Four weeks are in the books for the 2021 Florida high school football season and the FHSAA has released their first look at the RPI rankings as we head into Week 5 of the season
As such this update provides the entire state a glimpse of what the potential playoff matchups could be looking like come the second week of November, but remember things change, as we still have seven weeks worth of games (including this week) to go and this is just a very early glimpse at things.
In Classes 5A-8A, district record was taken into consideration except on certain exceptions which are noted.
For Class 6A, you will find a breakdown of RPI rankings for each team in every region and a projected seeding (including tiebreakers) based upon the guidelines as published by the FHSAA (click here to view), as well as quick thoughts about each region.
REGION 1
| Rank | School | RPI | OWP | OOWP |
| 1 | Gulf Breeze | 0.75208 | 0.50000 | 0.75694 |
| 2 | Riverside | 0.75104 | 0.58333 | 0.65625 |
| 3 | Mosley | 0.67604 | 0.41667 | 0.60069 |
| 4 | Columbia | 0.65573 | 0.58333 | 0.63021 |
| 5 | St. Augustine | 0.62778 | 0.88889 | 0.27778 |
| 6 | Rickards | 0.61771 | 0.50000 | 0.60069 |
| 7 | Choctawhatchee | 0.61458 | 0.45833 | 0.63889 |
| 8 | Gainesville | 0.60000 | 0.45833 | 0.59028 |
| 9 | Lincoln | 0.59063 | 0.75000 | 0.51042 |
| 10 | Milton | 0.57708 | 0.79167 | 0.41667 |
| 11 | Middleburg | 0.49792 | 0.12500 | 0.63889 |
| 12 | Booker T. Washington (Pensacola) | 0.49028 | 0.38889 | 0.40278 |
| 13 | Orange Park | 0.47135 | 0.62500 | 0.55035 |
| 14 | Pine Forest | 0.43542 | 0.50000 | 0.28472 |
| 15 | Westside | 0.43021 | 0.54167 | 0.51042 |
| 16 | Englewood | 0.42292 | 0.62500 | 0.38889 |
| 17 | Escambia | 0.41389 | 0.41667 | 0.50463 |
| 18 | Fort Walton Beach | 0.36458 | 0.70833 | 0.38889 |
| 19 | Ridgeview | 0.36389 | 0.38889 | 0.37037 |
| 20 | Matanzas | 0.34583 | 0.41667 | 0.37500 |
PROJECTED DISTRICT CHAMPS
This is based on current district standings and taking the highest-rated team among the district standings if they have won district games. Should a district not have any district games played as of yet, the highest-rated team will be mythically slotted in as a district champion for projection purposes only.
6A-1: Gulf Breeze – No. 1
6A-2: Mosley – No. 3
6A-3: Riverside – No. 2
6A-4: St. Augustine – No. 4
PROJECTED REGIONAL QUARTERFINAL PAIRINGS
No. 8 Gainesville vs. No. 1 Gulf Breeze
No. 5 Columbia vs. No. 4 St. Augustine
No. 6 Rickards vs. No. 3 Mosley
No. 7 Choctawhatchee vs. No. 2 Riverside
QUICK THOUGHTS: A lot of solid teams here in this first ranking for the region and the projections will provide some pretty good games if they came to pass. However, with seven weeks of football left, there is a lot that is going to change – and will change in that time stretch as we work our way to November.
REGION 2
| Rank | School | RPI | OWP | OOWP |
| 1 | Auburndale | 0.77222 | 0.61111 | 0.69444 |
| 2 | Vanguard | 0.70000 | 0.50000 | 0.58333 |
| 3 | Jones | 0.63229 | 0.83333 | 0.55208 |
| 4 | New Smyrna Beach | 0.58958 | 0.41667 | 0.60417 |
| 5 | Belleview | 0.56354 | 0.33333 | 0.61458 |
| 6 | Eau Gallie | 0.55729 | 0.75000 | 0.39931 |
| 7 | Lake Wales | 0.54722 | 0.44444 | 0.52778 |
| 8 | Springstead | 0.53958 | 0.25000 | 0.63194 |
| 9 | Heritage (Palm Bay) | 0.51944 | 0.83333 | 0.37037 |
| 10 | Mainland | 0.48472 | 0.72222 | 0.38426 |
| 11 | Port St. Lucie | 0.45222 | 0.16667 | 0.53519 |
| 12 | Suncoast | 0.45000 | 1.00000 | 0.33333 |
| 13 | Lecanto | 0.39583 | 0.58333 | 0.34722 |
| 14 | South Lake | 0.38889 | 0.77778 | 0.38889 |
| 15 | Pasco | 0.38611 | 0.72222 | 0.44444 |
| 16 | Lake Minneola | 0.37708 | 0.08333 | 0.57639 |
| 17 | Gateway (Kissimmee) | 0.29722 | 0.11111 | 0.47222 |
| 18 | South Fork | 0.22500 | 0.41667 | 0.26389 |
| 19 | Okeechobee | 0.20417 | 0.25000 | 0.38889 |
PROJECTED DISTRICT CHAMPS
This is based on current district standings and taking the highest-rated team among the district standings if they have won district games. Should a district not have any district games played as of yet, the highest-rated team will be mythically slotted in as a district champion for projection purposes only.
6A-5: Belleview – No. 3
6A-6: Jones – No. 2
6A-7: Auburndale – No. 1
6A-8: Port St. Lucie – No. 4
PROJECTED REGIONAL QUARTERFINAL PAIRINGS
No. 8 Springstead vs. No. 1 Auburndale
No. 5 Vanguard vs. No. 4 Port St. Lucie
No. 6 New Smyrna Beach vs. No. 3 Belleview
No. 7 Eau Gallie vs. No. 2 Jones
QUICK THOUGHTS: This is a very interesting projection given the rankings here. With a lot of football left, there is going to be a lot of changes in this region and we expect those changes to come sooner rather than later as we progress. Just seems strange though to be projecting Belleview over Vanguard as a district champ, but until Vanguard gets a district game in, this is where it will stand.
REGION 3
| Rank | School | RPI | OWP | OOWP |
| 1 | Jesuit | 0.76667 | 0.58333 | 0.70833 |
| 2 | Pinellas Park | 0.74167 | 0.62500 | 0.57639 |
| 3 | Northeast (St. Petersburg) | 0.68889 | 0.55556 | 0.48148 |
| 4 | Hillsborough | 0.65729 | 0.83333 | 0.63542 |
| 5 | Braden River | 0.65208 | 0.41667 | 0.52083 |
| 6 | Boca Ciega | 0.59444 | 0.55556 | 0.55556 |
| 7 | Sumner | 0.50000 | 0.25000 | 0.50000 |
| 8 | Seminole (Seminole) | 0.45833 | 0.41667 | 0.45833 |
| 9 | Countryside | 0.44792 | 0.37500 | 0.47222 |
| 10 | Freedom | 0.40625 | 0.58333 | 0.38194 |
| 11 | Sunlake | 0.39583 | 0.45833 | 0.49306 |
| 12 | Southeast | 0.36389 | 0.33333 | 0.43519 |
| 13 | Blake | 0.35625 | 0.00000 | 0.60417 |
| 14 | Jefferson | 0.35417 | 0.37500 | 0.45139 |
| 15 | Fivay | 0.33854 | 0.41667 | 0.35069 |
| 16 | River Ridge | 0.33854 | 0.50000 | 0.25347 |
| 17 | Brandon | 0.32708 | 0.66667 | 0.31250 |
| 18 | St. Petersburg | 0.31111 | 0.61111 | 0.32407 |
| 19 | Hollins | 0.30833 | 0.58333 | 0.34722 |
| 20 | Spoto | 0.24167 | 0.33333 | 0.41667 |
| 21 | King | 0.20625 | 0.25000 | 0.39583 |
PROJECTED DISTRICT CHAMPS
This is based on current district standings and taking the highest-rated team among the district standings if they have won district games. Should a district not have any district games played as of yet, the highest-rated team will be mythically slotted in as a district champion for projection purposes only.
6A-9: Countryside – No. 4
6A-10: Jesuit – No. 1
6A-11: Pinellas Park – No. 2
6A-12: Braden River – No. 3
PROJECTED REGIONAL QUARTERFINAL PAIRINGS
No. 8 Sumner vs. No. 1 Jesuit
No. 5 Northeast vs. No. 4 Countryside
No. 6 Hillsborough vs. No. 3 Braden River
No. 7 Boca Ciega vs. No. 2 Pinellas Park
QUICK THOUGHTS: The teams being projected out as potential district champions seem to be on point currently early at this point with the rankings. Even the teams projected as the at-large teams are pretty solid teams so far this season and are looking to make some noise of their own.
REGION 4
| Rank | School | RPI | OWP | OOWP |
| 1 | Dunbar (Fort Myers) | 0.81250 | 0.72222 | 0.69907 |
| 2 | Naples | 0.76111 | 0.55556 | 0.72222 |
| 3 | South Fort Myers | 0.74688 | 0.66667 | 0.54514 |
| 4 | Miami Northwestern | 0.71042 | 0.83333 | 0.52083 |
| 5 | Fort Myers | 0.67083 | 0.72222 | 0.61574 |
| 6 | Coconut Creek | 0.60208 | 0.50000 | 0.54861 |
| 7 | Charlotte | 0.56389 | 0.50000 | 0.51852 |
| 8 | Golden Gate | 0.53229 | 0.66667 | 0.41319 |
| 9 | Barron Collier | 0.52708 | 0.58333 | 0.49306 |
| 10 | Lely | 0.51250 | 0.33333 | 0.54167 |
| 11 | Miami Norland | 0.49479 | 0.58333 | 0.38542 |
| 12 | Belen Jesuit | 0.48854 | 0.41667 | 0.55903 |
| 13 | Plantation | 0.47083 | 0.58333 | 0.30556 |
| 14 | Boyd Anderson | 0.41250 | 0.44444 | 0.46759 |
| 15 | Hollywood Hills | 0.39167 | 0.50000 | 0.33333 |
| 16 | North Fort Myers | 0.38333 | 0.20833 | 0.45139 |
| 17 | Ida Baker | 0.35000 | 0.41667 | 0.38889 |
| 18 | Cape Coral | 0.34444 | 0.22222 | 0.50000 |
| 19 | American | 0.28542 | 0.12500 | 0.51389 |
| 20 | South Miami | 0.28333 | 0.11111 | 0.42593 |
| 21 | East Lee County | 0.21667 | 0.33333 | 0.33333 |
| 22 | Northeast (Oakland Park) | 0.19861 | 0.27778 | 0.33796 |
PROJECTED DISTRICT CHAMPS
This is based on current district standings and taking the highest-rated team among the district standings if they have won district games. Should a district not have any district games played as of yet, the highest-rated team will be mythically slotted in as a district champion for projection purposes only.
6A-13: Dunbar – No. 1
6A-14: Naples – No. 2
6A-15: Coconut Creek – No. 4
6A-16: Miami Northwestern – No. 3
PROJECTED REGIONAL QUARTERFINAL PAIRINGS
No. 8 Golden Gate vs. No. 1 Dunbar
No. 5 South Fort Myers vs. No. 4 Coconut Creek
No. 6 Fort Myers vs. No. 3 Miami Northwestern
No. 7 Charlotte vs. No. 2 Naples
QUICK THOUGHTS: No shocks here looking at the teams projected as district champions at this particular point. They are all doing well and showing that they belong in this conversation in the ratings. Even three of the four teams projected as at-large berths at this point are not surprising either. However, buckle up as we still got a lot of football left to play!
