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By SoftballGuy · Posted
Also the other issue i have with the current formula comes from the fact that teams who start higher in the preseason have the higher floor and ceiling. Let's say one team went 10-1 last year and another went 5-6. Even if both teams finish with the same record and have similar sos, the team who went 10-1 the prior year would finish significantly higher because their formula weighs the previous season finish into the results -
By SoftballGuy · Posted
But the result of said seeding shows that the formula and whatever is used puts way too much weight on record. Like I agree a team shouldn't have sos weighted so high that a team goes up more for losing than winning. However under no realistic circumstances should between 2 undefeated teams the team with the LOWER SOS be rated higher -
Here are my Regional "In State" Schedule Strength rankings heading into the playoffs. It's always interesting to see if being "battle tested" has an impact on post season performance. CLASS 1A REGION 1 Schedule Region Rank Trinity Christian (Jacksonville) 1.4030 1 University Christian (Jacksonville) 1.3366 2 Providence (Jacksonville) 1.2640 3 Trinity Catholic (Ocala) 1.2615 4 Impact Christian (Jacksonville) 1.0636 5 North Florida Educational (Jacksonville) 1.0158 6 Maclay (Tallahassee) 1.0132 7 Episcopal (Jacksonville) 0.9972 8 CLASS 1A REGION 2 Schedule Region Rank Melbourne Central Catholic 1.4749 1 Clearwater Central Catholic 1.3666 2 Carrollwood Day (Tampa) 1.3025 3 Lakeland Christian 1.2371 4 Orlando Christian Prep 1.2326 5 Indian Rocks Christian (Largo) 1.1964 6 Victory Christian (Lakeland) 1.1861 7 Father Lopez (Daytona Beach) 0.8378 8 CLASS 1A REGION 3 Schedule Region Rank Cardinal Newman (West Palm Beach) 1.4814 1 Benjamin (Palm Beach Gardens) 1.4284 2 Community School (Naples) 1.2614 3 Evangelical Christian (Fort Myers) 1.1985 4 St. John Neumann (Naples) 1.1590 5 St. Petersburg Catholic 1.1391 6 Northside Christian (St. Petersburg) 1.1033 7 Southwest Florida Christian (Ft. Myers) 0.9463 8 CLASS 1A REGION 4 Schedule Region Rank Chaminade (Hollywood) 1.4746 1 Miami Edison 1.3848 2 True North (Miami) 1.3649 3 St. John Paul II (Boca Raton) 1.1860 4 St. Andrew's (Boca Raton) 1.1682 5 Archbishop Carroll (Miami) 0.9805 6 Westminster Christian (Miami) 0.9649 7 Palmer Trinity (Miami) 0.9114 8 CLASS 2A REGION 1 Schedule Region Rank Florida High "FSU" (Tallahassee) 1.4477 1 Bolles (Jacksonville) 1.4142 2 Pensacola Catholic 1.2362 3 Walton (DeFuniak Springs) 1.2285 4 South Walton (Santa Rosa Beach) 1.2214 5 Freeport 1.1521 6 Baldwin 1.1300 7 Bozeman (Panama City) 1.1196 8 CLASS 2A REGION 2 Schedule Region Rank Cocoa 1.4852 1 Berkeley Prep (Tampa) 1.4767 2 Calvary Christian (Clearwater) 1.4022 3 Newberry 1.3260 4 Bradford (Starke) 1.2726 5 The Villages 1.1704 6 Santa Fe (Alachua) 1.1148 7 Avon Park 0.9540 8 CLASS 2A REGION 3 Schedule Region Rank Bishop Verot (Fort Myers) 1.4888 1 Cardinal Mooney (Sarasota) 1.4064 2 Lakewood (St. Petersburg) 1.3377 3 Calvary Christian (Fort Lauderdale) 1.3051 4 King’s Academy (West Palm Beach) 1.3028 5 Somerset Canyons (Boynton Beach) 1.2969 6 Glades Central (Belle Glade) 1.1859 7 North Broward Prep (Coconut Creek) 1.1612 8 CLASS 2A REGION 4 Schedule Region Rank Monsignor Pace (Miami) 1.4025 1 Cardinal Gibbons (Fort Lauderdale) 1.3946 2 Miami Carol City 1.3045 3 Gulliver Prep (Pinecrest) 1.2881 4 Miami Killian 1.2817 5 Ransom Everglades (Miami) 1.1983 6 LaSalle (Miami) 1.1455 7 Somerset Silver Palms (Miami) 1.0553 8 CLASS 3A REGION 1 Schedule Region Rank Godby (Tallahassee) 1.3522 1 Raines (Jacksonville) 1.3336 2 Baker County (Glen St. Mary) 1.3074 3 Bishop Kenny (Jacksonville) 1.2735 4 West Florida (Pensacola) 1.2589 5 Wakulla (Crawfordville) 1.2126 6 Bay (Panama City) 1.2080 7 Yulee 1.1984 8 CLASS 3A REGION 2 Schedule Region Rank Merritt Island 1.4588 1 Eau Gallie (Melbourne) 1.4310 2 Titusville 1.3699 3 South Sumter (Bushnell) 1.3205 4 Bishop Moore (Orlando) 1.2872 5 Eastside (Gainesville) 1.2705 6 Tavares 1.2291 7 Hernando (Brooksville) 0.9789 8 CLASS 3A REGION 3 Schedule Region Rank Booker (Sarasota) 1.3869 1 Boca Ciega (Gulfport) 1.3221 2 Bayshore (Bradenton) 1.2851 3 Gibbs (St. Petersburg) 1.2322 4 Nature Coast Tech (Brooksville) 1.1202 5 Mulberry 1.1166 6 Chamberlain (Tampa) 1.0161 7 Jefferson (Tampa) 0.9897 8 CLASS 3A REGION 4 Schedule Region Rank Miami Northwestern 1.4206 1 Miami Central 1.3050 2 St. Brendan (Miami) 1.2979 3 Key West 1.2900 4 Somerset Academy (Pembroke Pines) 1.2683 5 Lely (Naples) 1.2568 6 Cypress Lake (Fort Myers) 1.1726 7 Estero 1.0804 8 CLASS 4A REGION 1 Schedule Region Rank Pine Forest (Pensacola) 1.4322 1 Rickards (Tallahassee) 1.4211 2 St. Augustine 1.3710 3 Arnold (Panama City Beach) 1.3707 4 Columbia (Lake City) 1.3473 5 Choctawhatchee (Fort Walton Beach) 1.2968 6 Washington (Pensacola) 1.2043 7 Ed White (Jacksonville) 1.2012 8 CLASS 4A REGION 2 Schedule Region Rank Rockledge 1.4616 1 Jones (Orlando) 1.4272 2 Lake Wales 1.4084 3 Auburndale 1.2924 4 Deltona 1.2756 5 New Smyrna Beach 1.2418 6 Vanguard (Ocala) 1.2414 7 Zephyrhills 1.2260 8 CLASS 4A REGION 3 Schedule Region Rank Clearwater 1.4086 1 Naples 1.3605 2 Port Charlotte 1.3454 3 South Fort Myers 1.2907 4 Jesuit (Tampa) 1.2208 5 Blake (Tampa) 1.2134 6 Dunbar (Fort Myers) 1.2026 7 Osceola (Seminole) 1.1014 8 CLASS 4A REGION 4 Schedule Region Rank American Heritage (Plantation) 1.6149 1 Miami Norland 1.5381 2 Archbishop McCarthy (Southwest Ranches) 1.4331 3 Plantation 1.3964 4 John Carroll (Fort Pierce) 1.1981 5 Jensen Beach 1.1824 6 Hialeah 1.1243 7 Dillard (Fort Lauderdale) 1.0880 8 CLASS 5A REGION 1 Schedule Region Rank Mainland (Daytona Beach) 1.3932 1 Lincoln (Tallahassee) 1.3919 2 Niceville 1.3778 3 Ponte Vedra 1.3688 4 Milton 1.3573 5 Beachside (St Johns) 1.3380 6 Mosley (Lynn Haven) 1.2503 7 Middleburg 1.1716 8 CLASS 5A REGION 2 Schedule Region Rank Sebring 1.5159 1 Lakeland 1.4139 2 Tampa Bay Tech 1.3167 3 Lake Gibson (Lakeland) 1.3138 4 Gaither (Tampa) 1.2999 5 Edgewater (Orlando) 1.2781 6 Wesley Chapel 1.2493 7 Winter Springs 1.1142 8 CLASS 5A REGION 3 Schedule Region Rank Manatee (Bradenton) 1.4441 1 Pinellas Park (Largo) 1.3001 2 North Fort Myers 1.2444 3 Gulf Coast (Naples) 1.1910 4 Riverdale (Fort Myers) 1.1814 5 Charlotte (Punta Gorda) 1.1199 6 Immokalee 1.0927 7 Cape Coral 1.0752 8 CLASS 5A REGION 4 Schedule Region Rank Heritage (Palm Bay) 1.3972 1 St. Thomas Aquinas (Fort Lauderdale) 1.3709 2 Atlantic (Delray Beach) 1.3569 3 Martin County (Stuart) 1.2473 4 Coconut Creek 1.2433 5 McArthur (Hollywood) 1.2218 6 Mater Academy (Hialeah Gardens) 1.1710 7 North Miami 1.1564 8 CLASS 6A REGION 1 Schedule Region Rank Buchholz (Gainesville) 1.4797 1 Nease (Ponte Vedra Beach) 1.4796 2 Mandarin (Jacksonville) 1.4693 3 Oakleaf (Orange Park) 1.4339 4 Crestview 1.4125 5 Pace 1.3604 6 Evans (Orlando) 1.3095 7 Oviedo 1.2011 8 CLASS 6A REGION 2 Schedule Region Rank Osceola (Kissimmee) 1.4298 1 Durant (Plant City) 1.3972 2 Plant (Tampa) 1.3593 3 Armwood (Seffner) 1.3336 4 Riverview (Riverview) 1.3232 5 Viera (Melbourne) 1.2724 6 South Lake (Groveland) 1.2379 7 Melbourne 1.1407 8 CLASS 6A REGION 3 Schedule Region Rank Wiregrass Ranch (Wesley Chapel) 1.3624 1 West Boca Raton 1.3261 2 Largo 1.3199 3 Palmetto 1.2923 4 East Lake (Tarpon Springs) 1.2607 5 Mitchell (New Port Richey) 1.2240 6 Lennard (Ruskin) 1.2122 7 Parrish Community 1.2110 8 CLASS 6A REGION 4 Schedule Region Rank Monarch (Coconut Creek) 1.3553 1 Miami Southridge 1.3055 2 West Broward (Pembroke Pines) 1.2752 3 Doral Academy (Miami) 1.2523 4 Piper (Sunrise) 1.2047 5 Flanagan (Pembroke Pines) 1.2024 6 South Plantation (Plantation) 1.1594 7 Nova (Davie) 1.1580 8 CLASS 7A REGION 1 Schedule Region Rank Lake Mary 1.5430 1 Creekside (St. Johns) 1.5061 2 Seminole (Sanford) 1.4543 3 Winter Park 1.3996 4 DeLand 1.3844 5 Spruce Creek (Port Orange) 1.3721 6 Hagerty (Oviedo) 1.3328 7 Boone (Orlando) 1.3051 8 CLASS 7A REGION 2 Schedule Region Rank Venice 1.5553 1 Sumner (Riverview) 1.4059 2 Ocoee 1.3592 3 Plant City 1.3291 4 Riverview (Sarasota) 1.3185 5 West Orange (Winter Garden) 1.2617 6 Ridge Community (Davenport) 1.2511 7 Winter Haven 1.2127 8 CLASS 7A REGION 3 Schedule Region Rank Vero Beach 1.3779 1 Palm Beach Central (Wellington) 1.3412 2 Dr. Phillips (Orlando) 1.2571 3 Lake Nona (Orlando) 1.2565 4 Fort Pierce Central 1.1942 5 East Ridge (Clermont) 1.1813 6 Jupiter 1.1758 7 St. Cloud 1.1755 8 CLASS 7A REGION 4 Schedule Region Rank Christopher Columbus (Miami) 1.4724 1 Western (Davie) 1.4250 2 Miami Palmetto 1.3256 3 South Dade (Homestead) 1.3118 4 Spanish River (Boca Raton) 1.2649 5 Goleman (Miami) 1.2534 6 Coral Gables 1.1103 7 Santaluces (Lantana) 1.0642 8 RURAL Schedule Region Rank Madison County (Madison) 1.4730 1 Pahokee 1.3126 2 Hawthorne 1.2642 3 Chiefland 1.1412 4 Fort Meade 1.1344 5 Lafayette (Mayo) 1.1091 6 Taylor County (Perry) 1.0983 7 Blountstown 1.0799 8 Trenton 1.0764 9 Williston 1.0605 10 Branford 1.0151 11 Chipley 0.9876 12 Liberty County (Bristol) 0.9778 13 Jay 0.9723 14 Sneads 0.9657 15 Baker 0.9167 16
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That would be the semifinals in this scenario?
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By nolebull813 · Posted
@LAZ picks Rural - Madison County 1A - Impact Christian 2A - Florida High 2A - Cocoa 2A - The Villages 3A - Jefferson 3A - South Sumter 3A - Key West 4A - White 4A - Naples 5A - Beachside 5A - McArthur 6A - Pace 6A - Lennard 6A - Monarch 6A - South Lake 7A - Jupiter 7A - Western 7A - Goleman 7A - Sumner
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