![Spruce Creek (Port Orange) is among the teams taking the field today for their first regular season game of 2026 [Joshua Wilson/FloridaHSFootball.com]](https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/FPRI-Forecast-for-2-17-2026.jpg)
Welcome to the Florida Power Rankings Index Daily Forecast, your comprehensive guide to today’s flag football matchups across Florida. Each day during the season, we project outcomes for every scheduled game using advanced statistical modeling derived from FPRI team ratings.
How Forecasts Work: Our game predictions use FPRI team ratings as the foundation but apply additional factors beyond simple rating differences. The model accounts for home/away dynamics, recent performance trends, and competitive context to generate win probabilities and projected outcomes for each matchup. These are statistical projections based on current team strength—not guarantees of outcomes.
What’s Included:
- Forecasted Line: Point spread projection (Free for all users)
- Win Probability: Likelihood of each team winning the matchup (Premium Season Ticket subscribers only)
- Projected Final Score: Expected score for both teams (Premium Season Ticket subscribers only)
Premium Content: Win probabilities and projected final scores require a Premium Season Ticket or Monthly Premium Season Ticket subscription. The forecasted line is available free to all users for every game statewide.
Updates: Forecasts are published daily during the season and reflect the most current FPRI ratings. As teams play and ratings adjust, forecast accuracy improves throughout the year.
Important Reminder: These forecasts represent statistical projections based on mathematical modeling. Actual game outcomes depend on execution, matchups, and the unpredictable nature of competition. The FPRI forecasts are analytical tools, not certainties.
FORECAST ACCURACY TRACKER
FORECAST ACCURACY TRACKER
| Metric | Result |
|---|---|
| Yesterday | Mon. 2/16 — 6-1 |
| Overall | 6-1 — 85.7% correct |
FORECAST FOR FEBRUARY 17, 2026
Games subjected to change without notice
DAILY FORECAST FOR TUE. FEB. 17, 2026
| Forecast |
|---|
| Alonso (Tampa) 34 over Plant (Tampa) |
| Anclote (Holiday) 6 over Fivay (Hudson) |
| Angeline Academy (Land O’Lakes) 2 over Gulf (New Port Richey) |
| Angeline Academy (Land O’Lakes) 8 over Mitchell (New Port Richey) |
| Avon Park 10 over Discovery (Lake Alfred) |
| Baldwin 12 over Orange Park |
| Bell Creek (Riverview) 20 over Indian Rocks Christian (Largo) |
| Bishop McLaughlin (Spring Hill) 16 over Tampa Prep |
| Blake (Tampa) 20 over King (Tampa) |
| Blanche Ely (Pompano Beach) 16 over Hallandale |
| Boca Ciega (Gulfport) 16 over Cardinal Mooney (Sarasota) |
| Bonita Springs 22 over Cape Coral |
| Booker T. Washington (Pensacola) 24 over Tate (Cantonment) |
| Boone (Orlando) 18 over Oak Ridge (Orlando) |
| Boyd Anderson (Lauderdale Lakes) 28 over Plantation |
| Braddock (Miami) 18 over Varela (Miami) |
| Brooks DeBartolo (Tampa) 22 over Dr. Patel (Tampa) |
| Colonial (Orlando) 18 over Seminole (Sanford) |
| Columbia (Lake City) 4 over Baker County (Glen St. Mary) |
| Cooper City 22 over Fort Lauderdale |
| Cristo Rey (Tampa) 12 over Riverview Academy |
| Deltona 2 over Winter Park |
| Dr. Joaquin Garcia (Lake Worth) 10 over Spanish River (Boca Raton) |
| East Lake (Tarpon Springs) 14 over Northeast (St. Petersburg) |
| East Bay (Gibsonton) 34 over Riverview (Riverview) |
| Fletcher (Neptune Beach) 18 over Sandalwood (Jacksonville) |
| Fort Pierce Central 34 over Centennial (Port St. Lucie) |
| Gadsden County (Havana) 18 over Madison County (Madison) |
| George Jenkins (Lakeland) 36 over Kathleen (Lakeland) |
| Godby (Tallahassee) 12 over Leon (Tallahassee) |
| Goleman (Miami) 18 over Don Soffer (Aventura) |
| Gulf (New Port Richey) 32 over Hudson |
| Haines City 34 over Bartow |
| Hillsborough (Tampa) 6 over Jefferson (Tampa) |
| iMater Prep (Hialeah) 12 over Miami Beach |
| Innovation (Orlando) 6 over Evans (Orlando) |
| Jensen Beach 20 over John Carroll (Fort Pierce) |
| John I. Leonard (Greenacres) 8 over SLAM (West Palm Beach) |
| Keys Gate (Homestead) 14 over Downtown Doral |
| Lake Minneola 28 over East Ridge (Clermont) |
| Lake Howell (Winter Park) 20 over Lake Brantley (Altamonte Springs) |
| Lakewood Ranch (Bradenton) 24 over Bayshore (Bradenton) |
| Land O Lakes 38 over Wesley Chapel |
| Lecanto 16 over Crystal River |
| Legacy (Port St. Lucie) 8 over Tradition Preparatory (Port St. Lucie) |
| Lennard (Ruskin) 10 over St. Petersburg |
| Lyman (Longwood) 18 over Winter Springs |
| Mater Lakes (Hialeah) 26 over Southwest Miami |
| Mater Academy (Kissimmee) 6 over Mater Academy (Orlando) |
| Miami Carol City 12 over Miami |
| Miami Palmetto 6 over SLAM (Miami) |
| Monarch (Coconut Creek) 10 over Stranahan (Fort Lauderdale) |
| Mount Dora 24 over Tavares |
| North Fort Myers 30 over Island Coast (Cape Coral) |
| Ocoee 16 over Edgewater (Orlando) |
| Olympia (Orlando) 20 over Wekiva (Apopka) |
| Oviedo 28 over Hagerty (Oviedo) |
| Oxbridge Academy (West Palm Beach) 18 over Pahokee |
| Palm Beach Central (Wellington) 22 over Dwyer (Palm Beach Gardens) |
| Parrish 22 over Manatee (Bradenton) |
| Piper (Sunrise) 26 over McArthur (Hollywood) |
| Pompano Beach 10 over Olympic Heights (Boca Raton) |
| River Ridge (New Port Richey) 26 over Zephyrhills |
| Royal Palm Beach 12 over Boca Raton |
| Rutherford (Panama City) 12 over Mosley (Lynn Haven) |
| Satellite (Satellite Beach) 8 over Melbourne Central Catholic |
| Seabreeze (Daytona Beach) 10 over Matanzas (Palm Coast) |
| Seminole (Seminole) 20 over Hollins (St. Petersburg) |
| Seven Rivers Christian (Lecanto) 10 over Seffner Christian |
| Sickles (Tampa) 30 over Gaither (Tampa) |
| Somerset Academy Charter South Homestead 14 over Somerset Charter (Silver Palms) |
| South Miami 22 over Miami Jackson |
| South Broward (Hollywood) 16 over Miramar |
| South Fork (Stuart) 22 over Sebastian River (Sebastian) |
| Southeast (Bradenton) 2 over Braden River (Bradenton) |
| Springstead (Spring Hill) 20 over Central (Brooksville) |
| Spruce Creek (Port Orange) 26 over Flagler Palm Coast |
| St. Thomas Aquinas (Fort Lauderdale) 22 over Coconut Creek |
| Stanton (Jacksonville) 14 over Raines (Jacksonville) |
| Steinbrenner (Lutz) 22 over Newsome (Lithia) |
| Strawberry Crest (Dover) 20 over Durant (Plant City) |
| Sumner (Riverview) 20 over Leto (Tampa) |
| Suncoast (Riviera Beach) 18 over Glades Central (Belle Glade) |
| Sunlake (Land O’Lakes) 32 over Pasco (Dade City) |
| Suwannee (Live Oak) 12 over Eagles View (Jacksonville) |
| Tampa Catholic 18 over Winthrop (Riverview) |
| The Villages 20 over Lake Weir (Ocala) |
| Timber Creek (Orlando) 22 over East River (Orlando) |
| Trinity Catholic (Ocala) 58 over South Sumter (Bushnell) |
| University Christian (Jacksonville) 30 over KIPP Bold City (Jacksonville) |
| Viera (Melbourne) 2 over Titusville |
| Weeki Wachee 16 over Classical Prep (Shady Hills) |
| West Port (Ocala) 2 over Dunnellon |
| Wiregrass Ranch (Wesley Chapel) 20 over Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel) |
PROJECTED FINALS
Requires a Premium Season Ticket or Monthly Premium Season Ticket Membership
PROJECTED WIN PROBABLILITIES
Requires a Premium Season Ticket or Monthly Premium Season Ticket Membership
![No. 10 Lennard (Ruskin) has two games on deck this week including a big one with No. 1 Robinson (Tampa). [Kyle Zedaker/Tampa Bay Buccaneers]](https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Florida-POWER-25-Flag-Schedule-Week-1-2026-120x86.jpg)
![Hagerty (Oviedo) captured their first win of the new season on Monday over Pincrest Lakes Prep (Minneola). [Hagerty Flag Football/Instagram]](https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Daily-Scoreboard-Flag-Football-2-16-2026-120x86.jpg)
![Freeport and Niceville came together after the Eagles' won big against the visiting Bulldogs to open the 2026 season. The game also marked the first game for Freeport in program history. [Niceville Flag Football/X]](https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Niceville-routs-Freeport-to-open-season-120x86.jpg)
![Celebration is among the teams to kickoff the 2026 Flag Football season today. [Kyle Zedaker/Tampa Bay Buccaneers]](https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/FPRI-Forecast-for-2-16-2026-120x86.jpg)
![Robinson (Tampa) leads off the 2026 FPRI POWER 25 Flag Football Rankings as the top team in the state as they seek 10 straight [Robinson Flag Football/Instagram]](https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/FPRI-Power-25-Rankings-2026-Flag-Football-Preseason-120x86.jpg)
![QB Gabby Werr for Alonso will help the No. 1 ranked team in Class 4A FPRI rankings defend their state championship in 2026. [Tori Richman/Tampa Bay Buccaneers]](https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/FPRI-Power-16-Classification-Rankings-2026-Flag-Football-Preseason-120x86.jpg)
![No. 10 Lennard (Ruskin) has two games on deck this week including a big one with No. 1 Robinson (Tampa). [Kyle Zedaker/Tampa Bay Buccaneers]](https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Florida-POWER-25-Flag-Schedule-Week-1-2026-75x75.jpg)
