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FHSF Power Rankings Index: Week 2 statewide game forecast

The FHSF PRI computer has crunched the numbers and told us who is going to get victories for the second week of the season

byJoshua Wilson
August 31, 2023
0
Miami Central gets their season started this week with a huge test at Bishop Gorman. [Joshua Wilson/FloridaHSFootball.com]

Miami Central gets their season started this week with a huge test at Bishop Gorman. [Joshua Wilson/FloridaHSFootball.com]

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Welcome to the FloridaHSFootball.com Power Rankings Index. The index ranks teams and forecasts games based on the strength of schedule, including the strength of opposition and margin of victory, with more recent games weighing more heavily as a factor. The forecasted margin of victory is determined by subtracting the power ranking of the lower-rated team from the power ranking of the higher-rated team.

While it should be noted that things look similar in style to what the legendary Joe Pinkos did in determining his forecasts (which we honor his legacy in formatting the forecast the way he did), the formula created here is not part of Joe’s formula which was a secret and unfortunately lost when Joe passed away almost two years ago.

Game forecasts are sorted by classification of favorites and listed alphabetically. The underdog’s classification is noted for inter-classification games.

CLASS 4M

Alonso 27 over (2M) Blake

Atlantic Coast 7 over (2M) Ribault

Boone 34 over Evans

Columbine (CO) 56 over Freedom (Orlando)

Columbus 35 over (2M) Miami Killian

Cypress Bay 20 over (3M) Blanche Ely

Cypress Creek (Orlando) 18 over (2M) Lake Buena Vista

Doral Academy 63 over (1M) Palm Glades Prep

Durant 61 over (2M) Middleton

Forest Hill 43 over (2M) Suncoast

Jupiter 6 over Park Vista

Lake Brantley 9 over (3M) Lyman

Lake Nona 41 over Colonial

Monarch 11 over (3M) Atlantic (Delray Beach)

Newsome 31 over Sickles

Ocoee 13 over (3M) Wekiva

Olympia 48 over Oak Ridge

Olympic Heights 35 over John I. Leonard

Palm Beach Central 37 over Boca Raton

Palm Harbor University 17 over (3M) St. Petersburg

Seminole (Sanford) 14 over Osceola (Kissimmee)

Spanish River 33 over (IND) Somerset Academy Key

Strawberry Crest 37 over (3M) Spoto

Sumner 68 over (2M) Chamberlain

Timber Creek 7 over Dr. Phillips

University (Orlando) 15 over Lewisburg (MS)

West Orange 15 over Apopka

Windermere 29 over (SSAA) St. Joseph

CLASS 3M

Armwood 31 over Bloomingdale

Dakota Ridge (CO) 46 over East River

Deerfield Beach 7 over (4M) Coral Glades

Edgewater 1 over (IND) Clearwater Academy

Fletcher 6 over (4S) Chiles

Fort Lauderdale 70 over (2M) Hallandale

Gainesville (GA) 15 over Coconut Creek

Hialeah 5 over (2M) Miami Springs

Hollywood Hills 49 over (IND) Dr. Joaquin Garcia

Homestead 23 over (3M) South Dade

Horizon 21 over Lake Howell

Jesuit 24 over (4S) Treasure Coast

Jones 21 over Our Lady of Good Counsel (MD)

Leto 9 over (2M) Brandon

Miami Beach 1 over (4M) Miami High

Miami Southridge 7 over Dr. Krop

North Miami 20 over (4S) Lake Gibson

Northeast (St. Petersburg) 3 over (2M) Clearwater

Nova 25 over (4M) Cooper City

Osceola (Seminole) 56 over Dunedin

Oviedo 27 over (4S) University (Orange City)

Pembroke Pines Charter 37 over (SSAC) Coral Springs Charter

Pinellas Park 21 over (2M) Boca Ciega

Piper 43 over (4M) Coral Springs

Plantation 49 over (2M) Stranahan

Riverview (Riverview) 70 over (3M) Freedom (Tampa)

Seminole (Seminole) 3 over (IND) Tarpon Springs

Seminole Ridge 68 over (4M) Royal Palm Beach

South Broward 48 over Everglades

South Plantation 51 over (4M) Taravella

St. Thomas Aquinas 29 over (3S) Fort Myers

Tampa Bay Tech 44 over (4M) Steinbrenner

West Boca Raton 44 over (4M) Lake Worth

Wharton 29 over (4M) Plant City

CLASS 2M

Andrew Jackson 63 over Westside

Berkeley Prep 14 over (4M) Plant

Bishop Gorman 28 over Miami Central

Bishop Moore 1 over (3S) Eau Gallie

Bolles 9 over (4M) Mandarin

Booker T. Washington (Miami) 7 over Miami Edison

Boynton Beach 30 over (4M) Santaluces

Ed White 13 over (4M) Sandalwood

Episcopal 54 over Orange Park

Gulliver Prep 58 over (1M) Everglades Prep

Immaculata-LaSalle 44 over Monsignor Pace

Jefferson 8 over King

King’s Academy 40 over Glades Central

Lakewood 4 over (4M) Miami Palmetto

Miami Norland 55 over Miami Carol City

Miami Northwestern 9 over Miami Jackson

North Broward Prep 24 over (IND) Archbishop McCarthy

Riverside 39 over (3M) Terry Parker

Robinson 52 over (3M) Lennard

Saint Andrew’s 68 over (1M) St. John Paul II (Boca Raton)

Somerset Canyons 13 over (SSAC) Glades Day

South Miami 23 over (3M) American

St. Brendan 10 over (1M) Somerset South Homestead

Tampa Catholic 16 over (IND) TRU Prep Academy

Westland Hialeah 40 over (3M) Mater Academy

CLASS 1M

Archbishop Carroll 1 over (4M) Goleman

Avant Garde 13 over Westminster Christian

Cardinal Newman 32 over (3M) Belen Jesuit

Carrollwood Day 27 over Christ School (NC)

Chaminade-Madonna 16 over (2M) Cardinal Gibbons

Clearwater Central Catholic 12 over (1S) Trinity Catholic

First Academy (Orlando) 70 over (4S) South Lake

Florida Christian 51 over (IND) Aubrey Rogers

Foundation Academy 65 over (SSAC) Cocoa Beach

Indian Rocks Christian 25 over Seffner Christian

Northside Christian 36 over (SSAA) Saint Stephen’s Episcopal

Orlando Christian Prep 70 over (3S) Liberty (Kissimmee)

Palmer Trinity 23 over (IND) Coral Shores

Trinity Christian (Jacksonville) 1 over American Heritage (Plantation)

True North 70 over BridgePrep Academy

CLASS 4S

Bartram Trail 37 over (3S) Seabreeze

Buchholz 18 over Riverview (Sarasota)

Creekside 24 over Nease

Fleming Island 20 over (1M) North Florida Educational

Gulf Breeze 7 over Crestview

Gulf Coast 2 over (3S) Lely

Haines City 7 over (3S) Auburndale

Harmony 23 over Celebration

Heritage 12 over (2S) Palm Bay

Ida Baker 10 over (3S) Bonita Springs

Lakeland 24 over (3M) Largo

Land O’ Lakes 64 over (2S) Anclote

Manatee 3 over Sarasota

Martin County 16 over (4M) Wellington

Mitchell 11 over (4M) East Lake

Mosley 15 over (2S) Bay

New Smyrna Beach 1 over (1S) Zephyrhills Christian

Niceville 51 over Milton

Pace 8 over (3S) Lincoln

Springstead 49 over (3S) Citrus

Spruce Creek 13 over (3S) Deltona

St. Cloud 27 over (3S) Pine Ridge

Tate 7 over (2S) Pensacola

Tocoi Creek 1 over (3S) Matanzas

Tohopekaliga 6 over (2S) Fort Meade

West Port 14 over (3M) Winter Springs

Winter Haven 24 over (3S) Lake Region

Wiregrass Ranch 18 over (3S) Wesley Chapel

CLASS 3S

Barron Collier 45 over (4S) Palmetto Ridge

Belleview 11 over (2S) Crystal River

Clay 43 over Ridgeview

Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel) 38 over (4S) Sunlake

Davenport 14 over (2S) Tenoroc

Dunbar 38 over North Fort Myers

Duncanville (TX) 37 over Rockledge

Fairhope (AL) 26 over Choctawhatchee

Fort Pierce Westwood 20 over South Fork

Gainesville 17 over (4S) Leon

Golden Gate 11 over Immokalee

Jensen Beach 25 over (3M) Dwyer

Lake Wales 32 over (4S) Ridge Community

Mainland 32 over (4M) West Broward

Menendez 10 over (3M) Englewood

Merritt Island 11 over (4S) Melbourne

Naples 20 over (3M) Dillard

Pasco 27 over FIvay

Pine Forest 42 over (4S) Navarre

Port Charlotte 28 over (4S) Charlotte

Port St. Lucie 42 over (4M) Palm Beach Lakes

Rickards 26 over (2S) Gadsden County

Satellite 23 over (4S) Viera+

Sebring 23 over (2S) Clewiston

South Fort Myers 18 over (4S) Riverdale

Vanguard 11 over (4S) Lake Minneola

Zephyrhills 24 over (2S) The Villages

CLASS 2S

Avon Park 4 over (IND) Jordan Christian Prep

Baker County 1 over (4S) Oakleaf

Baldwin 10 over Bradford

Bishop Verot 43 over (4S) Lehigh

Booker 21 over (3S) Southeast

Charlton County (GA) 35 over West Nassau

Cocoa 1 over (4S) Venice

Crescent City 8 over Umatilla

DeSoto County 2 over (3S) Mariner

Dunnellon 25 over North Marion

Eastside 1 over Keystone Heights

Estero 43 over (3S) East Lee County

Eustis 22 over (3S) Leesburg

Florida High 41 over (4S) Ponte Vedra

Hardee 1 over Frostproof

Hudson 35 over (3S) Gulf

Lake Placid 4 over (3S) Cypress Lake

Lanier County (GA) 55 over Santa Fe

Lemon Bay 14 over (3S) Parrish Community

Mount Dora 27 over Central (Brooksville)

Mulberry 28 over (4S) George Jenkins

Nature Coast 55 over Hernando

Palatka 35 over Atlantic (Port Orange)

Pensacola Catholic 1 over (3S) Escambia

South Sumter 70 over (2M) North Miami Beach

South Walton 70 over (3S) Fort Walton Beach

Taylor (Pierson) 33 over (IND) Saint Francis Catholic

Wakulla 15 over Balboa (CA)

Walton 25 over Flomaton (AL)

West Florida 12 over (3S) Booker T. Washington (Pensacola)

Yulee 28 over Titusville

CLASS 1S

Brookwood School (GA) 21 over Maclay

Cardinal Mooney 30 over (4S) Lakewood Ranch

Evangelical Christian 24 over (3S) Island Coast

Father Lopez 28 over (SSAA) Cedar Creek Christian

Holy Trinity 56 over (3S) Bayside

John Carroll 4 over (1M) Calvary Christian (Fort Lauderdale)

Lakeland Christian 38 over (IND) West Oaks Academy

Melbourne Central Catholic 12 over (SSAA) Space Coast

Mobile Christian (AL) 3 over Munroe Day

Moore Haven 30 over (3M) Hollins

North Florida Christian 5 over (1M) University Christian

Rocky Bayou Christian 61 over (IND) Joshua Christian

St. John Neumann 43 over (SSAA) Gateway Charter

St. John Paul II (Tallahassee) 2 over Calvary Christian (Clearwater)

Victory Christian 45 over (IND) Ambassadors Christian Academy

CLASS 1R

Aucilla Christian 70 over Graceville

Baker 36 over (IND) Destin

Blountstown 50 over Rutherford

Bozeman 24 over Southwest Georgia Academy (GA)

Chiefland 1 over Wildwood

Chipley 61 over Geneva (AL)

Freeport 13 over Jay

Hawthorne 25 over Newberry

Hilliard 22 over (1M) Cambridge Christian

Holmes County 2 over North Bay Haven

Liberty County 13 over (2S) Marianna

Northview 39 over Escambia County (AL)

Pahokee 27 over (2M) Inlet Grove

Sneads 70 over (3S) Arnold

Vernon 8 over Franklin County

Williston 49 over (3M) First Coast

SSAC 11-MAN

Bell 2 over (1R) Wewahitchka

Boca Raton Christian 69 over (IND) SmartEn Sports Academy

Bradenton Christian 33 over Bell Creek Academy

Canterbury (Fort Myers) 2 over (1S) Southwest Florida Christian

Cornerstone Charter 23 over (1S) Halifax Academy

Eagle’s View Academy 42 over Harvest Community

First Academy-Leesburg 25 over Trinity Prep

Interlachen 11 over (1M) Providence

Jupiter Christian 70 over Tradition Prep

Lighthouse PCA 31 over (1S) FAMU DRS

Mount Dora Christian 29 over Orangewood Christian

NSU University School 37 over (2M) Pine Crest

Oak Hall 46 over Bishop Snyder

Out-of-Door 41 over Oasis

Seven Rivers Christian 6 over All Saints

St. Edward’s 23 over (3S) Okeechobee

The Master’s Academy (Oviedo) 23 over Cincinnati Hills Christian (OH)

Trinity Christian (Deltona) 1 over Warner Christian

Westminster Academy 40 over (2M) American Heritage (Delray)

Zarephath Academy 25 over (IND) Hollis Christian

SSAC 8-MAN

Classical Academy 51 over SLAM Tampa

Cornerstone Academy 33 over Geneva Classical

Countryside Christian 11 over Riverside Christian

Donahue Catholic 50 over First Coast Christian

Eastland Christian 24 over Real Life Christian

Master’s Academy (Vero Beach) 37 over Calvary Chapel

Merritt Island Christian 46 over City of Life Christian

Oasis Christian 15 over Four Corners Charter

Ocala Christian 34 over St. John Lutheran

Sarasota Christian 70 over Foundation Christian

Shorecrest Prep 45 over Lakeside Christian

INDEPENDENTS

American Collegiate 8 over Young Kids in Motion

Beachside 30 over (2S) Fernandina Beach

Coral Reef 31 over Varela

Ferguson 63 over Miami Sunset

IMG Academy White 45 over (2S) Key West

Keswick Christian 8 over Bishop McLaughlin

LaBelle 7 over (2S) Bayshore

Lake Highland Prep 42 over (SSAA) Palm Beach Christian Prep+

Marathon 15 over (2M) Somerset Silver Palms

Miami Coral Park 12 over (4M) Coral Gables

Pompano Beach 62 over (2M) Northeast (Oakland Park)

Ransom Everglades 32 over (4M) Somerset Academy (Pembroke Pines)

Reagan 30 over Hialeah Gardens

Specially Fit Academy 21 over A’kelynn’s Angels Christian

RECORDS

Last Week: 167-100 (.625)
Season: 174-106 (.621)

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