island

3. Beachside

Projected Record: 6-4 Projected Wins: Orlando Christian Prep, Englewood, Menendez, Tocoi Creek, Middleburg, Orange Park Projected Losses: Ponte Vedra, Bishop Kenny, Fleming Island, Nease

4. Middleburg

Projected Record: 5-5 Projected Wins: Westside, North Florida Educational, Clay, Ridgeview, Orange Park Projected Losses: Zarephath Academy, Ponte Vedra, Beachside, Fleming Island, North Marion

5. Orange Park

Projected Record: 2-8 Projected Wins: Ridgeview, Westside Projected Losses: Oakleaf, Riverside, Fleming Island, Bartram Trail, Middleburg, Ponte Vedra, Beachside, Clay

DISTRICT 5A-4

1. Mainland

Projected Record: 3-6 Projected Wins: Matanzas, Belleview, Seabreeze Projected Losses: Cocoa, Flagler Palm Coast, Spruce Creek, Coffee (GA), DeLand, Heritage (Palm Bay)

2. Matanzas

Projected Record: 3-7 Projected Wins: Seabreeze, Belleview, Palm Bay Projected Losses: Flagler Palm Coast, University (Orange City), Deltona, Andrew Jackson, Mainland, Mount Dora, Menendez

3. Belleview

Projected Record: 0-10 Projected Wins: None Projected Losses: Eastside, Fort White, Chiefland, Dixie County, South Sumter, The Villages, Williston, Matanzas, Mainland, West Port

DISTRICT 5A-5

1. Edgewater

Projected Record: 8-2 Projected Wins: Wekiva, NFL Academy (UK), Freedom (Orlando), Apopka, Lyman, Winter Park, Winter Springs, Boone Projected Losses: Jones, Dr. Phillips

2. Lyman

Projected Record: 4-6 Projected Wins: Lake Brantley, Tohopekaliga, Lake Howell, Winter Springs Projected Losses: Seminole (Sanford), Oviedo, Edgewater, Lecanto, Leesburg, Hagerty

3. Winter Springs

Projected Record: 7-3 Projected Wins: Pine Ridge, Celebration, Liberty, Gateway (Kissimmee), Horizon, Melbourne, Lake Howell Projected Losses: Dakota Ridge (CO), Edgewater, Lyman

DISTRICT 5A-6

1. Lakeland

Projected Record: 10-0 Projected Wins: Auburndale, De La Salle (CA), Lake Mary, Booker T. Washington (Miami), Lake Gibson, Sumner, Sebring, Specially Fit Academy, Kathleen, The First Academy (Orlando) Projected Losses: None

2. Sebring

Projected Record: 4-6 Projected Wins: Clewiston, Kathleen, Lake Gibson, Lake Brantley Projected Losses: Martin County, Clearwater Central Catholic, Lake Wales, Booker, Lakeland, Glades Central

3. Lake Gibson

Projected Record: 2-8 Projected Wins: Lake Minneola, Kathleen Projected Losses: Durant, Haines City, Dunnellon, Lakeland, Bartow, Mater Academy, Sebring, DeLand

4. Kathleen

Projected Record: 0-10 Projected Wins: None Projected Losses: Ridge Community, Mulberry, Cairo (GA), Auburndale, Sebring, Davenport, Lake Gibson, George Jenkins, Lakeland, Barron Collier

DISTRICT 5A-7

1. Gaither

Projected Record: 7-3 Projected Wins: Durant, Steinbrenner, Wesley Chapel, Springstead, Wharton, Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel), Hillsborough Projected Losses: Armwood, Plant, Tampa Bay Tech

2. Springstead

Projected Record: 6-2 Projected Wins: South Sumter, Pasco, Hernando, Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel), Nature Coast, Wesley Chapel Projected Losses: Zephyrhills, Wiregrass Ranch

3. Wesley Chapel

Projected Record: 4-6 Projected Wins: Pasco, Forest, Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel), Sunlake Projected Losses: Hernando, Zephyrhills, Wiregrass Ranch, Gaither, Springstead, Land O' Lakes

4. Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel)

Projected Record: 1-9 Projected Wins: Pasco Projected Losses: Braden River, Land O' Lakes, Hudson, River Ridge, Fivay, Springstead, Wesley Chapel, Gaither, Sunlake

DISTRICT 5A-8

1. Tampa Bay Tech

Projected Record: 8-2 Projected Wins: Wharton, Plant, Gaither, Spoto, East Bay, Durant, Leto, Robinson Projected Losses: Venice, Armwood

2. Spoto

Projected Record: 7-3 Projected Wins: Davenport, King, Chamberlain, Freedom (Tampa), Leto, East Bay, Sickles Projected Losses: Lennard, Plant City, Tampa Bay Tech

3. East Bay

Projected Record: 7-3 Projected Wins: Strawberry Crest, Hillsborough, Bloomingdale, Blake, Leto, Wharton, Riverview (Riverview) Projected Losses: Newsome, Tampa Bay Tech, Spoto

4. Leto

Projected Record: 1-9 Projected Wins: King Projected Losses: Middleton, Jefferson, Northside Christian, Lennard, East Bay, Chamberlain, Spoto, Sickles, Tampa Bay Tech

DISTRICT 5A-9

1. Manatee

Projected Record: 9-1 Projected Wins: Southeast, Lowndes (GA), Buchholz, IMG Academy Junior National, Pinellas Park, Columbia, Palmetto, Braden River, Riverview (Sarasota) Projected Losses: St. John Bosco (CA)

2. Pinellas Park

Projected Record: 6-4 Projected Wins: East Lake, Bayshore, Gibbs, Braden River, Northeast (St. Petersburg), Osceola (Seminole) Projected Losses: Largo, Lakewood, Manatee, Tarpon Springs

3. Braden River

Projected Record: 3-7 Projected Wins: Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel), Sarasota, Bayshore Projected Losses: Lakewood Ranch, Parrish Community, North Port, Pinellas Park, Southeast, Manatee, George Jenkins

DISTRICT 5A-10

1. Charlotte

Projected Record: 8-2 Projected Wins: Gulf Coast, North Port, North Miami Beach, Cape Coral, Island Coast, Mariner, McLaughlin, North Fort Myers Projected Losses: Fort Myers, Port Charlotte

2. Cape Coral

Projected Record: 8-2 Projected Wins: North Fort Myers, Lemon Bay, Bonita Springs, Island Coast, Estero, Ida Baker, Mariner, Gateway (Fort Myers) Projected Losses: Charlotte, Riverdale

3. Mariner

Projected Record: 2-8 Projected Wins: Bonita Springs, Ida Baker Projected Losses: Fort Myers, North Fort Myers, Riverdale, Island Coast, Charlotte, Estero, Cape Coral, Cypress Lake

4. Ida Baker

Projected Record: 0-10 Projected Wins: None Projected Losses: Bonita Springs, Palmetto Ridge, IMG Academy State, DeSoto County, First Baptist (Naples), Avon Park, Cape Coral, Oasis, Mariner, Island Coast

DISTRICT 5A-11

1. Fort Myers

Projected Record: 9-1 Projected Wins: Mariner, Lehigh, Cypress Lake, South Fort Myers, Charlotte, North Fort Myers, Riverdale, East Lee County, Dunbar Projected Losses: Naples

2. Riverdale

Projected Record: 9-1 Projected Wins: Estero, South Fort Myers, Gateway (Fort Myers), Mariner, Cypress Lake, East Lee County, Cape Coral, North Fort Myers, Lehigh Projected Losses: Fort Myers

3. North Fort Myers

Projected Record: 4-6 Projected Wins: Mariner, Lehigh, Lemon Bay, East Lee County Projected Losses: Cape Coral, Port Charlotte, Fort Myers, Dunbar, Riverdale, Charlotte

4. East Lee County

Projected Record: 4-6 Projected Wins: Lehigh, Gateway (Fort Myers), Estero, Lemon Bay Projected Losses: Cypress Lake, Dunbar, Riverdale, North Fort Myers, Fort Myers, Palmetto

DISTRICT 5A-12

1. Immokalee

Projected Record: 9-1 Projected Wins: Barron Collier, Clewiston, Lemon Bay, Gateway (Fort Myers), Golden Gate, Lely, Palmetto Ridge, Aubrey Rogers, Gulf Coast Projected Losses: Naples

2. Gulf Coast

Projected Record: 4-6 Projected Wins: Golden Gate, Aubrey Rogers, Palmetto Ridge, Barron Collier Projected Losses: Charlotte, Bartow, Lely, Bishop Verot, Immokalee, Spruce Creek

3. Palmetto Ridge

Projected Record: 4-6 Projected Wins: Ida Baker, Bonita Springs, Golden Gate, DeSoto County Projected Losses: LaBelle, Southwest Florida Christian, Aubrey Rogers, Gulf Coast, Immokalee, First Baptist (Naples)

4. Golden Gate

Projected Record: 1-9 Projected Wins: Clewiston Projected Losses: Lely, Island Coast, Gulf Coast, Naples, Immokalee, North Port, Barron Collier, Palmetto Ridge, Oasis

DISTRICT 5A-13

1. Heritage (Palm Bay)

Projected Record: 6-4 Projected Wins: Titusville, South Fork, Fort Pierce Westwood, Mainland, Martin County, Melbourne Central Catholic Projected Losses: Seminole (Sanford), Eau Gallie, Cocoa, Woodford County (KY)

2. Martin County

Projected Record: 6-4 Projected Wins: Sebring, Boynton Beach, Dwyer, Fort Pierce Westwood, Palm Bay, South Fork Projected Losses: Dr. Joaquin Garcia, Jupiter, Heritage (Palm Bay), Jensen Beach

3. Fort Pierce Westwood

Projected Record: 5-5 Projected Wins: Zephyrhills Christian, Centennial, Port St. Lucie, South Fork, Fort Pierce Central Projected Losses: John Carroll, King's Academy, Jensen Beach, Martin County, Heritage (Palm Bay)

4. South Fork

Projected Record: 3-7 Projected Wins: Port St. Lucie, Okeechobee, Legacy (Port St. Lucie) Projected Losses: Jensen Beach, Sebastian River, Heritage (Palm Bay), Martin County, St. Edward's, Fort Pierce Westwood, Jupiter

DISTRICT 5A-14

1. Atlantic (Delray Beach)

Projected Record: 7-3 Projected Wins: Palm Beach Gardens, Jonesboro (GA), Dr. Joaquin Garcia, Blanche Ely, Treasure Coast, Coconut Creek, Deerfield Beach Projected Losses: Miami Norland, Eau Gallie, West Boca Raton

2. Blanche Ely

Projected Record: 6-4 Projected Wins: Boyd Anderson, Stranahan, Deerfield Beach, Plantation, Coconut Creek, Monarch Projected Losses: Atlantic (Delray Beach), Piper, Dillard, Chaminade-Madonna

3. Coconut Creek

Projected Record: 4-6 Projected Wins: Deerfield Beach, Boyd Anderson, South Broward, Stoneman Douglas Projected Losses: Miramar, Piper, Western, Cardinal Gibbons, Atlantic (Delray Beach), Blanche Ely

4. Deerfield Beach

Projected Record: 1-9 Projected Wins: Stoneman Douglas Projected Losses: South Broward, Monarch, Coconut Creek, Blanche Ely, McArthur, Cardinal Gibbons, Atlantic (Delray Beach), Western, Dillard

DISTRICT 5A-15

1. St. Thomas Aquinas

Projected Record: 7-3 Projected Wins: Boyd Anderson, Columbus, Western, McArthur, Hollywood Hills, NFL Academy (UK), Monarch Projected Losses: Mater Dei (CA), American Heritage (Plantation), Chaminade-Madonna

2. Hollywood Hills

Projected Record: 5-5 Projected Wins: Taravella, Cooper City, McArthur, Pompano Beach, Boyd Anderson Projected Losses: Mourning, Fort Pierce Central, St. Thomas Aquinas, Hallandale, Nova

3. Boyd Anderson

Projected Record: 3-7 Projected Wins: Fort Lauderdale, Stoneman Douglas, McArthur Projected Losses: Blanche Ely, St. Thomas Aquinas, Dillard, Coconut Creek, Piper, Stranahan, Hollywood Hills

4. McArthur

Projected Record: 1-9 Projected Wins: Deerfield Beach Projected Losses: Chaminade-Madonna, Miramar, Cypress Bay, St. Thomas Aquinas, Hollywood Hills, Boyd Anderson, Fort Lauderdale, South Plantation, Everglades

DISTRICT 5A-16

1. Miramar

Projected Record: 8-2 Projected Wins: Coconut Creek, Plantation, McArthur, Mater Academy, Pembroke Pines Charter, North Miami, Everglades, Cardinal Gibbons Projected Losses: Dillard, West Broward

2. Mater Academy

Projected Record: 5-5 Projected Wins: Hialeah Gardens, Everglades, North Miami, Pembroke Pines Charter, Lake Gibson Projected Losses: Somerset Academy (Pembroke Pines), Doral Academy, Miramar, Immaculata-La Salle, Miami Jackson

3. North Miami

Projected Record: 5-4 Projected Wins: North Miami Beach, Dr. Krop, Pembroke Pines Charter, Everglades, American Projected Losses: Miami Jackson, Calvary Christian (Fort Lauderdale), Mater Academy, Miramar

4. Everglades

Projected Record: 4-6 Projected Wins: Fort Lauderdale, Taravella, Pembroke Pines Charter, McArthur Projected Losses: Richmond Hill (GA), Flanagan, Mater Academy, West Broward, North Miami, Miramar

5. Pembroke Pines Charter

Projected Record: 3-7 Projected Wins: Northeast (Oakland Park), Coral Springs Charter, Cooper City Projected Losses: North Broward Prep, North Miami, Miramar, Nova, Mater Academy, Everglades, Hallandale