FHSF Power Rankings Index: Week 1 statewide game forecast

Welcome to the FloridaHSFootball.com Power Rankings Index. The index ranks teams and forecasts games based on the strength of schedule, including the strength of opposition and margin of victory, with more recent games weighing more heavily as a factor. The forecasted margin of victory is determined by subtracting the power ranking of the lower-rated team from the power ranking of the higher-rated team.

While it should be noted that things look similar in style to what the legendary Joe Pinkos did in determining his forecasts (which we honor his legacy in formatting the forecast the way he did), the formula created here is not the formula from Joe’s which was a secret and unfortunately lost when Joe passed away almost two years ago. We can only begin to guess what his formula looked like, but we believe we have created a formula that should work to predict games that will come with tweaks here and there along the way in due time.

Game forecasts are sorted by classification of favorites and listed alphabetically. The underdog’s classification is noted for inter-classification games.

CLASS 4M

Alonso 63 over Tampa Freedom

Apopka 12 over Ocoee

Boone 6 over Timber Creek

Cedar Grove, Ga. 29 over Monarch

Colonial 1 over Windermere

Coral Gables 6 over (3M) American

Coral Glades 5 over (3M) South Plantation

Cypress Bay 13 over West Broward

Durant 63 over (2M) Chamberlain

East Lake 13 over (4S) Lake Gibson

Goleman 33 over (3M) over Mater Academy

Hagerty 16 over (4S) Orange City University

Lake Mary 32 over Dr. Phillips

Lake Worth 8 over Spanish River

Milton, Ga. 24 over Western

Newsome 24 over Plant City

Olympia 8 over (3M) Wekiva

Olympic Heights 9 over (2M) Suncoast

Orlando Cypress Creek 16 over Orlando University

Orlando Freedom 3 over (3M) Horizon

Palm Beach Central 18 over (4S) Creekside

Palm Beach Gardens 2 over (3M) Delray Beach Atlantic

Palm Beach Lakes 3 over (IND) Dr. Joaquin Garcia

Riverview (Riverview) 35 over (2M) Brandon

Sandalwood 24 over (2M) Ribault

Sanford Seminole 5 over (3S) Rockledge

Sickles 1 over (2M) Jefferson

Somerset Academy 21 over (2M) North Broward Prep

Steinbrenner 4 over (3M) Gaither

Stoneman Douglas 22 over (3M) McArthur

Strawberry Crest 29 over (2M) King

Sumner 17 over (3M) Bloomingdale

Wellington 13 over Park Vista

West Orange 55 over Oak Ridge

Winter Park 21 over Lake Nona

CLASS 3M

Belen Jesuit 1 over Fort Lauderdale Calvary Christian

Coconut Creek 49 over Boyd Anderson

Countryside 20 over (2M) Dunedin

Dillard 27 over (2M) Stranahan

Dr. Krop 8 over (4M) Miami High

Dwyer 1 over (4M) Jupiter

East Bay 35 over (2M) Middleton

Edgewater 27 over (2M) Bishop Moore

Englewood 21 over (SSAC) Paxon

Everglades 19 over (4M) Taravella

Fort Lauderdale 2 over Deerfield Beach

Highland Springs, Va. 16 over Miramar

Homestead 20 over (4M) Miami Palmetto

Jesuit 11 over Wharton

Lake Howell 29 over (SSAC) Space Coast

Lyman 11 over (4M) Evans

Miami Beach 22 over (2M) Miami Springs

Miami Southridge 10 over (2M) Miami Jackson

Oviedo 24 over (4M) Lake Brantley

Pembroke Pines Charter 49 over (2M) Oakland Park Northeast

Pinellas Park 8 over Largo

Piper 19 over (4M) Cooper City

Plantation 63 over (2M) Hallandale

St. John Bosco, Calif. 13 over St. Thomas Aquinas

St. Petersburg 10 over (IND) Tarpon Springs

Seminole Osceola 21 over Palm Harbor University

Seminole Ridge 23 over (2M) Glades Central

Tampa Bay Tech 19 over (4M) Plant

Terry Parker 16 over (4M) Atlantic Coast

West Boca Raton 5 over (4M) John I. Leonard

CLASS 2M

Andrew Jackson 15 over (4S) Nease

Berkeley Prep 4 over (1M) Clearwater Central Catholic

Bishop Kenny 42 over (3M) First Coast

Blake 26 over (3M) Leto

Boca Ciega 12 over (3M) Seminole (Seminole)

Bolles 5 over (3S) St. Augustine

Boynton Beach 15 over (4M) Forest Hill

Cardinal Gibbons, N.C. 16 over Fort Lauderdale Cardinal Gibbons

Episcopal 25 over (SSAC) Zarephath Academy

Gulliver Prep 23 over (3M) North Miami

Immaculata-LaSalle 62 over (1M) Palm Glades Prep

Inlet Grove 3 over Eastside

Lakewood 7 over (3M) St. Petersburg Northeast

King’s Academy 4 over Saint Andrew’s

Miami Carol City 2 over (4M) South Dade

Miami Edison 24 over (3M) Hialeah

Miami Killian 6 over Miami Booker T. Washington

Nova 8 over (4M) Flanagan

Pine Crest 37 over (IND) Archbishop McCarthy

Riverside 45 over Westside

Robinson 13 over (3M) Spoto

St. John’s, D.C. 3 over Plantation American Heritage

St. Brendan 13 over (IND) Miami Sunset

CLASS 1M

Archbishop Carroll 45 over Somerset Silver Palms

Avant Garde 17 over (2M) Westland Hialeah

Chaminade-Madonna 13 over St. Frances Academy, Md.

Cambridge Christian 6 over (IND) IMG Academy Blue

Cardinal Newman 36 over (2M) Monsignor Pace

Carrollwood Day 4 over (1R) Madison County

First Academy 25 over (2S) Crescent City

Florida Christian 7 over Somerset South Homestead

Foundation Academy 31 over (2S) Tenoroc

Indian Rocks Christian 43 over (3M) Hollins

Jacksonville Trinity Christian 18 over (2M) Ed White

North Florida Educational 7 over (2S) West Nassau

Northside Christian 44 over (IND) A’kelynn’s Angels Christian

Orlando Christian Prep 5 over (1R) Wildwood

Palmer Trinity 44 over (IND) SmartEn Sports Academy

Providence 5 over (2S) Fernandina Beach

St. Petersburg Catholic 13 over (2S) Bayshore

Seffner Christian 1 over (IND) Windermere Prep

True North 7 over (IND) Coral Shores

University Christian 3 over (2M) Raines

Westminster Christian 25 over (2M) Delray Beach American Heritage

CLASS 4S

Bartram Trail 34 over Ponte Vedra

Buchholz 19 over (3S) Columbia

Crestview 13 over (3S) Rickards

Fleming Island 7 over (3S) Clay

Gulf Coast 2 over (3S) South Fort Myers

Haines City 36 over (3S) Davenport

Harmony 1 over (2S) Eustis

Ida Baker 18 over (3S) Cape Coral

Immokalee 1 over (2S) Booker

Kissimmee Osceola 12 over Treasure Coast

Lake Minneola 34 over Manatee

Lakeland 31 over (2M) Miami Norland

Land O’Lakes 30 over (3S) River Ridge

Martin County 34 over Bartow

Melbourne 39 over Titusville

Mitchell 20 over Gulf

Mosley 48 over (2S) Rutherford

New Smyrna Beach 24 over (3M) East River

Niceville 41 over (2M) North Miami Beach

Oakleaf 21 over (3S) Orange Park

Orange Beach, Ala. 31 over Milton

Palmetto 9 over (2M) Gibbs

Ridge Community 15 over Celebration

Sarasota Riverview 19 over (3S) Southeast

Springstead 21 over (3S) Eau Gallie

Spruce Creek 11 over (3S) Seabreeze

Tohopekaliga 18 over (3S) Kissimmee Liberty

Venice 32 over (3M) Armwood

Vero Beach 12 over (2M) Miami Northwestern

Viera 2 over (3S) South Fork

Winter Haven 22 over Kathleen

CLASS 3S

Barron Collier 1 over (4S) St. Cloud

Belleview 11 over Lecanto

Bonita Springs 3 over Island Coast

Braden River 28 over Gainesville

Choctawhatchee 3 over (4S) Pace

Cypress Lake 19 over (2S) Fort Myers Gateway

Dunbar 45 over (4S) Charlotte

Erie, Colo. 3 over Vanguard

Fort Pierce Westwood 17 over (4M) Royal Palm Beach

Jensen Beach 28 over (4S) Fort Pierce Central

Kissimmee Gateway 15 over (2M) Lake Buena Vista

Lake Region 2 over (4S) George Jenkins

Lake Wales 16 over Zephyrhills

Mainland 17 over (4S) DeLand

Mariner 44 over (3S) East Lee County

Matanzas 30 over (4S) South Lake

Menendez 40 over Ridgeview

Merritt Island 11 over Deltona

Naples 34 over Lehigh

Parrish Community 29 over (IND) North Port

Pasco 29 over (4S) East Ridge

Pensacola Booker T. Washington 34 over (2S) Pensacola

Pine Forest 70 over (4S) Tate

Pine Ridge 5 over (3M) Winter Springs

Port St. Lucie 43 over (1M) Boca Raton St. John Paul II

Satellite 4 over (4S) Heritage

Sebring 22 over (4S) Centennial

Tavares 19 over (2S) Port Orange Atlantic

Wesley Chapel 13 over (4S) Sunlake

Wesley Chapel Cypress Creek 32 over Fivay

CLASS 2S

Astronaut 15 over (1S) Melbourne Central Catholic

Baldwin 34 over (2M) Wolfson

Baker County 3 over Bradford

Bay 27 over (3S) Arnold

Bishop Verot 3 over (3S) Port Charlotte

Charlton County, Ga. 22 over Yulee

Clewiston 19 over Key West

Cocoa 6 over (3M) Jones

Crystal River 23 over Weeki Wachee

DeSoto County 52 over (3S) Okeechobee

Dunnellon 32 over West Port

Florida High 16 over (1S) Trinity Catholic

Godby 22 over (3S) Fort Walton Beach

Hudson 25 over Hernando

Lemon Bay 23 over (4S) Lakewood Ranch

Lowndes, Ga. 60 over Gadsden County

Mulberry 42 over (IND) Ambassadors Christian

Nature Coast 21 over (IND) Poinciana

North Bay Haven 23 over (1R) Franklin County

Pensacola Catholic 4 over (4S) Navarre

South Sumter 16 over The Villages

South Walton 2 over (1R) Baker

Suwannee 5 over (4S) Flagler Palm Coast

Taylor 11 over (SSAC) Trinity Prep

Umatilla 6 over Palatka

Wakulla 26 over (4S) Chiles

West Florida 11 over (3S) Escambia

CLASS 1S

Cardinal Mooney 9 over Avon Park

Deerfield-Windsor, Ga. 20 over Maclay

Evangelical Christian 29 over (4S) Palmetto Ridge

Father Lopez 3 over P.K. Yonge

First Baptist 19 over (2S) Estero

Holy Trinity 34 over (SSAC) Cocoa Beach

John Carroll 18 over (1M) Benjamin

Lakeland Christian 17 over (2S) Frostproof

Moore Haven 18 over (3S) Leesburg

North Florida Christian 65 over (4S) Leon

Zephyrhills Christian 33 over (SSAC) Tradition Prep

CLASS 1R

Ashford, Ala. 9 over Graceville

Aucilla Christian 55 over (1S) Halifax Academy

Blountstown 1 over (2S) Walton

Bozeman 43 over (1S) FAMU DRS

Branford 26 over (SSAC) Cedar Creek Christian

Brookwood School, Ga. 10 over Wewahitchka

Chiefland 22 over Williston

Chipley 55 over (IND) Hollis Christian

Fort White 4 over (2S) Taylor County

Freeport 29 over (IND) Destin

Hawthorne 44 over (3S) Middleburg

Hilliard 36 over (IND) Young Kids In Motion

Holmes County 26 over (2S) Marianna

Jay 18 over Vernon

Jefferson County 4 over Hamilton County

Lafayette 45 over Dixie County

Newberry 41 over (2S) Santa Fe

Northview 29 over Flomaton, Ala.

Sneads 35 over Cottondale

Union County 21 over Interlachen

SSAA 11-MAN

All Saints 52 over Lighthouse PCA

Bell 23 over (1R) Trenton

Bishop Snyder 52 over Stanton

Boca Raton Christian 44 over (IND) Marco Island Academy

Bradenton Christian 16 over (IND) Keswick Christian

Bronson 25 over (2S) Anclote

Duval Charter 23 over Christ’s Church Academy

Eagle’s View Academy 29 over Bell Creek Academy

Faith Christian 26 over Cornerstone Charter

Fort Myers Canterbury 12 over (1S) St. John Neumann

Gateway Charter 15 over Oasis

Glades Day 24 over (IND) LaBelle

Impact Christian 1 over Harvest Community

Jupiter Christian 64 over Oxbridge Academy

Lake Weir over 12 Saint Francis Catholic

Legacy Charter 62 over (IND) Bishop McLaughlin

Middle Tennessee Christian, Tenn. 30 over The Master’s Academy

Mount Dora Christian 26 over (2S) Mount Dora

NSU University School 17 over Coral Springs Charter

Oak Hall 62 over St. Joseph

Out-of-Door 58 over Berean Christian

Palm Beach Christian Prep 51 over (IND) Somerset Prep

St. Edward’s 20 over Orangewood Christian

Santa Fe Catholic 29 over (1S) Southwest Florida Christian

Sebastian River 31 over (IND) Specially Fit Academy

SSAA 8-MAN

Classical Academy 29 over Eastland Christian

Countryside Christian 70 over Liberty Christian

Florida Deaf & Blind 25 over St. John Lutheran

Hernando Christian 70 over Calvary Chapel

Lakeside Christian 13 over Lake Mary Prep

Merritt Island Christian 6 over Donahue Catholic

Oasis Christian 60 over Foundation Christian

Riverside Christian 39 over First Coast Christian

Sarasota Christian 70 over SLAM Tampa

Shorecrest Prep 29 over Ocala Christian

Vero Beach Master’s Academy 70 over Casselberry Geneva School

INDEPENDENTS

Aubrey Rogers 13 over Somerset Academy Key

Beachside 14 over (4S) Tocoi Creek

Braddock 46 over Mourning

Central Florida Christian 23 over (2S) Hardee

Clearwater Academy 1 over (4M) Columbus

Coral Reef 10 over (2M) South Miami

Ferguson 12 over Hialeah Gardens

IMG Academy White 3 over (1S) Tallahassee St. John Paul II

Joshua Christian 1 over Victory Charter

Lake Highland Prep 32 over (SSAC) Westminster Academy

Miami Coral Park 37 over Southwest Miami

Pompano Beach 2 over Marathon

Reagan 17 over Hialeah-Miami Lakes

St. Joseph’s Prep, Pa. 11 over IMG Academy

Varela 5 over (1M) Everglades Prep