FPRI went 178-80 (.690) in Week 3, improving the season record to 572-283-1 (.669) through the first four completed weeks of forecasts.
The week-by-week trend has continued moving in the right direction. FPRI opened at .639 in Week 0, improved to .651 in Week 1, climbed to .671 in Week 2 and reached .690 in Week 3.
How FPRI Has Done This Season
Week 0: 23-13 (.639)
Week 1: 185-99-1 (.651)
Week 2: 186-91 (.671)
Week 3: 178-80 (.690)
Season: 572-283-1 (.669)
Ties count as half a win when calculating forecast percentage. Games without a result are excluded from the prediction record.
Week 4 brings another deep statewide slate across Classes 6A through 1A, the SSAA divisions, the FHSAA independent leagues and standalone independent programs, along with several high-profile games against out-of-state opponents.
Several of the week’s biggest matchups project to be highly competitive. West Boca Raton is projected to edge Cardinal Newman 37-34 with a 61.4% win probability, Miami Northwestern holds a 65.2% edge over Hawthorne in a projected 37-33 game, and Cardinal Gibbons is only a 54.4% favorite over Coconut Creek in a projected 32-31 finish.
FPRI also sees Lakeland-Osceola as one of the week’s closest marquee games, with Lakeland holding a 51.5% win probability in a projected 29-28 game. University Christian is projected 32-30 over Madison County with a 54.5% win probability, while South Sumter carries a 53.2% edge over East Ridge in a projected 33-32 finish.
Among the larger-profile interstate matchups, Buford (GA) is projected 49-36 over Miami Central with an 88.6% win probability. Columbus is projected 37-24 over Miami Palmetto, while Bolles is projected 45-28 over Bishop Kenny.
There are several true toss-up projections across the Week 4 slate. Winter Park carries just a 50.3% edge over Evans, Ocala Christian sits at 51.1% against Hernando Christian, Leon is at 51.3% against Arnold, Lakeland is at 51.5% against Osceola and George Jenkins holds a 52.4% edge over Haines City.
At the other end of the spectrum, Week 4 includes another large group of heavy favorites, providing a fresh test of how the updated FPRI ratings translate into the model’s highest-confidence projections.
About The Projections
The tables below include FPRI’s projected final score and win probability for each team.
Games are organized by the classification of the projected winner, beginning with Class 6A and continuing through Class 1A, the three SSAA divisions, the FHSAA independent leagues and standalone independents.
When teams from different classifications meet, the opponent’s classification is shown in parentheses where applicable.
For SSAA and FHSAA independent league opponents, the labels are shown as (SSAA 11-Man), (SSAA Atlantic), (SSAA 8-Man), (IND A) and (IND B).
When an out-of-state team is projected to win, the matchup is placed under the classification of the Florida school involved rather than creating a separate out-of-state section.
Class 6A
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Apopka vs. Olympia (Orlando) | Olympia (Orlando) 31, Apopka 0 | Apopka 0.6% / Olympia (Orlando) 99.4% |
| Boca Raton vs. Jupiter | Jupiter 40, Boca Raton 17 | Boca Raton 3.0% / Jupiter 97.0% |
| Columbus (Miami) vs. Miami Palmetto | Columbus (Miami) 37, Miami Palmetto 24 | Columbus (Miami) 88.0% / Miami Palmetto 12.0% |
| Cypress Bay (Weston) vs. Goleman (Miami) | Goleman (Miami) 31, Cypress Bay (Weston) 29 | Cypress Bay (Weston) 43.4% / Goleman (Miami) 56.6% |
| Dr. Joaquin Garcia (Lake Worth) vs. Lake Worth | Dr. Joaquin Garcia (Lake Worth) 40, Lake Worth 2 | Dr. Joaquin Garcia (Lake Worth) 99.8% / Lake Worth 0.2% |
| Dr. Phillips (Orlando) vs. Timber Creek (Orlando) | Dr. Phillips (Orlando) 32, Timber Creek (Orlando) 9 | Dr. Phillips (Orlando) 97.1% / Timber Creek (Orlando) 2.9% |
| Edgewater (Orlando) vs. Lake Nona (Orlando) | Edgewater (Orlando) 40, Lake Nona (Orlando) 22 | Edgewater (Orlando) 93.7% / Lake Nona (Orlando) 6.3% |
| (5A) Evans (Orlando) vs. Winter Park | Winter Park 32, Evans (Orlando) 31 | Evans (Orlando) 49.7% / Winter Park 50.3% |
| First Coast (Jacksonville) vs. Flagler Palm Coast | Flagler Palm Coast 41, First Coast (Jacksonville) 7 | First Coast (Jacksonville) 0.5% / Flagler Palm Coast 99.5% |
| Gateway (Kissimmee) vs. Harmony | Gateway (Kissimmee) 22, Harmony 19 | Gateway (Kissimmee) 64.0% / Harmony 36.0% |
| Haines City vs. George Jenkins (Lakeland) | George Jenkins (Lakeland) 15, Haines City 14 | Haines City 47.6% / George Jenkins (Lakeland) 52.4% |
| Horizon (Winter Garden) vs. (IND A) Cypress Creek (Orlando) | Horizon (Winter Garden) 35, Cypress Creek (Orlando) 0 | Horizon (Winter Garden) 99.8% / Cypress Creek (Orlando) 0.2% |
| Lake Mary vs. DeLand | Lake Mary 41, DeLand 32 | Lake Mary 80.0% / DeLand 20.0% |
| (5A) Lake Minneola vs. St. Cloud | St. Cloud 33, Lake Minneola 8 | Lake Minneola 2.1% / St. Cloud 97.9% |
| Lakewood Ranch (Bradenton) vs. Riverview (Sarasota) | Riverview (Sarasota) 42, Lakewood Ranch (Bradenton) 22 | Lakewood Ranch (Bradenton) 5.0% / Riverview (Sarasota) 95.0% |
| Lehigh (Lehigh Acres) vs. Venice | Venice 64, Lehigh (Lehigh Acres) 0 | Lehigh (Lehigh Acres) 0.0% / Venice 100.0% |
| (5A) Martin County (Stuart) vs. Fort Pierce Central | Fort Pierce Central 30, Martin County (Stuart) 26 | Martin County (Stuart) 37.3% / Fort Pierce Central 62.7% |
| Miami vs. Doral Academy | Doral Academy 21, Miami 15 | Miami 28.8% / Doral Academy 71.2% |
| Newsome (Lithia) vs. Lennard (Ruskin) | Lennard (Ruskin) 32, Newsome (Lithia) 27 | Newsome (Lithia) 31.6% / Lennard (Ruskin) 68.4% |
| North Port vs. Sarasota | Sarasota 36, North Port 12 | North Port 2.4% / Sarasota 97.6% |
| Nova (Davie) vs. Spanish River (Boca Raton) | Spanish River (Boca Raton) 24, Nova (Davie) 19 | Nova (Davie) 32.8% / Spanish River (Boca Raton) 67.2% |
| Ocoee vs. West Orange (Winter Garden) | West Orange (Winter Garden) 40, Ocoee 23 | Ocoee 6.2% / West Orange (Winter Garden) 93.8% |
| Palm Beach Central (Wellington) vs. Wellington | Palm Beach Central (Wellington) 31, Wellington 14 | Palm Beach Central (Wellington) 93.1% / Wellington 6.9% |
| Palm Beach Lakes (West Palm Beach) vs. Santaluces (Lantana) | Santaluces (Lantana) 27, Palm Beach Lakes (West Palm Beach) 20 | Palm Beach Lakes (West Palm Beach) 23.9% / Santaluces (Lantana) 76.1% |
| Park Vista (Lake Worth) vs. Coral Glades (Coral Springs) | Park Vista (Lake Worth) 18, Coral Glades (Coral Springs) 16 | Park Vista (Lake Worth) 58.9% / Coral Glades (Coral Springs) 41.1% |
| Plant City vs. Riverview (Riverview) | Plant City 26, Riverview (Riverview) 15 | Plant City 83.4% / Riverview (Riverview) 16.6% |
| Ridge Community (Davenport) vs. Poinciana (Kissimmee) | Poinciana (Kissimmee) 20, Ridge Community (Davenport) 12 | Ridge Community (Davenport) 24.2% / Poinciana (Kissimmee) 75.8% |
| Sandalwood (Jacksonville) vs. Atlantic Coast (Jacksonville) | Sandalwood (Jacksonville) 22, Atlantic Coast (Jacksonville) 12 | Sandalwood (Jacksonville) 82.1% / Atlantic Coast (Jacksonville) 17.9% |
| South Dade (Homestead) vs. Homestead | South Dade (Homestead) 22, Homestead 11 | South Dade (Homestead) 84.6% / Homestead 15.4% |
| Spruce Creek (Port Orange) vs. (4A) Deltona | Spruce Creek (Port Orange) 34, Deltona 7 | Spruce Creek (Port Orange) 98.6% / Deltona 1.4% |
| Strawberry Crest (Dover) vs. (3A) King (Tampa) | Strawberry Crest (Dover) 32, King (Tampa) 0 | Strawberry Crest (Dover) 99.5% / King (Tampa) 0.5% |
| Tocoi Creek (St. Augustine) vs. Creekside (St. Johns) | Creekside (St. Johns) 36, Tocoi Creek (St. Augustine) 6 | Tocoi Creek (St. Augustine) 1.0% / Creekside (St. Johns) 99.0% |
| Tohopekaliga (Kissimmee) vs. Celebration | Tohopekaliga (Kissimmee) 37, Celebration 0 | Tohopekaliga (Kissimmee) 99.8% / Celebration 0.2% |
| University (Orange City) vs. Seminole (Sanford) | Seminole (Sanford) 34, University (Orange City) 0 | University (Orange City) 0.5% / Seminole (Sanford) 99.5% |
| Vero Beach vs. Centennial (Port St. Lucie) | Vero Beach 54, Centennial (Port St. Lucie) 7 | Vero Beach 99.9% / Centennial (Port St. Lucie) 0.1% |
| West Broward (Pembroke Pines) vs. Western (Davie) | West Broward (Pembroke Pines) 28, Western (Davie) 22 | West Broward (Pembroke Pines) 71.3% / Western (Davie) 28.7% |
| Winter Haven vs. Davenport | Winter Haven 23, Davenport 17 | Winter Haven 71.0% / Davenport 29.0% |
Class 5A
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Auburndale vs. Bartow | Auburndale 38, Bartow 21 | Auburndale 93.0% / Bartow 7.0% |
| Bartram Trail (St. Johns) vs. Fletcher (Neptune Beach) | Bartram Trail (St. Johns) 31, Fletcher (Neptune Beach) 23 | Bartram Trail (St. Johns) 78.3% / Fletcher (Neptune Beach) 21.7% |
| Buchholz (Gainesville) vs. West Port (Ocala) | Buchholz (Gainesville) 57, West Port (Ocala) 0 | Buchholz (Gainesville) 100.0% / West Port (Ocala) 0.0% |
| Cape Coral vs. East Lee County (Lehigh Acres) | Cape Coral 46, East Lee County (Lehigh Acres) 0 | Cape Coral 100.0% / East Lee County (Lehigh Acres) 0.0% |
| (2A) Cardinal Newman (West Palm Beach) vs. West Boca Raton | West Boca Raton 37, Cardinal Newman (West Palm Beach) 34 | Cardinal Newman (West Palm Beach) 38.6% / West Boca Raton 61.4% |
| (1A) Community School (Naples) vs. Archbishop McCarthy (Southwest Ranches) | Archbishop McCarthy (Southwest Ranches) 38, Community School (Naples) 24 | Community School (Naples) 11.5% / Archbishop McCarthy (Southwest Ranches) 88.5% |
| (6A) Durant (Plant City) vs. Sumner (Riverview) | Sumner (Riverview) 40, Durant (Plant City) 22 | Durant (Plant City) 6.1% / Sumner (Riverview) 93.9% |
| Dwyer (Palm Beach Gardens) vs. South Fork (Stuart) | Dwyer (Palm Beach Gardens) 18, South Fork (Stuart) 7 | Dwyer (Palm Beach Gardens) 84.4% / South Fork (Stuart) 15.6% |
| East Lake (Tarpon Springs) vs. Gaither (Tampa) | Gaither (Tampa) 41, East Lake (Tarpon Springs) 32 | East Lake (Tarpon Springs) 19.3% / Gaither (Tampa) 80.7% |
| East River (Orlando) vs. Lake Howell (Winter Park) | Lake Howell (Winter Park) 35, East River (Orlando) 10 | East River (Orlando) 2.0% / Lake Howell (Winter Park) 98.0% |
| Everglades (Miramar) vs. Mater Academy (Hialeah Gardens) | Mater Academy (Hialeah Gardens) 27, Everglades (Miramar) 14 | Everglades (Miramar) 11.2% / Mater Academy (Hialeah Gardens) 88.8% |
| Flanagan (Pembroke Pines) vs. Piper (Sunrise) | Piper (Sunrise) 30, Flanagan (Pembroke Pines) 17 | Flanagan (Pembroke Pines) 11.3% / Piper (Sunrise) 88.7% |
| (IND A) Hollywood Hills vs. Deerfield Beach | Deerfield Beach 32, Hollywood Hills 7 | Hollywood Hills 2.1% / Deerfield Beach 97.9% |
| Immokalee vs. Charlotte (Punta Gorda) | Immokalee 37, Charlotte (Punta Gorda) 25 | Immokalee 86.8% / Charlotte (Punta Gorda) 13.2% |
| Lakeland vs. Osceola (Kissimmee) | Lakeland 29, Osceola (Kissimmee) 28 | Lakeland 51.5% / Osceola (Kissimmee) 48.5% |
| Land O Lakes vs. Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel) | Land O Lakes 42, Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel) 0 | Land O Lakes 100.0% / Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel) 0.0% |
| Largo vs. Sickles (Tampa) | Largo 43, Sickles (Tampa) 2 | Largo 99.8% / Sickles (Tampa) 0.2% |
| Leto (Tampa) vs. Bloomingdale (Valrico) | Bloomingdale (Valrico) 29, Leto (Tampa) 5 | Leto (Tampa) 2.6% / Bloomingdale (Valrico) 97.4% |
| Manatee (Bradenton) vs. (6A) Lake Brantley (Altamonte Springs) | Manatee (Bradenton) 44, Lake Brantley (Altamonte Springs) 24 | Manatee (Bradenton) 96.0% / Lake Brantley (Altamonte Springs) 4.0% |
| Mandarin (Jacksonville) vs. Nease (Ponte Vedra) | Mandarin (Jacksonville) 37, Nease (Ponte Vedra) 26 | Mandarin (Jacksonville) 83.9% / Nease (Ponte Vedra) 16.1% |
| Matanzas (Palm Coast) vs. Forest (Ocala) | Forest (Ocala) 36, Matanzas (Palm Coast) 14 | Matanzas (Palm Coast) 3.3% / Forest (Ocala) 96.7% |
| Melbourne vs. Oviedo | Oviedo 40, Melbourne 33 | Melbourne 23.2% / Oviedo 76.8% |
| Navarre vs. Niceville | Niceville 43, Navarre 2 | Navarre 0.2% / Niceville 99.8% |
| North Fort Myers vs. Riverdale (Fort Myers) | Riverdale (Fort Myers) 35, North Fort Myers 13 | North Fort Myers 3.4% / Riverdale (Fort Myers) 96.6% |
| Olympic Heights (Boca Raton) vs. (IND B) St. John Paul II (Boca Raton) | Olympic Heights (Boca Raton) 26, St. John Paul II (Boca Raton) 24 | Olympic Heights (Boca Raton) 56.9% / St. John Paul II (Boca Raton) 43.1% |
| Palmetto vs. (Ind.) IMG Academy Junior National (Bradenton) | Palmetto 38, IMG Academy Junior National (Bradenton) 21 | Palmetto 93.1% / IMG Academy Junior National (Bradenton) 6.9% |
| Parrish Community vs. (6A) Palm Harbor University | Parrish Community 27, Palm Harbor University 12 | Parrish Community 91.0% / Palm Harbor University 9.0% |
| Ponte Vedra vs. Beachside (St. Johns) | Beachside (St. Johns) 42, Ponte Vedra 24 | Ponte Vedra 5.8% / Beachside (St. Johns) 94.2% |
| Sebring vs. Lake Gibson (Lakeland) | Sebring 24, Lake Gibson (Lakeland) 15 | Sebring 78.1% / Lake Gibson (Lakeland) 21.9% |
| Seminole Ridge (Westlake) vs. Palm Beach Gardens | Seminole Ridge (Westlake) 21, Palm Beach Gardens 15 | Seminole Ridge (Westlake) 73.6% / Palm Beach Gardens 26.4% |
| Spoto (Riverview) vs. Armwood (Seffner) | Armwood (Seffner) 48, Spoto (Riverview) 9 | Spoto (Riverview) 0.3% / Armwood (Seffner) 99.7% |
| St. Thomas Aquinas (Fort Lauderdale) vs. (3A) Dillard (Fort Lauderdale) | St. Thomas Aquinas (Fort Lauderdale) 54, Dillard (Fort Lauderdale) 22 | St. Thomas Aquinas (Fort Lauderdale) 99.3% / Dillard (Fort Lauderdale) 0.7% |
| Sunlake (Land O’Lakes) vs. Wharton (Tampa) | Wharton (Tampa) 36, Sunlake (Land O’Lakes) 19 | Sunlake (Land O’Lakes) 6.3% / Wharton (Tampa) 93.7% |
| Tampa Bay Tech vs. Plant (Tampa) | Tampa Bay Tech 38, Plant (Tampa) 25 | Tampa Bay Tech 88.2% / Plant (Tampa) 11.8% |
| Tate (Cantonment) vs. Crestview | Tate (Cantonment) 35, Crestview 8 | Tate (Cantonment) 98.6% / Crestview 1.4% |
| Viera (Melbourne) vs. Lyman (Longwood) | Viera (Melbourne) 28, Lyman (Longwood) 3 | Viera (Melbourne) 98.1% / Lyman (Longwood) 1.9% |
| (3A) Wakulla (Crawfordville) vs. Pace | Pace 32, Wakulla (Crawfordville) 28 | Wakulla (Crawfordville) 35.0% / Pace 65.0% |
| Wesley Chapel vs. Wiregrass Ranch (Wesley Chapel) | Wiregrass Ranch (Wesley Chapel) 25, Wesley Chapel 21 | Wesley Chapel 34.4% / Wiregrass Ranch (Wesley Chapel) 65.6% |
Class 4A
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| American Heritage (Plantation) vs. (1A) Trinity Christian (Jacksonville) | American Heritage (Plantation) 36, Trinity Christian (Jacksonville) 21 | American Heritage (Plantation) 89.9% / Trinity Christian (Jacksonville) 10.1% |
| Atlantic (Delray Beach) vs. (1A) Pahokee | Atlantic (Delray Beach) 31, Pahokee 26 | Atlantic (Delray Beach) 70.3% / Pahokee 29.7% |
| (3A) Baker County (Glen St. Mary) vs. Yulee | Yulee 27, Baker County (Glen St. Mary) 24 | Baker County (Glen St. Mary) 39.5% / Yulee 60.5% |
| Barron Collier (Naples) vs. Golden Gate (Naples) | Barron Collier (Naples) 26, Golden Gate (Naples) 22 | Barron Collier (Naples) 64.5% / Golden Gate (Naples) 35.5% |
| Bishop Moore (Orlando) vs. Seabreeze (Daytona Beach) | Bishop Moore (Orlando) 40, Seabreeze (Daytona Beach) 15 | Bishop Moore (Orlando) 98.1% / Seabreeze (Daytona Beach) 1.9% |
| Blake (Tampa) vs. Jesuit (Tampa) | Jesuit (Tampa) 55, Blake (Tampa) 11 | Blake (Tampa) 0.1% / Jesuit (Tampa) 99.9% |
| Blanche Ely (Pompano Beach) vs. (OOS) Lowndes (GA) | Lowndes (GA) 43, Blanche Ely (Pompano Beach) 8 | Blanche Ely (Pompano Beach) 0.5% / Lowndes (GA) 99.5% |
| (6A) Boone (Orlando) vs. Jones (Orlando) | Jones (Orlando) 40, Boone (Orlando) 17 | Boone (Orlando) 2.5% / Jones (Orlando) 97.5% |
| Choctawhatchee (Fort Walton Beach) vs. Escambia (Pensacola) | Choctawhatchee (Fort Walton Beach) 25, Escambia (Pensacola) 14 | Choctawhatchee (Fort Walton Beach) 83.9% / Escambia (Pensacola) 16.1% |
| Clearwater vs. St. Petersburg | Clearwater 35, St. Petersburg 6 | Clearwater 99.0% / St. Petersburg 1.0% |
| Columbia (Lake City) vs. Ribault (Jacksonville) | Columbia (Lake City) 44, Ribault (Jacksonville) 0 | Columbia (Lake City) 99.9% / Ribault (Jacksonville) 0.1% |
| Dunbar (Fort Myers) vs. Port Charlotte | Port Charlotte 43, Dunbar (Fort Myers) 30 | Dunbar (Fort Myers) 13.0% / Port Charlotte 87.0% |
| East Bay (Gibsonton) vs. Hillsborough (Tampa) | East Bay (Gibsonton) 34, Hillsborough (Tampa) 9 | East Bay (Gibsonton) 97.8% / Hillsborough (Tampa) 2.2% |
| Ed White (Jacksonville) vs. Riverside (Jacksonville) | Ed White (Jacksonville) 46, Riverside (Jacksonville) 21 | Ed White (Jacksonville) 97.9% / Riverside (Jacksonville) 2.1% |
| Estero vs. Gulf Coast (Naples) | Gulf Coast (Naples) 36, Estero 29 | Estero 26.4% / Gulf Coast (Naples) 73.6% |
| Fort Myers vs. Mariner (Cape Coral) | Fort Myers 27, Mariner (Cape Coral) 15 | Fort Myers 87.3% / Mariner (Cape Coral) 12.7% |
| Gulf (New Port Richey) vs. Pasco (Dade City) | Gulf (New Port Richey) 31, Pasco (Dade City) 8 | Gulf (New Port Richey) 97.2% / Pasco (Dade City) 2.8% |
| Gulf Breeze vs. Booker T. Washington (Pensacola) | Booker T. Washington (Pensacola) 41, Gulf Breeze 0 | Gulf Breeze 0.1% / Booker T. Washington (Pensacola) 99.9% |
| Kathleen (Lakeland) vs. Brandon | Kathleen (Lakeland) 14, Brandon 5 | Kathleen (Lakeland) 79.9% / Brandon 20.1% |
| Lake Wales vs. Lake Region (Eagle Lake) | Lake Wales 44, Lake Region (Eagle Lake) 4 | Lake Wales 99.8% / Lake Region (Eagle Lake) 0.2% |
| Lecanto vs. Gainesville | Lecanto 30, Gainesville 5 | Lecanto 97.8% / Gainesville 2.2% |
| Leesburg vs. Vanguard (Ocala) | Vanguard (Ocala) 45, Leesburg 0 | Leesburg 0.1% / Vanguard (Ocala) 99.9% |
| Legacy (Port St. Lucie) vs. Heritage (Palm Bay) | Heritage (Palm Bay) 22, Legacy (Port St. Lucie) 3 | Legacy (Port St. Lucie) 5.2% / Heritage (Palm Bay) 94.8% |
| Leon (Tallahassee) vs. Arnold (Panama City Beach) | Leon (Tallahassee) 22, Arnold (Panama City Beach) 21 | Leon (Tallahassee) 51.3% / Arnold (Panama City Beach) 48.7% |
| Miami Northwestern vs. (1A) Hawthorne | Miami Northwestern 37, Hawthorne 33 | Miami Northwestern 65.2% / Hawthorne 34.8% |
| Middleton (Tampa) vs. Freedom (Tampa) | Freedom (Tampa) 12, Middleton (Tampa) 11 | Middleton (Tampa) 46.0% / Freedom (Tampa) 54.0% |
| Milton vs. Fort Walton Beach | Milton 23, Fort Walton Beach 14 | Milton 80.6% / Fort Walton Beach 19.4% |
| Miramar vs. Miami Norland | Miami Norland 27, Miramar 16 | Miramar 15.6% / Miami Norland 84.4% |
| Mosley (Lynn Haven) vs. Chiles (Tallahassee) | Mosley (Lynn Haven) 44, Chiles (Tallahassee) 20 | Mosley (Lynn Haven) 97.7% / Chiles (Tallahassee) 2.3% |
| Mount Dora vs. Lake Weir (Ocala) | Mount Dora 22, Lake Weir (Ocala) 21 | Mount Dora 54.1% / Lake Weir (Ocala) 45.9% |
| Naples vs. Aubrey Rogers (Naples) | Naples 36, Aubrey Rogers (Naples) 17 | Naples 95.0% / Aubrey Rogers (Naples) 5.0% |
| New Smyrna Beach vs. Winter Springs | New Smyrna Beach 46, Winter Springs 7 | New Smyrna Beach 99.8% / Winter Springs 0.2% |
| Northeast (St. Petersburg) vs. Hollins (St. Petersburg) | Northeast (St. Petersburg) 32, Hollins (St. Petersburg) 0 | Northeast (St. Petersburg) 99.5% / Hollins (St. Petersburg) 0.5% |
| Orange Park vs. Clay (Green Cove Springs) | Clay (Green Cove Springs) 23, Orange Park 14 | Orange Park 21.4% / Clay (Green Cove Springs) 78.6% |
| Pinellas Park (Largo) vs. Osceola (Seminole) | Pinellas Park (Largo) 26, Osceola (Seminole) 5 | Pinellas Park (Largo) 96.2% / Osceola (Seminole) 3.8% |
| Rickards (Tallahassee) vs. Lincoln (Tallahassee) | Lincoln (Tallahassee) 28, Rickards (Tallahassee) 16 | Rickards (Tallahassee) 14.2% / Lincoln (Tallahassee) 85.8% |
| Ridgeview (Orange Park) vs. Fleming Island | Fleming Island 36, Ridgeview (Orange Park) 3 | Ridgeview (Orange Park) 0.7% / Fleming Island 99.3% |
| River Ridge (New Port Richey) vs. Fivay (Hudson) | River Ridge (New Port Richey) 32, Fivay (Hudson) 13 | River Ridge (New Port Richey) 94.6% / Fivay (Hudson) 5.4% |
| Sebastian River (Sebastian) vs. Jensen Beach | Jensen Beach 40, Sebastian River (Sebastian) 0 | Sebastian River (Sebastian) 0.1% / Jensen Beach 99.9% |
| (6A) South Plantation vs. Plantation | Plantation 38, South Plantation 3 | South Plantation 0.5% / Plantation 99.5% |
| St. Augustine vs. Middleburg | St. Augustine 50, Middleburg 22 | St. Augustine 98.7% / Middleburg 1.3% |
| Zephyrhills vs. Springstead (Spring Hill) | Zephyrhills 36, Springstead (Spring Hill) 12 | Zephyrhills 97.7% / Springstead (Spring Hill) 2.3% |
Class 3A
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Astronaut (Titusville) vs. Merritt Island | Merritt Island 41, Astronaut (Titusville) 15 | Astronaut (Titusville) 1.8% / Merritt Island 98.2% |
| Citrus (Inverness) vs. Weeki Wachee | Weeki Wachee 16, Citrus (Inverness) 8 | Citrus (Inverness) 21.3% / Weeki Wachee 78.7% |
| (5A) Coconut Creek vs. Cardinal Gibbons (Fort Lauderdale) | Cardinal Gibbons (Fort Lauderdale) 32, Coconut Creek 31 | Coconut Creek 45.6% / Cardinal Gibbons (Fort Lauderdale) 54.4% |
| Crystal River vs. Nature Coast (Brooksville) | Nature Coast (Brooksville) 40, Crystal River 0 | Crystal River 0.2% / Nature Coast (Brooksville) 99.8% |
| Cypress Lake (Fort Myers) vs. Mulberry | Cypress Lake (Fort Myers) 16, Mulberry 15 | Cypress Lake (Fort Myers) 54.6% / Mulberry 45.4% |
| Dunedin vs. Countryside (Clearwater) | Countryside (Clearwater) 18, Dunedin 15 | Dunedin 39.8% / Countryside (Clearwater) 60.2% |
| (6A) East Ridge (Clermont) vs. South Sumter (Bushnell) | South Sumter (Bushnell) 33, East Ridge (Clermont) 32 | East Ridge (Clermont) 46.8% / South Sumter (Bushnell) 53.2% |
| Eastside (Gainesville) vs. Belleview | Eastside (Gainesville) 26, Belleview 20 | Eastside (Gainesville) 72.0% / Belleview 28.0% |
| Eau Gallie (Melbourne) vs. Rockledge | Eau Gallie (Melbourne) 38, Rockledge 4 | Eau Gallie (Melbourne) 99.4% / Rockledge 0.6% |
| Gibbs (St. Petersburg) vs. Tarpon Springs | Tarpon Springs 24, Gibbs (St. Petersburg) 13 | Gibbs (St. Petersburg) 17.0% / Tarpon Springs 83.0% |
| Godby (Tallahassee) vs. (OOS) Camden County (GA) | Godby (Tallahassee) 41, Camden County (GA) 23 | Godby (Tallahassee) 93.7% / Camden County (GA) 6.3% |
| Hernando (Brooksville) vs. Central (Brooksville) | Hernando (Brooksville) 21, Central (Brooksville) 6 | Hernando (Brooksville) 91.1% / Central (Brooksville) 8.9% |
| Jefferson (Tampa) vs. Chamberlain (Tampa) | Jefferson (Tampa) 31, Chamberlain (Tampa) 19 | Jefferson (Tampa) 85.5% / Chamberlain (Tampa) 14.5% |
| Miami Central vs. (OOS) Buford (GA) | Buford (GA) 49, Miami Central 36 | Miami Central 11.4% / Buford (GA) 88.6% |
| Miami Jackson vs. North Miami Beach | North Miami Beach 32, Miami Jackson 0 | Miami Jackson 0.4% / North Miami Beach 99.6% |
| Miami Springs vs. St. Brendan (Miami) | Miami Springs 32, St. Brendan (Miami) 2 | Miami Springs 99.1% / St. Brendan (Miami) 0.9% |
| North Marion (Citra) vs. Dunnellon | Dunnellon 43, North Marion (Citra) 0 | North Marion (Citra) 0.1% / Dunnellon 99.9% |
| Palatka vs. Suwannee (Live Oak) | Palatka 25, Suwannee (Live Oak) 19 | Palatka 72.2% / Suwannee (Live Oak) 27.8% |
| Palm Bay (Melbourne) vs. Titusville | Titusville 38, Palm Bay (Melbourne) 4 | Palm Bay (Melbourne) 0.5% / Titusville 99.5% |
| Pensacola vs. South Walton (Santa Rosa Beach) | South Walton (Santa Rosa Beach) 35, Pensacola 9 | Pensacola 1.9% / South Walton (Santa Rosa Beach) 98.1% |
| Raines (Jacksonville) vs. Terry Parker (Jacksonville) | Raines (Jacksonville) 71, Terry Parker (Jacksonville) 0 | Raines (Jacksonville) 100.0% / Terry Parker (Jacksonville) 0.0% |
| Robinson (Tampa) vs. Morgan (Wimauma) | Robinson (Tampa) 21, Morgan (Wimauma) 16 | Robinson (Tampa) 68.7% / Morgan (Wimauma) 31.3% |
| (5A) Royal Palm Beach vs. Glades Central (Belle Glade) | Glades Central (Belle Glade) 32, Royal Palm Beach 30 | Royal Palm Beach 40.5% / Glades Central (Belle Glade) 59.5% |
| Seminole (Seminole) vs. Anclote (Holiday) | Seminole (Seminole) 16, Anclote (Holiday) 5 | Seminole (Seminole) 83.4% / Anclote (Holiday) 16.6% |
| Southeast (Bradenton) vs. Bayshore (Bradenton) | Bayshore (Bradenton) 32, Southeast (Bradenton) 15 | Southeast (Bradenton) 7.2% / Bayshore (Bradenton) 92.8% |
| Tenoroc (Lakeland) vs. (1A) Fort Meade | Tenoroc (Lakeland) 25, Fort Meade 12 | Tenoroc (Lakeland) 87.9% / Fort Meade 12.1% |
| The Villages vs. (1A) Zephyrhills Christian | The Villages 46, Zephyrhills Christian 11 | The Villages 99.5% / Zephyrhills Christian 0.5% |
| Wellen Park (North Port) vs. Cardinal Mooney (Sarasota) | Cardinal Mooney (Sarasota) 58, Wellen Park (North Port) 7 | Wellen Park (North Port) 0.0% / Cardinal Mooney (Sarasota) 100.0% |
| West Florida (Pensacola) vs. Bay (Panama City) | Bay (Panama City) 41, West Florida (Pensacola) 17 | West Florida (Pensacola) 2.6% / Bay (Panama City) 97.4% |
| (OOS) Williamson (AL) vs. Pine Forest (Pensacola) | Williamson (AL) 49, Pine Forest (Pensacola) 16 | Williamson (AL) 99.4% / Pine Forest (Pensacola) 0.6% |
| (1A) Williston vs. Bishop Verot (Fort Myers) | Bishop Verot (Fort Myers) 29, Williston 25 | Williston 36.4% / Bishop Verot (Fort Myers) 63.6% |
| Wolfson (Jacksonville) vs. (2A) KIPP Bold City (Jacksonville) | Wolfson (Jacksonville) 26, KIPP Bold City (Jacksonville) 0 | Wolfson (Jacksonville) 98.7% / KIPP Bold City (Jacksonville) 1.3% |
Class 2A
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| (3A) Bishop Kenny (Jacksonville) vs. Bolles (Jacksonville) | Bolles (Jacksonville) 45, Bishop Kenny (Jacksonville) 28 | Bishop Kenny (Jacksonville) 6.4% / Bolles (Jacksonville) 93.6% |
| Boca Ciega (Gulfport) vs. Lakewood (St. Petersburg) | Lakewood (St. Petersburg) 30, Boca Ciega (Gulfport) 26 | Boca Ciega (Gulfport) 35.8% / Lakewood (St. Petersburg) 64.2% |
| Calvary Christian (Clearwater) vs. Clearwater Central Catholic | Clearwater Central Catholic 44, Calvary Christian (Clearwater) 32 | Calvary Christian (Clearwater) 13.1% / Clearwater Central Catholic 86.9% |
| Florida High (Tallahassee) vs. Rutherford (Panama City) | Florida High (Tallahassee) 39, Rutherford (Panama City) 14 | Florida High (Tallahassee) 97.7% / Rutherford (Panama City) 2.3% |
| (OOS) G.W. Carver Collegiate (LA) vs. Pensacola Catholic | Pensacola Catholic 41, G.W. Carver Collegiate (LA) 18 | G.W. Carver Collegiate (LA) 2.8% / Pensacola Catholic 97.2% |
| Gadsden County (Havana) vs. North Bay Haven (Panama City) | Gadsden County (Havana) 35, North Bay Haven (Panama City) 3 | Gadsden County (Havana) 99.2% / North Bay Haven (Panama City) 0.8% |
| Gulliver Prep (Pinecrest) vs. Immaculata-La Salle (Miami) | Immaculata-La Salle (Miami) 47, Gulliver Prep (Pinecrest) 11 | Gulliver Prep (Pinecrest) 0.4% / Immaculata-La Salle (Miami) 99.6% |
| (IND B) Halifax Academy (Daytona Beach) vs. Newberry | Newberry 40, Halifax Academy (Daytona Beach) 0 | Halifax Academy (Daytona Beach) 0.0% / Newberry 100.0% |
| Miami Edison vs. Booker T. Washington (Miami) | Miami Edison 19, Booker T. Washington (Miami) 14 | Miami Edison 69.3% / Booker T. Washington (Miami) 30.7% |
| Miami Killian vs. (4A) North Miami | Miami Killian 36, North Miami 14 | Miami Killian 96.4% / North Miami 3.6% |
| (1A) North Florida Christian (Tallahassee) vs. Freeport | Freeport 36, North Florida Christian (Tallahassee) 24 | North Florida Christian (Tallahassee) 14.6% / Freeport 85.4% |
| (6A) Southwest Miami vs. Somerset Charter (Silver Palms) | Somerset Charter (Silver Palms) 21, Southwest Miami 10 | Southwest Miami 16.6% / Somerset Charter (Silver Palms) 83.4% |
| Tampa Catholic vs. Berkeley Prep (Tampa) | Berkeley Prep (Tampa) 24, Tampa Catholic 21 | Tampa Catholic 39.8% / Berkeley Prep (Tampa) 60.2% |
| The First Academy (Orlando) vs. (5A) South Lake (Groveland) | The First Academy (Orlando) 46, South Lake (Groveland) 14 | The First Academy (Orlando) 99.2% / South Lake (Groveland) 0.8% |
| Trinity Catholic (Ocala) vs. Bradford (Starke) | Bradford (Starke) 40, Trinity Catholic (Ocala) 12 | Trinity Catholic (Ocala) 1.3% / Bradford (Starke) 98.7% |
| (1A) True North (Miami) vs. Chaminade-Madonna (Hollywood) | Chaminade-Madonna (Hollywood) 53, True North (Miami) 20 | True North (Miami) 0.7% / Chaminade-Madonna (Hollywood) 99.3% |
Class 1A
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| (4A) American (Hialeah) vs. Archbishop Carroll (Miami) | Archbishop Carroll (Miami) 30, American (Hialeah) 16 | American (Hialeah) 11.3% / Archbishop Carroll (Miami) 88.7% |
| Blountstown vs. Baker | Blountstown 39, Baker 32 | Blountstown 76.0% / Baker 24.0% |
| Carrollwood Day (Tampa) vs. (6A) Steinbrenner (Lutz) | Carrollwood Day (Tampa) 53, Steinbrenner (Lutz) 21 | Carrollwood Day (Tampa) 99.3% / Steinbrenner (Lutz) 0.7% |
| Fort White vs. (SSAA Atlantic) Union County (Lake Butler) | Fort White 30, Union County (Lake Butler) 20 | Fort White 82.2% / Union County (Lake Butler) 17.8% |
| (IND B) Graceville vs. Holmes County (Bonifay) | Holmes County (Bonifay) 49, Graceville 0 | Graceville 0.0% / Holmes County (Bonifay) 100.0% |
| Impact Christian (Jacksonville) vs. (2A) Baldwin | Impact Christian (Jacksonville) 36, Baldwin 20 | Impact Christian (Jacksonville) 92.4% / Baldwin 7.6% |
| (SSAA Atlantic) Lafayette (Mayo) vs. Chiefland | Chiefland 33, Lafayette (Mayo) 23 | Lafayette (Mayo) 16.9% / Chiefland 83.1% |
| Marianna vs. FAMU DRS (Tallahassee) | Marianna 22, FAMU DRS (Tallahassee) 5 | Marianna 93.0% / FAMU DRS (Tallahassee) 7.0% |
| Moore Haven vs. Victory Christian (Lakeland) | Victory Christian (Lakeland) 26, Moore Haven 16 | Moore Haven 17.6% / Victory Christian (Lakeland) 82.4% |
| Port St. Joe vs. Northview (Century) | Northview (Century) 38, Port St. Joe 16 | Port St. Joe 3.5% / Northview (Century) 96.5% |
| (2A) Saint Andrew’s (Boca Raton) vs. Lakeland Christian | Lakeland Christian 45, Saint Andrew’s (Boca Raton) 36 | Saint Andrew’s (Boca Raton) 20.3% / Lakeland Christian 79.7% |
| (SSAA Atlantic) Somerset Canyons (Boynton Beach) vs. Northside Christian (St. Petersburg) | Northside Christian (St. Petersburg) 20, Somerset Canyons (Boynton Beach) 18 | Somerset Canyons (Boynton Beach) 41.6% / Northside Christian (St. Petersburg) 58.4% |
| Somerset Prep (North Lauderdale) vs. John Carroll (Fort Pierce) | John Carroll (Fort Pierce) 43, Somerset Prep (North Lauderdale) 0 | Somerset Prep (North Lauderdale) 0.1% / John Carroll (Fort Pierce) 99.9% |
| St. John Neumann (Naples) vs. (SSAA Atlantic) Lemon Bay (Englewood) | St. John Neumann (Naples) 35, Lemon Bay (Englewood) 29 | St. John Neumann (Naples) 74.3% / Lemon Bay (Englewood) 25.7% |
| St. Petersburg Catholic vs. (Ind.) NextGen Prep (Pompano Beach) | St. Petersburg Catholic 40, NextGen Prep (Pompano Beach) 15 | St. Petersburg Catholic 97.8% / NextGen Prep (Pompano Beach) 2.2% |
| Taylor County (Perry) vs. (2A) Walton (DeFuniak Springs) | Taylor County (Perry) 32, Walton (DeFuniak Springs) 27 | Taylor County (Perry) 68.0% / Walton (DeFuniak Springs) 32.0% |
| University Christian (Jacksonville) vs. Madison County (Madison) | University Christian (Jacksonville) 32, Madison County (Madison) 30 | University Christian (Jacksonville) 54.5% / Madison County (Madison) 45.5% |
SSAA 11-Man
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Aucilla Christian (Monticello) vs. Rocky Bayou Christian (Niceville) | Aucilla Christian (Monticello) 39, Rocky Bayou Christian (Niceville) 6 | Aucilla Christian (Monticello) 99.3% / Rocky Bayou Christian (Niceville) 0.7% |
| (IND B) Babcock (Babcock Ranch) vs. Saint Stephens Episcopal (Bradenton) | Saint Stephens Episcopal (Bradenton) 30, Babcock (Babcock Ranch) 0 | Babcock (Babcock Ranch) 0.7% / Saint Stephens Episcopal (Bradenton) 99.3% |
| Boca Raton Christian vs. (Ind.) Parkridge Christian (Coral Springs) | Boca Raton Christian 34, Parkridge Christian (Coral Springs) 17 | Boca Raton Christian 92.6% / Parkridge Christian (Coral Springs) 7.4% |
| (OOS) Brookwood School (GA) vs. Bishop Snyder (Jacksonville) | Brookwood School (GA) 25, Bishop Snyder (Jacksonville) 12 | Brookwood School (GA) 86.7% / Bishop Snyder (Jacksonville) 13.3% |
| Cambridge Christian (Tampa) vs. Sarasota Christian | Sarasota Christian 32, Cambridge Christian (Tampa) 22 | Cambridge Christian (Tampa) 17.8% / Sarasota Christian 82.2% |
| (1A) Chipley vs. Maclay (Tallahassee) | Maclay (Tallahassee) 36, Chipley 26 | Chipley 17.7% / Maclay (Tallahassee) 82.3% |
| Christ’s Church Academy (Jacksonville) vs. Duval Charter (Jacksonville) | Christ’s Church Academy (Jacksonville) 44, Duval Charter (Jacksonville) 13 | Christ’s Church Academy (Jacksonville) 99.2% / Duval Charter (Jacksonville) 0.8% |
| Cornerstone Classical (Jacksonville) vs. Seven Rivers Christian (Lecanto) | Seven Rivers Christian (Lecanto) 26, Cornerstone Classical (Jacksonville) 17 | Cornerstone Classical (Jacksonville) 20.7% / Seven Rivers Christian (Lecanto) 79.3% |
| First Coast Christian (Jacksonville) vs. Eagle’s View (Jacksonville) | Eagle’s View (Jacksonville) 14, First Coast Christian (Jacksonville) 12 | First Coast Christian (Jacksonville) 40.3% / Eagle’s View (Jacksonville) 59.7% |
| Glades Day (Belle Glade) vs. Jupiter Christian | Jupiter Christian 38, Glades Day (Belle Glade) 11 | Glades Day (Belle Glade) 1.7% / Jupiter Christian 98.3% |
| Keswick Christian (St. Petersburg) vs. Indian Rocks Christian (Largo) | Keswick Christian (St. Petersburg) 43, Indian Rocks Christian (Largo) 2 | Keswick Christian (St. Petersburg) 99.9% / Indian Rocks Christian (Largo) 0.1% |
| Oxbridge Academy (West Palm Beach) vs. (IND A) Suncoast (Riviera Beach) | Oxbridge Academy (West Palm Beach) 24, Suncoast (Riviera Beach) 2 | Oxbridge Academy (West Palm Beach) 97.0% / Suncoast (Riviera Beach) 3.0% |
| (Ind.) Palm Beach Christian Prep (Greenacres) vs. Tradition Prep (Port St. Lucie) | Tradition Prep (Port St. Lucie) 10, Palm Beach Christian Prep (Greenacres) 0 | Palm Beach Christian Prep (Greenacres) 11.2% / Tradition Prep (Port St. Lucie) 88.8% |
| St. Edward’s (Vero Beach) vs. (SSAA Atlantic) Okeechobee | St. Edward’s (Vero Beach) 25, Okeechobee 14 | St. Edward’s (Vero Beach) 85.0% / Okeechobee 15.0% |
| St. Joseph (St. Augustine) vs. Old Plank Christian (Jacksonville) | St. Joseph (St. Augustine) 34, Old Plank Christian (Jacksonville) 31 | St. Joseph (St. Augustine) 62.5% / Old Plank Christian (Jacksonville) 37.5% |
| (IND A) Stoneman Douglas (Parkland) vs. NSU University School (Fort Lauderdale) | NSU University School (Fort Lauderdale) 37, Stoneman Douglas (Parkland) 10 | Stoneman Douglas (Parkland) 1.6% / NSU University School (Fort Lauderdale) 98.4% |
| (3A) Westside (Jacksonville) vs. Episcopal (Jacksonville) | Episcopal (Jacksonville) 52, Westside (Jacksonville) 0 | Westside (Jacksonville) 0.0% / Episcopal (Jacksonville) 100.0% |
SSAA Atlantic
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Bell vs. (SSAA 11-Man) Harvest Community (Jacksonville) | Bell 38, Harvest Community (Jacksonville) 6 | Bell 99.3% / Harvest Community (Jacksonville) 0.7% |
| Bronson vs. Interlachen | Interlachen 27, Bronson 9 | Bronson 6.0% / Interlachen 94.0% |
| Calvary Christian (Fort Lauderdale) vs. Clewiston | Calvary Christian (Fort Lauderdale) 36, Clewiston 6 | Calvary Christian (Fort Lauderdale) 99.0% / Clewiston 1.0% |
| Cocoa Beach vs. (IND B) Inlet Grove (Riviera Beach) | Cocoa Beach 36, Inlet Grove (Riviera Beach) 10 | Cocoa Beach 98.0% / Inlet Grove (Riviera Beach) 2.0% |
| Coral Shores (Tavernier) vs. (IND B) Marco Island Academy | Coral Shores (Tavernier) 22, Marco Island Academy 10 | Coral Shores (Tavernier) 87.5% / Marco Island Academy 12.5% |
| Cottondale vs. Vernon | Cottondale 50, Vernon 0 | Cottondale 100.0% / Vernon 0.0% |
| Franklin County (Eastpoint) vs. Liberty County (Bristol) | Franklin County (Eastpoint) 38, Liberty County (Bristol) 36 | Franklin County (Eastpoint) 57.6% / Liberty County (Bristol) 42.4% |
| Frostproof vs. Avon Park | Frostproof 39, Avon Park 17 | Frostproof 96.5% / Avon Park 3.5% |
| Hardee (Wauchula) vs. Lake Placid | Hardee (Wauchula) 35, Lake Placid 19 | Hardee (Wauchula) 92.1% / Lake Placid 7.9% |
| (3A) Key West vs. American Heritage (Delray Beach) | American Heritage (Delray Beach) 41, Key West 26 | Key West 9.0% / American Heritage (Delray Beach) 91.0% |
| King’s Academy (West Palm Beach) vs. (Ind.) Miami Beach | King’s Academy (West Palm Beach) 30, Miami Beach 14 | King’s Academy (West Palm Beach) 92.1% / Miami Beach 7.9% |
| (OOS) Pataula Charter (GA) vs. Sneads | Pataula Charter (GA) 27, Sneads 18 | Pataula Charter (GA) 81.4% / Sneads 18.6% |
| (IND A) Pine Ridge (Deltona) vs. Satellite (Satellite Beach) | Satellite (Satellite Beach) 46, Pine Ridge (Deltona) 0 | Pine Ridge (Deltona) 0.1% / Satellite (Satellite Beach) 99.9% |
| Space Coast (Cocoa) vs. (3A) Discovery (Lake Alfred) | Space Coast (Cocoa) 52, Discovery (Lake Alfred) 0 | Space Coast (Cocoa) 100.0% / Discovery (Lake Alfred) 0.0% |
| Stanton (Jacksonville) vs. Paxon (Jacksonville) | Paxon (Jacksonville) 35, Stanton (Jacksonville) 23 | Stanton (Jacksonville) 13.5% / Paxon (Jacksonville) 86.5% |
| (Ind.) Taylor (Pierson) vs. Crescent City | Crescent City 18, Taylor (Pierson) 4 | Taylor (Pierson) 10.7% / Crescent City 89.3% |
| West Nassau (Callahan) vs. Bayside (Palm Bay) | West Nassau (Callahan) 41, Bayside (Palm Bay) 10 | West Nassau (Callahan) 99.2% / Bayside (Palm Bay) 0.8% |
| (Ind.) Zarephath Academy (Jacksonville) vs. Dixie County (Cross City) | Dixie County (Cross City) 25, Zarephath Academy (Jacksonville) 3 | Zarephath Academy (Jacksonville) 3.2% / Dixie County (Cross City) 96.8% |
SSAA 8-Man
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Countryside Christian (Gainesville) vs. First Academy-Leesburg | Countryside Christian (Gainesville) 33, First Academy-Leesburg 28 | Countryside Christian (Gainesville) 67.3% / First Academy-Leesburg 32.7% |
| Donahue Academy (Ave Maria) vs. Bradenton Christian | Bradenton Christian 41, Donahue Academy (Ave Maria) 22 | Donahue Academy (Ave Maria) 5.0% / Bradenton Christian 95.0% |
| Florida Deaf and Blind (St. Augustine) vs. City of Life Christian (Kissimmee) | Florida Deaf and Blind (St. Augustine) 46, City of Life Christian (Kissimmee) 6 | Florida Deaf and Blind (St. Augustine) 99.8% / City of Life Christian (Kissimmee) 0.2% |
| Foundation Christian (Valrico) vs. Geneva Classical (Lakeland) | Foundation Christian (Valrico) 45, Geneva Classical (Lakeland) 11 | Foundation Christian (Valrico) 99.4% / Geneva Classical (Lakeland) 0.6% |
| Hernando Christian (Brooksville) vs. Ocala Christian | Ocala Christian 36, Hernando Christian (Brooksville) 35 | Hernando Christian (Brooksville) 48.9% / Ocala Christian 51.1% |
| Lake Mary Prep vs. Calvary Chapel (West Melbourne) | Calvary Chapel (West Melbourne) 28, Lake Mary Prep 24 | Lake Mary Prep 35.5% / Calvary Chapel (West Melbourne) 64.5% |
| Riverview Academy vs. Bell Creek (Riverview) | Bell Creek (Riverview) 18, Riverview Academy 3 | Riverview Academy 8.5% / Bell Creek (Riverview) 91.5% |
| Saint Francis Catholic (Gainesville) vs. Cornerstone Academy (Gainesville) | Saint Francis Catholic (Gainesville) 32, Cornerstone Academy (Gainesville) 0 | Saint Francis Catholic (Gainesville) 99.5% / Cornerstone Academy (Gainesville) 0.5% |
| Shorecrest Prep (St. Petersburg) vs. Classical Academy (Sarasota) | Shorecrest Prep (St. Petersburg) 48, Classical Academy (Sarasota) 6 | Shorecrest Prep (St. Petersburg) 99.8% / Classical Academy (Sarasota) 0.2% |
FHSAA Independent League A
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| (5A) Boyd Anderson (Lauderdale Lakes) vs. Cooper City | Cooper City 31, Boyd Anderson (Lauderdale Lakes) 11 | Boyd Anderson (Lauderdale Lakes) 4.3% / Cooper City 95.7% |
| Colonial (Orlando) vs. Oak Ridge (Orlando) | Oak Ridge (Orlando) 21, Colonial (Orlando) 10 | Colonial (Orlando) 15.4% / Oak Ridge (Orlando) 84.6% |
| (SSAA Atlantic) DeSoto County (Arcadia) vs. Bonita Springs | Bonita Springs 7, DeSoto County (Arcadia) 5 | DeSoto County (Arcadia) 45.0% / Bonita Springs 55.0% |
| Forest Hill (West Palm Beach) vs. Fort Lauderdale | Fort Lauderdale 24, Forest Hill (West Palm Beach) 11 | Forest Hill (West Palm Beach) 13.0% / Fort Lauderdale 87.0% |
| Hallandale vs. Coral Springs | Hallandale 29, Coral Springs 0 | Hallandale 99.3% / Coral Springs 0.7% |
| Ida Baker (Cape Coral) vs. Gateway (Fort Myers) | Gateway (Fort Myers) 22, Ida Baker (Cape Coral) 19 | Ida Baker (Cape Coral) 40.6% / Gateway (Fort Myers) 59.4% |
| John I. Leonard (Greenacres) vs. Pompano Beach | John I. Leonard (Greenacres) 14, Pompano Beach 10 | John I. Leonard (Greenacres) 64.8% / Pompano Beach 35.2% |
| Lake Buena Vista (Orlando) vs. Innovation (Orlando) | Innovation (Orlando) 49, Lake Buena Vista (Orlando) 0 | Lake Buena Vista (Orlando) 0.0% / Innovation (Orlando) 100.0% |
| Palmetto Ridge (Naples) vs. Oasis (Cape Coral) | Oasis (Cape Coral) 27, Palmetto Ridge (Naples) 0 | Palmetto Ridge (Naples) 0.5% / Oasis (Cape Coral) 99.5% |
| Somerset Academy (Pembroke Pines) vs. Belen Jesuit (Miami) | Belen Jesuit (Miami) 22, Somerset Academy (Pembroke Pines) 15 | Somerset Academy (Pembroke Pines) 25.9% / Belen Jesuit (Miami) 74.1% |
| (3A) Stranahan (Fort Lauderdale) vs. South Broward (Hollywood) | South Broward (Hollywood) 25, Stranahan (Fort Lauderdale) 5 | Stranahan (Fort Lauderdale) 4.9% / South Broward (Hollywood) 95.1% |
| Taravella (Coral Springs) vs. Pembroke Pines Charter | Pembroke Pines Charter 24, Taravella (Coral Springs) 6 | Taravella (Coral Springs) 5.7% / Pembroke Pines Charter 94.3% |
| Umatilla vs. (SSAA Atlantic) Trenton | Umatilla 33, Trenton 29 | Umatilla 65.7% / Trenton 34.3% |
| University (Orlando) vs. (3A) Liberty (Kissimmee) | University (Orlando) 25, Liberty (Kissimmee) 0 | University (Orlando) 98.5% / Liberty (Kissimmee) 1.5% |
| (5A) Wekiva (Apopka) vs. Windermere | Windermere 43, Wekiva (Apopka) 14 | Wekiva (Apopka) 1.2% / Windermere 98.8% |
FHSAA Independent League B
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| All Saints (Winter Haven) vs. Geneva (Casselberry) | Geneva (Casselberry) 34, All Saints (Winter Haven) 15 | All Saints (Winter Haven) 5.2% / Geneva (Casselberry) 94.8% |
| Bishop McLaughlin (Spring Hill) vs. (1A) McLaughlin (Lake Wales) | Bishop McLaughlin (Spring Hill) 27, McLaughlin (Lake Wales) 0 | Bishop McLaughlin (Spring Hill) 98.6% / McLaughlin (Lake Wales) 1.4% |
| Central Florida Christian (Orlando) vs. Foundation Academy (Winter Garden) | Foundation Academy (Winter Garden) 36, Central Florida Christian (Orlando) 28 | Central Florida Christian (Orlando) 20.6% / Foundation Academy (Winter Garden) 79.4% |
| Evangelical Christian (Fort Myers) vs. Marathon | Evangelical Christian (Fort Myers) 24, Marathon 2 | Evangelical Christian (Fort Myers) 96.9% / Marathon 3.1% |
| (Ind.) Faith Christian (Orlando) vs. Windermere Prep | Windermere Prep 24, Faith Christian (Orlando) 5 | Faith Christian (Orlando) 5.8% / Windermere Prep 94.2% |
| (1A) First Baptist (Naples) vs. Southwest Florida Christian (Fort Myers) | Southwest Florida Christian (Fort Myers) 21, First Baptist (Naples) 16 | First Baptist (Naples) 31.8% / Southwest Florida Christian (Fort Myers) 68.2% |
| Hamilton County (Jasper) vs. (Ind.) South Marion (Ocala) | Hamilton County (Jasper) 21, South Marion (Ocala) 11 | Hamilton County (Jasper) 80.7% / South Marion (Ocala) 19.3% |
| Lake Highland Prep (Orlando) vs. Mount Dora Christian | Mount Dora Christian 37, Lake Highland Prep (Orlando) 30 | Lake Highland Prep (Orlando) 24.6% / Mount Dora Christian 75.4% |
| (1A) North Florida Educational (Jacksonville) vs. Providence (Jacksonville) | Providence (Jacksonville) 25, North Florida Educational (Jacksonville) 24 | North Florida Educational (Jacksonville) 43.8% / Providence (Jacksonville) 56.2% |
| Oak Hall (Gainesville) vs. (SSAA Atlantic) Branford | Oak Hall (Gainesville) 33, Branford 31 | Oak Hall (Gainesville) 57.4% / Branford 42.6% |
| Orangewood Christian (Maitland) vs. (1A) Father Lopez (Daytona Beach) | Orangewood Christian (Maitland) 47, Father Lopez (Daytona Beach) 9 | Orangewood Christian (Maitland) 99.7% / Father Lopez (Daytona Beach) 0.3% |
| (1A) Palmer Trinity (Miami) vs. Santa Fe Catholic (Lakeland) | Santa Fe Catholic (Lakeland) 33, Palmer Trinity (Miami) 16 | Palmer Trinity (Miami) 6.7% / Santa Fe Catholic (Lakeland) 93.3% |
| (4A) Port St. Lucie vs. Holy Trinity (Melbourne) | Holy Trinity (Melbourne) 39, Port St. Lucie 0 | Port St. Lucie 0.1% / Holy Trinity (Melbourne) 99.9% |
| The Masters Academy (Oviedo) vs. Trinity Prep (Winter Park) | The Masters Academy (Oviedo) 39, Trinity Prep (Winter Park) 8 | The Masters Academy (Oviedo) 99.1% / Trinity Prep (Winter Park) 0.9% |
| (OOS) True Institute (GA) vs. Wewahitchka | Wewahitchka 23, True Institute (GA) 0 | True Institute (GA) 3.1% / Wewahitchka 96.9% |
Independents
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Braddock (Miami) vs. Coral Reef (Miami) | Coral Reef (Miami) 29, Braddock (Miami) 8 | Braddock (Miami) 4.0% / Coral Reef (Miami) 96.0% |
| Dr. Krop (Miami) vs. Hialeah Gardens | Hialeah Gardens 18, Dr. Krop (Miami) 5 | Dr. Krop (Miami) 11.4% / Hialeah Gardens 88.6% |
| (IND A) Freedom (Orlando) vs. Nova Lakes (St. Cloud) | Nova Lakes (St. Cloud) 18, Freedom (Orlando) 3 | Freedom (Orlando) 9.2% / Nova Lakes (St. Cloud) 90.8% |
| (SSAA 11-Man) Legacy Charter (Ocoee) vs. Cornerstone Charter (Belle Isle) | Cornerstone Charter (Belle Isle) 37, Legacy Charter (Ocoee) 0 | Legacy Charter (Ocoee) 0.0% / Cornerstone Charter (Belle Isle) 100.0% |
| Miami Sunset vs. Ferguson (Miami) | Ferguson (Miami) 33, Miami Sunset 2 | Miami Sunset 0.8% / Ferguson (Miami) 99.2% |
| Reagan (Doral) vs. Hialeah-Miami Lakes | Reagan (Doral) 33, Hialeah-Miami Lakes 0 | Reagan (Doral) 99.8% / Hialeah-Miami Lakes 0.2% |
| Varela (Miami) vs. South Miami | South Miami 19, Varela (Miami) 7 | Varela (Miami) 12.5% / South Miami 87.5% |
| Westland Hialeah vs. Miami Coral Park | Miami Coral Park 10, Westland Hialeah 2 | Westland Hialeah 20.7% / Miami Coral Park 79.3% |
| Young Kids In Motion (Jacksonville) vs. West Oaks Academy (Orlando) | West Oaks Academy (Orlando) 30, Young Kids In Motion (Jacksonville) 0 | Young Kids In Motion (Jacksonville) 1.0% / West Oaks Academy (Orlando) 99.0% |
![St. Thomas Aquinas remains No. 1 overall in the South Florida Power 25 rankings. [St. Thomas Aquinas Football/X]](https://i0.wp.com/floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/FPRI-South-Florida-Power-25-Week-of-Sep-6.jpg?fit=1920%2C1080&ssl=1)
![Merritt Island has rocketed up the rankings in the Space & Treasure Coast over the last few weeks. [Merritt Island Football/Instagram]](https://i0.wp.com/floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/FPRI-Space-Treasure-Coast-Power-10-Week-of-Sep-6.jpg?fit=1920%2C1080&ssl=1)
![Venice had a statement win over Lakeland in Week 3 to inch closer to the top of the Southwest Florida power rankings. [Venice Indians Athletics/Instagram]](https://i0.wp.com/floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/FPRI-Southwest-Florida-Power-10-Week-of-Sep-6.jpg?fit=1920%2C1080&ssl=1)
![Armwood is making the climb back up in the Tampa rankings after taking a short dip in Week 2 as they rebounded with a win in Week 3. [Joshua Wilson/FloridaHSFootball.com]](https://i0.wp.com/floridahsfootball.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/FPRI-Tampa-Bay-Power-25-Week-of-Sep-6.jpg?fit=1920%2C1080&ssl=1)
