Welcome to the Florida Power Rankings Index Forecast for the third day of District Tournaments in the Sunshine State. The FPRI Forecast is your comprehensive guide to today’s flag football matchups across Florida, where we project outcomes for every scheduled game using advanced statistical modeling derived from FPRI team ratings.

How Forecasts Work: Our game predictions use FPRI team ratings as the foundation, but apply additional factors beyond simple rating differences. The model accounts for home/away dynamics, recent performance trends, and competitive context to generate win probabilities and projected outcomes for each matchup. These are statistical projections based on current team strength—not guarantees of outcomes.

Important Reminder: These forecasts represent statistical projections based on mathematical modeling. Actual game outcomes depend on execution, matchups, and the unpredictable nature of competition. The FPRI forecasts are analytical tools, not certainties.

SO FAR THROUGH THE DISTRICT TOURNAMENTS

MONDAY 4/20: 126-23 – 84.6% correct
TUESDAY 4/21: 104-21 – 83.2% correct
OVERALL: 230-44 – 83.9% correct

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CLASS 4A

DISTRICT 4A-1 — FINALS

at Tocoi Creek

Forecast
Mandarin (Jacksonville) 26 over Tocoi Creek (St. Augustine)

DISTRICT 4A-2 — SEMIFINALS/FINALS

at University (Orange City)

Forecast
Flagler Palm Coast 36 over University (Orange City)
Forest (Ocala) 4 over Spruce Creek (Port Orange)
Championship — 7p

DISTRICT 4A-11 — FINALS

at Higher Seed

Forecast
Fort Pierce Central 8 over Jupiter

DISTRICT 4A-13 — SEMIFINALS

at Higher Seed

Forecast
Park Vista (Lake Worth) 62 over Lake Worth
Spanish River (Boca Raton) 38 over Boca Raton

DISTRICT 4A-14 — FINALS

at Coral Glades

Forecast
Western (Davie) 12 over Stoneman Douglas (Parkland)

DISTRICT 4A-15 — FINALS

at Flanagan

Forecast
Hialeah Gardens 26 over Doral Academy

DISTRICT 4A-16 — FINALS

at Higher Seed

Forecast
Miami Palmetto 20 over Coral Gables

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CLASS 3A

DISTRICT 3A-2 — FINALS

at Higher Seed

Forecast
Chiles (Tallahassee) 30 over Lincoln (Tallahassee)

DISTRICT 3A-8 — FINALS

at Higher Seed

Forecast
Land O’Lakes 6 over Springstead (Spring Hill)

DISTRICT 3A-10 — SEMIFINALS

at Higher Seed

Forecast
East Lake (Tarpon Springs) 44 over Largo
Mitchell (New Port Richey) 8 over Manatee (Bradenton)

DISTRICT 3A-11 — FINALS

at Higher Seed

Forecast
Mariner (Cape Coral) 22 over Fort Myers

DISTRICT 3A-13 — FINALS

at Higher Seed

Forecast
Coconut Creek 44 over West Boca Raton

DISTRICT 3A-14 — FINALS

at St. Thomas Aquinas

Forecast
St. Thomas Aquinas (Fort Lauderdale) 30 over Nova (Davie)

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CLASS 2A

DISTRICT 2A-1 — FINALS

at Higher Seed

Forecast
Choctawhatchee (Fort Walton Beach) 50 over Fort Walton Beach

DISTRICT 2A-5 — SEMIFINALS

at Baker County

Forecast
Clay (Green Cove Springs) 70 over North Marion (Citra)
Baker County (Glen St. Mary) 26 over Columbia (Lake City)

DISTRICT 2A-6 — FINALS

at Higher Seed

Forecast
Dunnellon 6 over Vanguard (Ocala)

DISTRICT 2A-7 — SEMIFINALS

at Higher Seed

Forecast
Deltona 50 over Satellite (Satellite Beach)
New Smyrna Beach 12 over Merritt Island

DISTRICT 2A-9 — SEMIFINALS

at Higher Seed

Forecast
Gulf (New Port Richey) 38 over Fivay (Hudson)

DISTRICT 2A-11 — FINALS

at Higher Seed

Forecast
Robinson (Tampa) 66 over Chamberlain (Tampa)

DISTRICT 2A-15 — FINALS

at Northeast (Oakland Park)

Forecast
Dillard (Fort Lauderdale) 16 over Miami Norland

DISTRICT 2A-16 — SEMIFINALS

at American

Forecast
Miami Northwestern 44 over American (Hialeah)

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CLASS 1A

DISTRICT 1A-1 — FINALS

at Higher Seed

Forecast
Florida High (Tallahassee) 38 over Destin

DISTRICT 1A-2 — FINALS

at Higher Seed

Forecast
Eagles View (Jacksonville) 48 over Suwannee (Live Oak)

DISTRICT 1A-4 — SEMIFINALS

at Higher Seed

Forecast
Santa Fe (Alachua) 4 over Palatka

DISTRICT 1A-5 — SEMIFINALS

at Higher Seed

Forecast
Wildwood 38 over South Sumter (Bushnell)
Trinity Catholic (Ocala) 8 over Crescent City

DISTRICT 1A-6 — SEMIFINALS

at Higher Seed

Forecast
Dunedin 10 over North Tampa Christian (Wesley Chapel)

DISTRICT 1A-9 — SEMIFINALS

at Higher Seed

Forecast
Atlantic (Port Orange) 32 over Cornerstone Charter (Belle Isle)
Space Coast (Cocoa) 18 over Faith Christian (Orlando)

DISTRICT 1A-10 — SEMIFINALS

at Higher Seed

Forecast
John Carroll (Fort Pierce) 32 over Lincoln Park Academy (Fort Pierce)
Avon Park 28 over Lake Placid

DISTRICT 1A-13 — SEMIFINALS

at Slade Park (Hialeah)

Forecast
Miami Carol City 26 over Don Soffer (Aventura)
iMater Prep (Hialeah) 12 over Monsignor Pace (Miami)