FHSF Power Rankings Index: Week 9 statewide game forecast

Welcome to the FloridaHSFootball.com Power Rankings Index. The index ranks teams and forecasts games based on the strength of schedule, including the strength of opposition and margin of victory, with more recent games weighing more heavily as a factor. The forecasted margin of victory is determined by subtracting the power ranking of the lower-rated team from the power ranking of the higher-rated team.

While it should be noted that things look similar in style to what the legendary Joe Pinkos did in determining his forecasts (which we honor his legacy in formatting the forecast the way he did), the formula created here is not part of Joe’s formula which was a secret and unfortunately lost when Joe passed away almost two years ago.

Game forecasts are sorted by classification of favorites and listed alphabetically. The underdog’s classification is noted for inter-classification games.

Here is the forecast for Week 9:

CLASS 4M

Boone (Orlando) 17 over Cypress Creek (Orlando)

Coral Springs 13 over (3M) Boyd Anderson (Lauderdale Lakes)

Cypress Bay (Weston) 21 over Cooper City

Durant (Plant City) 9 over (3M) Gaither (Tampa)

Goleman (Miami) 15 over (2M) Miami Killian

Hagerty (Oviedo) 22 over University (Orlando)

Jupiter 12 over Forest Hill (West Palm Beach)

Lake Mary 12 over Apopka

Lake Nona (Orlando) 8 over Oak Ridge (Orlando)

Lake Worth 5 over John I. Leonard (Greenacres)

Miami Palmetto 2 over (3M) Dr. Krop (Miami)

Ocoee 5 over Windermere

Olympia (Orlando) 19 over Freedom (Orlando)

Palm Beach Central (Wellington) 8 over Palm Beach Gardens

Palm Harbor University 6 over (3M) Seminole (Seminole)

Plant (Tampa) 18 over Steinbrenner (Lutz)

Riverview (Riverview) 5 over Strawberry Crest (Dover)

Seminole (Sanford) 14 over Lake Brantley (Altamonte Springs)

Sickles (Tampa) 3 over (2M) Middleton (Tampa)

South Dade (Homestead) 1 over Booker T. Washington (Miami)

Spanish River (Boca Raton) 1 over Santaluces (Lantana)

Taravella (Coral Springs) 1 over (2M) Hallandale

Wellington 3 over Palm Beach Lakes (West Palm Beach)

West Broward (Pembroke Pines) 9 over Flanagan (Pembroke Pines)

West Orange (Winter Garden) 6 over Dr. Phillips (Orlando)

Winter Park 27 over Colonial (Orlando)

CLASS 3M

American (Hialeah) 2 over (2M) Miami Springs

Armwood (Seffner) 15 over (4M) Plant City

Atlantic (Delray Beach) 9 over Dwyer (Palm Beach Gardens)

Blanche Ely (Pompano Beach) 6 over Piper (Sunrise)

Coconut Creek 6 over McArthur (Hollywood)

Dillard (Fort Lauderdale) 3 over Fort Lauderdale

East Bay (Gibsonton) 1 over (2M) Berkeley Prep (Tampa)

Edgewater (Orlando) 10 over Horizon (Winter Garden)

Englewood (Jacksonville) 17 over (2M) Westside (Jacksonville)

Everglades (Miramar) 6 over South Plantation

First Coast (Jacksonville) 7 over (SSAA) Paxon (Jacksonville)

Hillsborough (Tampa) 8 over (4M) Newsome (Lithia)

Hollywood Hills 1 over (2M) Boynton Beach

Homestead 12 over (2M) Miami Edison

Jones (Orlando) 7 over Wekiva (Apopka)

Lake Howell (Winter Park) 14 over Winter Springs

Largo 9 over (2M) Lakewood (St. Petersburg)

Miramar 2 over (4M) Western (Davie)

North Miami 10 over (2M) South Miami

Osceola (Seminole) 17 over (2S) DeSoto County (Arcadia)

Oviedo 1 over Lyman (Longwood)

Pembroke Pines Charter 5 over Nova (Davie)

Plantation 20 over Deerfield Beach

Seminole Ridge (Westlake) 9 over (4M) Park Vista (Lake Worth)

South Broward (Hollywood) 15 over (4M) Stoneman Douglas (Parkland)

Spoto (Riverview) 7 over (2M) Brandon

St. Petersburg 12 over Countryside (Clearwater)

St. Thomas Aquinas (Fort Lauderdale) 6 over (4M) Monarch (Coconut Creek)

Tampa Bay Tech 11 over Jesuit (Tampa)

West Boca Raton 29 over (2M) Northeast (Oakland Park)

Wharton (Tampa) 14 over Bloomingdale (Valrico)

CLASS 2M

Bishop Kenny (Jacksonville) 9 over (3S) Middleburg

Bishop Moore (Orlando) 19 over (3S) Deltona

Blake (Tampa) 25 over Chamberlain (Tampa)

Boca Ciega (Gulfport) 15 over (3M) Hollins (St. Petersburg)

Calvary Christian (Clearwater) 3 over (1S) Lakeland Christian

Calvary Christian (Fort Lauderdale) 6 over Monsignor Pace (Miami Gardens)

Cardinal Gibbons (Fort Lauderdale) 4 over (4M) Boca Raton

Clearwater 3 over (4M) East Lake (Tarpon Springs)

Ed White (Jacksonville) 6 over Ribault (Jacksonville)

Gulliver Prep (Pinecrest) 5 over (3M) Belen Jesuit (Miami)

Inlet Grove (Riviera Beach) 2 over (2S) Clewiston

King’s Academy (West Palm Beach) 1 over (1M) True North (Miami)

Lake Buena Vista (Orlando) 1 over (IND) Poinciana (Kissimmee)

Miami Central 8 over (3M) Miami Southridge

Miami Jackson 8 over (IND) Miami Coral Park

Miami Norland 1 over (4M) Columbus (Miami)

Miami Northwestern 1 over (4M) Coral Gables

North Broward Prep (Coconut Creek) 4 over (SSAA) Coral Springs Charter

North Miami Beach 4 over (3M) Southwest Miami

Raines (Jacksonville) 11 over (4M) Atlantic Coast (Jacksonville)

Riverside (Jacksonville) 12 over (4M) Sandalwood (Jacksonville)

Somerset Silver Palms (Miami) 6 over (1M) Everglades Prep (Homestead)

St. Brendan (Miami) 4 over Immaculata-LaSalle (Miami)

Stranahan (Fort Lauderdale) 10 over (4M) Coral Glades (Coral Springs)

Suncoast (Riviera Beach) 1 over Glades Central (Belle Glade)

Tampa Catholic 2 over (3S) Fort Myers

CLASS 1M

Archbishop Carroll (Miami) 10 over Westminster Christian (Miami)

Cambridge Christian (Tampa) 5 over (SSAA) Bell Creek Academy (Riverview)

Cardinal Newman (West Palm Beach) 4 over Benjamin (Palm Beach Gardens)

Chaminade-Madonna (Hollywood) 9 over Avant Garde (Hollywood)

First Academy (Orlando) 6 over (2S) Eustis

Foundation Academy (Winter Garden) 13 over (IND) Windermere Prep

Indian Rocks Christian (Largo) 3 over Northside Christian (St. Petersburg)

Orlando Christian Prep 9 over (IND) West Oaks Academy (Orlando)

Seffner Christian 8 over (SSAA) Bronson

St. Petersburg Catholic 2 over (IND) Bishop McLaughlin (Spring Hill)

University Christian (Jacksonville) 19 over (3M) Terry Parker (Jacksonville)

CLASS 4S

Buchholz (Gainesville) 8 over Bartram Trail (St. Johns)

Chiles (Tallahassee) 18 over (IND) Young Kids In Motion (Jacksonville)

Creekside (St. Johns) 4 over Fleming Island

Crestview 3 over Milton

DeLand 1 over University (Orange City)

Flagler Palm Coast 10 over Celebration

Gulf Breeze 1 over Tate (Cantonment)

Haines City 4 over George Jenkins (Lakeland)

Lake Minneola 11 over Forest (Ocala)

Lakeland 8 over (IND) Clearwater Academy International

Lakewood Ranch (Bradenton) 6 over(2M) Gibbs (St. Petersburg)

Land O’Lakes 20 over Sunlake (Land O’ Lakes)

Manatee (Bradenton) 2 over Riverview (Sarasota)

New Smyrna Beach 2 over Spruce Creek (Port Orange)

Niceville 13 over Leon (Tallahassee)

Pace 4 over Navarre

Ponte Vedra 13 over (3S) Orange Park

Ridge Community (Davenport) 6 over Kathleen (Lakeland)

Sarasota 8 over (3S) Southeast (Bradenton)

Springstead (Spring Hill) 2 over Mitchell (New Port Richey)

St. Cloud 13 over South Lake (Groveland)

Tohopekaliga (Kissimmee) 14 over Harmony

Treasure Coast (Port St. Lucie) 15 over Centennial (Port St. Lucie)

Venice 10 over Palmetto

Vero Beach 4 over Martin County (Stuart)

West Port (Ocala) 5 over East Ridge (Clermont)

Winter Haven 2 over Lake Gibson (Lakeland)

Wiregrass Ranch (Wesley Chapel) 1 over (2S) Booker (Sarasota)

CLASS 3S

Auburndale 14 over Davenport

Barron Collier (Naples) 4 over Lely (Naples)

Braden River (Bradenton) 8 over (4S) Charlotte (Punta Gorda)

Choctawhatchee (Fort Walton Beach) 12 over Booker T. Washington (Pensacola)

Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel) 10 over Parrish Community

Dunbar (Fort Myers) 12 over East Lee County (Lehigh Acres)

Eau Gallie (Melbourne) 15 over Bayside (Palm Bay)

Escambia (Pensacola) 2 over Pine Forest (Pensacola)

Fivay (Hudson) 1 over Gulf (New Port Richey)

Fort Pierce Westwood 4 over (4S) Fort Pierce Central

Fort Walton Beach 1 over (2S) Bay (Panama City)

Golden Gate (Naples) 16 over Bonita Springs

Island Coast (Cape Coral) 7 over (2S) Gateway (Fort Myers)

Jensen Beach 8 over (SSAA) Sebastian River

Lake Region (Eagle Lake) 13 over Gateway (Kissimmee)

Lake Wales 33 over Liberty (Kissimmee)

Leesburg 23 over (2S) Umatilla

Lincoln (Tallahassee) 31 over Arnold (Panama City Beach)

Mainland (Daytona Beach) 8 over (4S) Osceola (Kissimmee)

Matanzas (Palm Coast) 1 over Clay (Green Cove Springs)

Merritt Island 6 over Rockledge

Naples 3 over (2M) American Heritage (Plantation)

North Fort Myers 9 over (4S) Lehigh (Lehigh Acres)

Okeechobee 9 over (2S) Lake Placid

Pasco (Dade City) 5 over (2S) Crystal River

River Ridge (New Port Richey) 8 over Citrus (Inverness)

Sebring 8 over (4S) Bartow

South Fork (Stuart) 3 over Port St. Lucie

South Fort Myers 10 over Cypress Lake (Fort Myers)

St. Augustine 19 over Gainesville

Vanguard (Ocala) 11 over Tavares

CLASS 2S

Atlantic (Port Orange) 5 over (3S) Seabreeze (Daytona Beach)

Baker County (Glen St. Mary) 3 over (2M) Andrew Jackson (Jacksonville)

Baldwin 12 over West Nassau (Callahan)

Bayshore (Bradenton) 14 over (IND) Marco Island Academy

Bishop Verot (Fort Myers) 4 over (1S) Cardinal Mooney (Sarasota)

Bradford (Starke) 9 over (3S) Lecanto

Cocoa 22 over Astronaut (Titusville)

Eastside (Gainesville) 8 over (SSAA) St. Joseph (St. Augustine)

Florida High (Tallahassee) 14 over (3S) Rickards (Tallahassee)

Fort Meade 30 over Tenoroc (Lakeland)

Hardee (Wauchula) 5 over (IND) North Port

Hudson 4 over (1R) Williston

Keystone Heights 3 over Taylor (Pierson)

Lemon Bay (Englewood) 3 over (1S) First Baptist (Naples)

Marianna 4 over (0) Pike Liberal Arts (Alabama)

Mount Dora 3 over (3S) Tavares

Mulberry 25 over (4S) Ida Baker (Cape Coral)

Nature Coast (Brooksville) 24 over Central (Brooksville)

North Bay Haven (Panama City) 10 over (1R) Graceville

Palatka 10 over Fernandina Beach

Pensacola Catholic 10 over (1S) Munroe Day (Quincy)

South Sumter (Bushnell) 3 over (3S) Vanguard (Ocala)

Wakulla (Crawfordville) 5 over (1S) North Florida Christian (Tallahassee)

Walton (DeFuniak Springs) 7 over Gadsden County (Havana)

Weeki Wachee 1 over Anclote (Holiday)

Yulee 4 over (2M) Episcopal (Jacksonville)

CLASS 1S

Community School (Naples) 28 over (IND) IMG Academy Blue (Bradenton)

Halifax Academy (Daytona Beach) 15 over (SSAA) Trinity Christian (Deltona)

Holy Trinity (Melbourne) 12 over (2M) American Heritage (Delray Beach)

Melbourne Central Catholic 6 over (SSAA) Cocoa Beach

Moore Haven 22 over (IND) A’kelynn’s Angels Christian (Winter Haven)

St. John Neumann (Naples) 5 over Southwest Florida Christian (Fort Myers)

St. John Paul II (Tallahassee) 17 over (1M) St. John Paul II (Boca Raton)

St. Xavier (OH) 1 over Trinity Catholic (Ocala)

Victory Christian (Lakeland) 8 over John Carroll (Fort Pierce)

Zephyrhills Christian 5 over Maclay (Tallahassee)

CLASS 1R

Aucilla Christian (Monticello) 24 over (SSAA) Bell

Baker 6 over Freeport

Branford 16 over (IND) Hollis Christian (Jacksonville)

Chipley 1 over Bozeman (Panama City)

Cottondale 1 over (0) Pataula Charter (Georgia)

Dixie County (Cross City) 19 over Hamilton County (Jasper)

Fort White 24 over (3S) Ridgeview (Orange Park)

Hawthorne 28 over (2S) North Marion (Citra)

Hilliard 3 over (IND) Destin

Holmes County (Bonifay) 10 over Liberty County (Bristol)

Jay 3 over (SSAA) Lighthouse PCA (Pensacola)

Lafayette (Mayo) 7 over Trenton

Madison County (Madison) 12 over (4S) Oakleaf (Orange Park)

Newberry 11 over (1S) P.K. Yonge DRS (Gainesville)

Northview (Century) 2 over Blountstown

Port St. Joe 23 over Franklin County (Eastpoint)

Union County (Lake Butler) 28 over (2S) Santa Fe (Alachua)

Vernon 8 over Jefferson County (Monticello)

Wildwood 5 over (2S) The Villages

SSAA 11-MAN

All Saints (Winter Haven) 32 over Trinity Prep (Winter Park)

Bishop Snyder (Jacksonville) 5 over Seven Rivers Christian (Lecanto)

Boca Raton Christian 15 over (IND) Jordan Christian Prep (Auburndale)

Bradenton Christian 6 over Out-of-Door (Sarasota)

Canterbury (Fort Myers) 9 over (IND) Aubrey Rogers (Naples)

Christ’s Church Academy (Jacksonville) 5 over Eagle’s View Academy (Jacksonville)

Cornerstone Charter (Belle Isle) 2 over (IND) Keswick Christian (St. Petersburg)

Duval Charter (Jacksonville) 2 over Warner Christian (South Daytona)

Faith Christian (Orlando) 2 over St. Edward’s (Vero Beach)

First Academy-Leesburg 16 over Cedar Creek Christian (Jacksonville)

Gateway Charter (Fort Myers) 1 over (IND) Marathon

Harvest Community (Jacksonville) 7 over Stanton (Jacksonville)

Impact Christian (Jacksonville) 16 over (2M) Wolfson (Jacksonville)

Jupiter Christian 8 over (2M) Somerset Canyons (Boynton Beach)

Lake Weir (Ocala) 13 over (3S) Belleview

Legacy Charter (Ocoee) 4 over Orangewood Christian (Maitland)

Mount Dora Christian 8 over Interlachen

NSU University School (Fort Lauderdale) 28 over (IND) Dr. Joaquin Garcia (Lake Worth)

Oak Hall (Gainesville) 16 over The Master’s Academy (Oviedo)

Palm Beach Christian Prep 11 over (IND) Central Florida Christian

Saint Stephen’s Episcopal (Bradenton) 6 over Oasis (Cape Coral)

Santa Fe Catholic (Lakeland) 6 over (1S) Father Lopez (Daytona Beach)

Westminster Academy (Fort Lauderdale) 29 over (IND) SmartEn Sports Academy (Miami)

SSAA 8-MAN

Academy at the Lakes (Land O’ Lakes) 4 over Foundation Christian (Valrico)

Calvary Chapel (West Melbourne) 11 over Geneva School (Casselberry)

Canterbury (St. Petersburg) 19 over SLAM Tampa

Florida Deaf & Blind (St. Augustine) 13 over Mississippi School for the Deaf (Mississippi)

Four Corners Charter (Davenport) 22 over City of Life Christian (Kissimmee)

Hernando Christian (Brooksville) 24 over Cornerstone Academy (Gainesville)

Lake Mary Prep 1 over Merritt Island Christian

Lakeside Christian (Clearwater) 22 over Liberty Christian (Tavares)

Master’s Academy (Vero Beach) 16 over Classical Academy (Sarasota)

Oasis Christian (Winter Haven) 10 over Geneva Classical (Lakeland)

Ocala Christian 5 over Countryside Christian (Gainesville)

Old Plank Christian (Jacksonville) 14 over First Coast Christian (Jacksonville)

Real Life Christian (Clermont) 11 over St. John Lutheran (Ocala)

Riverside Christian (Trenton) 19 over Gainesville Christian

Shorecrest Prep (St. Petersburg) 4 over Donahue Catholic (Ave Maria)

INDEPENDENTS

American Collegiate (Clearwater) 2 over (1R) Chiefland

Archbishop McCarthy (Southwest Ranches) 5 over (SSAA) Glades Day (Belle Glade)

Beachside (St. Johns) 12 over (2S) Crescent City

Braddock (Miami) 24 over Hialeah-Miami Lakes

Coral Reef (Miami) 19 over (2M) Miami Carol City

Coral Shores (Tavernier) 9 over (SSAA) Tradition Prep (Port St. Lucie)

Ferguson (Miami) 15 over (2M) Westland Hialeah

IMG Academy National (Bradenton) 7 over (0) Gray Collegiate Academy (South Carolina)

IMG Academy White (Bradenton) 8 over Lake Highland Prep (Orlando)

LaBelle 13 over (2S) Avon Park

Mourning (North Miami) 12 over Miami Sunset

Ransom Everglades (Miami) 35 over (1M) Palm Glades Prep (Miami)

Reagan (Doral) 11 over (3M) Miami Beach

Saint Francis Catholic (Gainesville) 5 over (SSAA) Berean Christian (West Palm Beach)

Somerset Academy Key (Deerfield Beach) 4 over (1M) BridgePrep Academy (Miami)

Somerset Prep (North Lauderdale) 6 over (3M) Mater Academy (Hialeah Gardens)

Tarpon Springs 20 over (2M) Dunedin

Varela (Miami) 1 over Hialeah Gardens

Young Kids In Motion (Jacksonville) 2 over Joshua Christian (Jacksonville)