Welcome to the Florida Power Rankings Index Forecast for the final day of District Tournaments in the Sunshine State. The FPRI Forecast is your comprehensive guide to today’s flag football matchups across Florida, where we project outcomes for every scheduled game using advanced statistical modeling derived from FPRI team ratings.
How Forecasts Work: Our game predictions use FPRI team ratings as the foundation, but apply additional factors beyond simple rating differences. The model accounts for home/away dynamics, recent performance trends, and competitive context to generate win probabilities and projected outcomes for each matchup. These are statistical projections based on current team strength—not guarantees of outcomes.
Important Reminder: These forecasts represent statistical projections based on mathematical modeling. Actual game outcomes depend on execution, matchups, and the unpredictable nature of competition. The FPRI forecasts are analytical tools, not certainties.
SO FAR THROUGH THE DISTRICT TOURNAMENTS
MONDAY 4/20: 126-23 – 84.6% correct
TUESDAY 4/21: 104-21 – 83.2% correct
WEDNESDAY 4/22: 35-5 – 87.5% correct
OVERALL: 265-49 – 84.4% correct
CLASS 4A
DISTRICT 4A-3 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Seminole (Sanford) 24 over Ocoee |
DISTRICT 4A-4 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Timber Creek (Orlando) 28 over Colonial (Orlando) |
DISTRICT 4A-5 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| West Orange (Winter Garden) 10 over Horizon (Winter Garden) |
DISTRICT 4A-6 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Haines City 4 over George Jenkins (Lakeland) |
DISTRICT 4A-7 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Alonso (Tampa) 34 over Plant (Tampa) |
DISTRICT 4A-8 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Bloomingdale (Valrico) 18 over Sumner (Riverview) |
DISTRICT 4A-9 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Cypress Creek (Orlando) 6 over Tohopekaliga (Kissimmee) |
DISTRICT 4A-10 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Harmony 10 over Celebration |
DISTRICT 4A-12 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Wellington 28 over Palm Beach Central (Wellington) |
DISTRICT 4A-13 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Park Vista (Lake Worth) 22 over Spanish River (Boca Raton) |
CLASS 3A
DISTRICT 3A-1 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Niceville 10 over Pace |
DISTRICT 3A-3 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Ponte Vedra 30 over Bartram Trail (St. Johns) |
DISTRICT 3A-4 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Oviedo 28 over Mainland (Daytona Beach) |
DISTRICT 3A-5 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Buchholz (Gainesville) 4 over Belleview |
DISTRICT 3A-6 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Auburndale 30 over Lake Gibson (Lakeland) |
DISTRICT 3A-7 — FINALS
at South Fork
| Forecast |
| Seminole Ridge (Westlake) 38 over South Fork (Stuart) |
DISTRICT 3A-9 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| East Bay (Gibsonton) 42 over Tampa Bay Tech |
DISTRICT 3A-10 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| East Lake (Tarpon Springs) 22 over Manatee (Bradenton) |
DISTRICT 3A-12 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Gateway Charter (Fort Myers) 30 over Riverdale (Fort Myers) |
DISTRICT 3A-15 — FINALS
at South Broward
| Forecast |
| Everglades (Miramar) 14 over McArthur (Hollywood) |
DISTRICT 3A-16 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Homestead 28 over Miami Southridge |
CLASS 2A
DISTRICT 2A-2 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Arnold (Panama City Beach) 16 over Godby (Tallahassee) |
DISTRICT 2A-3 — FINALS
at Paxon
| Forecast |
| Paxon (Jacksonville) 42 over Yulee |
DISTRICT 2A-4 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| St. Augustine 10 over Ed White (Jacksonville) |
DISTRICT 2A-5 — FINALS
at Baker County
| Forecast |
| Clay (Green Cove Springs) 56 over Baker County (Glen St. Mary) |
DISTRICT 2A-7 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Deltona 36 over New Smyrna Beach |
DISTRICT 2A-8 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Hernando (Brooksville) 20 over Nature Coast (Brooksville) |
DISTRICT 2A-9 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Countryside (Clearwater) 14 over Gulf (New Port Richey) |
DISTRICT 2A-10 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Gateway (Kissimmee) 14 over Freedom (Tampa) |
DISTRICT 2A-12 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Osceola (Seminole) 40 over Northeast (St. Petersburg) |
DISTRICT 2A-13 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Bonita Springs 12 over Bishop Verot (Fort Myers) |
DISTRICT 2A-14 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Dr. Joaquin Garcia (Lake Worth) 14 over Jensen Beach |
CLASS 1A
DISTRICT 1A-3 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Bolles (Jacksonville) 22 over University Christian (Jacksonville) |
DISTRICT 1A-4 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Bradford (Starke) 22 over Palatka |
DISTRICT 1A-5 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Wildwood 28 over Trinity Catholic (Ocala) |
DISTRICT 1A-6 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Dunedin 2 over Tarpon Springs |
DISTRICT 1A-7 — FINALS
at Seffner Christian
| Forecast |
| Tampa Catholic 44 over Bell Creek (Riverview) |
DISTRICT 1A-8 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Lakewood (St. Petersburg) 12 over Boca Ciega (Gulfport) |
DISTRICT 1A-9 — FINALS
at Orangewood Christian
| Forecast |
| Atlantic (Port Orange) 12 over Space Coast (Cocoa) |
DISTRICT 1A-10 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Avon Park 2 over John Carroll (Fort Pierce) |
DISTRICT 1A-11 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Somerset Canyons (Boynton Beach) 42 over Cardinal Newman (West Palm Beach) |
DISTRICT 1A-12 — SEMIFINALS/FINALS
at Posnack
| Forecast |
| Coral Springs Charter 32 over Avant Garde (Hollywood) |
| Posnack (Davie) 20 over Chaminade-Madonna (Hollywood) |
| Championship — 7p |
DISTRICT 1A-13 — FINALS
at Slade Park (Hialeah)
| Forecast |
| Miami Carol City 4 over Monsignor Pace (Miami) |
DISTRICT 1A-14 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Miami Edison 50 over SLAM (Miami) |
DISTRICT 1A-15 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| True North (Miami) 38 over Archbishop Carroll (Miami) |
DISTRICT 1A-16 — FINALS
at Higher Seed
| Forecast |
| Somerset Charter (Silver Palms) 22 over Keys Gate (Homestead) |
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