![Archbishop McCarthy will start their quest for a long postseason run in Class 4A this week with the start of the FHSAA playoffs [Archbishop McCarthy High Schoo/Facebook]](https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/Announcement-Landscape-4.jpg)
Each week, our game forecasts give you a glimpse at how matchups could play out across Florida high school football. These projections are powered by the Florida Power Rankings Index (FPRI), which blends team ratings, past performance, and schedule strength into a single score.
The forecasted spread is calculated by comparing each team’s rating and applying adjustments for factors unique to high school football, producing realistic, data-backed score projections. While we won’t reveal every detail that goes into our formula, the goal is simple — to provide the most accurate and balanced forecasts possible based on the numbers.
If you want to see forecasted score predictions and win probabilities for every game, those are exclusively available to Premium Season Ticket Members (Yearly or Monthly) by clicking here.
Game forecasts are sorted weekly by classification, with inter-classification teams noted in parentheses when applicable.
HOW THE FPRI HAS DONE THIS SEASON
WEEK 12: 16-8 (.667)
WEEK 11: 210-64 (.768)
WEEK 10: 215-64 (.770)
WEEK 9: 202-62 (.765)
WEEK 8: 207-56 (.787)
WEEK 7: 186-50 (.788)
WEEK 6: 202-55 (.786)
WEEK 5: 190-77 (.712)
WEEK 4: 195-76 (.720)
WEEK 3: 206-64 (.763)
WEEK 2: 197-78 (.716)
WEEK 1: 198-84-2 (.701)
WEEK 0: 22-10 (.688)
2025 SEASON RECORD: 2,246–748–2 (.750)
PROJECTED STATE CHAMPIONSHIP MATCHUPS
The Florida Power Rankings Index projects the following state championship matchups:
CLASS 7A — DeLand over Vero Beach
CLASS 6A — Buchholz over Armwood
CLASS 5A — St. Thomas Aquinas over Edgewater
CLASS 4A — Zephyrhills over Jesuit
CLASS 3A — Miami Northwestern over Raines
CLASS 2A — Cardinal Mooney over Bolles
CLASS 1A — Carrollwood Day over Chaminade-Madonna
CLASS RURAL — Chiefland over Taylor County
CLASS 7A
REGIONAL QUARTERFINALS
REGION 1
PROJECTED REGIONAL CHAMPION: DeLand over Lake Mary
DeLand 75 over Creekside
Boone 43 over Winter Park
Lake Mary 18 over Hagerty
Spruce Creek 25 over Seminole (Sanford)
REGION 2
PROJECTED REGIONAL CHAMPION: Riverview (Sarasota) over West Orange
Venice 54 over Ridge Community
West Orange 29 over Plant City
Riverview (Sarasota) 50 over Winter Haven
Sumner 19 over Ocoee
REGION 3
PROJECTED REGIONAL CHAMPION: Vero Beach over Fort Pierce Central
Vero Beach 46 over East Ridge
St. Cloud 12 over Lake Nona
Jupiter 18 over Dr. Phillips
Fort Pierce Central 30 over Palm Beach Central
REGION 4
PROJECTED REGIONAL CHAMPION: Miami Palmetto over Goleman
Miami Palmetto 48 over Coral Glades
Santaluces 31 over Columbus
Spanish River 21 over Western
Goleman 40 over South Dade
CLASS 6A
REGIONAL QUARTERFINALS
REGION 1
PROJECTED REGIONAL CHAMPION: Buchholz over Mandarin
Buchholz 20 over Oviedo
Nease 6 over Oakleaf
Mandarin 35 over Crestview
Pace 7 over Evans
REGION 2
PROJECTED REGIONAL CHAMPION: Armwood over South Lake
Armwood 42 over Melbourne
Viera 10 over Riverview (Riverview)
South Lake 35 over Plant
Osceola (Kissimmee) 23 over Durant
REGION 3
PROJECTED REGIONAL CHAMPION: West Boca Raton over Palmetto
Palmetto 44 over Wiregrass Ranch
Lennard 3 over Mitchell
West Boca Raton 48 over Largo
Parrish Community 13 over East Lake
REGION 4
PROJECTED REGIONAL CHAMPION: Miami Southridge over West Broward
Miami Southridge 66 over Nova
Flanagan 6 over Piper
West Broward 42 over South Plantation
Monarch 38 over Doral Academy
CLASS 5A
REGIONAL QUARTERFINALS
REGION 1
PROJECTED REGIONAL CHAMPION: Mosley over Ponte Vedra
Ponte Vedra 26 over Niceville
Beachside 10 over Milton
Middleburg 14 over Mainland
Mosley 29 over Lincoln
REGION 2
PROJECTED REGIONAL CHAMPION: Edgewater over Gaither
Edgewater 66 over Lake Gibson
Tampa Bay Tech 66 over Sebring
Lakeland 59 over Wesley Chapel
Gaither 49 over Winter Springs
REGION 3
PROJECTED REGIONAL CHAMPION: Riverdale over Cape Coral
Riverdale 56 over North Fort Myers
Immokalee 43 over Pinellas Park
Cape Coral 36 over Gulf Coast
Charlotte 12 over Manatee
REGION 4
PROJECTED REGIONAL CHAMPION: St. Thomas Aquinas over Atlantic (Delray Beach)
St. Thomas Aquinas 65 over Heritage (Palm Bay)
Coconut Creek 1 over Mater Academy
Atlantic (Delray Beach) 40 over North Miami
McArthur 5 over Martin County
CLASS 4A
REGIONAL QUARTERFINALS
REGION 1
PROJECTED REGIONAL CHAMPION: Columbia over St. Augustine
St. Augustine 60 over Arnold
Ed White 53 over Pine Forest
Choctawhatchee 43 over Booker T. Washington (Pensacola)
Columbia 57 over Rickards
REGION 2
PROJECTED REGIONAL CHAMPION: Zephyrhills over Jones
Jones 61 over Deltona
Vanguard 18 over Auburndale
Zephyrhills 66 over Rockledge
Lake Wales 15 over New Smyrna Beach
REGION 3
PROJECTED REGIONAL CHAMPION: Jesuit over Port Charlotte
Jesuit 26 over Osceola (Seminole)
South Fort Myers 1 over Naples
Port Charlotte 15 over Dunbar
Clearwater 14 over Blake
REGION 4
PROJECTED REGIONAL CHAMPION: Dillard over Archbishop McCarthy
Archbishop McCarthy 22 over Hialeah
Jensen Beach 14 over Miami Norland
American Heritage (Plantation) 4 over John Carroll
Dillard 32 over Plantation
CLASS 3A
REGIONAL QUARTERFINALS
REGION 1
PROJECTED REGIONAL CHAMPION: Raines over Bay
Raines 69 over Baker County
Yulee 34 over West Florida
Bay 51 over Godby
Bishop Kenny 26 over Wakulla
REGION 2
PROJECTED REGIONAL CHAMPION: Bishop Moore over Eau Gallie
Bishop Moore 40 over Hernando
Eastside 9 over South Sumter
Eau Gallie 16 over Tavares
Merritt Island 27 over Titusville
REGION 3
PROJECTED REGIONAL CHAMPION: Booker over Nature Coast
Booker 72 over Mulberry
Chamberlain 31 over Bayshore
Nature Coast 51 over Gibbs
Jefferson 44 over Boca Ciega
REGION 4
PROJECTED REGIONAL CHAMPION: Miami Northwestern over Miami Central
Miami Northwestern 75 over Somerset Academy (Pembroke Pines)
Cypress Lake 20 over Key West
Miami Central 63 over St. Brendan
Lely 13 over Estero
CLASS 2A
REGIONAL QUARTERFINALS
REGION 1
PROJECTED REGIONAL CHAMPION: Bolles over Pensacola Catholic
Bolles 71 over Walton
Baldwin 35 over Florida High
Pensacola Catholic 45 over Bozeman
South Walton 33 over Freeport
REGION 2
PROJECTED REGIONAL CHAMPION: The Villages over Bradford
Bradford 49 over Avon Park
The Villages 52 over Berkeley Prep
Santa Fe 6 over Calvary Christian (Clearwater)
Cocoa 21 over Newberry
REGION 3
PROJECTED REGIONAL CHAMPION: Cardinal Mooney over Lakewood
Cardinal Mooney 75 over North Broward Prep
Calvary Christian (Fort Lauderdale) 30 over Bishop Verot
Lakewood 75 over Somerset Canyons
Glades Central 54 over King’s Academy
REGION 4
PROJECTED REGIONAL CHAMPION: Immaculata-La Salle over Cardinal Gibbons
Immaculata-La Salle 36 over Somerset Silver Palms
Ransom Everglades 13 over Gulliver Prep
Cardinal Gibbons 49 over Monsignor Pace
Miami Killian 32 over Miami Carol City
CLASS 1A
REGIONAL QUARTERFINALS
REGION 1
PROJECTED REGIONAL CHAMPION: University Christian over Trinity Christian (Jacksonville)
University Christian 35 over Trinity Catholic
Impact Christian 12 over Episcopal
Trinity Christian (Jacksonville) 38 over Providence
North Florida Educational 4 over Maclay
REGION 2
PROJECTED REGIONAL CHAMPION: Carrollwood Day over Clearwater Central Catholic
Carrollwood Day 53 over Father Lopez
Orlando Christian Prep 29 over Melbourne Central Catholic
Clearwater Central Catholic 71 over Indian Rocks Christian
Lakeland Christian 41 over Victory Christian
REGION 3
PROJECTED REGIONAL CHAMPION: St. Petersburg Catholic over Community School
St. Petersburg Catholic 66 over Evangelical Christian
Southwest Florida Christian 6 over St. John Neumann
Cardinal Newman 52 over Benjamin
Community School 11 over Northside Christian
REGION 4
PROJECTED REGIONAL CHAMPION: Chaminade-Madonna over True North
Chaminade-Madonna 68 over St. John Paul II (Boca Raton)
Westminster Christian 31 over Miami Edison
True North 20 over Palmer Trinity
Saint Andrew’s 20 over Archbishop Carroll
CLASS RURAL
REGIONAL SEMIFINALS
Blountstown 29 over Jay
Chipley 40 over Madison County
Taylor County 35 over Trenton
Pahokee 3 over Fort Meade
Chiefland 49 over Sneads
Baker 20 over Liberty County
Williston 12 over Lafayette
Hawthorne 24 over Branford
FIT 4A-7A
REGIONAL SEMIFINALS
NORTH
Chiles (5A) 3 over Palm Harbor University (6A)
Matanzas (5A) 30 over Bartram Trail (6A)
Tate (6A) 22 over First Coast (6A)
SOUTH
Dr. Joaquin Garcia (4A) 26 over Sarasota (7A)
Royal Palm Beach (6A) 20 over Palm Beach Lakes (7A)
Centennial (7A) 11 over Palm Beach Gardens (6A)
Fort Pierce Westwood (5A) 8 over Miramar (5A)
FIT 1A-3A
REGIONAL SEMIFINALS
NORTH
Dunnellon (3A) 7 over Pensacola (3A)
Weeki Wachee (3A) 10 over Andrew Jackson (2A)
Wolfson (2A) 4 over Palatka (2A)
Tenoroc (2A) 2 over Hudson (3A)
SOUTH
Dunedin (3A) 5 over North Miami Beach (2A)
Inlet Grove (2A) 12 over Oasis (2A)
FIT RURAL
REGIONAL SEMIFINALS
Jefferson County 3 over Wildwood
Wewahitchka 4 over Central (Milton)
SSAA 11-MAN
STATE CHAMPIONSHIP
SEMIFINALS
NORTH
Foundation Academy 1 over Mount Dora Christian
SOUTH
Jupiter Christian 21 over NSU University School
3A
SEMIFINALS
NORTH
Oak Hall 8 over The Master’s Academy (Oviedo)
SOUTH
St. Edward’s 2 over Cambridge Christian
2A
CHAMPIONSHIP
Glades Day 1 over Rocky Bayou Christian
1A
CHAMPIONSHIP
Bishop McLauglin 1 over Windermere Prep
SSAA ATLANTIC
SEMIFINALS
STATE CHAMPIONSHIP
NORTH
West Nassau 40 over Fernandina Beach
SOUTH
Space Coast 6 over American Heritage (Delray Beach)
SSAA 8-MAN
SEMIFINALS
STATE CHAMPIONSHIP
Bradenton Christian 24 over Academy at the Lakes
Merritt Island Christian 3 over Real Life Christian
1A
All Saints 13 over First Coast Christian
Saint Francis Catholic 6 over Classical Academy (Sarasota)
![Dr. Joaquin Garcia captured the 2025 FHSAA FIT 4A-7A Championship on Thu. Dec. 4, 2025 at H.G. Morse Stadium at The Villages High School in Middleton, Fla. [Joshua Wilson/FloridaHSFootball.com]](https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Dr.-Joaquin-Garcia-Tate-FIT-4A-7A-Featured-120x86.jpg)
![Dunnellon won the 2025 FIT 1A-3A Championship on Thu. Dec. 4, 2025 at The H.G. Morse Stadium at The Villages High School in Middleton, Fla. [Joshua Wilson/FloridaHSFootball.com]](https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Dunnellon-NMB-FIT-1A-3A-Featured-120x86.jpg)
![Merlin Smith has resigned as the head coach at Ridgeview after two seasons. [Merlin Smith/Facebook]](https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/Smith-RIdgeview-Featured-75x75.jpg)
![Antwan Blatch recently stepped down as the head coach at South Fork after five seasons. [X/@coach_blatch]](https://floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/Blatch-South-Fork-Featured-75x75.jpg)
