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Home FHSAA

Class 5A playoff point averages & projected seeds after Week 8

byJoshua Wilson
October 16, 2018 - Updated on October 17, 2018
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PHOTO CREDIT: FHSAA

PHOTO CREDIT: FHSAA

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GAINESVILLE, Fla. — After eight weeks of football, the FHSAA has once again updated the playoff point averages for all teams in all classifications.

Once again, some big changes have taken place across the board this week as some teams have entered the projected playoff picture while others have fallen out. In Classes 5A-8A, district record was taken into consideration except on certain exceptions which are noted.

For Class 5A, you will find a breakdown of point averages for each team in every region and a projected seeding (including tiebreakers) based upon the guidelines as published by the FHSAA (click here to view), as well as quick thoughts about each region.

NOTE: Teams in RED have clinched their district championship

REGION 1

Team Record Avg
Trinity Christian (Jacksonville) 8-0 43.13
West Florida 3-2 41.40
Godby 7-0 40.71
Bolles 5-2 40.71
Mosley 6-1 40.00
Ponte Vedra 6-1 38.86
Wakulla 5-2 38.57
Ribault 3-4 36.43
Suwannee 4-3 35.71
Arnold 4-2 34.83
Terry Parker 2-5 34.14
Bishop Kenny 3-4 33.86
Rickards 2-5 33.29
Yulee 2-5 33.00
Pensacola 3-3 32.83
Westside 0-7 32.14
Bay 1-5 32.00
Stanton 2-5 31.71
Paxon 2-5 27.71

 

PROJECTED SEEDS

District Champions
No. 1 Trinity Christian (5A-4)
No. 2 Godby (5A-2)
No. 3 Mosley (5A-1)
No. 4 Ribault (5A-3)

Wildcards
No. 5 West Florida
No. 6 Bolles
No. 7 Ponte Vedra
No. 8 Wakulla

PROJECTED REGIONAL QUARTERFINAL PAIRINGS

No. 8 Wakulla at No. 1 Trinity Christian (Jacksonville)
No. 5 West Florida at No. 4 Ribault
No. 6 Bolles at No. 3 Mosley
No. 7 Ponte Vedra at No. 2 Godby

QUICK THOUGHTS: Nothing changes here this week in terms of seeding or the teams that would be in the playoffs right now. Godby, however, did clinch their district championship so they are now officially guaranteed a top-four seed regardless of where they stand in the final points after Week 11. The biggest question remains with District 5A-1. If Mosley, who will get to play Saturday, wins against Pensacola, they will clinch their district with a win. Trinity Christian should be able to clinch their district with a win while Ribault would have to wait to see how other games unfold in their district and might not be able to outright clinch until next week.

REGION 2

Team Record Avg
Menendez 6-1 40.43
Zephyrhills 7-0 39.57
North Marion 5-2 39.43
Crystal River 7-1 39.00
Nature Coast 5-1 39.00
Baker County 5-2 38.43
Hernando 6-2 38.38
Eastside 5-2 36.71
Palatka 3-4 36.43
River Ridge 4-3 35.14
Orange Park 5-2 34.57
Lecanto 2-4 33.83
Wesley Chapel 5-3 33.63
Citrus 3-4 32.29
Weeki Wachee 2-5 32.29
Clay 2-5 32.00
Ridgeview 3-5 31.75
Fivay 3-5 31.38
Anclote 0-6 29.00
Central (Brooksville) 0-8 28.75
Belleview 0-6 28.17
Hudson 2-5 28.00
Gulf 1-6 27.29

 

PROJECTED SEEDS

District Champions

No. 1 Zephyrhills (5A-8)
No. 2 North Marion (5A-6)
No. 3 Nature Coast (5A-7)
No. 4 Baker County (5A-5)

Wildcards
No. 5 Menendez
No. 6 Crystal River
No. 7 Hernando
No. 8 Eastside

PROJECTED REGIONAL QUARTERFINAL PAIRINGS

No. 8 Eastside at No. 1 Zephyrhills
No. 5 Menendez at No. 4 Baker County
No. 6 Crystal River at No. 3 Nature Coast
No. 7 Hernando at No. 2 North Marion

QUICK THOUGHTS: Zephyrhills jumps into the No. 1 seed after a tough-fought battle over River Ridge while North Marion drops back to No. 2 and Nature Coast moves back to No. 3. Baker County stays still at No. 4. Menendez and Crystal River trade seeds while Hernando stays locked in at No. 7 and Eastside moves into the No. 8 seed for now. Zephyrhills, North Marion, and Baker County can all clinch district titles this week while Nature Coast will have to wait a bit longer.

REGION 3

NOTE: This has been edited after it was reported on Wednesday, October 17 that Gibbs has forfeited all game through October 5, including a previous win over Tarpon Springs. As such, the forfeit is now reflect in the rankings in this section.

Team Record Avg
Hardee 7-0 42.43
Jesuit 7-0 41.43
Booker 3-4 37.43
DeSoto County 5-2 37.00
Lakewood 3-5 36.00
Immokalee 3-5 36.00
Jefferson 4-4 36.00
Tarpon Springs 5-3 36.00
Dunbar 3-4 35.57
Robinson 4-3 35.57
Southeast 4-3 35.14
Cypress Lake 3-4 33.86
Lemon Bay 1-6 33.57
Gibbs 1-7 33.50
Mariner 4-3 32.71
Lely 1-6 32.14
Bayshore 3-4 31.57
Clewiston 1-6 29.86
Spoto 3-5 29.75
Middleton 2-5 29.00
Dunedin 0-7 26.00

 

PROJECTED SEEDS

District Champions

No. 1 Hardee (5A-11)
No. 2 Jesuit (5A-10)
No. 3 Tarpon Springs (5A-9)
No. 4 Dunbar (5A-12)

Wildcards

No. 5 Booker
No. 6 DeSoto County
No. 7 Lakewood*
No. 8 Immokalee*

*Several tiebreakers here as Lakewood, Immokalee, and Jefferson are tied. Lakewood wins the first tiebreaker for the No. 7 seed with more CAT 2 wins over Immokalee or Jefferson (1-0-0). The second tiebreaker comes down to Immokalee and Jefferson. Immokalee wins this tiebreaker with more CAT 3 wins over Jefferson (1-0).

PROJECTED REGIONAL QUARTERFINAL PAIRINGS

No. 8 Immokalee at No. 1 Hardee
No. 5 Booker at No. 4 Dunbar
No. 6 DeSoto County at No. 3 Tarpon Springs
No. 7 Lakewood at No. 2 Jesuit

QUICK THOUGHTS: This region is just a downright mess… Let me say this – most of these teams should not even be considered for the playoffs. Let’s start with the good: First, this is Hardee or Jesuit’s region to win outright. No one else’s. The bad… Gibbs is going be a 2-8 or 3-7 district champion after they surprisingly beat Lakewood last week. Does this tell you anything about this region? From there it is just a mess trying to figure things out. Jesuit and Gibbs have their district titles in hand. Hardee could clinch their title as early as this week if DeSoto County drops one more district game, putting the rivalry game as almost meaningless next week. For Dunbar, a win this week will clinch their district as well.

REGION 4

Team Record Avg
Rockledge 6-1 43.57
Jones 6-1 43.29
Cardinal Gibbons 5-2 41.00
American Heritage (Plantation) 5-2 40.29
Space Coast 5-2 39.00
Bishop Moore 4-3 38.57
Merritt Island 4-3 37.86
Coconut Creek 4-3 37.14
Palm Bay 3-5 36.25
Hallandale 4-3 36.57
Fort Pierce Westwood 5-2 36.57
Miami Jackson 4-3 34.86
Eustis 4-3 32.57
Port St. Lucie 4-4 31.75
Tavares 2-5 30.86
Suncoast 2-6 30.75
Stranahan 1-6 30.71
Titusville 0-8 30.50
Pompano Beach 0-7 24.00

 

PROJECTED SEEDS

District Champions

No. 1 Rockledge (5A-14)
No. 2 Jones (5A-13)
No. 3 Cardinal Gibbons (5A-16)
No. 4 Fort Pierce Westwood (5A-15)

Wildcards

No. 5 American Heritage (Plantation)
No. 6 Space Coast
No. 7 Bishop Moore
No. 8 Merritt Island

PROJECTED REGIONAL QUARTERFINAL PAIRINGS

No. 8 Merritt Island at No. 1 Rockledge
No. 5 American Heritage (Plantation) at No. 4 Fort Pierce Westwood
No. 6 Space Coast at No. 3 Cardinal Gibbons
No. 7 Bishop Moore at No. 2 Jones

QUICK THOUGHTS: No changes in the top two seeds, but No. 3 comes Cardinal Gibbons who got a big win over Plantation American Heritage last week. They can wrap up the district championship this week with a win over Hallandale. Fort Pierce Westwood has already clinched their district championship, so they are guaranteed to be locked into at the No. 4 seed despite their average being lower than a majority of the region. Coconut Creek falls out of the seeding mix while Bishop Moore jumps in to take the No. 7 seed right now. Rockledge and Jones can wrap up their districts this week with wins.

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