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FLORIDA POWER RANKINGS INDEX: Daily Forecast, Projected Finals & Win Probablities for Flag Football for Wednesday-Saturday, February 25-28, 2026

byJoshua Wilson
February 28, 2026
0
Harmony started getting their season underway in Week 2 and is a heavy favorite in their games [Doug DeFelice/Tampa Bay Buccaneers]

Harmony started getting their season underway in Week 2 and is a heavy favorite in their games [Doug DeFelice/Tampa Bay Buccaneers]

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Welcome to the Florida Power Rankings Index Daily Forecast, your comprehensive guide to today’s flag football matchups across Florida. Each day during the season, we project outcomes for every scheduled game using advanced statistical modeling derived from FPRI team ratings.

How Forecasts Work: Our game predictions use FPRI team ratings as the foundation but apply additional factors beyond simple rating differences. The model accounts for home/away dynamics, recent performance trends, and competitive context to generate win probabilities and projected outcomes for each matchup. These are statistical projections based on current team strengthโ€”not guarantees of outcomes.

What’s Included:

  • Forecasted Line: Point spread projection (Free for all users)
  • Win Probability: Likelihood of each team winning the matchup (Premium Season Ticket subscribers only)
  • Projected Final Score: Expected score for both teams (Premium Season Ticket subscribers only)

Premium Content: Win probabilities and projected final scores require a Premium Season Ticket or Monthly Premium Season Ticket subscription. The forecasted line is available free to all users for every game statewide.

Updates: Forecasts are published daily during the season and reflect the most current FPRI ratings. As teams play and ratings adjust, forecast accuracy improves throughout the year.

Important Reminder: These forecasts represent statistical projections based on mathematical modeling. Actual game outcomes depend on execution, matchups, and the unpredictable nature of competition. The FPRI forecasts are analytical tools, not certainties.


FORECAST ACCURACY TRACKER

Florida Flag Football Forecast Tracker
Florida Power Rankings Index

FORECAST ACCURACY TRACKER

2026 Season  |  Week 2
Metric Result
THURSDAY Mon. 2/23 โ€” 28-14 โ€” 66.7% correct | Tue. 2/24 โ€” 93-38 โ€” 71.0% correct
Overall 349-135 โ€” 72.1% correct

FORECAST FOR FEBRUARY 25, 2026

Games subjected to change without notice

Wednesday Flag Football Forecast
Florida Power Rankings Index

DAILY FORECAST FOR WED. FEB. 25, 2026

2026 Season  |  Week 2
Forecast
American (Hialeah) 20 over Hialeah-Miami Lakes
Apopka 24 over Colonial (Orlando)
Arnold (Panama City Beach) 14 over South Walton (Santa Rosa Beach)
Atlantic (Delray Beach) 20 over Dwyer (Palm Beach Gardens)
Boca Ciega (Gulfport) 18 over Northeast (St. Petersburg)
Booker T. Washington (Pensacola) 26 over Northview (Century)
Chaminade-Madonna (Hollywood) 20 over Taravella (Coral Springs)
Chiles (Tallahassee) 24 over Rickards (Tallahassee)
Cocoa Beach 10 over Pineapple Cove (Palm Bay)
Coral Gables 24 over Miami
Coral Springs Charter 22 over Flanagan (Pembroke Pines)
Cornerstone Charter (Belle Isle) 20 over Mater Academy (Kissimmee)
Cypress Creek (Orlando) 14 over East River (Orlando)
Deerfield Beach 14 over Boca Raton
Everglades (Miramar) 26 over Miramar
FAMU (Tallahassee) 10 over Gadsden County (Havana)
Fernandina Beach 6 over West Nassau (Callahan)
Flagler Palm Coast 18 over Palatka
Florida High (Tallahassee) 24 over Leon (Tallahassee)
Forest (Ocala) 18 over The Villages
Gateway (Kissimmee) 22 over Tohopekaliga (Kissimmee)
Gateway Charter (Fort Myers) 6 over Bishop Verot (Fort Myers)
Goleman (Miami) 18 over Miami Carol City
Harmony 24 over West Shore (Melbourne)
Lake Mary 16 over Oak Ridge (Orlando)
Lakewood Ranch (Bradenton) 20 over Palmetto
Lincoln Park Academy (Fort Pierce) 24 over Tradition Preparatory (Port St. Lucie)
Melbourne Central Catholic 16 over Satellite (Satellite Beach)
Miami Beach 16 over Miami Springs
Miami Southridge 26 over Keys Gate (Homestead)
Nature Coast (Brooksville) 24 over Wharton (Tampa)
Navarre 26 over Pensacola
Navarre 22 over Fort Walton Beach
Oviedo 26 over Ocoee
Oxbridge Academy (West Palm Beach) 26 over Glades Central (Belle Glade)
Palm Beach Gardens 24 over South Plantation
SLAM (Miami) 26 over Ransom Everglades (Miami)
South Broward (Hollywood) 12 over Hollywood Hills
South Sumter (Bushnell) 20 over Crystal River
St. John Paul II (Boca Raton) 6 over SLAM (Boca Raton)
Suncoast (Riviera Beach) 24 over Lake Worth
Trinity Catholic (Ocala) 18 over West Port (Ocala)
University (Orlando) 12 over Liberty (Kissimmee)
West Broward (Pembroke Pines) 4 over Hallandale

FORECAST FOR FEBRUARY 26, 2026

Games subjected to change without notice

Thursday Flag Football Forecast
Florida Power Rankings Index

DAILY FORECAST FOR THURS. FEB. 26, 2026

2026 Season  |  Week 2
Forecast
Alonso (Tampa) 24 over Sickles (Tampa)
American (Hialeah) 24 over Miami Central
Angeline Academy (Land O’Lakes) 20 over North Tampa Christian (Wesley Chapel)
Archbishop McCarthy (Southwest Ranches) 18 over West Broward (Pembroke Pines)
Armwood (Seffner) 20 over Middleton (Tampa)
Atlantic (Port Orange) 26 over Astronaut (Titusville)
Atlantic Coast (Jacksonville) 16 over Sandalwood (Jacksonville)
Auburndale 24 over Lake Gibson (Lakeland)
Baldwin 20 over Westside (Jacksonville)
Bartram Trail (St. Johns) 20 over University (Orange City)
Bell Creek (Riverview) 14 over Carrollwood (Tampa)
Belleview 24 over Lecanto
Bishop Snyder (Jacksonville) 24 over Old Plank Christian (Jacksonville)
Boca Ciega (Gulfport) 24 over Hollins (St. Petersburg)
Boone (Orlando) 24 over Osceola (Kissimmee)
Boyd Anderson (Lauderdale Lakes) 26 over Hallandale
Brandon 24 over Riverview (Riverview)
Central (Brooksville) 16 over Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel)
Chiles (Tallahassee) 24 over Lincoln (Tallahassee)
Classical Prep (Shady Hills) 16 over Pasco (Dade City)
Cornerstone Charter (Belle Isle) 10 over Hagerty (Oviedo)
Crescent City 20 over Taylor (Pierson)
Cristo Rey (Tampa) 24 over Plato Collegiate (Tampa)
Destin 20 over Pensacola
Dr. Phillips (Orlando) 16 over Melbourne
Dunedin 24 over Clearwater
Eagles View (Jacksonville) 26 over KIPP Bold City (Jacksonville)
East Bay (Gibsonton) 26 over Plant City
East Lake (Tarpon Springs) 26 over Lakewood (St. Petersburg)
Englewood (Jacksonville) 14 over Terry Parker (Jacksonville)
Estero 22 over Cypress Lake (Fort Myers)
Faith Christian (Orlando) 18 over Liberty (Kissimmee)
Ferguson (Miami) 24 over Braddock (Miami)
Fleming Island 24 over Global Academy (Jacksonville)
Florida High (Tallahassee) 26 over Godby (Tallahassee)
Forest Hill (West Palm Beach) 6 over Cardinal Newman (West Palm Beach)
Freedom (Tampa) 22 over King (Tampa)
Frostproof 2 over Lake Region (Eagle Lake)
George Jenkins (Lakeland) 24 over McKeel (Lakeland)
Hardee (Wauchula) 14 over Kathleen (Lakeland)
Hialeah Gardens 24 over Dr. Krop (Miami)
Hillsborough (Tampa) 16 over Strawberry Crest (Dover)
Horeb Christian (Hialeah) 6 over JLA (Miami)
Horizon (Winter Garden) 26 over Colonial (Orlando)
International Studies (Hollywood) 24 over Cristo Rey (Miami)
Jefferson (Tampa) 20 over Blake (Tampa)
Jefferson County (Monticello) 10 over Community Leadership Academy (Tallahassee)
Jensen Beach 24 over Indian River Charter (Vero Beach)
John Carroll (Fort Pierce) 24 over Legacy (Port St. Lucie)
John I. Leonard (Greenacres) 14 over SLAM (West Palm Beach)
Jones (Orlando) 10 over Lakeland
Keys Gate (Homestead) 24 over Colonial Christian (Homestead)
Keystone Heights 26 over Hawthorne
Lake Brantley (Altamonte Springs) 18 over Trinity Christian (Deltona)
Lake Howell (Winter Park) 12 over Deltona
Lake Mary Prep 18 over Crooms (Sanford)
Lake Minneola 26 over South Lake (Groveland)
Lake Nona (Orlando) 2 over Oak Ridge (Orlando)
Leesburg 10 over Evans (Orlando)
Lyman (Longwood) 12 over Bishop Moore (Orlando)
MAST (Key Biscayne) 12 over Mater Bay Academy (Cutler Bay)
Mainland (Daytona Beach) 10 over Seabreeze (Daytona Beach)
Manatee (Bradenton) 22 over Southeast (Bradenton)
Matanzas (Palm Coast) 12 over Orange Park
Menendez (St. Augustine) 6 over Palatka
Merritt Island 2 over Cocoa
Miami Coral Park 14 over Coral Reef (Miami)
Miami Edison 14 over Miami Palmetto
Miami Norland 20 over North Miami Beach
Middleburg 24 over Gainesville
Monarch (Coconut Creek) 2 over Coral Springs Charter
Morningside (Port St. Lucie) 10 over Pine School (Hobe Sound)
Mount Dora 16 over East Ridge (Clermont)
Navarre 26 over Gulf Breeze
New Smyrna Beach 22 over Pine Ridge (Deltona)
Newberry 20 over Bronson
Newsome (Lithia) 8 over Bloomingdale (Valrico)
Nova (Davie) 10 over Coral Glades (Coral Springs)
Oakleaf (Orange Park) 12 over Ridgeview (Orange Park)
Orlando Science 12 over Orangewood Christian (Maitland)
Osceola (Seminole) 14 over Palm Harbor University
Oxbridge Academy (West Palm Beach) 26 over Santaluces (Lantana)
Pahokee 14 over Okeechobee
Palm Beach Gardens 22 over Miami Northwestern
Pinecrest Glades (Miami) 18 over Westwood Christian (Miami)
Piper (Sunrise) 24 over Coral Springs
Plantation 16 over Blanche Ely (Pompano Beach)
Ponte Vedra 16 over Fletcher (Neptune Beach)
Posnack (Davie) 24 over Hillel (North Miami Beach)
Raines (Jacksonville) 10 over Andrew Jackson (Jacksonville)
Redeemer Christian (Ocala) 20 over St. John Lutheran (Ocala)
Ribault (Jacksonville) 4 over St. Augustine
Ridge Community (Davenport) 16 over Lake Placid
Riverdale (Fort Myers) 16 over Gateway (Kissimmee)
Satellite (Satellite Beach) 10 over Calvary Chapel (West Melbourne)
Somerset Academy (Pembroke Pines) 20 over Downtown Doral
Somerset Canyons (Boynton Beach) 26 over Boca Raton
Somerset Charter (Silver Palms) 14 over Hialeah Educational
South Dade (Homestead) 8 over Miami Jackson
South Fork (Stuart) 20 over Fort Pierce Westwood
South Miami 24 over BioTECH (Miami)
South Plantation 22 over Fort Lauderdale
South Sumter (Bushnell) 24 over Hope Preparatory (Groveland)
Springstead (Spring Hill) 18 over Citrus (Inverness)
Spruce Creek (Port Orange) 24 over DeLand
St. Petersburg 22 over Gulf (New Port Richey)
St. Thomas Aquinas (Fort Lauderdale) 24 over Dillard (Fort Lauderdale)
Stanton (Jacksonville) 24 over Wolfson (Jacksonville)
Steinbrenner (Lutz) 26 over Gaither (Tampa)
Stoneman Douglas (Parkland) 24 over Cooper City
Suncoast (Riviera Beach) 24 over Palm Beach Lakes (West Palm Beach)
Sunlake (Land O’Lakes) 14 over River Ridge (New Port Richey)
Suwannee (Live Oak) 24 over Impact Christian (Jacksonville)
Tampa Catholic 20 over Nature Coast (Brooksville)
Tampa Prep 12 over Bishop McLaughlin (Spring Hill)
Tarpon Springs 20 over Largo
Tate (Cantonment) 20 over Pine Forest (Pensacola)
Taylor County (Perry) 16 over Madison County (Madison)
Timber Creek (Orlando) 24 over Freedom (Orlando)
Tocoi Creek (St. Augustine) 24 over Creekside (St. Johns)
Treasure Coast (Port St. Lucie) 22 over Port St. Lucie
University Christian (Jacksonville) 24 over Bolles (Jacksonville)
Varela (Miami) 1 over TERRA Institute (Miami)
Venice 14 over Booker (Sarasota)
Wekiva (Apopka) 20 over Innovation (Orlando)
West Port (Ocala) 24 over North Marion (Citra)
Wharton (Tampa) 8 over Leto (Tampa)
Winter Haven 6 over Bartow
Winthrop (Riverview) 26 over Foundation Christian (Valrico)
Yulee 26 over Baker County (Glen St. Mary)

FORECAST FOR FEBRUARY 27, 2026

Games subjected to change without notice

Friday Flag Football Forecast
Florida Power Rankings Index

DAILY FORECAST FOR FRI. FEB. 27, 2026

2026 Season  |  Week 2
Forecast
Arnold (Panama City Beach) 28 over Mosley (Lynn Haven)
BridgePrep Village Green (Miami) 22 over AIE Charter (Miami Springs)
Celebration 8 over East Bay (Gibsonton)
Destin 32 over Freeport
Florida High (Tallahassee) 6 over Bradford (Starke)
Fort Pierce Westwood 20 over Centennial (Port St. Lucie)
Hernando (Brooksville) 32 over Central (Brooksville)
Lake Howell (Winter Park) 24 over Hagerty (Oviedo)
Lakeland 16 over Bartow
Lakewood Ranch (Bradenton) 26 over Sebring
Mandarin (Jacksonville) 36 over Nease (Ponte Vedra)
Martin County (Stuart) 26 over John Carroll (Fort Pierce)
Mater Lakes (Hialeah) 12 over True North (Miami)
Miami Southridge 26 over Ransom Everglades (Miami)
Orlando Science 26 over Cornerstone Charter (Belle Isle)
Parrish 26 over Sumner (Riverview)
Ridgeview (Davenport) 1 over Faith Christian (Orlando)
Robinson (Tampa) 36 over Citrus (Inverness)
South Fork (Stuart) 36 over Lincoln Park Academy (Fort Pierce)
South Fort Myers 26 over Island Coast (Cape Coral)
West Shore (Melbourne) 6 over Cocoa Beach

FORECAST FOR FEBRUARY 28, 2026

Games subjected to change without notice

Saturday Flag Football Forecast
Florida Power Rankings Index

DAILY FORECAST FOR SAT. FEB. 28, 2026

2026 Season  |  Week 2
Forecast
Alonso (Tampa) 16 over Fort Pierce Central
Alonso (Tampa) 28 over Spanish River (Boca Raton)
Bonita Springs 32 over Riverview (Riverview)
Bonita Springs 32 over Leto (Tampa)
Cypress Lake (Fort Myers) 4 over Riverview (Riverview)
Cypress Lake (Fort Myers) 2 over Leto (Tampa)
Fort Pierce Central 38 over Bloomingdale (Valrico)
Lennard (Ruskin) 16 over Land O Lakes
Robinson (Tampa) 38 over Forest (Ocala)
Robinson (Tampa) 24 over Belleview
Seminole Ridge (Westlake) 12 over Lennard (Ruskin)
Seminole Ridge (Westlake) 20 over Land O Lakes
Spanish River (Boca Raton) 28 over Bloomingdale (Valrico)

PROJECTED FINALS

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PROJECTED WIN PROBABLILITIES

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