FHSF Power Rankings Index: Week 5 statewide game forecast

Welcome to the FloridaHSFootball.com Power Rankings Index. The index ranks teams and forecasts games based on the strength of schedule, including the strength of opposition and margin of victory, with more recent games weighing more heavily as a factor. The forecasted margin of victory is determined by subtracting the power ranking of the lower-rated team from the power ranking of the higher-rated team.

While it should be noted that things look similar in style to what the legendary Joe Pinkos did in determining his forecasts (which we honor his legacy in formatting the forecast the way he did), the formula created here is not part of Joe’s formula which was a secret and unfortunately lost when Joe passed away almost two years ago.

Game forecasts are sorted by classification of favorites and listed alphabetically. The underdog’s classification is noted for inter-classification games.

CLASS 4M

Alonso 69 over (3M) Leto

Boca Raton 33 over Olympic Heights

Boone 24 over Dr. Phillips

Camden County (GA) 38 over Atlantic Coast

Centennial 27 over (4M) Palm Beach Lakes

Columbus 25 over (2M) Miami Northwestern

Coral Springs 35 over (2M) Northeast (Oakland Park)

Cypress Bay 31 over (3M) Nova

Cypress Creek (Orlando) 28 over Colonial

Doral Academy 21 over (3M) Miami Southridge

Durant 70 over (3M) Lennard

Forest Hill 36 over Lake Worth

Hagerty 41 over (3M) East River

John I. Leonard 2 over (2M) Suncoast

Lake Brantley 4 over (3M) Wekiva

Lake Mary 17 over (4S) Spruce Creek

Miami High 5 over (2M) South Miami

Monarch 29 over Stoneman Douglas

Newsome 36 over (3M) Bloomingdale

Ocoee 25 over Freedom (Orlando)

Palm Beach Central 61 over Park Vista

Palm Harbor University 27 over (3M) Countryside

Plant 68 over (2M) Chamberlain

Santaluces 45 over Royal Palm Beach

Sickles 18 over (2M) King

South Dade 2 over (2M) Miami Jackson

Spanish River 29 over (IND) Dr. Joaquin Garcia

Western 70 over Taravella

Windermere 26 over (2M) Lake Buena Vista

Winter Park 54 over Evans

CLASS 3M

Belen Jesuit 1 over Gonzaga (DC)

Coconut Creek 4 over Blanche Ely

Deerfield Beach 42 over Boyd Anderson

Dwyer 17 over (2M) Glades Central

East Bay 56 over (2M) Jefferson

Edgewater 11 over Apopka

Englewood 55 over (SSAA) Stanton

First Coast 24 over (2M) Westside

Fletcher 16 over (4M) Sandalwood

Hillsborough 30 over (4M) Plant City

Hollywood Hills 26 over (4M) Flanagan

Jesuit 6 over Armwood

Jones 3 over (4M) West Orange

Lake Howell 15 over (3S) Pine Ridge

Lyman 2 over (4S) Lakewood Ranch

McArthur 1 over Piper

Miramar 20 over Dillard

Northeast (St. Petersburg) 32 over (2M) Boca Ciega

Oviedo 17 over (4M) Timber Creek

Pembroke Pines Charter 13 over (4M) West Broward

Pinellas Park 42 over Gibbs

Seminole (Seminole) 33 over Hollins

South Broward 14 over Dr. Krop

South Plantation 39 over (4M) Cooper City

St. Petersburg 36 over (2M) Dunedin

St. Thomas Aquinas 33 over (4S) Treasure Coast

Tampa Bay Tech 50 over Gaither

Wharton 1 over (4M) Sumner

CLASS 2M

American Heritage (Delray Beach) 14 over (IND) Archbishop McCarthy

Berkeley Prep 3 over Tampa Catholic

Bishop Kenny 50 over (2S) West Nassau

Blake 63 over (3M) Freedom (Tampa)

Bolles 11 over (4S) Oakleaf

Booker T. Washington (Miami) 52 over Miami Carol City

Boynton Beach 25 over West Boca Raton

Calvary Christian (Clearwater) 2 over (1R) Wildwood

Calvary Christian (Fort Lauderdale) 29 over (3M) North Miami

Clearwater 6 over (3M) Largo

Episcopal 32 over (1M) North Florida Educational

King’s Academy 12 over Gulliver Prep

Lakewood 1 over Miami Edison

Miami Norland 46 over (3M) American

Monsignor Pace 15 over North Miami Beach

Riverside 1 over Ed White

Robinson 56 over Brandon

Saint Andrew’s 17 over North Broward Prep

Somerset Silver Palms 37 over (IND) Somerset Prep

St. Brendan 27 over (3M) Mater Academy

Westland Hialeah 37 over Miami Springs

CLASS 1M

Archbishop Carroll 64 over (4S) Palmetto Ridge

Avant Garde 66 over St. John Paul II (Boca Raton)

Benjamin 9 over (3S) Jensen Beach

Cardinal Newman 30 over (3M) Atlantic (Delray Beach)

Chaminade-Madonna 13 over (2M) Miami Central

Clearwater Central Catholic 8 over (3S) Sebring

Everglades Prep 33 over BridgePrep Academy

First Academy (Orlando) 62 over (SSAA) Bronson

Florida Christian 17 over (IND) LaBelle

Foundation Academy 13 over (2S) Eustis

Northside Christian 8 over (1S) Community School

Trinity Christian (Jacksonville) 35 over (3S) Columbia

University Christian 39 over (2S) Key West

Westminster Christian 6 over Somerset South Homestead

CLASS 4S

Bartram Trail 12 over (3S) St. Augustine

Buchholz 11 over (3S) Vanguard

Celebration 21 over (3S) Liberty (Kissimmee)

Creekside 8 over (4M) Mandarin

DeLand 25 over (3S) Seabreeze

Fleming Island 20 over (2S) Titusville

Gulf Breeze 70 over (2S) Pensacola

Gulf Coast 2 over (3S) Golden Gate

Lakeland 54 over Winter Haven

Martin County 52 over (3S) South Fork

Melbourne 12 over Tohopekaliga

Navarre 15 over Carroll (AL)

Nease 27 over (3S) Orange Park

New Smyrna Beach 16 over (3M) Horizon

Niceville 23 over (3S) Choctawhatchee

Ponte Vedra 11 over (3S) Menendez

Ridge Community 20 over East Ridge

St. Cloud 56 over (3M) Winter Springs

University (Orange City) 11 over Flagler Palm Coast

Venice 39 over (3S) River Ridge

Vero Beach 1 over (4M) Seminole (Sanford)

West Port 24 over (3S) Gateway (Kissimmee)

Wiregrass Ranch 4 over Harmony

CLASS 3S

Auburndale 26 over (4S) Bartow

Barron Collier 35 over (4S) Immokalee

Braden River 30 over (2S) Booker

Clay 7 over (4S) Tocoi Creek

Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel) 66 over Anclote

Cypress Lake 6 over (4S) Riverdale

Dunbar 32 over (2S) Clewiston

Escambia 34 over (4S) Milton

Fort Myers 40 over (4S) Charlotte

Fort Walton Beach 6 over Arnold

Gainesville 32 over (2S) Santa Fe

Lake Region 3 over (2S) Lake Placid

Lecanto 22 over (2S) Hernando

Lincoln 25 over (1S) Munroe Day

Mainland 2 over (4S) Lake Minneola

Mariner 30 over Bonita Springs

Matanzas 15 over (2S) Atlantic (Port Orange)

Merritt Island 20 over (4S) Heritage

Middleburg 7 over (2M) Ribault

Naples 49 over (2M) Miami Killian

Pine Forest 23 over (2S) West Florida

Port Charlotte 25 over (4S) Manatee

Rickards 1 over (4S) Chiles

Rockledge 8 over (4S) Osceola (Kissimmee)

Satellite 52 over (2S) Astronaut

Wesley Chapel 23 over (2S) Central (Brooksville)

Zephyrhills 30 over Gulf

CLASS 2S

Baker County 40 over (4S) Viera

Baldwin 36 over (3M) Terry Parker

Bishop Verot 36 over (4S) Sarasota

Cocoa 32 over Eau Gallie

Crystal River 21 over (3S) Citrus

DeSoto County 18 over Bayshore

Dunnellon 14 over (4S) Forest

Estero 33 over (3S) Cape Coral

Florida High 27 over (1R) Madison County

Fort Meade 13 over (1S) Victory Christian

Frostproof 50 over Avon Park

Gadsden County 9 over Tift County (GA)

Keystone Heights 6 over (SSAA) Interlachen

Lemon Bay 59 over (IND) IMG Academy Blue

Mount Dora 39 over South Lake

Nature Coast 64 over (4S) Sunlake

Palm Bay 24 over (4S) Fort Pierce Central

Prince Avenue Christian (GA) 41 over Pensacola Catholic

South Sumter 13 over (4S) Mitchell

Suwannee 8 over (2S) North Marion

The Villages 7 over (3S) Leesburg

Thomas County Central (GA) 65 over Godby

Wakulla 1 over (4S) Mosley

Yulee 45 over (SSAA) Tradition Prep

CLASS 1S

Cardinal Mooney 67 over (SSAA) Space Coast

Evangelical Christian 64 over (IND) Aubrey Rogers

First Baptist 6 over (1M) True North

Holy Trinity 27 over Father Lopez

John Carroll 16 over (2M) Bishop Moore

Lakeland Christian 45 over (2S) Hardee

Maclay 58 over FAMU DRS

Moore Haven 21 over (SSAA) Gateway Charter

North Florida Christian 13 over Valwood School (GA)

Rocky Bayou Christian 53 over (1R) Franklin County

Southwest Florida Christian 17 over (SSAA) Oasis

St. John Neumann 25 over (1M) St. Petersburg Catholic

St. John Paul II (Tallahassee) 38 over (4S) Leon

Trinity Catholic 3 over (2M) Raines

Zephyrhills Christian 47 over (IND) Young Kids In Motion

CLASS 1R

Blountstown 28 over (2S) Taylor County

Bozeman 24 over Wewahitchka

Branford 64 over (SSAA) Paxon

Chiefland 20 over Newberry

Chipley 43 over (2S) Bay

Cottondale 17 over

Cottondale 17 over (2S) North Bay Haven

Dixie County 33 over Jefferson County

Freeport 70 over Vernon

Hawthorne 58 over (1S) P.K. Yonge DRS

Hilliard 20 over (2S) Crescent City

Lafayette 36 over (SSAA) Zarephath Academy

Pahokee 18 over Palm Beach Gardens

Port St. Joe 70 over (2S) Rutherford

Sneads 55 over Miller County (GA)

Trenton 8 over (SSAA) Lake Weir

Union County 13 over (1M) Orlando Christian Prep

Williston 9 over Fort White

SSAA 11-MAN

Bell 23 over (1R) Hamilton County

Boca Raton Christian 70 over (IND) Somerset Academy Key

Christ’s Church 3 over (1M) Providence

Cocoa Beach 10 over (1S) Halifax Academy

Duval Charter 25 over Harvest Community

First Academy-Leesburg 25 over (IND) Saint Francis Catholic

Glades Day 50 over Oxbridge Academy

Impact Christan 39 over Cedar Creek Christian

Jupiter Christian 23 over St. Edward’s

Mount Dora Christian 28 over Tavares

Orangewood Christian 14 over (IND) Bishop McLaughlin

Out-of-Door 7 over Faith Christian

Saint Stephen’s Episcopal 14 over Bradenton Christian

Santa Fe Catholic 23 over (2S) Mulberry

Seven Rivers Christian 47 over Cornerstone Charter

St. Joseph 1 over (1S) Melbourne Central Catholic

Warner Christian 24 over (IND) Marco Island Academy

Westminster Academy 41 over (2M) Pine Crest

SSAA 8-MAN

Calvary Chapel 6 over St. John Lutheran

Canterbury (St. Petersburg) 75 over Foundation Christian

City of Life Christian 18 over Real Life Christian

Classical Academy 18 over Geneva Classical (Lakeland)

Countryside Christian 70 over SLAM Tampa

Donahue Catholic 50 over Old Plank Christian

First Coast Christian 16 over Eastland Christian

Hernando Christian 4 over Gainesville Christian

Lakeside Christian 16 over Master’s Academy (Vero Beach)

Merritt Island Christian 70 over Geneva School (Casselberry)

Ocala Christian 31 over Florida Deaf & Blind

Riverside Christian 33 over Four Corners Charter

Sarasota Christian 70 over Academy at the Lakes

Shorecrest Prep 47 over Lake Mary Prep

INDEPENDENTS

Beachside 64 over (3S) Ridgeview

Braddock 22 over (4M) Coral Gables

Clearwater Academy 15 over Miami Palmetto

Coral Reef 47 over (3M) Southwest Miami

Destin 4 over (SSAA) Lighthouse PCA

Ferguson 40 over Varela

Hollis Christian 11 over Victory Charter (Kissimmee)

IMG Academy White 70 over A’kelynn’s Angels Christian

Keswick Christian 13 over (SSAA) Trinity Christian (Deltona)

Lake Highland Prep 70 over (SSAA) Berean Christian

Miami Coral Park 38 over Hialeah-Miami Lakes

Miami Country Day 5 over Mourning

North Port 8 over (2S) Gateway (Fort Myers)

Poinciana 22 over (2S) Tenoroc

Pompano Beach 14 over (SSAA) Pompano Beach

Ransom Everglades 64 over Marathon

Specially Fit Academy 9 over Joshua Christian

West Oaks 8 over American Collegiate

Windermere Prep 16 over Central Florida Christian