FHSF Power Rankings Index: Week 4 statewide game forecast

Welcome to the FloridaHSFootball.com Power Rankings Index. The index ranks teams and forecasts games based on the strength of schedule, including the strength of opposition and margin of victory, with more recent games weighing more heavily as a factor. The forecasted margin of victory is determined by subtracting the power ranking of the lower-rated team from the power ranking of the higher-rated team.

While it should be noted that things look similar in style to what the legendary Joe Pinkos did in determining his forecasts (which we honor his legacy in formatting the forecast the way he did), the formula created here is not part of Joe’s formula which was a secret and unfortunately lost when Joe passed away almost two years ago.

Game forecasts are sorted by classification of favorites and listed alphabetically. The underdog’s classification is noted for inter-classification games.

CLASS 4M

Alonso 43 over Sickles

Boone 21 over Freedom (Orlando)

Columbus 26 over Miami Palmetto

Coral Gables 1 over (IND) Miami Coral Park

Coral Glades 1 over (3M) Everglades

Cypress Bay 4 over (3M) Fort Lauderdale

Dr. Phillips 7 over Windermere

Durant 50 over Plant City

East Lake 25 over (2M) Boca Ciega

Goleman 19 over (2M) Westland Hialeah

Hagerty 17 over Timber Creek

John Curtis Christian (LA) 12 over Santaluces

John I. Leonard 18 over (IND) Dr. Joaquin Garcia

Jupiter 50 over (2M) Suncoast

Lake Mary 35 over Lake Brantley

Lake Nona 25 over Cypress Creek (Orlando)

Mandarin 29 over Atlantic Coast

Monarch 53 over Coral Springs

Oak Ridge 9 over (2M) Lake Buena Vista

Ocoee 2 over Olympia

Olympic Heights 17 over Lake Worth

Palm Beach Central 14 over (1R) Pahokee

Palm Beach Gardens 34 over (2M) Glades Central

Palm Harbor University 22 over (IND) Tarpon Springs

Park Vista 10 over Spanish River

Plant 25 over (2M) Robinson

Seminole (Sanford) 52 over Evans

Steinbrenner 35 over (3M) Lennard

Sumner 20 over (3M) Gaither

West Orange 33 over (4M) Wekiva

Winter Park 60 over University (Orlando)

CLASS 3M

Atlantic (Delray Beach) 1 over (4M) Boca Raton

Belen Jesuit 8 over Miami Southridge

Blanche Ely 41 over (4M) Coral Springs

Dwyer 3 over (4M) West Broward

East Bay 18 over Riverview

East River 35 over Winter Springs

Edgewater 8 over Jones

Freedom (Tampa) 1 over (2M) Brandon

Hialeah 10 over Miami Beach

Hillsborough 44 over (2M) Jefferson

Hollins 8 over (2M) Dunedin

Hollywood Hills 7 over Nova

Homestead 70 over Southwest Miami

Horizon 18 over (IND) Poinciana

Largo 28 over (2M) Gibbs

Lyman 8 over Lake Howell

McArthur 30 over (4M) Cooper City

Miramar 66 over Flanagan

North Miami 22 over Mater Academy

Osceola (Seminole) 32 over St. Petersburg

Pembroke Pines Charter 59 over (4M) Taravella

Plantation 23 over Coconut Creek

Seminole (Seminole) 11 over Countryside

Seminole Ridge 52 over (4M) Palm Beach Lakes

South Broward 70 over (2M) Hallandale

Spoto 18 over (2M) King

St. Thomas Aquinas 36 over (4M) Western

Tampa Bay Tech 70 over Bloomingdale

Valdosta (GA) 16 over Deerfield Beach

CLASS 2M

American Heritage (Delray Beach) 6 over Pine Crest

Berkeley Prep 42 over Booker

Bishop Kenny 27 over Bishop Moore

Blake 20 over Middleton

Calvary Christian (Clearwater) 16 over (1R) Newberry

Calvary Christian (Fort Lauderdale) 2 over Clewiston

Camden County (GA) 3 over Somerset Canyons

Cardinal Gibbons 18 over Northeast (St. Petersburg)

Ed White 34 over (3M) Terry Parker

Episcopal 30 over (2S) West Nassau

Gulliver Prep 2 over (1M) Benjamin

Immaculata-LaSalle 9 over Booker T. Washington (Miami)

Inlet Grove 36 over (IND) Somerset Prep

King’s Academy 7 over (1S) John Carroll

Miami Central 70 over Miami Carol City

Miami Jackson 35 over (IND) Hialeah-Miami Lakes

Miami Killian 10 over (4M) South Dade

Miami Norland 32 over Monsignor Pace

Miami Northwestern 16 over Miami Edison

North Broward Prep 57 over Northeast (Oakland Park)

Raines 2 over (3S) Mainland

Ribault 24 over Westside

Riverside 41 over (3M) First Coast

South Miami 7 over Somerset Silver Palms

Stranahan 38 over (3M) Boyd Anderson

Tampa Catholic 34 over (4S) Lehigh

CLASS 1M

Avant Garde 25 over (3M) Dr. Krop

Cambridge Christian 3 over (1S) Maclay

Carrollwood Day 1 over (1S) Trinity Catholic

Chaminade-Madonna 24 over (2M) American Heritage (Plantation)

Clearwater Central Catholic 12 over (2M) Clearwater

First Academy (Orlando) 64 over (3S) Pine Ridge

Indian Rocks Christian 51 over St. Petersburg Catholic

Northside Christian 34 over Seffner Christian

Orlando Christian Prep 7 over Foundation Academy

Providence 18 over North Florida Educational

Somerset South Homestead 56 over Palm Glades Prep

Trinity Christian (Jacksonville) 21 over (2M) Bolles

True North 38 over Florida Christian

Westminster Christian 14 over (2M) St. Brendan

CLASS 4S

Bartow 4 over Ridge Community

Buchholz 20 over Creekside

Centennial 6 over Fort Pierce Central

Crestview 3 over Pace

Flagler Palm Coast 3 over (3S) Matanzas

Fleming Island 4 over Oakleaf

George Jenkins 26 over (SSAA) Lake Weir

Gulf Breeze 13 over Milton

Haines City 23 over Winter Haven

Heritage (Palm Bay) 3 over (3M) Oviedo

Lake Minneola 52 over East Ridge

Lakeland 26 over Osceola (Kissimmee)

Lakewood Ranch 15 over (IND) IMG Academy Blue

Land O’ Lakes 9 over (3S) Zephyrhills

Lee County (GA) 30 over Lake Gibson

Martin County 8 over Treasure Coast

Melbourne 45 over (3S) Orange Park

Mitchell 26 over Wiregrass Ranch

Mosley 70 over Leon

Navarre 44 over Tate

Nease 3 over (3M) Fletcher

New Smyrna Beach 64 over (2S) Astronaut

Niceville 38 over Chiles

Palmetto 8 over Sarasota

Ponte Vedra 5 over (3S) Middleburg

Springstead 69 over Sunlake

Spruce Creek 4 over (2M) Andrew Jackson

Tohopekaliga 4 over St. Cloud

University (Orange City) 16 over (2S) Key West

Vero Beach 51 over (3S) Fort Pierce Westwood

Viera 7 over Melbourne Central Catholic

West Port 15 over South Lake

CLASS 3S

Auburndale 66 over Gateway (Kissimmee)

Barron Collier 38 over Bonita Springs

Braden River 20 over (4S) Manatee

Clay 26 over Gainesville

Cypress Lake 1 over Cape Coral

Davenport 23 over Liberty (Kissimmee)

Deltona 17 over (2S) Atlantic (Port Orange)

Dunbar 30 over Fort Myers

Escambia 61 over Fort Walton Beach

Gulf 4 over River Ridge

Jensen Beach 17 over (4M) Stoneman Douglas

Lake Wales 57 over Lake Region

Lecanto 24 over Fivay

Lely 25 over Southeast

Lincoln 9 over (1S) St. John Paul II (Tallahassee)

Mariner 23 over (4S) Riverdale

Merritt Island 7 over (1S) Holy Trinity

Naples 48 over Golden Gate

Okeechobee 11 over South Fork

Parrish Community 30 over (2S) Avon Park

Pasco 12 over (2S) Hernando

Pine Forest 44 over Choctawhatchee

Port Charlotte 40 over (4S) Ida Baker

Port St. Lucie 11 over (3M) West Boca Raton

Rickards 16 over (2S) Godby

Rockledge 45 over Bayside

Satellite 5 over Eau Gallie

Sebring 70 over (4S) Kathleen

South Fort Myers 41 over East Lee County

St. Augustine 26 over Menendez

Tavares 3 over (2S) Umatilla

Vanguard 21 over Leesburg

Wesley Chapel 19 over (2S) Weeki Wachee

CLASS 2S

Baldwin 1 over Baker County

Bay 51 over Pensacola

Bradford 31 over Eastside

Central (Brooksville) 8 over Anclote

Estero 38 over (3S) Island Coast

Eustis 16 over Tocoi Creek

Florida High 63 over Gadsden County

Fort Meade 1 over Mulberry

Frostproof 49 over Tenoroc

Hardee 24 over (4S) Palmetto Ridge

Hudson 6 over Nature Coast

Keystone Heights 19 over (SSAA) Bell

Lake Placid 7 over (4S) Immokalee

Lemon Bay 22 over (3S) North Fort Myers

Marianna 28 over Rutherford

North Bay Haven 25 over (1R) Jefferson County

North Marion 57 over Santa Fe

Palatka 1 over (3S) Belleview

Palm Bay 15 over Titusville

South Walton 70 over (3S) Arnold

Suwannee 18 over (1S) Munroe Day

The Villages 38 over (3S) Citrus

Wakulla 60 over Seminole County (GA)

CLASS 1S

Appling County (GA) 27 over Moore Haven

Cardinal Mooney 4 over (4S) Riverview (Sarasota)

Community School 48 over (SSAA) Oasis

Father Lopez 32 over Halifax Academy

First Baptist 19 over (2S) Bishop Verot

Lakeland Christian 19 over Zephyrhills Christian

North Florida Christian 33 over (2S) Taylor County

Rocky Bayou Christian 39 over (IND) Destin

CLASS 1R

Aucilla Christian 55 over Georgia Christian (GA)

Baker 34 over Jay

Branford 4 over Hilliard

Chipley 70 over Vernon

Cottondale 17 over Freeport

Fort White 54 over Hamilton County

Hawthorne 15 over (2S) South Sumter

Lafayette 5 over Chiefland

Liberty County 49 over Franklin County

Madison County 13 over (3S) Columbia

Northview 46 over (SSAA) Lighthouse PCA

Port St. Joe 26 over Pike Liberal Arts (AL)

Sneads 35 over Holmes County

Union County 19 over (1S) P.K. Yonge DRS

Wewahitchka 10 over Dixie County

Wildwood 29 over (4S) Forest

Williston 8 over (2S) Dunnellon

SSAA 11-MAN

All Saints 55 over Cornerstone Charter

Bishop Snyder 2 over Christ’s Church Academy

Boca Raton Christian 70 over Berean Christian

Eagle’s View 46 over St. Joseph

First Academy-Leesburg 6 over (2S) Taylor (Pierson)

Gateway Charter 5 over (IND) LaBelle

Glades Day 65 over (IND) Marco Island Academy

Impact Christian 7 over Palm Beach Christian Prep

Interlachen 23 over Fernandina Beach

Legacy Charter 70 over Trinity Prep

Mount Dora Christian 32 over Duval Charter

NSU University School 5 over (2M) Saint Andrew’s

Oak Hall 70 over Bronson

Paxon 28 over Stanton

Saint Stephen’s Episcopal 50 over (IND) Aubrey Rogers

Seven Rivers Christian 6 over Canterbury (Fort Myers)

St. Edward’s 48 over Tradition Prep

The Master’s Academy (Oviedo) 15 over Orangewood Christian

Westminster Academy 70 over (IND) Somerset Academy Key

Zarephath Academy 35 over (IND) Joshua Christian

SSAA 8-MAN

Countryside Christian 27 over Old Plank Christian

Donahue Catholic 70 over Foundation Christian

Eastland Christian 28 over Geneva School (Casselberry)

Four Corners Charter 25 over St. John Lutheran

Hernando Christian 61 over Geneva Classical (Lakeland)

Lakeside Christian 21 over Canterbury (St. Petersburg)

Master’s Academy 28 over City of Life Christian

Merritt Island Christian 58 over Calvary Chapel

Ocala Christian 27 over Oasis Christian

Real Life Christian 14 over Liberty Christian

Riverside Christian 27 over Florida Deaf & Blind

Sarasota Christian 38 over Classical Academy

Shorecrest Prep 70 over Academy at the Lakes

INDEPENDENTS

Archbishop McCarthy 25 over (SSAA) Oxbridge Academy

Beachside 27 over (SSAA) Sebastian River

Bishop McLaughlin 17 over Saint Francis Catholic

Braddock 1 over Coral Reef

Coral Shores 63 over SmartEn Sports Academy

Ferguson 38 over Varela

Hialeah Gardens 23 over Mourning

IMG Academy National 6 over Glenville (Ohio)

IMG Academy White 26 over (1S) Evangelical Christian

Keswick Christian 14 over (SSAA) Bell Creek Academy

Marathon 14 over Miami Sunset

Miami Country Day 38 over (1M) BridgePrep Academy

North Port 15 over Ambassadors Christian Academy

Pompano Beach 48 over St. John Paul II (Boca Raton)

Ransom Everglades 33 over (1M) Palmer Trinity

Reagan 22 over (2M) Miami Springs

TRU Prep 44 over Specially Fit Academy

West Oaks Academy 14 over Young Kids In Motion

Windermere Prep 5 over (2S) Crystal River