Welcome to the Florida Power Rankings Index Forecast for the third day of District Tournaments in the Sunshine State. The FPRI Forecast is your comprehensive guide to today’s flag football matchups across Florida, where we project outcomes for every scheduled game using advanced statistical modeling derived from FPRI team ratings.
How Forecasts Work: Our game predictions use FPRI team ratings as the foundation, but apply additional factors beyond simple rating differences. The model accounts for home/away dynamics, recent performance trends, and competitive context to generate win probabilities and projected outcomes for each matchup. These are statistical projections based on current team strength—not guarantees of outcomes.
Important Reminder: These forecasts represent statistical projections based on mathematical modeling. Actual game outcomes depend on execution, matchups, and the unpredictable nature of competition. The FPRI forecasts are analytical tools, not certainties.
SO FAR THROUGH THE DISTRICT TOURNAMENTS
MONDAY 4/20: 126-23 – 84.6% correct
TUESDAY 4/21: 104-21 – 83.2% correct
OVERALL: 230-44 – 83.9% correct
CLASS 4A
DISTRICT 4A-1 — FINALS
at Tocoi Creek
| Forecast |
| Mandarin (Jacksonville) 26 over Tocoi Creek (St. Augustine) |
DISTRICT 4A-2 — SEMIFINALS/FINALS
at University (Orange City)
| Forecast |
| Flagler Palm Coast 36 over University (Orange City) |
| Forest (Ocala) 4 over Spruce Creek (Port Orange) |
| Championship — 7p |
DISTRICT 4A-11 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Fort Pierce Central 8 over Jupiter |
DISTRICT 4A-13 — SEMIFINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Park Vista (Lake Worth) 62 over Lake Worth |
| Spanish River (Boca Raton) 38 over Boca Raton |
DISTRICT 4A-14 — FINALS
at Coral Glades
| Forecast |
| Western (Davie) 12 over Stoneman Douglas (Parkland) |
DISTRICT 4A-15 — FINALS
at Flanagan
| Forecast |
| Hialeah Gardens 26 over Doral Academy |
DISTRICT 4A-16 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Miami Palmetto 20 over Coral Gables |
CLASS 3A
DISTRICT 3A-2 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Chiles (Tallahassee) 30 over Lincoln (Tallahassee) |
DISTRICT 3A-8 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Land O’Lakes 6 over Springstead (Spring Hill) |
DISTRICT 3A-10 — SEMIFINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| East Lake (Tarpon Springs) 44 over Largo |
| Mitchell (New Port Richey) 8 over Manatee (Bradenton) |
DISTRICT 3A-11 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Mariner (Cape Coral) 22 over Fort Myers |
DISTRICT 3A-13 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Coconut Creek 44 over West Boca Raton |
DISTRICT 3A-14 — FINALS
at St. Thomas Aquinas
| Forecast |
| St. Thomas Aquinas (Fort Lauderdale) 30 over Nova (Davie) |
CLASS 2A
DISTRICT 2A-1 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Choctawhatchee (Fort Walton Beach) 50 over Fort Walton Beach |
DISTRICT 2A-5 — SEMIFINALS
at Baker County
| Forecast |
| Clay (Green Cove Springs) 70 over North Marion (Citra) |
| Baker County (Glen St. Mary) 26 over Columbia (Lake City) |
DISTRICT 2A-6 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Dunnellon 6 over Vanguard (Ocala) |
DISTRICT 2A-7 — SEMIFINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Deltona 50 over Satellite (Satellite Beach) |
| New Smyrna Beach 12 over Merritt Island |
DISTRICT 2A-9 — SEMIFINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Gulf (New Port Richey) 38 over Fivay (Hudson) |
DISTRICT 2A-11 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Robinson (Tampa) 66 over Chamberlain (Tampa) |
DISTRICT 2A-15 — FINALS
at Northeast (Oakland Park)
| Forecast |
| Dillard (Fort Lauderdale) 16 over Miami Norland |
DISTRICT 2A-16 — SEMIFINALS
at American
| Forecast |
| Miami Northwestern 44 over American (Hialeah) |
CLASS 1A
DISTRICT 1A-1 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Florida High (Tallahassee) 38 over Destin |
DISTRICT 1A-2 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Eagles View (Jacksonville) 48 over Suwannee (Live Oak) |
DISTRICT 1A-4 — SEMIFINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Santa Fe (Alachua) 4 over Palatka |
DISTRICT 1A-5 — SEMIFINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Wildwood 38 over South Sumter (Bushnell) |
| Trinity Catholic (Ocala) 8 over Crescent City |
DISTRICT 1A-6 — SEMIFINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Dunedin 10 over North Tampa Christian (Wesley Chapel) |
DISTRICT 1A-9 — SEMIFINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Atlantic (Port Orange) 32 over Cornerstone Charter (Belle Isle) |
| Space Coast (Cocoa) 18 over Faith Christian (Orlando) |
DISTRICT 1A-10 — SEMIFINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| John Carroll (Fort Pierce) 32 over Lincoln Park Academy (Fort Pierce) |
| Avon Park 28 over Lake Placid |
DISTRICT 1A-13 — SEMIFINALS
at Slade Park (Hialeah)
| Forecast |
| Miami Carol City 26 over Don Soffer (Aventura) |
| iMater Prep (Hialeah) 12 over Monsignor Pace (Miami) |
![St. Thomas Aquinas remains No. 1 overall in the South Florida Power 25 rankings. [St. Thomas Aquinas Football/X]](https://i0.wp.com/floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/FPRI-South-Florida-Power-25-Week-of-Sep-6.jpg?fit=1920%2C1080&ssl=1)
![Merritt Island has rocketed up the rankings in the Space & Treasure Coast over the last few weeks. [Merritt Island Football/Instagram]](https://i0.wp.com/floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/FPRI-Space-Treasure-Coast-Power-10-Week-of-Sep-6.jpg?fit=1920%2C1080&ssl=1)
![FHSAA Flag Football Logo [Courtesy of the Florida High School Athletic Association].](https://i0.wp.com/floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Announcement-Landscape-14.jpg?fit=1920%2C1080&ssl=1)
