[Logo courtesy of the FHSAA]

Four weeks are in the books for the 2021 Florida high school football season and the FHSAA has released their first look at the RPI rankings as we head into Week 5 of the season

As such this update provides the entire state a glimpse of what the potential playoff matchups could be looking like come the second week of November, but remember things change, as we still have seven weeks worth of games (including this week) to go and this is just a very early glimpse at things.

In Classes 5A-8A, district record was taken into consideration except on certain exceptions which are noted.

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For Class 8A, you will find a breakdown of RPI rankings for each team in every region and a projected seeding (including tiebreakers) based upon the guidelines as published by the FHSAA (click here to view), as well as quick thoughts about each region.

REGION 1

Rank School RPI OWP OOWP
1 Lake Mary 0.86111 0.88889 0.66667
2 Seminole (Sanford) 0.81563 0.75000 0.67708
3 Apopka 0.75694 0.72222 0.51389
4 Winter Park 0.73125 0.75000 0.68750
5 Creekside 0.72188 0.50000 0.65625
6 Lake Brantley 0.67500 0.66667 0.59722
7 Oviedo 0.65833 0.33333 0.63889
8 Ocoee 0.64167 0.38889 0.51852
9 Flagler Palm Coast 0.63611 0.61111 0.62963
10 Bartram Trail 0.63333 0.54167 0.60417
11 Oakleaf 0.53167 0.56250 0.53264
12 Evans 0.51458 0.41667 0.64583
13 Hagerty 0.46667 0.33333 0.58333
14 Sandalwood 0.43229 0.58333 0.46875
15 University 0.43125 0.58333 0.46528
16 Timber Creek 0.42639 0.38889 0.57870
17 Mandarin 0.41563 0.50000 0.51042
18 DeLand 0.38333 0.66667 0.50000
19 Colonial 0.37222 0.33333 0.46296
20 West Port 0.34583 0.62500 0.42361

PROJECTED DISTRICT CHAMPS
This is based on current district standings and taking the highest-rated team among the district standings if they have won district games. Should a district not have any district games played as of yet, the highest-rated team will be mythically slotted in as a district champion for projection purposes only. 

8A-1: Creekside – No. 3
8A-2: Seminole – No. 1
8A-3: Lake Brantley – No. 4
8A-4: Winter Park – No. 2

PROJECTED REGIONAL QUARTERFINAL PAIRINGS

No. 8 Ocoee vs. No. 1 Seminole
No. 5 Lake Mary vs. No. 4 Lake Brantley
No. 6 Apopka vs. No. 3 Creekside
No. 7 Oviedo vs. No. 2 Winter Park

QUICK THOUGHTS: We got a classic example here of what happens when rankings kind of come out to early, things look a little lopsided when you are trying to project out things. However, this is going to change a lot over the next few weeks, so don’t be surprised if this looks different – like next week.

REGION 2

Rank School RPI OWP OOWP
1 Palm Beach Central 0.79896 0.66667 0.71875
2 Vero Beach 0.71250 0.83333 0.62500
3 Park Vista 0.67500 0.33333 0.69444
4 Treasure Coast 0.62500 0.16667 0.72222
5 Boone 0.59861 0.61111 0.50463
6 Palm Beach Gardens 0.55833 0.62500 0.54861
7 Lake Nona 0.53333 0.66667 0.41667
8 Forest Hill 0.51938 0.62500 0.41875
9 Wellington 0.50139 0.77778 0.37500
10 Jupiter 0.48646 0.41667 0.55208
11 Oak Ridge 0.48542 0.50000 0.45139
12 Fort Pierce Central 0.47778 0.33333 0.42593
13 Royal Palm Beach 0.47500 0.88889 0.54630
14 Centennial 0.46250 0.45833 0.42361
15 Freedom (Orlando) 0.45396 0.37500 0.49236
16 Palm Beach Lakes 0.37500 0.75000 0.37500
17 Lake Worth 0.37083 0.66667 0.45833
18 Tohopekaliga 0.31875 0.41667 0.28472
19 Santaluces 0.29167 0.54167 0.34028
20 Cypress Creek (Orlando) 0.28833 0.16667 0.47500
21 John I. Leonard 0.26354 0.20833 0.34375

PROJECTED DISTRICT CHAMPS
This is based on current district standings and taking the highest-rated team among the district standings if they have won district games. Should a district not have any district games played as of yet, the highest-rated team will be mythically slotted in as a district champion for projection purposes only. 

8A-5: Boone – No. 4
8A-6: Vero Beach – No. 2
8A-7: Palm Beach Central – No. 1
8A-8: Park Vista – No. 3

PROJECTED REGIONAL QUARTERFINAL PAIRINGS

No. 8 Forest Hill vs. No. 1 Palm Beach Central
No. 5 Treasure Coast vs. No. 4 Boone
No. 6 Palm Beach Gardens vs. No. 3 Park Vista
No. 7 Lake Nona vs. No. 2 Vero Beach

QUICK THOUGHTS: What is neat is that all four teams being projected as district champs have started off the season really hot and/or have played a solid schedule to put them in this position. However, as I keep stressing, things are going to change as we get closer and closer to November.

REGION 3

Rank School RPI OWP OOWP
1 Venice 0.89167 1.00000 0.63889
2 Riverview (Sarasota) 0.70833 0.79167 0.56250
3 Gulf Coast 0.65972 0.66667 0.64352
4 Plant 0.65417 0.33333 0.62500
5 Sarasota 0.63333 0.50000 0.65278
6 Plant City 0.61667 0.66667 0.50000
7 Dr. Phillips 0.60208 0.70833 0.59722
8 Newsome 0.59583 0.41667 0.62500
9 West Orange 0.58958 0.50000 0.50694
10 Osceola 0.58056 0.44444 0.63889
11 Durant 0.55833 0.41667 0.50000
12 Celebration 0.54306 0.44444 0.51389
13 Palm Harbor University 0.52500 0.33333 0.58333
14 George Steinbrenner 0.51250 0.75000 0.54167
15 Riverview (Riverview) 0.49167 0.45833 0.52083
16 East Lake 0.48854 0.83333 0.36458
17 Lakewood Ranch 0.47917 0.70833 0.47917
18 Alonso 0.46875 0.50000 0.39583
19 Olympia 0.43056 0.50000 0.46296
20 Windermere 0.39667 0.33333 0.35000

PROJECTED DISTRICT CHAMPS
This is based on current district standings and taking the highest-rated team among the district standings if they have won district games. Should a district not have any district games played as of yet, the highest-rated team will be mythically slotted in as a district champion for projection purposes only. 

8A-9: Dr. Phillips – No. 3
8A-10: Plant City – No. 2
8A-11: Palm Harbor University – No. 4
8A-12: Venice – No. 1

PROJECTED REGIONAL QUARTERFINAL PAIRINGS

No. 8 Sarasota vs. No. 1 Venice
No. 5 Riverview (Sarasota) vs. No. 4 Palm Harbor University
No. 6 Gulf Coast vs. No. 3 Dr. Phillips
No. 7 Plant vs. No. 2 Plant City

QUICK THOUGHTS: Here we go… this is a region where we know lots of football is left to play and I truly don’t belive that outside of Venice on the projected district winners that this list will even look anything like this come late October when we know who the majority of the district champions will be.

REGION 4

Rank School RPI OWP OOWP
1 Miami Palmetto 0.74028 1.00000 0.52315
2 Cypress Bay 0.73750 0.66667 0.51389
3 Western 0.72396 0.83333 0.56597
4 Deerfield Beach 0.67813 0.75000 0.51042
5 Stoneman Douglas 0.66806 0.77778 0.54167
6 Boca Raton 0.63125 0.77778 0.41898
7 Miami Beach 0.61792 0.33333 0.50417
8 Coral Reef 0.61667 0.50000 0.59722
9 Miami High 0.61458 0.66667 0.49306
10 West Broward 0.57083 0.66667 0.54167
11 Southwest Miami 0.50000 0.50000 0.50000
12 Coral Glades 0.47500 0.33333 0.61111
13 Columbus 0.46667 0.66667 0.38889
14 Monarch 0.46111 0.16667 0.56482
15 South Dade 0.45625 0.61111 0.41898
16 Dr. Krop 0.44792 0.33333 0.52083
17 Flanagan 0.44722 0.22222 0.45370
18 West Boca Raton 0.30479 0.31250 0.35972
19 Taravella 0.28333 0.45833 0.40972
20 Coral Springs 0.23611 0.38889 0.33333
21 Coral Gables 0.13750 0.11111 0.32870

PROJECTED DISTRICT CHAMPS
This is based on current district standings and taking the highest-rated team among the district standings if they have won district games. Should a district not have any district games played as of yet, the highest-rated team will be mythically slotted in as a district champion for projection purposes only. 

8A-13: Deerfield Beach – No. 3
8A-14: Cypress Bay – No. 2
8A-15: Miami Beach – No. 4
8A-16: Miami Palmetto – No. 1

PROJECTED REGIONAL QUARTERFINAL PAIRINGS

No. 8 Coral Reef vs. No. 1 Miami Palmetto
No. 5 Western vs. No. 4 Miami Beach
No. 6 Stoneman Douglas vs. No. 3 Deerfield Beach
No. 7 Boca Ratonvs. No. 2 Cypress Bay

QUICK THOUGHTS: Very interesting projections for this region and with a lot of games last week having been postponed due to weather, there is a lot of data here that we don’t have and thus the projections are very interesting early on here. A lot of football to come.