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Home Rankings The Florida Power Rankings Index

FLAG FOOTBALL: Regional Semifinals Forecast from The Florida Power Rankings Index

The FPRI computer forecasts who will advance to the regional finals on Thursday

byJoshua Wilson
April 28, 2025 - Updated on May 1, 2025
0
New Smyrna Beach is one of 64 teams left vying for a spot in the Elite 8 (Regional Finals) later this week. [NSB FLAG FOOTBALL - @FlagfootballNsb/X]

New Smyrna Beach is one of 64 teams left vying for a spot in the Elite 8 (Regional Finals) later this week. [NSB FLAG FOOTBALL - @FlagfootballNsb/X]

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Welcome to the sixth girls’ flag football forecast from the all-new Florida Power Rankings Index.

The Florida Power Rankings Index ranking is calculated using a formula that incorporates winning percentage, strength of schedule, and game results, with more recent games weighing heavier. The forecasted margin of victory for each game is determined by subtracting the power ranking of the lower-rated team from the power ranking of its higher-rated opponent in most cases with elevators in place for meaningful predictions and not overly wild blowouts that are unrealistic in sports. For Flag Football, rankings update only once weekly, not each day there are games.

First, let’s take a look at how things went in the regional quarterfinals:

REGIONAL QUARTERFINALS: 51-13

PERCENTAGE CORRECT: 79.7%

OVERALL (SINCE WEEK 7): 782-201

OVERALL PERCENTAGE: 79.6%

CLASS 4A

REGION 1

Apopka 19 over Mandarin (Jacksonville)

Timber Creek 3 over Spruce Creek (Port Orange)

REGION 2

Lennard (Ruskin) 25 over George Steinbrenner (Lutz)

Alonso (Tampa) 21 over Bloomingdale (Valrico)

REGION 3

Wellington 21 over Harmony

Fort Pierce Central 12 over Palm Beach Gardens

REGION 4

Miami Palmetto 28 over Stoneman Douglas (Parkland)

Western (Davie) 12 over Spanish River (Boca Raton)


CLASS 3A

REGION 1

Pace 31 over Ponte Vedra

Chiles (Tallahassee) 11 over Ponte Vedra

REGION 2

Seminole Ridge (Westlake) 26 over Martin County (Stuart)

Belleview 32 over Springstead (Spring Hill)

REGION 3

East Bay (Gibsonton) 27 over Tampa Bay Tech

East Lake (Tarpon Springs) 2 over Manatee (Bradenton)

REGION 4

St. Thomas Aquinas (Fort Lauderdale) 30 over Miami Southridge

Boyd Anderson (Lauderdale Lakes) 7 over Homestead


CLASS 2A

REGION 1

Choctawhatchee (Fort Walton Beach) 31 over Stanton (Jacksonville)

Ed White (Jacksonville) 9 over Paxon (Jacksonville)

REGION 2

New Smyrna Beach 18 over Hernando (Brooksville)

Clay (Green Cove Springs) 35 over Nature Coast (Brooksville)

REGION 3

Robinson (Tampa) 48 over Gulf (New Port Richey)

St. Petersburg 32 over Hillsborough (Tampa)

REGION 4

Dr. Joaquin Garcia (Lake Worth) 16 over Miami Norland

Miami Northwestern 25 over Mater Lakes (Hialeah)


CLASS 1A

REGION 1

Florida High (Tallahassee) 33 over Suwannee (Live Oak)

University Christian (Jacksonville) 1 over Bradford (Starke)

REGION 2

Wildwood 40 over Dunedin

Tampa Catholic 13 over Keswick Christian (St. Petersburg)

REGION 3

Somerset Canyons (Boynton Beach) 34 over Gateway Charter (Fort Myers)

Posnack (Davie) 12 over John Carroll (Fort Pierce)

REGION 4

Miami Edison 26 over Monsignor Pace (Miami)

SLAM (Miami) 9 over True North (Miami)

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Robinson (Tampa) captured the No. 1 overall ranking for the final 2025 Florida Power Rankings Index Flag Football Rankings in Girls Flag Football. They also finished as the No. 1 team in Class 2A after capturing their 9th straight state championship and 10th overall in program history [Robinson Flag Football/Instagram]

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Miami Edison captured their first Flag Football State Championship in Class 1A to cap off the 2025 season [Courtesy of Miami Edison High School]

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2025 FOOTBALL SCHEDULE ANALYSIS: Matanzas seeks playoff trip with beefed-up schedule

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