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Home Rankings The Florida Power Rankings Index

FLORIDA POWER RANKINGS INDEX: Game forecast for Week 4 of the 2025 season

byJoshua Wilson
September 11, 2025
0
Cardinal Mooney is a projected favorite in their game this week against Berkeley Prep. [X/@Mooney_FB]

Cardinal Mooney is a projected favorite in their game this week against Berkeley Prep. [X/@Mooney_FB]

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Each week, our game forecasts give you a glimpse at how matchups could play out across Florida high school football. These projections are powered by the Florida Power Rankings Index (FPRI), which blends team ratings, past performance, and schedule strength into a single score.

The forecasted spread is calculated by comparing each team’s rating and applying adjustments for factors unique to high school football, producing realistic, data-backed score projections. While we won’t reveal every detail that goes into our formula, the goal is simple — to provide the most accurate and balanced forecasts possible based on the numbers.

If you want to see forecasted score predictions and win probabilities for every game, those are exclusively available to Premium Season Ticket Members (Yearly or Monthly). Click here to view this week’s predicted scores for each game and win probabilities.

Game forecasts are sorted weekly by classification, with inter-classification teams noted in parentheses when applicable.

HOW THE FPRI HAS DONE THIS SEASON

Week 0, Week 1 & Week 2 were updated after results that were not initially reported are now included

WEEK 3: 206-64 (.763)

WEEK 2: 197-78 (.716)

WEEK 1: 197-84-2 (.700)

WEEK 0: 21-10 (.677)

2025 SEASON RECORD: 621-236-2 (.724)


CLASS 7A

Alonso 4 over Strawberry Crest

Apopka 11 over West Port

Atlantic Coast 28 over Sandalwood

Boca Raton 1 over Lake Worth

Coral Gables 12 over Miami

DeLand 19 over (OOS) Appling County (GA)

Dr. Phillips 10 over Ocoee

East Ridge 71 over Freedom (Orlando)

Fort Pierce Central 23 over (IND) Tradition Prep

Harmony 26 over (SSAA ATLANTIC) Bayside

Jupiter 6 over Spanish River

Lake Brantley 32 over Flagler Palm Coast

Lake Mary 1 over (3A) Raines

Lake Nona 30 over Winter Park

Miami Palmetto 3 over Columbus

Palm Beach Central 6 over Santaluces

Palm Beach Lakes 7 over Park Vista

Plant City 32 over (6A) Riverview (Riverview)

Riverview (Sarasota) 18 over (1A) Melbourne Central Catholic

Sarasota 23 over (3A) Gibbs

Seminole (Sanford) 36 over (6A) Monarch

South Dade 8 over (2A) Miami Killian

Sumner 8 over Newsome

Taravella 8 over (5A) Everglades

Timber Creek 39 over Olympia

Venice 12 over (4A) Port Charlotte

Vero Beach 58 over Centennial

West Orange 3 over Boone


CLASS 6A

Armwood 33 over Durant

Bartow 13 over (7A) Haines City

Bartram Trail 12 over (7A) Creekside

Buchholz 31 over (5A) Manatee

Cooper City 20 over (7A) Stoneman Douglas

Evans 58 over (IND) Poinciana

Fort Lauderdale 9 over Flanagan

Homestead 16 over Southwest Miami

Horizon 30 over Forest

Lennard 23 over Gateway (Fort Myers)

Melbourne 48 over (IND) Palm Beach Christian Prep

Miami Beach 8 over Dr. Krop

Miami Southridge 17 over (4A) Hialeah

Mitchell 27 over East Lake

Nease 40 over Fletcher

Osceola (Kissimmee) 8 over (7A) St. Cloud

Oviedo 16 over (5A) Lyman

Palm Harbor University 5 over (4A) St. Petersburg

Parrish Community 12 over Palmetto

Piper 1 over (4A) Plantation

Royal Palm Beach 21 over Dwyer

South Broward 4 over Doral Academy

South Lake 34 over Davenport

South Plantation 6 over Nova

Tocoi Creek 34 over (4A) Clay

Viera 24 over (3A) Titusville

West Boca Raton 59 over Seminole Ridge

Wharton 24 over (3A) Robinson


CLASS 5A

Atlantic (Delray Beach) 8 over Blanche Ely

Braden River 1 over (3A) Bayshore

Cape Coral 38 over (3A) Island Coast

Charlotte 17 over (2A) North Miami Beach

Chiles 6 over (4A) Rickards

Coconut Creek 60 over Deerfield Beach

East Bay 14 over (6A) Bloomingdale

Fleming Island 9 over Orange Park

Fort Myers 9 over (4A) South Fort Myers

Gaither 18 over (6A) Steinbrenner

Gulf Coast 25 over Golden Gate

Heritage (Palm Bay) 3 over (2A) Cocoa

Hollywood Hills 5 over (6A) Cooper City

Ida Baker 23 over (IND) IMG Academy State

Immokalee 1 over (3A) Lemon Bay

Mainland 3 over (7A) Spruce Creek

Martin County 13 over Fort Pierce Westwood

Matanzas 10 over (2A) Andrew Jackson

McArthur 11 over (7A) Cypress Bay

Milton 6 over (6A) Tate

Miramar 1 over Mater Academy

Mosley 41 over (6A) Navarre

Niceville 35 over (6A) Crestview

North Fort Myers 1 over (7A) Lehigh

North Miami 4 over Pembroke Pines Charter

Ponte Vedra 5 over Beachside

Riverdale 12 over Mariner

South Fork 11 over (IND) Legacy (Port St. Lucie)

Spoto 29 over (3A) King

St. Thomas Aquinas 57 over (7A) Western

Tampa Bay Tech 8 over (6A) Plant

Wesley Chapel 21 over (4A) Pasco


CLASS 4A

Archbishop McCarthy 1 over (1A) True North

Auburndale 52 over (5A) Kathleen

Booker T. Washington (Pensacola) 21 over Fort Walton Beach

Boynton Beach 35 over Suncoast

Choctawhatchee 18 over Pine Forest

Countryside 25 over (IND) Seminole (Seminole)

Dillard 54 over (5A) Boyd Anderson

Dr. Joaquin Garcia 65 over (7A) John I. Leonard

Dunbar 28 over (7A) Treasure Coast

Ed White 41 over Englewood

Edna Karr (LA) 9 over American Heritage (Plantation)

Freedom (Tampa) 1 over Fivay

Gainesville 18 over Lecanto

Gulf 17 over (3A) Anclote

Jensen Beach 28 over Sebastian River

Jesuit 6 over Blake

John Carroll 39 over Port St. Lucie

Jones 6 over (5A) Edgewater

Lake Region 1 over (IND) Gateway (Kissimmee)

Lake Wales 32 over (5A) Sebring

Middleton 6 over Hillsborough

New Smyrna Beach 33 over (7A) University (Orange City)

Osceola (Seminole) 14 over (6A) Largo

Pine Ridge 6 over (SSAA ATLANTIC) Atlantic (Port Orange)

River Ridge 37 over (5A) Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel)

Seabreeze 11 over Rockledge

Southeast 1 over (6A) Lakewood Ranch

St. Augustine 59 over Riverside

Vanguard 25 over Leesburg

Zephyrhills 25 over (6A) Land O’ Lakes


CLASS 3A

Aubrey Rogers 23 over (5A) Palmetto Ridge

Baker County 8 over (6A) First Coast

Bay 11 over (4A) Escambia

Bishop Moore 37 over Mount Dora

Bonita Springs 14 over (IND) North Port

Booker 1 over (4A) Naples

Chamberlain 36 over (6A) Sickles

Crystal River 4 over Hernando

Cypress Lake 30 over (5A) East Lee County

Dunedin 20 over (IND) Hollins

Dunnellon 6 over (5A) Lake Gibson

Eastside 16 over (1A) Trinity Catholic

Estero 54 over Barron Collier

Eustis 8 over (6A) Wekiva

Godby 14 over Suwannee

Jefferson 37 over (4A) Brandon

Key West 24 over (4A) Belen Jesuit

Menendez 16 over Terry Parker

Miami Central 68 over Pompano Beach

Miami Jackson 3 over (4A) American

Miami Northwestern 20 over (4A) Miami Norland

Nature Coast 32 over Hudson

Palm Bay 1 over Merritt Island

South Sumter 5 over (6A) Wiregrass Ranch

St. Brendan 13 over (IND) Hialeah Gardens

St. Brendan 14 over (6A) Dr. Krop

Stranahan 5 over (7A) Coral Glades

Tavares 15 over (7A) George Jenkins

Weeki Wachee 16 over Central (Brooksville)

West Florida 1 over (2A) Walton

Westside 6 over Ribault

Yulee 23 over (IND) McLaughlin


CLASS 2A

Avon Park 11 over (SSAA ATLANTIC) Hardee

Bolles 13 over (3A) Bishop Kenny

Bradford 9 over (6A) Mandarin

Calvary Christian (Fort Lauderdale) 17 over (1A) Somerset Prep

Cardinal Gibbons 12 over (6A) West Broward

Cardinal Mooney 36 over Berkeley Prep

Coffee (GA) 5 over Gadsden County

Freeport 3 over (RURAL) Cottondale

Glades Central 11 over (RURAL) Moore Haven

Gulliver Prep 12 over (1A) Benjamin

Hallandale 22 over (4A) Northeast (Oakland Park)

Immaculata-La Salle 9 over Booker T. Washington (Miami)

Inlet Grove 21 over Somerset Canyons

Lakewood 35 over (5A) Pinellas Park

Marianna 4 over Bozeman

Miami Carol City 15 over Westland Hialeah

Miami Springs 27 over (4A) South Miami

Monsignor Pace 4 over (3A) Somerset Academy (Pembroke Pines)

Montgomery Catholic (AL) 1 over Pensacola Catholic

Newberry 22 over Keystone Heights

Palatka 15 over Santa Fe

Ransom Everglades 14 over (1A) Palmer Trinity

Somerset Silver Palms 35 over (1A) Somerset Academy Key

South Walton 3 over (4A) Arnold

Tarpon Springs 1 over (4A) Northeast (St. Petersburg)

Tenoroc 1 over Lake Placid

The Villages 55 over (3A) Citrus

Wolfson 17 over (1A) KIPP Bold City


CLASS 1A

Archbishop Carroll 40 over (SSAA 11-MAN) Oxbridge Academy

Cardinal Newman 21 over (RURAL) Pahokee

Chaminade-Madonna 55 over Miami Edison

Clearwater Central Catholic 27 over (4A) Clearwater

Community School 5 over (2A) Calvary Christian (Clearwater)

Crescent City 8 over (3A) North Marion

Episcopal 24 over Providence

Evangelical Christian 13 over (SSAA 11-MAN) Gateway Charter

Father Lopez 10 over (IND) Joshua Christian

First Baptist (Naples) 4 over (IND) ABF Academy

Lakeland Christian 7 over (SSAA ATLANTIC) Frostproof

Maclay 13 over (OOS) Valwood School (GA)

Orlando Christian Prep 15 over (RURAL) Wildwood

Saint Andrew’s 2 over (SSAA 11-MAN) NSU University School

Saint Andrew’s 27 over St. John Paul II (Boca Raton)

Southwest Florida Christian 43 over (SSAA 11-MAN) Babcock

St. John Neumann 1 over (2A) Oasis

St. Petersburg Catholic 21 over Indian Rocks Christian

Trinity Christian (Jacksonville) 18 over North Florida Educational

University Christian 34 over (2A) Tampa Catholic

Victory Christian 67 over (SSAA 11-MAN) Halifax Academy

Westminster Christian 3 over (IND) Pine Crest

Zephyrhills Christian 24 over (RURAL) Marathon


RURAL

Baker 2 over Jay

Blountstown 12 over Port St. Joe

Branford 18 over (SSAA 11-MAN) Oak Hall

Chiefland 1 over Lafayette

Chipley 56 over Vernon

Dixie County 5 over (5A) Belleview

Fort Meade 8 over (3A) Mulberry

Fort White 14 over (SSAA ATLANTIC) Fernandina Beach

Graceville 1 over (2A) North Bay Haven

Hawthorne 8 over (6A) Oakleaf

Holmes County 6 over (2A) Rutherford

Madison County 21 over (4A) Columbia

Northview 3 over Central (Milton)

Sneads 56 over (1A) FAMU DRS

Taylor (Pierson) 15 over (SSAA ATLANTIC) Bronson

Taylor County 1 over (1A) North Florida Christian

Trenton 58 over Jefferson County

Union County 24 over (2A) Baldwin

Williston 36 over (6A) Lake Minneola


SSAA 11-MAN

Aucilla Christian 50 over Rocky Bayou Christian

Bishop McLaughlin 8 over (2A) Discovery

Bishop Snyder 50 over (IND) Cornerstone Classical Academy (Jacksonville)

Central Florida Christian 9 over Saint Stephen’s Episcopal

Christ’s Church Academy 59 over Duval Charter

Eagle’s View 32 over (RURAL) Hilliard

Faith Christian 4 over Windermere Prep

Foundation Academy 1 over Jupiter Christian

Holy Trinity 5 over (SSAA ATLANTIC) Bayside

Keswick Christian 34 over Seven Rivers Christian

Lake Highland Prep 4 over Orangewood Christian

Mount Dora Christian 56 over Cedar Creek Christian

Sarasota Christian 10 over Cambridge Christian

Seffner Christian 17 over (1A) Northside Christian

St. Edward’s 6 over (4A) Okeechobee

St. Joseph 13 over Old Plank Christian

The Master’s Academy (Oviedo) 26 over (6A) Lake Howell

Trinity Prep 11 over Harvest Community

Westminster Academy 10 over Glades Day

SSAA ATLANTIC

American Heritage (Delray Beach) 21 over (2A) North Broward Prep

Franklin County 14 over (RURAL) Liberty County

Interlachen 6 over Umatilla

LaBelle 57 over (3A) DeSoto County

Lake Weir 26 over Bell

Paxon 2 over Stanton

Satellite 36 over (IND) Cocoa Beach

Space Coast 24 over (2A) Astronaut

West Nassau 14 over (RURAL) Hamilton County


SSAA 8-MAN

Calvary Chapel 13 over Eastland Christian

Donahue Catholic 36 over Classical Academy (Sarasota)

Florida Deaf & Blind 10 over Countryside Christian

Foundation Christian 34 over Bell Creek Academy

Hernando Christian 6 over Geneva Classical

Lake Mary Prep 1 over First Academy-Leesburg

Lakeside Christian 4 over SLAM Tampa

Oasis Christian 9 over All Saints

Ocala Christian 52 over Liberty Christian Prep

Saint Francis Catholic 4 over Cornerstone Academy (Gainesville)


INDEPENDENTS

BridgePrep Village Green 13 over (SSAA 11-MAN) Florida Christian

Colonial 14 over East River

Coral Reef 25 over Braddock

Coral Shores 24 over SmartEn Sports Academy

Destin 20 over (3A) Pensacola

IMG Academy National 50 over (OOS) Coronado (NV)

Innovation 54 over Cypress Creek (Orlando)

Lake Buena Vista 4 over Oak Ridge

Liberty 3 over (5A) Winter Springs

Miami Coral Park 8 over Hialeah-Miami Lakes

Miami Country Day 9 over (SSAA 11-MAN) Canterbury (Fort Myers)

Olympic Heights 23 over (7A) Forest Hill

Specially Fit Academy 19 over (7A) Ridge Community

The First Academy (Orlando) 9 over (3A) Eau Gallie

Varela 7 over Miami Sunset

Windermere 54 over University (Orlando)

Zarephath Academy 15 over (5A) Middleburg

Related Posts

The First Academy (Orlando) has a big game this week against Eau Gallie were they are projected as the team to win [X/@Royals__FB]

FLORIDA POWER RANKINGS INDEX: Week 4 projected scores and win probabilities for 2025 season

IMG Academy returns to the No. 1 spot after a week in the Florida Power 25 Rankings. [X/@IMGAFootball]

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FLORIDA POWER RANKINGS INDEX: 2025 Classification Top 10 rankings for every classification following Week 3

The Blitz – Tampa Bay Edition – #5 – September 9, 2025

The Blitz – South Florida Edition – #5 – September 9, 2025

The Blitz – Space & Treasure Coast Edition – #5 – September 9, 2025

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  • Regions
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">Panhandle</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/panhandle.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">North Central Florida</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/northcentral.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">Northeast Florida</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/northeast.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">Central Florida</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/central.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">Tampa Bay</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/tampabay.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">Southwest Florida</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/southwest.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">Space & Treasure Coast</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/spacetreasurecoast.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">South Florida</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/southflorida.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
  • Shows
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">The Blitz – Panhandle</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/theblitz-panhandle.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">The Blitz – North Central Florida</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/theblitz-northcentral.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">The Blitz – Northeast Florida</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/theblitz-northeastflorida.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">The Blitz – Central Florida</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/theblitz-centralflorida.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">The Blitz – Tampa Bay</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/theblitz-tampabay.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">The Blitz – Southwest Florida</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/theblitz-southwestflorida.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">The Blitz – Space & Treasure Coast</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/theblitz-spacetreasurecoast.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">The Blitz – South Florida</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/theblitz-southflorida.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
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