Joe Pinkos’ First Round Playoff Forecast

JOE PINKOS’ POWER RATINGS
Florida High School Football

The following match-ups and results are forecast for the 2013 Florida Football Finals:

Class 1A– Dixie County over Blountstown
Class 2A– Warner Christian over Champagnat Catholic
Class 3A– Trinity Christian-Jacksonville over Clearwater Central Catholic
Class 4A– Booker T. Washington over Raines
Class 5A– Godby over American Heritage-Plantation
Class 6A– Miami Central over Venice
Class 7A– East Lake over Sickles
Class 8A– Manatee over Miramar

PLAYOFF FORECAST-Week 12

Joe Pinkos’ Power Ratings are calculated by a formula based on strength of opposition and margin of victory with greater weight given to recent games. The forecasted margin of victory for each game is determined by subtracting the power rating of the lower-rated team from the power rating of its higher-rated opponent.

CLASS 8A (Regional Quarterfinals)

Region 1
First Coast 27 over Lake Brantley
Sandalwood 3 over Lake Mary
West Orange 28 over Winter Park
Apopka 35 over University-Orlando

Region 2
Dr. Phillips 21 over Wharton
Plant 28 over Boone
Manatee 35 over Vero Beach
Sarasota Riverview 1 over Fort Pierce Central

Region 3
Park Vista 6 over Palm Beach Gardens
Palm Beach Central 21 over Seminole Ridge
Deerfield Beach 21 over Flanagan
Miramar 35 over Monarch

Region 4
Columbus 1 over North Miami
Coral Gables 7 over Hialeah
South Dade 14 over Southwest Miami
Killian 30 over Belen Jesuit

CLASS 7A (Regional Quarterfinals)

Region 1
Niceville 21 over Leon
Lincoln 7 over Tate
Fleming Island 14 over Oak Ridge
Fletcher 14 over Winter Springs

Region 2
Kathleen 13 over Lake Nona
Lakeland 4 over Kissimmee Osceola
Sickles 20 over Plant City
Gaither 1 over East Bay

Region 3
East Lake 37 over Palmetto
Pinellas Park 8 over Sarasota
Port Charlotte 17 over Eau Gallie
Melbourne 1 over Charlotte

Region 4
William T. Dwyer 39 over Boyd Anderson
Ely 7 over West Boca Raton
St. Thomas Aquinas 27 over Miami Springs
Plantation 10 over American

CLASS 6A (Regional Quarterfinals)

Region 1
Choctawhatchee 4 over Pace
Navarre 1 over Milton
Ed White 21 over Bartram Trail
Columbia 14 over St. Augustine

Region 2
Gainesville 21 over Sunlake
Citrus 3 over Springstead
Largo 8 over Jefferson
Venice 7 over Armwood

Region 3
Mainland 29 over Lake Minneola
Seabreeze 1 over Leesburg
Winter Haven 7 over Ida Baker
Lake Gibson 7 over South Fort Myers

Region 4
Naples 21 over Bayside
Heritage 37 over Estero
Carol City 21 over Dillard
Miami Central 49 over Boynton Beach

CLASS 5A (Regional Quarterfinals)

Region 1
Pensacola Catholic 7 over Rickards
Godby 14 over West Florida Tech
Bishop Kenny 4 over Palatka
Clay 10 over Ribault

Region 2
North Marion 3 over Pasco
South Sumter 13 over Suwannee
Tarpon Springs 7 over Anclote
Lakewood 37 over Hudson

Region 3
Jesuit 27 over Auburndale
Lake Wales 21 over Spoto
Palm Bay 20 over Bishop Moore
Merritt Island (bye)

Region 4
Hardee 17 over Dunbar
Island Coast 4 over Booker
Immokalee 11 over Cardinal Gibbons
American Heritage-Plantation 31 over Lely

CLASS 4A (Regional Semifinals)

Region 1
Fort White 21 over East Gadsden
Florida High 9 over Taylor County

Region 2
Bolles 22 over Keystone Heights
Raines 35 over Bradford

Region 3
Clewiston 3 over Space Coast
Cocoa 59 over LaBelle

Region 4
Booker T. Washington 34 over Glades Central
University School 28 over Gulliver Prep

CLASS 3A (Regional Semifinals)

Region 1
Trinity Catholic 21 over Providence
Trinity Christian-Jacksonville 48 over Father Lopez

Region 2
Tampa Catholic 21 over Holy Trinity Episcopal
Melbourne Central Catholic 10 over Frostproof

Region 3
Cardinal Mooney 1 over St. Pete Catholic
Clearwater Central Catholic 47 over Bishop Verot

Region 4
Westminster Christian 14 over Pahokee
Cardinal Newman 17 over Chaminade

CLASS 2A (Regional Semifinals)

Region 1
North Florida Christian 38 over Harvest Community
University Christian 32 over FAMU DRS

Region 2
Warner Christian 48 over Agape Christian
Victory Christian 3 over St. Edward’s

Region 3
Indian Rocks Christian 1 over Moore Haven
First Baptist 6 over Carrollwood Day

Region 4
Dade Christian 16 over Glades Day
Champagnat Catholic 14 over Village Academy

CLASS 1A (Regional Semifinals)

Region 1
Baker 9 over Cottondale
Vernon 11 over Northview

Region 2
Blountstown 17 over Liberty County
Port St. Joe 4 over South Walton

Region 3
Hamilton County 5 over Bell
Trenton 10 over Lafayette

Region 4
Dixie County 56 over Wildwood
Union County 30 over Crescent City

Gulf Atlantic Football Conference (GAFC) Championship Game
Oxbridge Academy 17 over Community School of Naples

North Florida Football Conference (NFFC) Championship Game
Rocky Bayou Christian 21 over St. Johns Country Day

Southeastern Football Conference (SFC) Championship Game
John Carroll 32 over Pope John Paul II

Sunshine State Athletic Conference (SSAC) Championship Game
Orlando Christian Prep 10 over First Academy-Leesburg

Forecast Record
Last Week 190-34, 84.8%
Season 2,247-464, 82.9%