![Baker County (Glen St. Mary) was among the teams that will play a game on Wednesday, Feb. 18. [Joshua Wilson/FloridaHSFootball.com]](https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/FPRI-Forecast-for-2-18-2026.jpg)
Welcome to the Florida Power Rankings Index Daily Forecast, your comprehensive guide to today’s flag football matchups across Florida. Each day during the season, we project outcomes for every scheduled game using advanced statistical modeling derived from FPRI team ratings.
How Forecasts Work: Our game predictions use FPRI team ratings as the foundation but apply additional factors beyond simple rating differences. The model accounts for home/away dynamics, recent performance trends, and competitive context to generate win probabilities and projected outcomes for each matchup. These are statistical projections based on current team strength—not guarantees of outcomes.
What’s Included:
- Forecasted Line: Point spread projection (Free for all users)
- Win Probability: Likelihood of each team winning the matchup (Premium Season Ticket subscribers only)
- Projected Final Score: Expected score for both teams (Premium Season Ticket subscribers only)
Premium Content: Win probabilities and projected final scores require a Premium Season Ticket or Monthly Premium Season Ticket subscription. The forecasted line is available free to all users for every game statewide.
Updates: Forecasts are published daily during the season and reflect the most current FPRI ratings. As teams play and ratings adjust, forecast accuracy improves throughout the year.
Important Reminder: These forecasts represent statistical projections based on mathematical modeling. Actual game outcomes depend on execution, matchups, and the unpredictable nature of competition. The FPRI forecasts are analytical tools, not certainties.
FORECAST ACCURACY TRACKER
FORECAST ACCURACY TRACKER
| Metric | Result |
|---|---|
| Yesterday | Tue. 2/17 — 66-28 — 70.2% correct |
| Overall | 72-29 — 71.3% correct |
FORECAST FOR FEBRUARY 18, 2026
Games subjected to change without notice
DAILY FORECAST FOR WED. FEB. 18, 2026
| Forecast |
|---|
| Andrew Jackson (Jacksonville) 14 over Global Academy (Jacksonville) |
| Apopka 12 over Dr. Phillips (Orlando) |
| Astronaut (Titusville) 4 over Cocoa Beach |
| Baker County (Glen St. Mary) 2 over Nease (Ponte Vedra) |
| Blanche Ely (Pompano Beach) 2 over Hollywood Hills |
| Cypress Creek (Orlando) 12 over Cornerstone Charter (Belle Isle) |
| Deerfield Beach 12 over Taravella (Coral Springs) |
| East River (Orlando) 12 over University (Orlando) |
| Fletcher (Neptune Beach) 6 over Stanton (Jacksonville) |
| Gibbs (St. Petersburg) 8 over Boca Ciega (Gulfport) |
| Hernando (Brooksville) 10 over Nature Coast (Brooksville) |
| Hialeah Educational 8 over Avant Garde (Hollywood) |
| Homestead 12 over Coral Reef (Miami) |
| Horizon (Winter Garden) 14 over Lake Buena Vista (Orlando) |
| Indian River Charter (Vero Beach) 10 over Pine School (Hobe Sound) |
| International Studies (Hollywood) 12 over Horeb Christian (Hialeah) |
| Jones (Orlando) 10 over Boone (Orlando) |
| Keys Gate (Homestead) 12 over Somerset Prep (Homestead) |
| Lake Mary 10 over Crooms (Sanford) |
| Lake Minneola 12 over Ridge Community (Davenport) |
| Mainland (Daytona Beach) 10 over University (Orange City) |
| Mater Academy (Hialeah Gardens) 12 over Pinecrest Prep (Miami) |
| Miami Norland 12 over American (Hialeah) |
| Oxbridge Academy (West Palm Beach) 12 over Okeechobee |
| Palatka 10 over Taylor (Pierson) |
| Pineapple Cove (Palm Bay) 1 over Space Coast (Cocoa) |
| Piper (Sunrise) 10 over Dillard (Fort Lauderdale) |
| Posnack (Davie) 12 over Flanagan (Pembroke Pines) |
| Riverdale (Fort Myers) 12 over Dunbar (Fort Myers) |
| South Plantation 10 over Coral Springs Charter |
| South Fort Myers 14 over Cypress Lake (Fort Myers) |
| South Walton (Santa Rosa Beach) 6 over Arnold (Panama City Beach) |
| Springstead (Spring Hill) 12 over Crystal River |
| St. Cloud 12 over Poinciana (Kissimmee) |
| Stoneman Douglas (Parkland) 12 over Nova (Davie) |
| Tampa Catholic 12 over Carrollwood (Tampa) |
| Tarpon Springs 12 over Anclote (Holiday) |
| Timber Creek (Orlando) 12 over Lake Nona (Orlando) |
| Venice 10 over Riverview (Sarasota) |
| West Nassau (Callahan) 12 over Wolfson (Jacksonville) |
| West Orange (Winter Garden) 14 over Evans (Orlando) |
| Yulee 10 over Fernandina Beach |
PROJECTED FINALS
Requires a Premium Season Ticket or Monthly Premium Season Ticket Membership
PROJECTED WIN PROBABLILITIES
Requires a Premium Season Ticket or Monthly Premium Season Ticket Membership
![No. 2 Alonso (Tampa) started off the 2026 season with a 19-6 win over Plant (Tampa). [Tori Richman/Tampa Bay Buccaneers]](https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Flag-Football-Daily-Scoreboard-2-17-2026-120x86.jpg)
![No. 9 Fort Pierce Central opened with a dominating win against Centennial (Fort Pierce) to open the 2026 season. [Tori Richman/Tampa Bay Buccaneers]](https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Fort-Pierce-Central-blanks-Centennial-120x86.jpg)
![No. 10 Lennard (Ruskin) went on the road and started off the season with a strong dominating performance against St. Petersburg. [Lennard Longhorn Flag Football/Instagram]](https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Lennard-Flag-blanks-St.-Petersburg-120x86.jpg)
![No. 13 Miami Palmetto shut down SLAM (Miami) to open the 2026 season [Miami Palmetto Lady Panthers Flag Football/Instagram]](https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Miami-Palmetto-shuts-out-SLAM-Miami-120x86.jpg)
![Coconut Creek stunned No. 14 St. Thomas Aquinas (Fort Lauderdale) to open the 2026 season on Tuesday. [Coconut Creek Flag Football/Instagram]](https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Coconut-Creek-stuns-No.-14-St.-Thomas-Aquinas-120x86.jpg)
![No. 19 Steinbrenner (Lutz) held off Newsome (Lithia) in a defensive battle to open the seasno on Tuesday night. [Tori Richman/Tampa Bay Buccaneers]](https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Steinbrenner-holds-off-Newsome-120x86.jpg)
