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FHSF Power Rankings Index: Week 6 statewide game forecast

The FHSF PRI computer has crunched the numbers and told us who is going to get victories this week

byJoshua Wilson
September 27, 2023 - Updated on October 12, 2023
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Welcome to the FloridaHSFootball.com Power Rankings Index. The index ranks teams and forecasts games based on the strength of schedule, including the strength of opposition and margin of victory, with more recent games weighing more heavily as a factor. The forecasted margin of victory is determined by subtracting the power ranking of the lower-rated team from the power ranking of the higher-rated team.

While it should be noted that things look similar in style to what the legendary Joe Pinkos did in determining his forecasts (which we honor his legacy in formatting the forecast the way he did), the formula created here is not part of Joe’s formula which was a secret and unfortunately lost when Joe passed away almost two years ago.

Game forecasts are sorted by classification of favorites and listed alphabetically. The underdog’s classification is noted for inter-classification games.

Here is the forecast for Week 6:

CLASS 4M

Alonso 20 over Plant City

Boca Raton 16 over Park Vista

Boone 4 over Lake Nona

Columbus 21 over Miami High

Cypress Bay 25 over Coral Glades

East Lake 6 over Steinbrenner

Flanagan 4 over Cooper City

Forest Hill 3 over Wellington

Freedom (Orlando) 10 over Oak Ridge

Goleman 5 over Doral Academy

Jupiter 29 over Royal Palm Beach

Lake Brantley 9 over Evans

Lake Mary 13 over Mandarin

Miami Palmetto 11 over Coral Gables

Monarch 29 over Olympic Heights

Newsome 1 over Riverview (Riverview)

Olympia 17 over Windermere

Palm Beach Central 45 over John I. Leonard

Palm Beach Gardens 25 over Palm Beach Lakes

Palm Harbor University 9 over Sickles

Plant 12 over Strawberry Crest

Santaluces 21 over Lake Worth

Seminole (Sanford) 10 over Apopka

South Dade 4 over (2M) Somerset Silver Palms

Spanish River 16 over (1M) St. John Paul II (Boca Raton)

Stoneman Douglas 9 over Coral Springs

Sumner 1 over Durant

Timber Creek 25 over Colonial

West Broward 1 over Somerset Academy (Pembroke Pines)

West Orange 1 over Ocoee

Western 11 over (3M) Piper

CLASS 3M

Blanche Ely 9 over Fort Lauderdale

Bloomingdale 6 over Lennard

Dillard 33 over Boyd Anderson

East Bay 29 over Spoto

Edgewater 21 over Wekiva

Englewood 8 over First Coast

Everglades 3 over American

Fletcher 11 over Terry Parker

Hialeah 16 over Mater Academy

Hillsborough 8 over Gaither

Hollywood Hills 12 over (4M) Flanagan

Homestead 31 over (2M) South Miami

Jesuit 39 over Leto

Lake Howell 9 over (4M) University (Orlando)

Largo 19 over Countryside

Lyman 29 over Winter Springs

McArthur 8 over Hollywood Hills

North Miami 9 over Miami Beach

Northeast (St. Petersburg) 12 over St. Petersburg

Osceola (Seminole) 6 over Seminole (Seminole)

Oviedo 25 over East River

Pinellas Park 39 over Hollins

Plantation 21 over South Plantation

Seminole Ridge 5 over (1S) John Carroll

St. Thomas Aquinas 11 over Miramar

Tampa Bay Tech 60 over Freedom (Tampa)

West Boca Raton 4 over Deerfield Beach

Wharton 2 over Armwood

CLASS 2M

Andrew Jackson 14 over Ribault

Berkeley Prep 3 over Calvary Christian (Clearwater)

Bishop Kenny 25 over Wolfson

Blake 25 over Jefferson

Bolles 2 over Episcopal

Booker T. Washington (Miami) 13 over Miami Jackson

Boynton Beach 7 over Somerset Canyons

Calvary Christian (Fort Lauderdale) 15 over Inlet Grove

Cardinal Gibbons 2 over American Heritage (Plantation)

Clearwater 32 over Dunedin

Ed White 33 over Westside

Gulliver Prep 12 over Miami Killian

Immaculata-LaSalle 2 over Miami Edison

King 12 over Brandon

Lakewood 11 over Boca Ciega

Miami Central 32 over North Miami Beach

Middleton 14 over Chamberlain

Monsignor Pace 18 over Miami Carol City

Pine Crest 26 over Northeast (Oakland Park)

Raines 1 over Riverside

Saint Andrew’s 14 over American Heritage (Delray Beach)

St. Brendan 14 over Miami Springs

Stranahan 33 over Hallandale

Tampa Catholic 12 over Robinson

Westland Hialeah 14 over (IND) Hialeah Gardens

CLASS 1M

Archbishop Carroll 35 over Everglades Prep

Benjamin 30 over (2M) Glades Central

Cambridge Christian 28 over (IND) Ambassadors Christian

Cardinal Newman 15 over (2M) Miami Northwestern

Chaminade-Madonna 20 over (3M) Coconut Creek

Clearwater Central Catholic 5 over Carrollwood Day

Florida Christian 8 over Marathon

Foundation Academy 13 over (IND) Poinciana

Northside Christian 21 over St. Petersburg Catholic

Orlando Christian Prep 1 over First Academy (Orlando)

Palmer Trinity 4 over Somerset South Homestead

Seffner Christian 18 over (IND) Specially Fit Academy

Trinity Christian (Jacksonville) 7 over (3S) Rockledge

University Christian 15 over Providence

Westminster Christian 36 over Palm Glades Prep

CLASS 4S

Bartow 7 over Winter Haven

Bartram Trail 13 over Fleming Island

Columbia 12 over Orange Park

Creekside 6 over Oakleaf

DeLand 1 over Spruce Creek

Dunbar 28 over Cypress Lake

East Ridge 2 over (3S) Fivay

Forest 18 over South Lake

George Jenkins 22 over Kathleen

Gulf Breeze 2 over Pace

Gulf Coast 16 over Palmetto Ridge

Haines City 10 over Ridge Community

Heritage 18 over Viera

Lake Minneola 20 over East Ridge

Lake Minneola 20 over West Port

Lakeland 20 over Lake Gibson

Land O’ Lakes 4 over Mitchell

Lehigh 4 over Ida Baker

Manatee 5 over Lakewood Ranch

Martin County 23 over Centennial

Melbourne 28 over Harmony

Milton 5 over Tate

Mosley 18 over Chiles

Nease 10 over (4M) Sandalwood

Niceville 17 over Crestview

Ponte Vedra 3 over Flagler Palm Coast

Riverdale 5 over Charlotte

Springstead 14 over Wiregrass Ranch

Tohopekalilga 16 over Celebration

Venice 16 over Riverview (Sarasota)

Vero Beach 25 over Fort Pierce Central

CLASS 3S

Auburndale 19 over Lake Region

Colquitt County (GA) 10 over Lincoln

Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel) 20 over Pasco

Deltona 5 over Seabreeze

Escambia 15 over Booker T. Washington (Pensacola)

Fort Myers 26 over East Lee County

Gulf 16 over Citrus

Jensen Beach 9 over Port St. Lucie

Lake Wales 36 over Davenport

Lecanto 7 over River Ridge

Leesburg 1 over Tavares

Lely 16 over Bonita Springs

Liberty (Kissimmee) 2 over Gateway (Kissimmee)

Mainland 30 over Pine Ridge

Mariner 17 over Island Coast

Matanzas 5 over Deltona

Menendez 4 over Gainesville

Merritt Island 15 over Eau Gallie

Middleburg 18 over Ridgeview

Naples 14 over Barron Collier

North Fort Myers 10 over Cape Coral

Okeechobee 3 over Fort Pierce Westwood

Parrish Community 21 over Southeast

Pine Forest 42 over Fort Walton Beach

Port Charlotte 6 over Braden River

Satellite 19 over Bayside

South Fort Myers 10 over (4S) Immokalee

St. Augustine 15 over Matanzas

Vanguard 20 over Belleview

Zephyrhills 28 over Wesley Chapel

CLASS 2S

Baker County 20 over West Nassau

Bishop Verot 24 Key West

Booker 5 over Bayshore

Bradford 11 over Keystone Heights

Clewiston 4 over Hardee

Cocoa 9 over Treasure Coast

Crescent City 12 over Taylor (Pierson)

Dunnellon 15 over Hernando

Estero 33 over Gateway (Fort Myers)

Eustis 9 over The Villages

Fort Meade 6 over (1M) Indian Rocks Christian

Hudson 33 over Central (Brooksville)

Lake Placid 6 over Avon Park

Lemon Bay 25 over DeSoto County

Marianna 16 over Godby

Mount Dora 9 over Umatilla

Mulberry 30 over Tenoroc

Nature Coast 39 over Weeki Wachee

North Marion 5 over Eastside

Palatka 8 over (4S) Tocoi Creek

Palm Bay 28 over Astronaut

Pensacola Catholic 28 over Pensacola

South Sumter 28 over Crystal River

South Walton 33 over Rutherford

Suwannee 18 over Taylor County

Titusville 29 over (SSAA) Space Coast

Wakulla 24 over (3S) Rickards

Walton 3 over West Florida

Yulee 13 over Fernandina Beach

CLASS 1S

Cardinal Mooney 14 over (4S) Sarasota

Community School 10 over St. John Neumann

Father Lopez 14 over Melbourne Central Catholic

First Baptist 16 over (3S) Golden Gate

Holy Trinty 28 over Halifax Academy

Lakeland Christian 11 over Evangelical Christian

Moore Haven 12 over Southwest Florida Christian

North Florida Christian 15 over Maclay

P.K. Yonge DRS 25 over (2S) Santa Fe

Rocky Bayou Christian 8 over Munroe Day

Zephyrhills Christian 8 over Victory Christian

CLASS 1R

Aucilla Christian 43 over Franklin County

Baker 17 over (SSAA) Lighthouse PCA

Bozeman 15 over Freeport

Chiefland 21 over Trenton

Cottondale 9 over Wewahitchka

Hilliard 11 over (SSAA) Christ’s Church Academy

Holmes County 30 over Vernon

Houston County (AL) 16 over Graceville

Lafayette 4 over Branford

Madison County 32 over Jefferson County

Northview 28 over Elberta (AL)

Pahokee 21 over (3M) Dwyer

Port St. Joe 9 over Blountstown

Sneads 18 over Liberty County

Williston 27 over (1M) North Florida Educational

SSAA 11-MAN

All Saints 37 over Trinity Christian (Deltona)

Bradenton Christian 10 over Oasis

Canterbury (Fort Myers) 2 over Saint Stephen’s Episcopal

Coral Springs Charter 18 over (4M) Taravella

Duval Charter 6 over Palm Beach Christian Prep

Faith Christian 17 over Bell Creek Academy

First Academy-Leesburg 3 over Cornerstone Charter

Harvest Community 7 over Cedar Creek Christian

Impact Christian 39 over Stanton

Legacy Charter 21 over Central Florida Christian

Mount Dora Christian 7 over The Master’s Academy (Oviedo)

NSU University 41 over Oxbridge Academy

Oak Hall 27 over Eagle’s View Academy

Orangewood Christian 25 over Trinity Prep

Riverside Christian 20 over Old Plank Christian

Santa Fe Catholic 2 over Out-of-Door

Seven Rivers Christian 26 over Bell

Zarephath Academy 1 over (IND) West Oaks Academy

SSAA 8-MAN

City of Life Christian 3 over Calvary Chapel

Countryside Christian 13 over Florida Deaf & Blind

Donahue Catholic 23 over Sarasota Christian

Eastland Christian 19 over Liberty Christian

First Coast Christian 21 over SLAM Tampa

Four Corners Charter 13 over Ocala Christian

Hernando Christian 26 over Real Life Christian

Lake Mary Prep 34 over Geneva School

Lakeside Christian 37 over Academy at the Lakes

Merritt Island Christian 4 over Master’s Academy (Vero Beach)

Shorecrest Prep 26 over Canterbury (St. Petersburg)

INDEPENDENTS

Archbishop McCarthy 3 over Pompano Beach

Beachside 28 over Hollis Christian

Bishop McLaughlin 7 over (SSAA) Warner Christian

Clearwater Academy International 6 over Brentwood Academy (TN)

Ferguson 1 over Braddock

IMG Academy White 17 over Palmetto

Joshua Christian 2 over A’kelynn’s Angels Christian

Keswick Christian 22 over Marco Island Academy

LaBelle 3 over North Port

Lake Highland Prep 44 over (SSAA) Tradition Prep

Miami Country Day 14 over (SSAA) Berean Christian

Mourning 13 over Hialeah-Miami Lakes

Ransom Everglades 20 over Coral Shores

Reagan 1 over Miami Coral Park

Tarpon Springs 17 over (2S) Anclote

Varela 3 over Miami Sunset

Windermere Prep 6 over Cocoa Beach

Young Kids In Motion 1 over Joshua Christian

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