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Home Rankings The Florida Power Rankings Index

FLORIDA POWER RANKINGS INDEX: Game forecast for Week 5 of the 2025 season

byJoshua Wilson
September 16, 2025
0
Beachside picked up a huge win over Ponte Vedra last week and is looking to be a forecasted favorite in their Week 5 game. [X/@Beachside_FB]

Beachside picked up a huge win over Ponte Vedra last week and is looking to be a forecasted favorite in their Week 5 game. [X/@Beachside_FB]

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Each week, our game forecasts give you a glimpse at how matchups could play out across Florida high school football. These projections are powered by the Florida Power Rankings Index (FPRI), which blends team ratings, past performance, and schedule strength into a single score.

The forecasted spread is calculated by comparing each team’s rating and applying adjustments for factors unique to high school football, producing realistic, data-backed score projections. While we won’t reveal every detail that goes into our formula, the goal is simple — to provide the most accurate and balanced forecasts possible based on the numbers.

If you want to see forecasted score predictions and win probabilities for every game, those are exclusively available to Premium Season Ticket Members (Yearly or Monthly). Click here to view this week’s predicted scores for each game and win probabilities.

Game forecasts are sorted weekly by classification, with inter-classification teams noted in parentheses when applicable.

HOW THE FPRI HAS DONE THIS SEASON

Week 0 & Week 1 were updated after results that were not initially reported are now included

WEEK 4: 195-76 (.720)

WEEK 3: 206-64 (.763)

WEEK 2: 197-78 (.716)

WEEK 1: 198-84-2 (.701)

WEEK 0: 22-10 (.688)

2025 SEASON RECORD: 818-312-2 (.724)


CLASS 7A

Alonso 25 over (4A) Middleton

Boca Raton 15 over Forest Hill

Centennial 13 over (SSAA ATLANTIC) Bayside

DeLand 25 over (4A) Deltona

Dr. Phillips 50 over (6A) Wekiva

East Ridge 6 over Ridge Community

Goleman 28 over (IND) Hialeah Gardens

Hagerty 2 over Timber Creek

Harmony 2 over (6A) Lake Howell

Lake Nona 31 over Olympia

Ocoee 1 over Boone

Plant City 19 over (6A) Steinbrenner

Riverview (Sarasota) 36 over (IND) North Port

Santaluces 20 over (6A) Seminole Ridge

Spanish River 1 over Wellington

Spruce Creek 26 over (3A) Titusville

St. Cloud 4 over (3A) Merritt Island

Stoneman Douglas 4 over (5A) Boyd Anderson

Strawberry Crest 39 over (3A) Robinson

Sumner 3 over (6A) Plant

Tohopekaliga 11 over (6A) Viera

Venice 5 over (IND) The First Academy (Orlando)

West Orange 19 over (IND) Lake Buena Vista

West Port 11 over (3A) Citrus

Western 24 over Taravella

Winter Haven 13 over Palm Beach Lakes

Winter Park 9 over Creekside


CLASS 6A

Armwood 44 over (4A) Hillsborough

Bloomingdale 9 over (4A) Brandon

Buchholz 4 over Richmond Hill (GA)

Camden County (GA) 13 over Royal Palm Beach

East Lake 23 over (2A) Tarpon Springs

Evans 26 over Horizon

First Coast 24 over (4A) Clay

Fletcher 49 over (7A) Sandalwood

Homestead 1 over (2A) Bishop Verot

Land O’ Lakes 10 over (4A) Leesburg

Lennard 41 over (5A) Leto

Melbourne 18 over (3A) Palm Bay

Miami Southridge 39 over Doral Academy

Mitchell 24 over (2A) Tampa Catholic

Monarch 15 over Fort Lauderdale

Nease 2 over (4A) St. Augustine

Oakleaf 4 over (2A) Bolles

Osceola (Kissimmee) 6 over (4A) Jones

Pace 26 over Andalusia (AL)

Palm Harbor University 3 over (4A) Countryside

Palmetto 16 over (2A) Calvary Christian (Clearwater)

Parrish Community 37 over (5A) Braden River

Riverview (Riverview) 6 over (7A) Newsome

Sickles 4 over (3A) King

South Lake 19 over (3A) Mount Dora

South Plantation 28 over Coral Springs

Sunlake 60 over (IND) Hollins

West Boca Raton 67 over (7A) Treasure Coast

West Broward 4 over Flanagan

Wharton 1 over Durant

Wiregrass Ranch 4 over (5A) Wesley Chapel


CLASS 5A

Beachside 8 over (3A) Bishop Kenny

Blanche Ely 31 over (6A) Piper

Cape Coral 1 over (3A) Estero

Charlotte 14 over Fort Myers

Chiles 13 over (3A) Godby

Edgewater 37 over (7A) Apopka

Fort Pierce Westwood 14 over (1A) Zephyrhills Christian

Gulf Coast 19 over (3A) Aubrey Rogers

Ida Baker 17 over (3A) DeSoto County

Immokalee 29 over (6A) Gateway (Fort Myers)

Kathleen 5 over (6A) Davenport

Lake Gibson 26 over (6A) Lake Minneola

Lakeland 41 over (2A) Booker T. Washington (Miami)

Leon 15 over (RURAL) Port St. Joe

Mainland 15 over Coffee (GA)

Mariner 25 over (3A) Island Coast

Matanzas 26 over (4A) Seabreeze

Mater Academy 37 over Everglades

Middleburg 33 over (4A) Ridgeview

Milton 26 over (6A) Navarre

Mosley 26 over (4A) Escambia

Orange Park 18 over (6A) Bartram Trail

Pembroke Pines Charter 6 over (6A) Cooper City

Ponte Vedra 16 over (3A) Menendez

Riverdale 12 over (3A) Cypress Lake

South Fork 7 over (4A) Sebastian River

St. Thomas Aquinas 47 over McArthur

Tampa Bay Tech 11 over Gaither

Ware County (GA) 7 over Lincoln

Winter Springs 6 over (IND) Gateway (Kissimmee)

Woodford County (KY) 4 over Heritage (Palm Bay)


CLASS 4A

American Heritage (Plantation) 13 over (3A) Miami Central

Archbishop McCarthy 23 over (2A) Somerset Canyons

Auburndale 6 over (6A) Bartow

Blake 2 over (5A) East Bay

Booker T. Washington (Pensacola) 20 over (5A) Gulf Breeze

Boynton Beach 29 over (7A) Park Vista

Choctawhatchee 2 over (5A) Niceville

Clearwater 2 over (6A) Largo

Colquitt County (GA) 27 over Rickards

Columbia 19 over (1A) Trinity Christian (Jacksonville)

Dillard 41 over (5A) Miramar

Dr. Joaquin Garcia 8 over (5A) Martin County

Dunbar 46 over (5A) East Lee County

Ed White 27 over (3A) Terry Parker

Fivay 18 over (5A) Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel)

Gainesville 2 over (6A) Forest

Hialeah 19 over (7A) Miami

Jensen Beach 28 over (1A) Benjamin

Lake Wales 18 over (7A) Seminole (Sanford)

Lecanto 2 over (3A) Crystal River

Miami Norland 3 over (5A) Atlantic (Delray Beach)

Naples 47 over (5A) Golden Gate

New Smyrna Beach 16 over (1A) Crescent City

Plantation 9 over (6A) South Broward

Port Charlotte 43 over (5A) Sebring

River Ridge 27 over (3A) Hudson

Riverside 12 over (3A) Ribault

Southeast 42 over (IND) Cypress Creek (Orlando)

Suncoast 3 over (7A) John I. Leonard

Vanguard 15 over (3A) Dunnellon

Zephyrhills 23 over Gulf


CLASS 3A

Bayshore 10 over (IND) IMG Academy State

Bishop Moore 26 over (1A) Melbourne Central Catholic

Boca Ciega 19 over (4A) Northeast (St. Petersburg)

Bonita Springs 13 over (5A) Palmetto Ridge

Booker 17 over Lely

Chamberlain 12 over (5A) Spoto

Dunedin 5 over (IND) Seminole (Seminole)

Gibbs 1 over (5A) Pinellas Park

Hernando 3 over (5A) Springstead

Jefferson 36 over (4A) Freedom (Tampa)

Lemon Bay 15 over (5A) North Fort Myers

Miami Northwestern 49 over (7A) Columbus

Nature Coast 7 over (2A) Palatka

South Sumter 41 over (5A) Belleview

St. Brendan 26 over Miami Jackson

Stranahan 1 over (7A) Cypress Bay

Tavares 1 over (2A) The Villages

Wakulla 43 over (1A) FAMU DRS

Weeki Wachee 75 over Anclote

West Florida 11 over (6A) Tate


CLASS 2A

Andrew Jackson 4 over (7A) Atlantic Coast

Astronaut 4 over (SSAA 11-MAN) Holy Trinity

Baldwin 30 over (3A) Baker County

Bradford 10 over (3A) Eastside

Calvary Christian (Fort Lauderdale) 7 over (5A) North Miami

Cardinal Gibbons 6 over (5A) Coconut Creek

Cocoa 14 over (3A) Eau Gallie

Glades Central 35 over (6A) Dwyer

Gulliver Prep 14 over (3A) Key West

Hallandale 10 over (7A) Coral Glades

Inlet Grove 31 over (1A) Somerset South Homestead

Keystone Heights 10 over (RURAL) Dixie County

Lakewood 30 over (4A) St. Petersburg

Marianna 8 over W.S. Neal (AL)

Miami Carol City 3 over (7A) Coral Gables

Miami Killian 7 over (7A) Miami Palmetto

Monsignor Pace 12 over (1A) Miami Edison

North Miami Beach 10 over (4A) American

Pensacola Catholic 20 over (1A) Providence

Somerset Silver Palms 14 over Miami Springs

South Walton 4 over Florida High

Tenoroc 6 over (4A) Lake Region

Walton 46 over (4A) Fort Walton Beach

Westland Hialeah 26 over (4A) South Miami


CLASS 1A

Archbishop Carroll 10 over (IND) ABF Academy

Cardinal Newman 22 over (4A) Jesuit

Carrollwood Day 41 over (3A) Mulberry

Clearwater Central Catholic 33 over (2A) Gadsden County

Episcopal 51 over KIPP Bold City

Lakeland Christian 3 over (7A) George Jenkins

Lee County (GA) 48 over North Florida Educational

Northside Christian 26 over Evangelical Christian

P.K. Yonge DRS 10 over First Baptist (Naples)

Palmer Trinity 30 over (RURAL) Marathon

Saint Andrew’s 20 over (2A) North Broward Prep

Southwest Florida Christian 32 over (2A) Oasis

St. John Neumann 11 over Orlando Christian Prep

St. John Paul II (Boca Raton) 17 over Somerset Prep

University Christian 5 over Impact Christian

Valwood School (GA) 11 over North Florida Christian

Victory Christian 3 over (RURAL) Fort Meade

Westminster Christian 3 over (2A) Ransom Everglades


RURAL

Baker 27 over (2A) Rutherford

Blountstown 18 over (4A) Arnold

Chiefland 14 over (1A) Trinity Catholic

Hamilton County 14 over (3A) Suwannee

Holmes County 12 over Northview

Jay 5 over Chipley

Jefferson County 13 over Vernon

Lafayette 17 over (IND) Zarephath Academy

Madison County 18 over (3A) Bay

Moore Haven 25 over (SSAA ATLANTIC) Hardee

Pahokee 21 over (6A) Palm Beach Gardens

Sneads 18 over (2A) Bozeman

Taylor County 13 over (IND) Destin

Union County 3 over Fort White

Wewahitchka 38 over (2A) North Bay Haven

Williston 20 over (3A) North Marion


SSAA 11-MAN

Aucilla Christian 26 over Baconton Charter (GA)

Bishop McLaughlin 13 over Windermere Prep

Bishop Snyder 28 over (2A) Wolfson

Boca Raton Christian 30 over Geneva

Cambridge Christian 18 over (1A) Indian Rocks Christian

Central Florida Christian 26 over (SSAA ATLANTIC) Bronson

Christ’s Church Academy 48 over (IND) Cornerstone Classical Academy (Jacksonville)

Cornerstone Charter 21 over Lake Highland Prep

Eagle’s View 42 over Cedar Creek Christian

Florida Christian 28 over (IND) SmartEn Sports Academy

Foundation Academy 36 over (3A) Eustis

Jupiter Christian 36 over Master’s Academy (Vero Beach)

Lighthouse PCA 6 over (RURAL) Cottondale

Marco Island Academy 11 over Babcock

Mount Dora Christian 50 over (4A) Pine Ridge

Old Plank Christian 32 over (SSAA ATLANTIC) Bell

Out-of-Door 36 over Sarasota Christian

Saint Stephen’s Episcopal 1 over Seven Rivers Christian

Santa Fe Catholic 1 over Keswick Christian

Seffner Christian 26 over Orangewood Christian

St. Edward’s 42 over (IND) Cocoa Beach

St. Joseph 22 over (RURAL) Hilliard

Trinity Prep 19 over (1A) Father Lopez


SSAA ATLANTIC

American Heritage (Delray Beach) 17 over (2A) King’s Academy

Coral Springs Charter 7 over (3A) Pompano Beach

Fernandina Beach 10 over (2A) Santa Fe

Franklin County 18 over (SSAA 11-MAN) Rocky Bayou Christian

Frostproof 36 over (2A) Avon Park

LaBelle 18 over (2A) Lake Placid

Lake Weir 4 over (RURAL) Branford

Satellite 36 over Atlantic (Port Orange)

Space Coast 35 over (7A) Celebration

Stanton 13 over (SSAA 11-MAN) Harvest Community

Umatilla 15 over (3A) Central (Brooksville)

West Nassau 15 over (3A) Yulee


SSAA 8-MAN

Bradenton Christian 11 over Countryside Christian

California School for the Deaf-Riverside (CA) 25 over Florida Deaf & Blind

City of Life Christian 10 over SLAM Tampa

Cornerstone Academy (Gainesville) 1 over Liberty Christian Prep

Foundation Christian 16 over Academy at the Lakes

Merritt Island Christian 2 over Donahue Catholic

Oasis Christian 11 over Eastland Christian

Ocala Christian 16 over First Coast Christian

Real Life Christian 10 over (8-MAN IND) St. John Lutheran

Saint Francis Catholic 4 over (8-MAN IND) Gainesville Christian Community

Shorecrest Prep 42 over Lake Mary Prep


INDEPENDENTS

Braddock 1 over Miami Coral Park

BridgePrep Village Green 28 over (4A) Belen Jesuit

Coral Shores 7 over (SSAA 11-MAN) Glades Day

Ferguson 21 over (6A) Southwest Miami

IMG Academy Junior National 30 over (5A) Manatee

IMG Academy National 35 over (6A) Mandarin

Innovation 45 over University (Orlando)

Liberty 21 over (7A) Freedom (Orlando)

McLaughlin 15 over (2A) Discovery

Miami Sunset 4 over (5A) Hollywood Hills

Mt. Bethel Christian (GA) 20 over Palm Beach Christian Prep

Oak Ridge 1 over Colonial

Olympic Heights 29 over (1A) Somerset Academy Key

Pine Crest 28 over (SSAA 11-MAN) Oxbridge Academy

Poinciana 4 over (7A) Haines City

Reagan 6 over Coral Reef

Tradition Prep 4 over Legacy (Port St. Lucie)

Varela 17 over Hialeah-Miami Lakes

West Oaks Academy 10 over (SSAA ATLANTIC) Interlachen

Windermere 49 over East River

Young Kids In Motion 6 over (RURAL) Taylor (Pierson)

Related Posts

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VOTE: The Blitz – Panhandle Edition: 2025 Week 3 Football Player of the Week

Next Post

FLORIDA POWER RANKINGS INDEX: 2025 Independent rankings from 1 to 50 following Week 4

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  • Regions
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">Panhandle</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/panhandle.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">North Central Florida</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/northcentral.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">Northeast Florida</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/northeast.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">Central Florida</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/central.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">Tampa Bay</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/tampabay.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">Southwest Florida</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/southwest.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">Space & Treasure Coast</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/spacetreasurecoast.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">South Florida</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/southflorida.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
  • Shows
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">The Blitz – Panhandle</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/theblitz-panhandle.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">The Blitz – North Central Florida</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/theblitz-northcentral.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">The Blitz – Northeast Florida</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/theblitz-northeastflorida.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">The Blitz – Central Florida</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/theblitz-centralflorida.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">The Blitz – Tampa Bay</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/theblitz-tampabay.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">The Blitz – Southwest Florida</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/theblitz-southwestflorida.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">The Blitz – Space & Treasure Coast</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/theblitz-spacetreasurecoast.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
    • <span class="menu-image-title-hide menu-image-title">The Blitz – South Florida</span><img width="1000" height="310" src="https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/theblitz-southflorida.png" class="menu-image menu-image-title-hide" alt="" decoding="async" loading="lazy" />
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