I get it, but in that case how do we speak for the week 1 win vs Orlando power Dr Phillips. Laz index had Dr Phillips as 20 point favorites only for them to lose by 39. Dr Phillips has also went on to destroy every opponent they’ve faced after losing to us. If the win over 7A Dr Phillips was an “UPSET” that alone should have us top 5 In 4A , No??
and as @Perspective was saying if this numbers are being based off popularity or what did you do for me last year. Dillard went 8-2 in the regular season, went on the road in the first round vs undefeated John Carroll Catholic as 13 point underdogs and beat the breaks off them.
we traveled to AHP in the 2nd round as 28 point underdogs & was up 14-0 on American heritage at the half, the only opponent to hold the patriots scoreless in the first half, ALL OF LAST YEAR, we led the patriots 14-10 with 5 minutes left to go. Untilmatley losing 24-14. Where as norland in round 3 was blown out with their star Qb, heritage coaches even said Dillard was their toughest opponent in the playoffs. But yet NORLAND is still in the TOP 5 even tho they lost a lot & lost two games, one in blowout fashion this year, whereas Dillard Got even better. Like make it make sense.
Dr. D, I think this is a great explanation (defense?) for the computer-generated rankings. But it seems as though some subjectivity is involved for some of the rankings, or how else do you come up with pre-season rankings? Unless you're using a "how good were they last year" factor and then slowly devaluing that factor as the season progresses.
I don’t pretend to speak for Josh (or anyone else), but Josh’s FPRI ranking “applies a proprietary formula factoring in Opponent Strength Index (OSI), average margin of victory, and an overall performance rating to generate accurate, unbiased rankings”. Just as the LAZINDEX, Colley Method, MaxPreps, and the FHSAA Power Rankings place variables into a weighted formula to derive a numerical rating. Opinion-based factors, "the eye test”, and other subjective observations are not part of computer rankings. So, computer rankings are, in fact, blind (and some would argue, delusional). In Dillard’s case, don’t be surprised if they are not in the top 5 of 4A in the FHSAA rankings when they come out next week. Objectively, their marshmallow-soft schedule is hurting them in the computer rankings. The real issue is relying on MaxPreps' top-secret computer rankings to select and seed playoff teams, but everyone seems okay with that.