FLORIDA POWER RANKINGS INDEX: Week 11 projected scores and win probabilities for 2025 season

As we head into the last week of the 2025 regular season, here’s how the numbers see this week’s matchups playing out. Each projection is powered by the Florida Power Rankings Index (FPRI), which blends team ratings, past performance, and schedule strength into a single score to produce realistic, data-driven outcomes.

This week’s forecast is organized alphabetically by the away team for easy reference. For each game, you’ll find the projected final score and win probability for both teams. While no formula can guarantee the outcome on Friday night, these projections provide an informed look at what might happen when the teams take the field.

Note: Table is scrollable on mobile

Away Home Projected Scoore Away Win Probability Home Win Probability ABF Academy Palmer Trinity Palmer Trinity 29, ABF Academy 5 2% 98% Alonso Berkeley Prep Alonso 35, Berkeley Prep 12 97% 3% Anclote Mitchell Mitchell 48, Anclote 0 0% 100% Archbishop Carroll Olympic Heights Archbishop Carroll 32, Olympic Heights 17 91% 9% Arnold Rutherford Rutherford 27, Arnold 26 45% 55% Astronaut Titusville Astronaut 25, Titusville 19 72% 28% Atlantic (Port Orange) Clewiston Clewiston 26, Atlantic (Port Orange) 15 16% 84% Aubrey Rogers Southeast Southeast 45, Aubrey Rogers 3 0% 100% Auburndale Winter Haven Auburndale 22, Winter Haven 16 71% 29% Baker County Fort White Fort White 34, Baker County 11 3% 97% Bartram Trail Ribault Bartram Trail 29, Ribault 19 82% 18% Bay Bozeman Bay 51, Bozeman 3 100% 0% Bayshore Lakewood Ranch Bayshore 26, Lakewood Ranch 20 72% 28% Bayside American Heritage (Delray Beach) American Heritage (Delray Beach) 45, Bayside 0 0% 100% Beachside Nease Nease 33, Beachside 16 7% 93% Belen Jesuit Miami Killian Miami Killian 45, Belen Jesuit 3 0% 100% Bell Fernandina Beach Fernandina Beach 29, Bell 21 24% 76% Bell Creek Academy Foundation Christian Foundation Christian 39, Bell Creek Academy 10 1% 99% Bishop Kenny Providence Bishop Kenny 48, Providence 5 100% 0% Bishop Verot Miami Palmetto Miami Palmetto 33, Bishop Verot 12 4% 96% Blanche Ely Monarch Monarch 47, Blanche Ely 3 0% 100% Boca Ciega Clearwater Central Catholic Clearwater Central Catholic 50, Boca Ciega 0 0% 100% Boca Raton John I. Leonard Boca Raton 36, John I. Leonard 14 97% 3% Boca Raton Christian Glades Day Boca Raton Christian 32, Glades Day 27 69% 31% Bolles Columbia Columbia 27, Bolles 22 33% 67% Bonita Springs Estero Estero 42, Bonita Springs 5 0% 100% Boynton Beach Lake Worth Boynton Beach 27, Lake Worth 8 95% 5% Brandon Freedom (Tampa) Brandon 24, Freedom (Tampa) 23 50% 50% Branford Hamilton County Branford 34, Hamilton County 18 92% 8% BridgePrep Village Green Somerset Silver Palms Somerset Silver Palms 26, BridgePrep Village Green 11 9% 91% Bronson Interlachen Interlachen 29, Bronson 16 11% 89% Buchholz Cardinal Newman Cardinal Newman 23, Buchholz 20 40% 60% Calvary Christian (Clearwater) South Sumter South Sumter 33, Calvary Christian (Clearwater) 19 11% 89% Canterbury (Fort Myers) Oxbridge Academy Canterbury (Fort Myers) 35, Oxbridge Academy 11 98% 2% Carrollwood Day Spanish River Carrollwood Day 43, Spanish River 3 100% 0% Cedar Creek Christian Lighthouse PCA Lighthouse PCA 35, Cedar Creek Christian 16 5% 95% Centennial Port St. Lucie Centennial 29, Port St. Lucie 13 92% 8% Central (Milton) Wewahitchka Wewahitchka 31, Central (Milton) 18 12% 88% Central Florida Christian Aucilla Christian Aucilla Christian 32, Central Florida Christian 27 32% 68% Chaminade-Madonna St. Thomas Aquinas St. Thomas Aquinas 26, Chaminade-Madonna 25 46% 54% Charlotte North Fort Myers Charlotte 25, North Fort Myers 23 57% 43% Chiefland Union County Chiefland 56, Union County 0 100% 0% Chipley Lafayette Lafayette 28, Chipley 20 24% 76% Clay Orange Park Orange Park 33, Clay 19 11% 89% Cocoa Rockledge Cocoa 25, Rockledge 18 73% 27% Colonial Harmony Harmony 26, Colonial 20 28% 72% Community School Evangelical Christian Community School 48, Evangelical Christian 0 100% 0% Coral Springs Charter Space Coast Space Coast 42, Coral Springs Charter 2 0% 100% Cornerstone Academy (Gainesville) First Coast Christian First Coast Christian 34, Cornerstone Academy (Gainesville) 21 12% 88% Cornerstone Charter St. Edward's Cornerstone Charter 23, St. Edward's 18 69% 31% Cottondale Graceville Cottondale 47, Graceville 17 99% 1% Countryside East Lake East Lake 42, Countryside 6 0% 100% Countryside Christian Merritt Island Christian Merritt Island Christian 52, Countryside Christian 4 0% 100% Crescent City Keystone Heights Crescent City 31, Keystone Heights 19 85% 15% Cypress Lake Mariner Cypress Lake 31, Mariner 12 95% 5% Delhi (LA) Pensacola Catholic Pensacola Catholic 36, Delhi (LA) 21 8% 92% Destin Port St. Joe Port St. Joe 24, Destin 23 47% 53% Dillard Deerfield Beach Dillard 59, Deerfield Beach 0 100% 0% Discovery Zephyrhills Christian Zephyrhills Christian 37, Discovery 23 11% 89% Dr. Phillips West Orange West Orange 28, Dr. Phillips 21 27% 73% Duval Charter North Florida Educational North Florida Educational 40, Duval Charter 12 1% 99% Duval Charter Orangewood Christian Orangewood Christian 36, Duval Charter 16 5% 95% Dwyer Palm Beach Central Palm Beach Central 38, Dwyer 6 1% 99% Eagle's View Mount Dora Christian Mount Dora Christian 40, Eagle's View 3 0% 100% East Lee County Palmetto Palmetto 62, East Lee County 0 0% 100% Eastland Christian Calvary Chapel Eastland Christian 20, Calvary Chapel 19 51% 49% Ed White Baldwin Ed White 40, Baldwin 27 89% 11% Edgewater Boone Edgewater 36, Boone 17 95% 5% Englewood Wolfson Wolfson 33, Englewood 19 10% 90% Enterprise (AL) Choctawhatchee Choctawhatchee 28, Enterprise (AL) 15 12% 88% Episcopal Ridgeview Episcopal 30, Ridgeview 18 86% 14% Eustis Oviedo Oviedo 57, Eustis 0 0% 100% Faith Christian Windermere Prep Windermere Prep 31, Faith Christian 13 6% 94% Father Lopez Taylor (Pierson) Father Lopez 24, Taylor (Pierson) 22 57% 43% First Academy-Leesburg Hernando Christian Hernando Christian 39, First Academy-Leesburg 18 4% 96% First Coast Andrew Jackson Andrew Jackson 28, First Coast 21 24% 76% Flanagan Cooper City Flanagan 32, Cooper City 12 96% 4% Fleming Island Flagler Palm Coast Fleming Island 37, Flagler Palm Coast 14 97% 3% Florida Christian NSU University School Florida Christian 35, NSU University School 12 97% 3% Florida High Mosley Mosley 53, Florida High 12 0% 100% Forest Vanguard Vanguard 35, Forest 8 2% 98% Fort Meade IMG Academy Junior National Fort Meade 43, IMG Academy Junior National 0 100% 0% Fort Myers Dunbar Dunbar 37, Fort Myers 9 1% 99% Fort Pierce Westwood Fort Pierce Central Fort Pierce Central 45, Fort Pierce Westwood 3 0% 100% Fort Walton Beach Crestview Crestview 38, Fort Walton Beach 0 0% 100% Franklin County Paxon Paxon 30, Franklin County 27 40% 60% Freedom (Orlando) Cypress Creek (Orlando) Freedom (Orlando) 27, Cypress Creek (Orlando) 21 71% 29% Freeport North Florida Christian North Florida Christian 34, Freeport 31 40% 60% Gadsden County Wakulla Gadsden County 27, Wakulla 20 74% 26% Gainesville Eastside Eastside 38, Gainesville 9 1% 99% Gaither Hillsborough Gaither 55, Hillsborough 0 100% 0% Gateway (Fort Myers) Cape Coral Cape Coral 51, Gateway (Fort Myers) 0 0% 100% Gateway (Kissimmee) Celebration Gateway (Kissimmee) 21, Celebration 10 85% 15% Gateway Charter Santa Fe Catholic Santa Fe Catholic 46, Gateway Charter 0 0% 100% Geneva Classical Bradenton Christian Bradenton Christian 53, Geneva Classical 8 0% 100% George Jenkins Braden River Braden River 25, George Jenkins 17 22% 78% Glades Central Pahokee Glades Central 30, Pahokee 15 90% 10% Godby Dothan (AL) Dothan (AL) 54, Godby 0 0% 100% Goleman Monsignor Pace Goleman 39, Monsignor Pace 10 99% 1% Halifax Academy The Master's Academy (Oviedo) The Master's Academy (Oviedo) 32, Halifax Academy 14 6% 94% Hallandale Cypress Bay Hallandale 23, Cypress Bay 22 53% 47% Hardee Frostproof Frostproof 41, Hardee 7 1% 99% Harvest Community Geneva Harvest Community 27, Geneva 24 63% 37% Hilliard Atkinson County (GA) Atkinson County (GA) 46, Hilliard 15 1% 99% Hollins Gibbs Gibbs 30, Hollins 16 11% 89% Hollywood Hills Nova Hollywood Hills 26, Nova 22 63% 37% Holmes County Opp (AL) Opp (AL) 29, Holmes County 15 10% 90% Horizon Windermere Windermere 50, Horizon 0 0% 100% Houston County (AL) FAMU DRS Houston County (AL) 54, FAMU DRS 2 100% 0% Hudson Fivay Fivay 21, Hudson 20 48% 52% Ida Baker Island Coast Ida Baker 37, Island Coast 19 94% 6% IMG Academy National Hun (NJ) IMG Academy National 43, Hun (NJ) 15 99% 1% IMG Academy State Southwest Florida Christian Southwest Florida Christian 47, IMG Academy State 3 0% 100% Immaculata-La Salle Dr. Krop Immaculata-La Salle 51, Dr. Krop 0 100% 0% Indian Rocks Christian Seminole (Seminole) Indian Rocks Christian 23, Seminole (Seminole) 22 56% 44% Inlet Grove McLaughlin Inlet Grove 29, McLaughlin 11 94% 6% Jensen Beach Martin County Jensen Beach 23, Martin County 17 73% 27% John Carroll St. John Paul II (Boca Raton) John Carroll 47, St. John Paul II (Boca Raton) 2 100% 0% Kathleen Barron Collier Kathleen 27, Barron Collier 26 55% 45% Keswick Christian Jupiter Christian Jupiter Christian 31, Keswick Christian 20 16% 84% King's Academy Archbishop McCarthy Archbishop McCarthy 36, King's Academy 4 1% 99% KIPP Bold City Williston Williston 60, KIPP Bold City 0 0% 100% LaBelle Satellite LaBelle 23, Satellite 16 73% 27% Lake Gibson DeLand DeLand 54, Lake Gibson 0 0% 100% Lake Howell Winter Springs Lake Howell 34, Winter Springs 17 93% 7% Lake Mary Bishop Moore Bishop Moore 48, Lake Mary 13 0% 100% Lake Minneola St. Cloud St. Cloud 48, Lake Minneola 2 0% 100% Lake Nona Innovation Innovation 29, Lake Nona 15 11% 89% Lake Region Mulberry Lake Region 19, Mulberry 17 57% 43% Lake Wales Bartow Lake Wales 52, Bartow 0 100% 0% Lake Weir Umatilla Umatilla 40, Lake Weir 5 0% 100% Lakeland Christian Northside Christian Lakeland Christian 32, Northside Christian 22 83% 17% Lakeside Christian Academy at the Lakes Academy at the Lakes 29, Lakeside Christian 21 23% 77% Largo Northeast (St. Petersburg) Largo 33, Northeast (St. Petersburg) 12 96% 4% Lely South Fort Myers South Fort Myers 33, Lely 25 22% 78% Lemon Bay North Port Lemon Bay 31, North Port 22 79% 21% Lennard Chamberlain Lennard 32, Chamberlain 7 98% 2% Leto King King 26, Leto 23 39% 61% Liberty Lake Buena Vista Lake Buena Vista 27, Liberty 15 14% 86% LIberty Christian Prep City of Life Christian Liberty Christian Prep 23% 77% Lincoln Rickards Lincoln 35, Rickards 21 90% 10% Lyman Hagerty Hagerty 46, Lyman 11 0% 100% Maclay Walton Maclay 40, Walton 9 99% 1% Madison County Lecanto Lecanto 31, Madison County 15 7% 93% Mainland Seabreeze Mainland 36, Seabreeze 2 99% 1% Mandarin St. Augustine St. Augustine 34, Mandarin 21 13% 87% Marco Island Academy Babcock Marco Island Academy 21, Babcock 19 57% 43% Master's Academy (Vero Beach) Sarasota Christian Sarasota Christian 32, Master's Academy (Vero Beach) 22 19% 81% Matanzas Palm Bay Matanzas 39, Palm Bay 6 99% 1% Mater Academy Miami Jackson Mater Academy 50, Miami Jackson 0 100% 0% McArthur Everglades McArthur 49, Everglades 0 100% 0% Melbourne Central Catholic Heritage (Palm Bay) Heritage (Palm Bay) 26, Melbourne Central Catholic 15 16% 84% Menendez Yulee Yulee 41, Menendez 0 0% 100% Merritt Island Viera Viera 28, Merritt Island 26 43% 57% Miami Beach Miami Miami Beach 24, Miami 19 67% 33% Miami Carol City Miami Central Miami Central 57, Miami Carol City 0 0% 100% Miami Edison Doral Academy Miami Edison 26, Doral Academy 20 70% 30% Milton Pace Pace 34, Milton 12 3% 97% Miramar Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons 47, Miramar 0 0% 100% Moore Haven Lake Placid Lake Placid 24, Moore Haven 20 37% 63% Mount Dora The Villages The Villages 60, Mount Dora 0 0% 100% Nature Coast Hernando Nature Coast 22, Hernando 18 65% 35% Navarre Niceville Niceville 42, Navarre 12 1% 99% North Bay Haven Sneads Sneads 37, North Bay Haven 17 4% 96% North Marion Middleburg Middleburg 49, North Marion 4 0% 100% North Miami American North Miami 35, American 5 99% 1% Northview Flomaton (AL) Flomaton (AL) 53, Northview 0 0% 100% Oak Ridge Evans Evans 49, Oak Ridge 0 0% 100% Oakleaf Tocoi Creek Oakleaf 43, Tocoi Creek 7 100% 0% Oasis Golden Gate Golden Gate 27, Oasis 20 25% 75% Oasis Christian Saint Francis Catholic Saint Francis Catholic 30, Oasis Christian 20 19% 81% Ocala Christian Florida Deaf & Blind Florida Deaf & Blind 50, Ocala Christian 16 1% 99% Ocoee Jones Jones 35, Ocoee 11 2% 98% Okeechobee Legacy (Port St. Lucie) Okeechobee 24, Legacy (Port St. Lucie) 11 88% 12% Old Plank Christian Lake Highland Prep Old Plank Christian 28, Lake Highland Prep 26 56% 44% Olympia Winter Park Winter Park 39, Olympia 14 2% 98% Orlando Christian Prep New Smyrna Beach New Smyrna Beach 32, Orlando Christian Prep 17 9% 91% Osceola (Kissimmee) Lakewood Lakewood 30, Osceola (Kissimmee) 15 10% 90% Osceola (Seminole) Pinellas Park Osceola (Seminole) 37, Pinellas Park 2 100% 0% P.K. Yonge DRS Impact Christian Impact Christian 48, P.K. Yonge DRS 2 0% 100% Palatka Zarephath Academy Zarephath Academy 29, Palatka 17 14% 86% Palm Beach Gardens Melbourne Melbourne 46, Palm Beach Gardens 6 0% 100% Palm Beach Lakes Suncoast Palm Beach Lakes 29, Suncoast 10 95% 5% Palm Harbor University Dunedin Palm Harbor University 23, Dunedin 18 67% 33% Palmetto Ridge DeSoto County DeSoto County 22, Palmetto Ridge 21 45% 55% Park Vista Forest Hill Forest Hill 19, Park Vista 17 42% 58% Parrish Community Sarasota Parrish Community 43, Sarasota 5 100% 0% Pasco Wildwood Wildwood 32, Pasco 25 27% 73% Pensacola Gulf Breeze Pensacola 29, Gulf Breeze 23 71% 29% Pine Crest Marathon Pine Crest 36, Marathon 6 99% 1% Pine Forest West Florida West Florida 30, Pine Forest 11 5% 95% Plant Steinbrenner Plant 34, Steinbrenner 13 96% 4% Plantation South Plantation Plantation 30, South Plantation 22 78% 22% Poinciana Timber Creek Timber Creek 22, Poinciana 18 34% 66% Pompano Beach Northeast (Oakland Park) Pompano Beach 28, Northeast (Oakland Park) 27 50% 50% Ponte Vedra Creekside Ponte Vedra 52, Creekside 3 100% 0% Port Charlotte Zephyrhills Port Charlotte 27, Zephyrhills 24 62% 38% Raines Atlantic Coast Raines 60, Atlantic Coast 0 100% 0% Ridge Community Davenport Davenport 28, Ridge Community 21 25% 75% River Ridge Wiregrass Ranch River Ridge 36, Wiregrass Ranch 8 99% 1% Riverdale Lehigh Riverdale 54, Lehigh 0 100% 0% Riverview (Riverview) Armwood Armwood 53, Riverview (Riverview) 0 0% 100% Riverview (Sarasota) Manatee Riverview (Sarasota) 52, Manatee 0 100% 0% Rocky Bayou Christian Bishop Snyder Bishop Snyder 29, Rocky Bayou Christian 19 18% 82% Royal Palm Beach Dr. Joaquin Garcia Dr. Joaquin Garcia 25, Royal Palm Beach 24 46% 54% Saint Andrew's Benjamin Saint Andrew's 48, Benjamin 2 100% 0% Saint Stephen's Episcopal Cambridge Christian Cambridge Christian 31, Saint Stephen's Episcopal 16 9% 91% Santa Fe Weeki Wachee Weeki Wachee 24, Santa Fe 22 43% 57% Sebring Lake Brantley Lake Brantley 54, Sebring 0 0% 100% Seffner Christian Out-of-Door Out-of-Door 28, Seffner Christian 20 22% 78% Seminole (Sanford) Booker Booker 45, Seminole (Sanford) 0 0% 100% Seminole Ridge Wellington Wellington 20, Seminole Ridge 18 41% 59% Seven Rivers Christian Christ's Church Academy Christ's Church Academy 41, Seven Rivers Christian 12 1% 99% Shorecrest Prep Donahue Catholic Donahue Catholic 33, Shorecrest Prep 25 22% 78% SLAM Tampa Real Life Christian Real Life Christian 56, SLAM Tampa 6 0% 100% SmartEn Sports Academy Somerset South Homestead SmartEn Sports Academy 25, Somerset South Homestead 17 77% 23% Somerset Academy (Pembroke Pines) Vero Beach Vero Beach 61, Somerset Academy (Pembroke Pines) 0 0% 100% Somerset Academy Key Ransom Everglades Ransom Everglades 40, Somerset Academy Key 0 0% 100% Somerset Prep Somerset Canyons Somerset Prep 21, Somerset Canyons 20 55% 45% South Broward Piper Piper 32, South Broward 14 6% 94% South Dade Miami Southridge Miami Southridge 52, South Dade 0 0% 100% South Fork Jupiter Jupiter 44, South Fork 0 0% 100% South Lake Leesburg South Lake 47, Leesburg 0 100% 0% South Walton Marianna South Walton 42, Marianna 0 100% 0% Southwest Miami Coral Gables Coral Gables 26, Southwest Miami 17 21% 79% Specially Fit Academy Cardinal Mooney Cardinal Mooney 48, Specially Fit Academy 5 0% 100% Spoto Sickles Spoto 31, Sickles 21 82% 18% Spruce Creek Gulf Coast Spruce Creek 38, Gulf Coast 9 99% 1% St. Brendan Gulliver Prep Gulliver Prep 28, St. Brendan 18 18% 82% St. John Neumann North Miami Beach St. John Neumann 38, North Miami Beach 8 99% 1% St. Joseph Foundation Academy St. Joseph 29, Foundation Academy 22 73% 27% St. Petersburg Catholic Haines City St. Petersburg Catholic 63, Haines City 0 100% 0% Stanton West Nassau West Nassau 45, Stanton 5 0% 100% Stoneman Douglas Coconut Creek Coconut Creek 49, Stoneman Douglas 0 0% 100% Stranahan Fort Lauderdale Fort Lauderdale 21, Stranahan 19 43% 57% Strawberry Crest Bloomingdale Strawberry Crest 30, Bloomingdale 16 90% 10% Sunlake Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel) Sunlake 31, Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel) 18 88% 12% Suwannee Chiles Chiles 39, Suwannee 17 3% 97% Tampa Bay Tech Robinson Tampa Bay Tech 58, Robinson 0 100% 0% Tampa Catholic Jesuit Jesuit 62, Tampa Catholic 0 0% 100% Taravella Coral Springs Taravella 24, Coral Springs 18 72% 28% Tarpon Springs Gulf Gulf 31, Tarpon Springs 18 12% 88% Tate Escambia Tate 27, Escambia 11 92% 8% Tavares East Ridge East Ridge 38, Tavares 15 3% 97% Taylor County Leon Taylor County 52, Leon 0 100% 0% Tenoroc Victory Christian Victory Christian 21, Tenoroc 20 49% 51% Terry Parker Sandalwood Terry Parker 34, Sandalwood 25 80% 20% The First Academy (Orlando) Lakeland Lakeland 53, The First Academy (Orlando) 0 0% 100% Tohopekaliga Avon Park Avon Park 30, Tohopekaliga 16 11% 89% Trenton Central (Brooksville) Trenton 31, Central (Brooksville) 10 96% 4% Trinity Catholic Newberry Trinity Catholic 22, Newberry 20 58% 42% Trinity Christian (Jacksonville) Fletcher Trinity Christian (Jacksonville) 23, Fletcher 22 53% 47% Trinity Prep Oak Hall Trinity Prep 28, Oak Hall 23 69% 31% True North Westminster Christian True North 31, Westminster Christian 12 95% 5% University (Orange City) Deltona Deltona 24, University (Orange City) 20 35% 65% University (Orlando) East River East River 28, University (Orlando) 21 25% 75% University Christian Key West University Christian 43, Key West 7 100% 0% Wekiva Apopka Apopka 26, Wekiva 21 33% 67% Wesley Chapel Land O' Lakes Land O' Lakes 38, Wesley Chapel 5 1% 99% West Boca Raton Atlantic (Delray Beach) Atlantic (Delray Beach) 32, West Boca Raton 18 11% 89% West Broward Western West Broward 50, Western 0 100% 0% West Port Belleview Belleview 22, West Port 21 48% 52% Westland Hialeah Miami Springs Miami Springs 31, Westland Hialeah 14 7% 93% Westminster Academy Holy Trinity Holy Trinity 29, Westminster Academy 16 12% 88%

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