![Celebration is among the teams to kickoff the 2026 Flag Football season today. [Kyle Zedaker/Tampa Bay Buccaneers]](https://i0.wp.com/floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/FPRI-Forecast-for-2-16-2026.jpg?fit=1920%2C1080&ssl=1)
Welcome to the Florida Power Rankings Index Daily Forecast, your comprehensive guide to today’s flag football matchups across Florida. Each day during the season, we project outcomes for every scheduled game using advanced statistical modeling derived from FPRI team ratings.
How Forecasts Work: Our game predictions use FPRI team ratings as the foundation but apply additional factors beyond simple rating differences. The model accounts for home/away dynamics, recent performance trends, and competitive context to generate win probabilities and projected outcomes for each matchup. These are statistical projections based on current team strength—not guarantees of outcomes.
What’s Included:
- Forecasted Line: Point spread projection (Free for all users)
- Win Probability: Likelihood of each team winning the matchup (Premium Season Ticket subscribers only)
- Projected Final Score: Expected score for both teams (Premium Season Ticket subscribers only)
Premium Content: Win probabilities and projected final scores require a Premium Season Ticket or Monthly Premium Season Ticket subscription. The forecasted line is available free to all users for every game statewide.
Updates: Forecasts are published daily during the season and reflect the most current FPRI ratings. As teams play and ratings adjust, forecast accuracy improves throughout the year.
Important Reminder: These forecasts represent statistical projections based on mathematical modeling. Actual game outcomes depend on execution, matchups, and the unpredictable nature of competition. The FPRI forecasts are analytical tools, not certainties.
FORECAST FOR FEBRUARY 16, 2026
Games subjected to change without notice
DAILY FORECAST FOR MON. FEB. 16, 2026
| Forecast |
|---|
| Celebration 12 over Osceola (Kissimmee) |
| Deerfield Beach 12 over Olympic Heights (Boca Raton) |
| Hagerty (Oviedo) 10 over Pinecrest Lakes Prep (Minneola) |
| International Studies (Hollywood) 12 over Parkway Academy (Miramar) |
| Melbourne 10 over Calvary Chapel (West Melbourne) |
| Niceville 12 over Freeport |
| Tate (Cantonment) 8 over Gulf Breeze |
PROJECTED FINALS
Requires a Premium Season Ticket or Monthly Premium Season Ticket Membership
PROJECTED WIN PROBABLILITIES
Requires a Premium Season Ticket or Monthly Premium Season Ticket Membership
![Freeport and Niceville came together after the Eagles' won big against the visiting Bulldogs to open the 2026 season. The game also marked the first game for Freeport in program history. [Niceville Flag Football/X]](https://i0.wp.com/floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Niceville-routs-Freeport-to-open-season.jpg?fit=1920%2C1080&ssl=1)
![Hagerty (Oviedo) captured their first win of the new season on Monday over Pincrest Lakes Prep (Minneola). [Hagerty Flag Football/Instagram]](https://i0.wp.com/floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Daily-Scoreboard-Flag-Football-2-16-2026.jpg?fit=1920%2C1080&ssl=1)
