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FHSF Power Rankings Index: Week 7 statewide game forecast

The FHSF PRI computer has crunched the numbers and told us who is going to get victories this week

byJoshua Wilson
October 5, 2023 - Updated on October 12, 2023
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Welcome to the FloridaHSFootball.com Power Rankings Index. The index ranks teams and forecasts games based on the strength of schedule, including the strength of opposition and margin of victory, with more recent games weighing more heavily as a factor. The forecasted margin of victory is determined by subtracting the power ranking of the lower-rated team from the power ranking of the higher-rated team.

While it should be noted that things look similar in style to what the legendary Joe Pinkos did in determining his forecasts (which we honor his legacy in formatting the forecast the way he did), the formula created here is not part of Joe’s formula which was a secret and unfortunately lost when Joe passed away almost two years ago.

Game forecasts are sorted by classification of favorites and listed alphabetically. The underdog’s classification is noted for inter-classification games.

Here is the forecast for Week 7:

CLASS 4M

Alonso 7 over Riverview (Riverview)

Columbus 1 over (3M) Homestead

Cypress Bay 39 over Taravella

Doral Academy 9 over (3M) North Miami

Durant 25 over Sickles

Evans 5 over Oak Ridge

Goleman 22 over (IND) Hialeah Gardens

Hagerty 31 over (4S) Harmony

Jupiter 6 over Stoneman Douglas

Lake Mary 31 over (2M) North Miami Beach

Lake Nona 3 over Dr. Phillips

Lake Worth 5 over Royal Palm Beach

Mandarin 31 over (2M) Westside

Miami Palmetto 5 over (2M) Miami Edison

Monarch 14 over (3M) McArthur

Olympia 1 over Apopka

Palm Beach Central 9 over (1M) Benjamin

Park Vista 7 over Olympic Heights

Plant 34 over (2M) Jefferson

South Dade 23 over (3M) Southwest Miami

Strawberry Crest 10 over (2M) Middleton

Sumner 36 over (3M) Lennard

Windermere 8 over (4S) South Lake

Winter Park 9 over Ocoee

CLASS 3M

American 5 over Miami Beach

Armwood 10 over (4M) Steinbrenner

Blanche Ely 3 over (2M) Stranahan

Coconut Creek 16 over Fort Lauderdale

Dr. Krop 3 over (2M) Monsignor Pace

East River 13 over (4M) Colonial

Edgewater 17 over (4M) Timber Creek

Everglades 6 over (4M) Flanagan

Gaither 13 over Bloomingdale

Hialeah 32 over (2M) Hallandale

Horizon 18 over (4M) University (Orlando)

Jones 28 over (4M) Cypress Creek (Orlando)

Lake Howell 14 over (2M) Lake Buena Vista

Lyman 15 over (4S) East Ridge

Miramar 14 over Pembroke Pines Charter

Northeast (St. Petersburg) 1 over Osceola (Seminole)

Pinellas Park 7 over (2M) Clearwater

Piper 6 over South Plantation

Plantation 32 over Nova

Seminole Ridge 3 over (2M) Boynton Beach

South Broward 11 over (4M) West Broward

Spoto 13 over Leto

St. Petersburg 3 over Seminole (Seminole)

Tampa Bay Tech 18 over Hillsborough

Wharton 7 over (4M) Newsome

CLASS 2M

American Heritage (Plantation) 4 over (4M) Western

Andrew Jackson 13 over (4M) Sandalwood

Berkeley Prep 12 over (4S) Riverview (Sarasota)

Bishop Kenny 13 over (4S) Ponte Vedra

Blake 23 over King

Boca Ciega 4 over (3M) Countryside

Bolles 8 over (3S) Columbia

Calvary Christian (Clearwater) 3 over (1S) Trinity Catholic

Calvary Christian (Fort Lauderdale) 14 over (2S) Titusville

Cardinal Gibbons 13 over (3M) Belen Jesuit

Ed White 5 over (3M) Fletcher

Episcopal 7 over (3M) Englewood

Inlet Grove 16 over Suncoast

King’s Academy 39 over (1M) St. John Paul II (Boca Raton)

Lakewood 1 over (3M) Miami Southridge

Miami Norland 8 over Booker T. Washington (Miami)

Raines 17 over (3M) First Coast

Robinson 34 over (3M) Freedom (Tampa)

Saint Andrew’s 39 over (SSAA) Oxbridge Academy

Somerset Canyons 5 over (4M) Somerset Academy (Pembroke Pines)

South Miami 7 over Miami Springs

Westland Hialeah 21 over Miami Carol City

Wolfson 21 over (SSAA) Stanton

CLASS 1M

Archbishop Carroll 21 over Somerset South Homestead

Avant Garde 15 over (IND) TRU Prep

Cardinal Newman 18 over (2S) Clewiston

Chaminade-Madonna 20 over (3M) Dillard

Clearwater Central Catholic 5 over Northside Christian

Foundation Academy 17 over Seffner Christian

Indian Rocks Christian 25 over (IND) Keswick Christian

Palmer Trinity 37 over Palm Glades Prep

Trinity Christian (Jacksonville) 10 over (2M) Riverside

True North 20 over (2M) St. Brendan

University Christian 29 over North Florida Educational

Westminster Christian 2 over (2M) Immaculata-LaSalle

CLASS 4S

Buchholz 35 over (3S) Gainesville

Crestview 3 over Chiles

DeLand 10 over (3S) Deltona

Gulf Coast 10 over (3S) Cypress Lake

Gulf Breeze 5 over (2S) Pensacola Catholic

Haines City 3 over (2M) Bishop Moore

Heritage 24 over Fort Pierce Central

Ida Baker 4 over (3S) Island Coast

Immokalee 2 over (3S) Okeechobee

Lake Minneola 11 over Fleming Island

Lakeland 22 over Bartow

Land O’ Lakes 3 over (2S) Nature Coast

Melbourne 2 over (2S) Palm Bay

Mitchell 15 over (2S) The Villages

Mosley 9 over Navarre

New Smyrna Beach 17 over Atlantic (Port Orange)

Palmetto 21 over (3S) Southeast

Ridge Community 1 over (2S) DeSoto County

Springstead 25 over (2S) Hernando

Spruce Creek 19 over (4M) Atlantic Coast

St. Cloud 23 over (3S) Gateway (Kissimmee)

Tocoi Creek 3 over (3S) Menendez

Venice 19 over Manatee

Vero Beach 20 over (4M) Wellington

Viera 1 over (3S) Bayside

West Port 7 over (3S) Citrus

Winter Haven 4 over (3S) Lake Region

Wiregrass Ranch 3 over (3S) River Ridge

CLASS 3S

Auburndale 19 over Pasco

Barron Collier 5 over South Fort Myers

Bonita Springs 7 over (2S) Gateway (Fort Myers)

Booker T. Washington (Pensacola) 8 over (2S) Godby

Cape Coral 9 over East Lee County

Clay 5 over Middleburg

Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel) 40 over (3M) Hollins

Eau Gallie 3 over (4S) Flagler Palm Coast

Fivay 17 over (2S) Weeki Wachee

Gulf 8 over (IND) Tarpon Springs

Lake Wales 28 over (4S) Lake Gibson

Lecanto 16 over (2S) Crystal River

Lincoln 21 over (4S) Leon

Naples 41 over (4S) Palmetto Ridge

North Fort Myers 17 over (4S) Charlotte

Pine Forest 4 over (4S) Niceville

Port Charlotte 24 over (4S) Riverdale

Satellite 11 over Seabreeze

Sebring 15 over (4S) Lehigh

St. Augustine 13 over (4S) Nease

Tavares 3 over (4S) Forest

Vanguard 19 over (2S) North Marion

CLASS 2S

Astronaut 8 over (3M) Winter Springs

Baker County 9 over (1S) Munroe Day

Baldwin 5 over Yulee

Bayshore 2 over (IND) North Port

Bishop Verot 1 over (3M) Jesuit

Bradford 16 over (4S) Oakleaf

Cocoa 2 over (4M) Seminole (Sanford)

Dunnellon 10 over (3S) Belleview

Dunnellon 8 over North Marion

Eastside 25 over (3S) Ridgeview

Fernandina Beach 4 over (SSAA) Paxon

Florida High 9 over (1M) Carrollwood Day

Fort Meade 44 over (IND) Ambassadors Christian Academy

Frostproof 18 over (4S) George Jenkins

Gadsden County 14 over (1R) Jefferson County

Hudson 42 over (4S) Sunlake

Key West 5 over (3S) South Fork

Keystone Heights 1 over Crescent City

Mulberry 9 over (3S) Parrish Community

Palatka 26 over Central (Brooksville)

Rutherford 10 over (3S) Arnold

South Sumter 5 over (3S) Zephyrhills

South Walton 8 over (3S) Choctawhatchee

Suwannee 38 over Santa Fe

Taylor County 18 over (1R) Hamilton County

Wakulla 16 over (1S) St. John Paul II (Tallahassee)

Walton 18 over Marianna

West Florida 24 over (4S) Tate

CLASS 1S

Evangelical Christian 17 over (SSAA) Gateway Charter

Father Lopez 5 over (2S) Umatilla

First Baptist 21 over (3M) Wekiva

Holy Trinity 47 over (SSAA) Space Coast

John Carroll 34 over (IND) Dr. Joaquin Garcia

Moore Haven 16 over (3S) Fort Pierce Westwood

North Florida Christian 44 over FAMU DRS

P.K. Yonge 11 over (2S) West Nassau

Southwest Florida Christian 20 over (IND) Aubrey Rogers

St. John Neumann 5 over (1M) Florida Christian

Victory Christian 25 over (4S) Kathleen

Zephyrhills Christian 19 over (SSAA) Zarephath Academy

CLASS 1R

Aucilla Christian 17 over (1S) Rocky Bayou Christian

Bozeman 21 over (IND) Destin

Branford 20 over Trenton

Chiefland 14 over Dixie County

Cottondale 30 over Franklin County

Hawthorne 41 over (2M) Gibbs

Hilliard 10 over (1M) Providence

Lafayette 11 over Fort White

Liberty County 10 over Wewahitchka

Northview 6 over Baker

Pahokee 8 over (3M) Atlantic (Delray Beach)

Port St. Joe 40 over Vernon

Sneads 8 over Blountstown

Union County 40 over (IND) Hollis Christian

Wildwood 5 over (3S) Leesburg

Williston 9 over Newbery

SSAA 11-MAN

All Saints 29 over (IND) Central Florida Christian

Bishop Snyder 33 over (IND) Saint Francis Catholic

Bradenton Christian 29 over (IND) Marco Island Academy

Coral Springs Charter 25 over (2M) Northeast (Oakland Park)

Cornerstone Charter 23 over Trinity Prep

Duval Charter 17 over St. Joseph

Eagle’s View Academy 22 over Cedar Creek Christian

Glades Day 1 over Canterbury (Fort Myers)

Interlachen 12 over (2S) Taylor (Pierson)

Lake Weir 12 over (2S) Anclote

Legacy Charter 1 over The Master’s Academy (Oviedo)

Mount Dora Christian 23 over (1S) Melbourne Central Catholic

NSU University School 17 over (2M) North Broward Prep

Oak Hall 42 over Harvest Community

Out-of-Door 22 over Bell Creek Academy

Palm Beach Christian Prep 24 over (IND) SmarteEn Sports Academy

Pike Liberal Arts (AL) 16 over Lighthouse PCA

Saint Stephen’s Episcopal 10 over (1M) St. Petersburg Catholic

Santa Fe Catholic 30 over (2S) Tenoroc

Sebastian River 9 over (3S) Wesley Chapel

Seven Rivers Christian 7 over Faith Christian

St. Edward’s 10 over Cocoa Beach

Westminster Academy 42 over (IND) Somerset Prep

SSAA 8-MAN

Alabama School for the Deaf (AL) 7 over Florida Deaf & Blind

Countryside Christian 17 over First Coast Christian

Donahue Catholic 44 over Geneva Classical

Eastland Christian 25 over Foundation Christian

Four Corners Charter 9 over Cornerstone Academy

Gainesville Christian 22 over (SSAA) St. John Lutheran

Hernando Christian 6 over Master’s Academy (Vero Beach)

Lake Mary Prep 20 over Calvary Chapel

Merritt Island Christian 42 over Liberty Christian

Oasis Christian 22 over Geneva School

Ocala Christian 14 over Old Plank Christian

Ocala Christian 8 over Gainesville Christian

Sarasota Christian 1 over Lakeside Christian

Shorecrest Prep 58 over SLAM Tampa

INDEPENDENTS

American Collegiate 14 over Saints Academy

American Collegiate 7 over Young Kids In Motion

Archbishop McCarthy 14 over (4M) Cooper City

Bishop McLaughlin 1 over (1S) Halifax Academy

Braddock 13 over Miami Coral Park

Coral Reef 11 over Reagan

Coral Shores 15 over Marathon

Ferguson 34 over Hialeah-Miami Lakes

IMG Academy National 8 over (4S) Bartram Trail

LaBelle 25 over (1M) BridgePrep Academy

Lake Highland Prep 27 over Windermere Prpe

Miami Country Day 12 over (SSAA) Warner Christian

Mourning 1 over Varela

Poinciana 7 over (3S) Davenport

Pompano Beach 1 over (3M) Hollywood Hills

Ransom Everglades 28 over (2M) Pine Crest

West Oaks Academy 15 over Jordan Christian Prep

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