Four weeks are in the books for the 2021 Florida high school football season and the FHSAA has released their first look at the RPI rankings as we head into Week 5 of the season
As such this update provides the entire state a glimpse of what the potential playoff matchups could be looking like come the second week of November, but remember things change, as we still have seven weeks worth of games (including this week) to go and this is just a very early glimpse at things.
In Classes 5A-8A, district record was taken into consideration except on certain exceptions which are noted.
For Class 7A, you will find a breakdown of RPI rankings for each team in every region and a projected seeding (including tiebreakers) based upon the guidelines as published by the FHSAA (click here to view), as well as quick thoughts about each region.
REGION 1
Rank | School | RPI | OWP | OOWP |
1 | Niceville | 0.72500 | 0.54167 | 0.61806 |
2 | Spruce Creek | 0.71771 | 0.45833 | 0.69097 |
3 | University (Orange City) | 0.70139 | 0.44444 | 0.65278 |
4 | Nease | 0.66771 | 0.66667 | 0.57292 |
5 | Buchholz | 0.60208 | 0.45833 | 0.59722 |
6 | Crestview | 0.57917 | 0.33333 | 0.66667 |
7 | Atlantic Coast | 0.55417 | 0.58333 | 0.58333 |
8 | Navarre | 0.52361 | 0.22222 | 0.70833 |
9 | Ponte Vedra | 0.51458 | 0.58333 | 0.45139 |
10 | Chiles | 0.47813 | 0.75000 | 0.42708 |
11 | Leon | 0.46250 | 0.50000 | 0.37500 |
12 | Lake Howell | 0.45625 | 0.75000 | 0.35417 |
13 | Lyman | 0.43333 | 0.75000 | 0.56944 |
14 | Pace | 0.42361 | 0.55556 | 0.37500 |
15 | Tate | 0.40313 | 0.62500 | 0.32292 |
16 | Forest | 0.38889 | 0.27778 | 0.58333 |
17 | Fleming Island | 0.36667 | 0.54167 | 0.29861 |
18 | Fletcher | 0.36042 | 0.33333 | 0.52083 |
19 | First Coast | 0.28333 | 0.45833 | 0.40972 |
20 | Winter Springs | 0.27500 | 0.50000 | 0.33333 |
PROJECTED DISTRICT CHAMPS
This is based on current district standings and taking the highest-rated team among the district standings if they have won district games. Should a district not have any district games played as of yet, the highest-rated team will be mythically slotted in as a district champion for projection purposes only.
7A-1: Niceville – No. 1
7A-2: Nease – No. 3
7A-3: Buchholz – No. 4
7A-4: Spruce Creek – No. 2
PROJECTED REGIONAL QUARTERFINAL PAIRINGS
No. 8 Navarre vs. No. 1 Niceville
No. 5 University vs. No. 4 Buchholz
No. 6 Crestview vs. No. 3 Nease
No. 7 Atlantic Coast vs. No. 2 Spruce Creek
QUICK THOUGHTS: So far early on, the teams we feel would be in the mix for the top seeds are those teams indeed. Also, the teams that would take at-large berths are looking to be the teams that were in the running from the start, but things can and will change over the next seven weeks.
Rank | School | RPI | OWP | OOWP |
1 | Martin County | 0.72083 | 0.55556 | 0.58796 |
2 | Viera | 0.65972 | 0.77778 | 0.51389 |
3 | Dwyer | 0.65729 | 0.58333 | 0.63542 |
4 | Edgewater | 0.65104 | 0.41667 | 0.80903 |
5 | Lakeland | 0.61667 | 0.58333 | 0.50000 |
6 | Bartow | 0.61146 | 0.54167 | 0.53125 |
7 | Seminole Ridge | 0.60417 | 0.41667 | 0.65278 |
8 | George Jenkins | 0.56354 | 0.37500 | 0.56597 |
9 | Harmony | 0.56111 | 0.33333 | 0.70370 |
10 | Kathleen | 0.56042 | 0.91667 | 0.50694 |
11 | Lake Gibson | 0.55833 | 0.58333 | 0.59722 |
12 | Sebastian River | 0.55000 | 0.75000 | 0.37500 |
13 | Melbourne | 0.52083 | 0.83333 | 0.37500 |
14 | Fort Pierce Westwood | 0.46250 | 0.83333 | 0.56944 |
15 | Ridge Community | 0.43021 | 0.37500 | 0.41319 |
16 | East River | 0.38333 | 0.41667 | 0.50000 |
17 | Wekiva | 0.33333 | 0.55556 | 0.46296 |
18 | East Ridge | 0.30625 | 0.62500 | 0.29167 |
19 | St. Cloud | 0.27500 | 0.00000 | 0.52778 |
20 | Winter Haven | 0.23854 | 0.25000 | 0.50347 |
PROJECTED DISTRICT CHAMPS
This is based on current district standings and taking the highest-rated team among the district standings if they have won district games. Should a district not have any district games played as of yet, the highest-rated team will be mythically slotted in as a district champion for projection purposes only.
7A-5: Kathleen – No. 4
7A-6: Edgewater – No. 3
7A-7: Viera – No. 2
7A-8: Martin County – No. 1
PROJECTED REGIONAL QUARTERFINAL PAIRINGS
No. 8 Seminole Ridge vs. No. 1 Martin County
No. 5 Dwyer vs. No. 4 Kathleen
No. 6 Lakeland vs. No. 3 Edgewater
No. 7 Bartow vs. No. 2 Viera
QUICK THOUGHTS: What is really interesting that the one team that got a huge win over Lakeland is coming ranked 11th in the region for the first rankings and that is Lake Gibson which puts them outside of playoff contention. If we are looking for a reason why not to put rankings out too early, this would be it right here.
REGION 3
Rank | School | RPI | OWP | OOWP |
1 | Tampa Bay Tech | 0.80833 | 0.66667 | 0.75000 |
2 | Wharton | 0.73056 | 0.44444 | 0.75000 |
3 | East Bay | 0.69688 | 0.50000 | 0.57292 |
4 | Gaither | 0.64063 | 0.58333 | 0.57986 |
5 | Armwood | 0.63750 | 0.54167 | 0.61806 |
6 | Wiregrass Ranch | 0.61667 | 1.00000 | 0.30556 |
7 | Bloomingdale | 0.57708 | 0.66667 | 0.56250 |
8 | Riverdale | 0.53472 | 0.72222 | 0.55093 |
9 | Lehigh | 0.52222 | 0.44444 | 0.44444 |
10 | Palmetto | 0.51667 | 0.55556 | 0.68519 |
11 | Sickles | 0.51250 | 0.25000 | 0.54167 |
12 | Mitchell | 0.50208 | 0.16667 | 0.60417 |
13 | Largo | 0.45694 | 0.55556 | 0.48611 |
14 | Palmetto Ridge | 0.45000 | 0.41667 | 0.43056 |
15 | North Port | 0.40729 | 0.58333 | 0.38542 |
16 | Strawberry Crest | 0.40313 | 0.50000 | 0.46875 |
17 | Lennard | 0.37917 | 0.66667 | 0.48611 |
18 | Manatee | 0.35833 | 0.55556 | 0.54630 |
19 | Leto | 0.20000 | 0.50000 | 0.08333 |
PROJECTED DISTRICT CHAMPS
This is based on current district standings and taking the highest-rated team among the district standings if they have won district games. Should a district not have any district games played as of yet, the highest-rated team will be mythically slotted in as a district champion for projection purposes only.
7A-9: Gaither – No. 2
7A-10: Wharton – No. 1
7A-11: Bloomingdale – No. 3
7A-12: Palmetto Ridge – No. 4
PROJECTED REGIONAL QUARTERFINAL PAIRINGS
No. 8 Wiregrass Ranch vs. No. 1 Wharton
No. 5 Tampa Bay Tech vs. No. 4 Palmetto Ridge
No. 6 East Bay vs. No. 3 Bloomingdale
No. 7 Armwood vs. No. 2 Gaither
QUICK THOUGHTS: There is a lot of moving parts here and while Tampa Bay Tech has the highest RPI, the haven’t played a district game as of yet. So expect a lot of this to change and this will certainly shake itself out as we proceed over the next few weeks as the picture gets clearer.
REGION 4
Rank | School | RPI | OWP | OOWP |
1 | Dillard | 0.77604 | 0.66667 | 0.64236 |
2 | Doral Academy | 0.77229 | 0.68750 | 0.60556 |
3 | St. Thomas Aquinas | 0.70521 | 0.70833 | 0.64931 |
4 | Fort Lauderdale | 0.68611 | 0.88889 | 0.47222 |
5 | Miramar | 0.65833 | 1.00000 | 0.63889 |
6 | South Broward | 0.64375 | 0.62500 | 0.54167 |
7 | Mater Academy | 0.61758 | 0.70000 | 0.54194 |
8 | Homestead | 0.58750 | 0.44444 | 0.66204 |
9 | Nova | 0.56667 | 0.50000 | 0.43056 |
10 | North Miami | 0.55938 | 0.66667 | 0.50347 |
11 | Atlantic (Delray Beach) | 0.54792 | 0.58333 | 0.56250 |
12 | McArthur | 0.49688 | 0.45833 | 0.53819 |
13 | Miami Southridge | 0.48611 | 0.33333 | 0.45370 |
14 | Olympic Heights | 0.48542 | 0.41667 | 0.54861 |
15 | Cooper City | 0.45625 | 0.37500 | 0.50000 |
16 | Hialeah | 0.42563 | 0.37500 | 0.39792 |
17 | Piper | 0.42222 | 0.44444 | 0.50000 |
18 | South Plantation | 0.39167 | 0.41667 | 0.52778 |
19 | Blanche Ely | 0.27188 | 0.37500 | 0.46875 |
20 | Everglades | 0.20139 | 0.27778 | 0.34722 |
PROJECTED DISTRICT CHAMPS
This is based on current district standings and taking the highest-rated team among the district standings if they have won district games. Should a district not have any district games played as of yet, the highest-rated team will be mythically slotted in as a district champion for projection purposes only.
7A-13: Fort Lauderdale – No. 3
7A-14: Dillard – No. 1
7A-15: Miramar – No. 4
7A-16: Doral Academy – No. 2
PROJECTED REGIONAL QUARTERFINAL PAIRINGS
No. 8 Homestead vs. No. 1 Dillard
No. 5 St. Thomas Aquinas vs. No. 4 Miramar
No. 6 South Broward vs. No. 3 Fort Lauderdale
No. 7 Mater Academy vs. No. 2 Doral Academy
QUICK THOUGHTS: Some really interesting rankings and projections coming out of this region here early on. Biggest thing to keep in mind as I have stressed to this point – things are going to change in over the coming weeks with seven weeks of football left to go.