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Home Rankings The Florida Power Rankings Index

FLAG FOOTBALL: Regional Finals Forecast from The Florida Power Rankings Index

The Florida Power Rankings Index has forecasted who will be heading to Tampa next weekend for the State Championships

byJoshua Wilson
May 1, 2025
0
St. Thomas Aquinas (Fort Lauderdale) is playing in the Class 3A-Region 4 Finals tonight. [St. Thomas Aquinas Athletics/Instagram]

St. Thomas Aquinas (Fort Lauderdale) is playing in the Class 3A-Region 4 Finals tonight. [St. Thomas Aquinas Athletics/Instagram]

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Welcome to the seventh girls’ flag football forecast from the all-new Florida Power Rankings Index.

The Florida Power Rankings Index ranking is calculated using a formula that incorporates winning percentage, strength of schedule, and game results, with more recent games weighing heavier. The forecasted margin of victory for each game is determined by subtracting the power ranking of the lower-rated team from the power ranking of its higher-rated opponent in most cases with elevators in place for meaningful predictions and not overly wild blowouts that are unrealistic in sports. For Flag Football, rankings update only once weekly, not each day there are games.

First, let’s take a look at how things went in the regional quarterfinals:

REGIONAL SEMIFINALS: 25-7

PERCENTAGE CORRECT: 78.1%

OVERALL (SINCE WEEK 7): 807-208

OVERALL PERCENTAGE: 79.5%

CLASS 4A

REGION 1

Apopka 13 Spruce Creek (Port Orange)

REGION 2

Alonso (Tampa) 16 over George Steinbrenner (Lutz)

REGION 3

Wellington 2 over Fort Pierce Central

REGION 4

Miami Palmetto 15 over Western (Davie)


CLASS 3A

REGION 1

Pace 15 over Chiles (Tallahassee)

REGION 2

Seminole Ridge (Westlake) 4 over Belleview

REGION 3

East Bay (Gibsonton) 28 over East Lake (Tarpon Springs)

REGION 4

St. Thomas Aquinas (Fort Lauderdale) 11 over Homestead


CLASS 2A

REGION 1

Choctawhatchee (Fort Walton Beach) 30 over Paxon (Jacksonville)

REGION 2

Clay (Green Cove Springs) 32 over Hernando (Brooksville)

REGION 3

Robinson (Tampa) 49 over Hillsborough (Tampa)

REGION 4

Miami Northwestern 1 over Dr. Joaquin Garcia (Lake Worth)


CLASS 1A

REGION 1

Florida High (Tallahassee) 8 over Bradford (Starke)

REGION 2

Wildwood 18 over Tampa Catholic

REGION 3

Somerset Canyons (Boynton Beach) 31 over Posnack (Davie)

REGION 4

Miami Edison 13 over SLAM (Miami)

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FLORIDA POWER RANKINGS INDEX: Week 12 projected scores and win probabilities for 2025 season

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Next Post

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