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Home Rankings The Florida Power Rankings Index

FLAG FOOTBALL: Regional Semifinals Forecast from The Florida Power Rankings Index

The FPRI computer forecasts who will advance to the regional finals on Thursday

byJoshua Wilson
April 28, 2025 - Updated on May 1, 2025
0
New Smyrna Beach is one of 64 teams left vying for a spot in the Elite 8 (Regional Finals) later this week. [NSB FLAG FOOTBALL - @FlagfootballNsb/X]

New Smyrna Beach is one of 64 teams left vying for a spot in the Elite 8 (Regional Finals) later this week. [NSB FLAG FOOTBALL - @FlagfootballNsb/X]

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Welcome to the sixth girls’ flag football forecast from the all-new Florida Power Rankings Index.

The Florida Power Rankings Index ranking is calculated using a formula that incorporates winning percentage, strength of schedule, and game results, with more recent games weighing heavier. The forecasted margin of victory for each game is determined by subtracting the power ranking of the lower-rated team from the power ranking of its higher-rated opponent in most cases with elevators in place for meaningful predictions and not overly wild blowouts that are unrealistic in sports. For Flag Football, rankings update only once weekly, not each day there are games.

First, let’s take a look at how things went in the regional quarterfinals:

REGIONAL QUARTERFINALS: 51-13

PERCENTAGE CORRECT: 79.7%

OVERALL (SINCE WEEK 7): 782-201

OVERALL PERCENTAGE: 79.6%

CLASS 4A

REGION 1

Apopka 19 over Mandarin (Jacksonville)

Timber Creek 3 over Spruce Creek (Port Orange)

REGION 2

Lennard (Ruskin) 25 over George Steinbrenner (Lutz)

Alonso (Tampa) 21 over Bloomingdale (Valrico)

REGION 3

Wellington 21 over Harmony

Fort Pierce Central 12 over Palm Beach Gardens

REGION 4

Miami Palmetto 28 over Stoneman Douglas (Parkland)

Western (Davie) 12 over Spanish River (Boca Raton)


CLASS 3A

REGION 1

Pace 31 over Ponte Vedra

Chiles (Tallahassee) 11 over Ponte Vedra

REGION 2

Seminole Ridge (Westlake) 26 over Martin County (Stuart)

Belleview 32 over Springstead (Spring Hill)

REGION 3

East Bay (Gibsonton) 27 over Tampa Bay Tech

East Lake (Tarpon Springs) 2 over Manatee (Bradenton)

REGION 4

St. Thomas Aquinas (Fort Lauderdale) 30 over Miami Southridge

Boyd Anderson (Lauderdale Lakes) 7 over Homestead


CLASS 2A

REGION 1

Choctawhatchee (Fort Walton Beach) 31 over Stanton (Jacksonville)

Ed White (Jacksonville) 9 over Paxon (Jacksonville)

REGION 2

New Smyrna Beach 18 over Hernando (Brooksville)

Clay (Green Cove Springs) 35 over Nature Coast (Brooksville)

REGION 3

Robinson (Tampa) 48 over Gulf (New Port Richey)

St. Petersburg 32 over Hillsborough (Tampa)

REGION 4

Dr. Joaquin Garcia (Lake Worth) 16 over Miami Norland

Miami Northwestern 25 over Mater Lakes (Hialeah)


CLASS 1A

REGION 1

Florida High (Tallahassee) 33 over Suwannee (Live Oak)

University Christian (Jacksonville) 1 over Bradford (Starke)

REGION 2

Wildwood 40 over Dunedin

Tampa Catholic 13 over Keswick Christian (St. Petersburg)

REGION 3

Somerset Canyons (Boynton Beach) 34 over Gateway Charter (Fort Myers)

Posnack (Davie) 12 over John Carroll (Fort Pierce)

REGION 4

Miami Edison 26 over Monsignor Pace (Miami)

SLAM (Miami) 9 over True North (Miami)

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VOTE: The Blitz – Central Florida Edition: 2025 Week 1 Football Player of the Week

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VOTE: The Blitz – South Florida Edition: 2025 Week 1 Football Player of the Week

Next Post
2025 FHSAA Flag Football State Championships Logo [Courtesy of the Florida High School Athletic Association]

FLAG FOOTBALL: Regional Semifinals Scoreboard for Mon. April 28, 2025

Matanzas is looking to reach the playoffs in 2025 with some changes to the schedule to potentially help the Pirates reach that goal [Matanzas Football - @MHSPirateFB/X]

2025 FOOTBALL SCHEDULE ANALYSIS: Matanzas seeks playoff trip with beefed-up schedule

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