FPRI went 178-80 (.690) in Week 3, its best straight-up forecast percentage of the season. Through the first four completed weeks of forecasts, FPRI is now 572-283-1 (.669).
How FPRI Has Done This Season
Week 0: 23-13 (.639)
Week 1: 185-99-1 (.651)
Week 2: 186-91 (.671)
Week 3: 178-80 (.690)
Season: 572-283-1 (.669)
Ties count as half a win when calculating forecast percentage. Games without a result are excluded from the prediction record.
Week 4 brings another deep statewide slate with district play beginning for many programs, several marquee Florida-vs.-Florida matchups, interstate tests and games across every FHSAA classification, the Sunshine State Athletic Association, the FHSAA independent leagues and independent programs.
The forecasts below show the team FPRI projects to win and the expected margin of victory.
Games are organized by the classification of the projected winner. When teams from different classifications meet, the opponent’s classification is shown in parentheses.
For games in which an out-of-state team is projected to win, the matchup is placed in the classification of the Florida opponent.
RELATED: Projected scores and win probabilities for Week 4 of the 2026 season
Class 6A
Columbus (Miami) 13 over Miami Palmetto
Creekside (St. Johns) 30 over Tocoi Creek (St. Augustine)
Doral Academy 6 over Miami
Dr. Joaquin Garcia (Lake Worth) 38 over Lake Worth
Dr. Phillips (Orlando) 23 over Timber Creek (Orlando)
Edgewater (Orlando) 18 over Lake Nona (Orlando)
Flagler Palm Coast 34 over First Coast (Jacksonville)
Fort Pierce Central 4 over (5A) Martin County (Stuart)
Gateway (Kissimmee) 3 over Harmony
George Jenkins (Lakeland) 1 over Haines City
Goleman (Miami) 2 over Cypress Bay (Weston)
Horizon (Winter Garden) 35 over (IND A) Cypress Creek (Orlando)
Jupiter 23 over Boca Raton
Lake Mary 9 over DeLand
Lennard (Ruskin) 5 over Newsome (Lithia)
Olympia (Orlando) 31 over Apopka
Palm Beach Central (Wellington) 17 over Wellington
Park Vista (Lake Worth) 2 over Coral Glades (Coral Springs)
Plant City 11 over Riverview (Riverview)
Poinciana (Kissimmee) 8 over Ridge Community (Davenport)
Riverview (Sarasota) 20 over Lakewood Ranch (Bradenton)
Sandalwood (Jacksonville) 10 over Atlantic Coast (Jacksonville)
Santaluces (Lantana) 7 over Palm Beach Lakes (West Palm Beach)
Sarasota 24 over North Port
Seminole (Sanford) 34 over University (Orange City)
South Dade (Homestead) 11 over Homestead
Spanish River (Boca Raton) 5 over Nova (Davie)
Spruce Creek (Port Orange) 27 over (4A) Deltona
St. Cloud 25 over (5A) Lake Minneola
Strawberry Crest (Dover) 32 over (3A) King (Tampa)
Tohopekaliga (Kissimmee) 37 over Celebration
Venice 64 over Lehigh (Lehigh Acres)
Vero Beach 47 over Centennial (Port St. Lucie)
West Broward (Pembroke Pines) 6 over Western (Davie)
West Orange (Winter Garden) 17 over Ocoee
Winter Haven 6 over Davenport
Winter Park 1 over (5A) Evans (Orlando)
Class 5A
Archbishop McCarthy (Southwest Ranches) 14 over (1A) Community School (Naples)
Armwood (Seffner) 39 over Spoto (Riverview)
Auburndale 17 over Bartow
Bartram Trail (St. Johns) 8 over Fletcher (Neptune Beach)
Beachside (St. Johns) 18 over Ponte Vedra
Bloomingdale (Valrico) 24 over Leto (Tampa)
Buchholz (Gainesville) 57 over West Port (Ocala)
Cape Coral 46 over East Lee County (Lehigh Acres)
Deerfield Beach 25 over (IND A) Hollywood Hills
Dwyer (Palm Beach Gardens) 11 over South Fork (Stuart)
Forest (Ocala) 22 over Matanzas (Palm Coast)
Gaither (Tampa) 9 over East Lake (Tarpon Springs)
Immokalee 12 over Charlotte (Punta Gorda)
Lake Howell (Winter Park) 25 over East River (Orlando)
Lakeland 1 over Osceola (Kissimmee)
Land O Lakes 42 over Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel)
Largo 41 over Sickles (Tampa)
Manatee (Bradenton) 20 over (6A) Lake Brantley (Altamonte Springs)
Mandarin (Jacksonville) 11 over Nease (Ponte Vedra)
Mater Academy (Hialeah Gardens) 13 over Everglades (Miramar)
Niceville 41 over Navarre
Olympic Heights (Boca Raton) 2 over (IND B) St. John Paul II (Boca Raton)
Oviedo 7 over Melbourne
Pace 4 over (3A) Wakulla (Crawfordville)
Palmetto 17 over (Ind.) IMG Academy Junior National (Bradenton)
Parrish Community 15 over (6A) Palm Harbor University
Piper (Sunrise) 13 over Flanagan (Pembroke Pines)
Riverdale (Fort Myers) 22 over North Fort Myers
Sebring 9 over Lake Gibson (Lakeland)
Seminole Ridge (Westlake) 6 over Palm Beach Gardens
St. Thomas Aquinas (Fort Lauderdale) 32 over (3A) Dillard (Fort Lauderdale)
Sumner (Riverview) 18 over (6A) Durant (Plant City)
Tampa Bay Tech 13 over Plant (Tampa)
Tate (Cantonment) 27 over Crestview
Viera (Melbourne) 25 over Lyman (Longwood)
West Boca Raton 3 over (2A) Cardinal Newman (West Palm Beach)
Wharton (Tampa) 17 over Sunlake (Land O’Lakes)
Wiregrass Ranch (Wesley Chapel) 4 over Wesley Chapel
Class 4A
American Heritage (Plantation) 15 over (1A) Trinity Christian (Jacksonville)
Atlantic (Delray Beach) 5 over (1A) Pahokee
Barron Collier (Naples) 4 over Golden Gate (Naples)
Bishop Moore (Orlando) 25 over Seabreeze (Daytona Beach)
Booker T. Washington (Pensacola) 41 over Gulf Breeze
Choctawhatchee (Fort Walton Beach) 11 over Escambia (Pensacola)
Clay (Green Cove Springs) 9 over Orange Park
Clearwater 29 over St. Petersburg
Columbia (Lake City) 44 over Ribault (Jacksonville)
East Bay (Gibsonton) 25 over Hillsborough (Tampa)
Ed White (Jacksonville) 25 over Riverside (Jacksonville)
Fleming Island 33 over Ridgeview (Orange Park)
Fort Myers 12 over Mariner (Cape Coral)
Freedom (Tampa) 1 over Middleton (Tampa)
Gulf (New Port Richey) 23 over Pasco (Dade City)
Gulf Coast (Naples) 7 over Estero
Heritage (Palm Bay) 19 over Legacy (Port St. Lucie)
Jensen Beach 40 over Sebastian River (Sebastian)
Jesuit (Tampa) 44 over Blake (Tampa)
Jones (Orlando) 23 over (6A) Boone (Orlando)
Kathleen (Lakeland) 9 over Brandon
Lake Wales 40 over Lake Region (Eagle Lake)
Lecanto 25 over Gainesville
Leon (Tallahassee) 1 over Arnold (Panama City Beach)
Lincoln (Tallahassee) 12 over Rickards (Tallahassee)
(OOS) Lowndes (GA) 35 over Blanche Ely (Pompano Beach)
Miami Norland 11 over Miramar
Miami Northwestern 4 over (1A) Hawthorne
Milton 9 over Fort Walton Beach
Mosley (Lynn Haven) 24 over Chiles (Tallahassee)
Mount Dora 1 over Lake Weir (Ocala)
Naples 19 over Aubrey Rogers (Naples)
New Smyrna Beach 39 over Winter Springs
Northeast (St. Petersburg) 32 over Hollins (St. Petersburg)
Pinellas Park (Largo) 21 over Osceola (Seminole)
Plantation 35 over (6A) South Plantation
Port Charlotte 13 over Dunbar (Fort Myers)
River Ridge (New Port Richey) 19 over Fivay (Hudson)
St. Augustine 28 over Middleburg
Vanguard (Ocala) 45 over Leesburg
Yulee 3 over (3A) Baker County (Glen St. Mary)
Zephyrhills 24 over Springstead (Spring Hill)
Class 3A
Bay (Panama City) 24 over West Florida (Pensacola)
Bayshore (Bradenton) 17 over Southeast (Bradenton)
Bishop Verot (Fort Myers) 4 over (1A) Williston
(OOS) Buford (GA) 13 over Miami Central
Cardinal Gibbons (Fort Lauderdale) 1 over (5A) Coconut Creek
Cardinal Mooney (Sarasota) 51 over Wellen Park (North Port)
Countryside (Clearwater) 3 over Dunedin
Cypress Lake (Fort Myers) 1 over Mulberry
Dunnellon 43 over North Marion (Citra)
Eastside (Gainesville) 6 over Belleview
Eau Gallie (Melbourne) 34 over Rockledge
Glades Central (Belle Glade) 2 over (5A) Royal Palm Beach
Godby (Tallahassee) 18 over (OOS) Camden County (GA)
Hernando (Brooksville) 15 over Central (Brooksville)
Jefferson (Tampa) 12 over Chamberlain (Tampa)
Merritt Island 26 over Astronaut (Titusville)
Miami Springs 30 over St. Brendan (Miami)
Nature Coast (Brooksville) 40 over Crystal River
North Miami Beach 32 over Miami Jackson
Palatka 6 over Suwannee (Live Oak)
Raines (Jacksonville) 71 over Terry Parker (Jacksonville)
Robinson (Tampa) 5 over Morgan (Wimauma)
Seminole (Seminole) 11 over Anclote (Holiday)
South Sumter (Bushnell) 1 over (6A) East Ridge (Clermont)
South Walton (Santa Rosa Beach) 26 over Pensacola
Tarpon Springs 11 over Gibbs (St. Petersburg)
Tenoroc (Lakeland) 13 over (1A) Fort Meade
The Villages 35 over (1A) Zephyrhills Christian
Titusville 34 over Palm Bay (Melbourne)
Weeki Wachee 8 over Citrus (Inverness)
(OOS) Williamson (AL) 33 over Pine Forest (Pensacola)
Wolfson (Jacksonville) 26 over (2A) KIPP Bold City (Jacksonville)
Class 2A
Berkeley Prep (Tampa) 3 over Tampa Catholic
Bolles (Jacksonville) 17 over (3A) Bishop Kenny (Jacksonville)
Bradford (Starke) 28 over Trinity Catholic (Ocala)
Chaminade-Madonna (Hollywood) 33 over (1A) True North (Miami)
Clearwater Central Catholic 12 over Calvary Christian (Clearwater)
Florida High (Tallahassee) 25 over Rutherford (Panama City)
Freeport 12 over (1A) North Florida Christian (Tallahassee)
Gadsden County (Havana) 32 over North Bay Haven (Panama City)
Immaculata-La Salle (Miami) 36 over Gulliver Prep (Pinecrest)
Lakewood (St. Petersburg) 4 over Boca Ciega (Gulfport)
Miami Edison 5 over Booker T. Washington (Miami)
Miami Killian 22 over (4A) North Miami
Newberry 40 over (IND B) Halifax Academy (Daytona Beach)
Pensacola Catholic 23 over (OOS) G.W. Carver Collegiate (LA)
Somerset Charter (Silver Palms) 11 over (6A) Southwest Miami
The First Academy (Orlando) 32 over (5A) South Lake (Groveland)
Class 1A
Archbishop Carroll (Miami) 14 over (4A) American (Hialeah)
Blountstown 7 over Baker
Carrollwood Day (Tampa) 32 over (6A) Steinbrenner (Lutz)
Chiefland 10 over (SSAA Atlantic) Lafayette (Mayo)
Fort White 10 over (SSAA Atlantic) Union County (Lake Butler)
Holmes County (Bonifay) 49 over (IND B) Graceville
Impact Christian (Jacksonville) 16 over (2A) Baldwin
John Carroll (Fort Pierce) 43 over Somerset Prep (North Lauderdale)
Lakeland Christian 9 over (2A) Saint Andrew’s (Boca Raton)
Marianna 17 over FAMU DRS (Tallahassee)
Northside Christian (St. Petersburg) 2 over (SSAA Atlantic) Somerset Canyons (Boynton Beach)
Northview (Century) 22 over Port St. Joe
St. John Neumann (Naples) 6 over (SSAA Atlantic) Lemon Bay (Englewood)
St. Petersburg Catholic 25 over (Ind.) NextGen Prep (Pompano Beach)
Taylor County (Perry) 5 over (2A) Walton (DeFuniak Springs)
University Christian (Jacksonville) 2 over Madison County (Madison)
Victory Christian (Lakeland) 10 over Moore Haven
SSAA 11-Man
Aucilla Christian (Monticello) 33 over Rocky Bayou Christian (Niceville)
Boca Raton Christian 17 over (Ind.) Parkridge Christian (Coral Springs)
(OOS) Brookwood School (GA) 13 over Bishop Snyder (Jacksonville)
Christ’s Church Academy (Jacksonville) 31 over Duval Charter (Jacksonville)
Eagle’s View (Jacksonville) 2 over First Coast Christian (Jacksonville)
Episcopal (Jacksonville) 52 over (3A) Westside (Jacksonville)
Jupiter Christian 27 over Glades Day (Belle Glade)
Keswick Christian (St. Petersburg) 41 over Indian Rocks Christian (Largo)
Maclay (Tallahassee) 10 over (1A) Chipley
NSU University School (Fort Lauderdale) 27 over (IND A) Stoneman Douglas (Parkland)
Oxbridge Academy (West Palm Beach) 22 over (IND A) Suncoast (Riviera Beach)
Saint Stephens Episcopal (Bradenton) 30 over (IND B) Babcock (Babcock Ranch)
Sarasota Christian 10 over Cambridge Christian (Tampa)
Seven Rivers Christian (Lecanto) 9 over Cornerstone Classical (Jacksonville)
St. Edward’s (Vero Beach) 11 over (SSAA Atlantic) Okeechobee
St. Joseph (St. Augustine) 3 over Old Plank Christian (Jacksonville)
Tradition Prep (Port St. Lucie) 10 over (Ind.) Palm Beach Christian Prep (Greenacres)
SSAA Atlantic
American Heritage (Delray Beach) 15 over (3A) Key West
Bell 32 over (SSAA 11-Man) Harvest Community (Jacksonville)
Calvary Christian (Fort Lauderdale) 30 over Clewiston
Cocoa Beach 26 over (IND B) Inlet Grove (Riviera Beach)
Coral Shores (Tavernier) 12 over (IND B) Marco Island Academy
Cottondale 50 over Vernon
Crescent City 14 over (Ind.) Taylor (Pierson)
Dixie County (Cross City) 22 over (Ind.) Zarephath Academy (Jacksonville)
Franklin County (Eastpoint) 2 over Liberty County (Bristol)
Frostproof 22 over Avon Park
Hardee (Wauchula) 16 over Lake Placid
Interlachen 18 over Bronson
King’s Academy (West Palm Beach) 16 over (Ind.) Miami Beach
(OOS) Pataula Charter (GA) 9 over Sneads
Paxon (Jacksonville) 12 over Stanton (Jacksonville)
Satellite (Satellite Beach) 46 over (IND A) Pine Ridge (Deltona)
Space Coast (Cocoa) 52 over (3A) Discovery (Lake Alfred)
West Nassau (Callahan) 31 over Bayside (Palm Bay)
SSAA 8-Man
Bell Creek (Riverview) 15 over Riverview Academy
Bradenton Christian 19 over Donahue Academy (Ave Maria)
Calvary Chapel (West Melbourne) 4 over Lake Mary Prep
Countryside Christian (Gainesville) 5 over First Academy-Leesburg
Florida Deaf and Blind (St. Augustine) 40 over City of Life Christian (Kissimmee)
Foundation Christian (Valrico) 34 over Geneva Classical (Lakeland)
Ocala Christian 1 over Hernando Christian (Brooksville)
Saint Francis Catholic (Gainesville) 32 over Cornerstone Academy (Gainesville)
Shorecrest Prep (St. Petersburg) 42 over Classical Academy (Sarasota)
FHSAA Independent League A
Belen Jesuit (Miami) 7 over Somerset Academy (Pembroke Pines)
Bonita Springs 2 over (SSAA Atlantic) DeSoto County (Arcadia)
Cooper City 20 over (5A) Boyd Anderson (Lauderdale Lakes)
Fort Lauderdale 13 over Forest Hill (West Palm Beach)
Gateway (Fort Myers) 3 over Ida Baker (Cape Coral)
Hallandale 29 over Coral Springs
Innovation (Orlando) 49 over Lake Buena Vista (Orlando)
John I. Leonard (Greenacres) 4 over Pompano Beach
Oak Ridge (Orlando) 11 over Colonial (Orlando)
Oasis (Cape Coral) 27 over Palmetto Ridge (Naples)
Pembroke Pines Charter 18 over Taravella (Coral Springs)
South Broward (Hollywood) 20 over (3A) Stranahan (Fort Lauderdale)
Umatilla 4 over (SSAA Atlantic) Trenton
University (Orlando) 25 over (3A) Liberty (Kissimmee)
Windermere 29 over (5A) Wekiva (Apopka)
FHSAA Independent League B
Bishop McLaughlin (Spring Hill) 27 over (1A) McLaughlin (Lake Wales)
Evangelical Christian (Fort Myers) 22 over Marathon
Foundation Academy (Winter Garden) 8 over Central Florida Christian (Orlando)
Geneva (Casselberry) 19 over All Saints (Winter Haven)
Hamilton County (Jasper) 10 over (Ind.) South Marion (Ocala)
Holy Trinity (Melbourne) 39 over (4A) Port St. Lucie
Mount Dora Christian 7 over Lake Highland Prep (Orlando)
Oak Hall (Gainesville) 2 over (SSAA Atlantic) Branford
Orangewood Christian (Maitland) 38 over (1A) Father Lopez (Daytona Beach)
Providence (Jacksonville) 1 over (1A) North Florida Educational (Jacksonville)
Santa Fe Catholic (Lakeland) 17 over (1A) Palmer Trinity (Miami)
Southwest Florida Christian (Fort Myers) 5 over (1A) First Baptist (Naples)
The Masters Academy (Oviedo) 31 over Trinity Prep (Winter Park)
Wewahitchka 23 over (OOS) True Institute (GA)
Windermere Prep 19 over (Ind.) Faith Christian (Orlando)
Independents
Coral Reef (Miami) 21 over Braddock (Miami)
Cornerstone Charter (Belle Isle) 37 over (SSAA 11-Man) Legacy Charter (Ocoee)
Ferguson (Miami) 31 over Miami Sunset
Hialeah Gardens 13 over Dr. Krop (Miami)
Miami Coral Park 8 over Westland Hialeah
Nova Lakes (St. Cloud) 15 over (IND A) Freedom (Orlando)
Reagan (Doral) 33 over Hialeah-Miami Lakes
South Miami 12 over Varela (Miami)
West Oaks Academy (Orlando) 30 over Young Kids In Motion (Jacksonville)
