GAINESVILLE, Fla. – With seven weeks of the 2019 season already in the books, the FHSAA has released its first RPI rankings for football that will determine the playoff brackets coming up in just a few weeks.

As such this update provides the entire state a glimpse of what the potential playoff matchups could be looking like in early November, but remember things change, even with four weeks to go.

In Classes 5A-8A, district record was taken into consideration except on certain exceptions which are noted.

Advertisement

For Class 5A, you will find a breakdown of RPI rankings for each team in every region and a projected seeding (including tiebreakers) based upon the guidelines as published by the FHSAA (click here to view), as well as quick thoughts about each region.

NOTE: Teams in RED have clinched their district championship

REGION 1

School W/L RPI WP OWP OOWP
Wakulla 7-0 0.664 1.000 0.405 0.573
Westside 5-1 0.615 0.833 0.539 0.451
Godby 3-4 0.565 0.429 0.719 0.544
Pine Forest 3-2 0.561 0.600 0.573 0.502
Raines 3-2 0.547 0.600 0.480 0.563
Choctawhatchee 3-3 0.494 0.500 0.367 0.635
Ribault 2-3 0.488 0.400 0.507 0.570
Arnold 3-3 0.480 0.500 0.417 0.531
Suwannee 4-3 0.476 0.571 0.352 0.510
West Florida 1-5 0.473 0.167 0.833 0.411
Baker County 3-3 0.472 0.500 0.428 0.489
Yulee 3-4 0.455 0.429 0.457 0.485
Terry Parker 3-2 0.454 0.600 0.280 0.487
Ed White 3-3 0.424 0.500 0.275 0.509
Rickards 2-4 0.414 0.333 0.422 0.497
Paxon 2-4 0.389 0.333 0.361 0.487
Bishop Kenny 1-5 0.344 0.167 0.483 0.388
Pensacola 0-6 0.325 0.000 0.550 0.441
Stanton 0-5 0.310 0.000 0.493 0.459

PROJECTED SEEDS

District Champions

No. 1 Wakulla (5A-2)
No. 2 Westside (5A-3)
No. 3 Pine Forest (5A-1)
No. 4 Raines (5A-4)

Wildcards

No. 5 Godby
No. 6 Choctawhatchee
No. 7 Ribault
No. 8 Arnold

PROJECTED REGIONAL QUARTERFINAL PAIRINGS

No. 8 Arnold at No. 1 Wakulla
No. 5 Godby at No. 4 Raines
No. 6 Choctawhatchee at No. 3 Pine Forest
No. 7 Ribault at No. 2 Westside

QUICK THOUGHTS: This region is really interesting, to say the least, this year. Wakulla is the only undefeated team in the region. It is hard to really put a true pulse what the final regional playoff bracket might look like as a majority of these teams have been unpredictable this season. A lot to watch here.

REGION 2

School W/L RPI WP OWP OOWP GP
Jones 5-1 0.740 0.833 0.775 0.589 6
Citrus 7-0 0.657 1.000 0.419 0.536 7
Dunnellon 6-0 0.650 1.000 0.375 0.562 6
North Marion 5-1 0.592 0.833 0.383 0.555 6
Vanguard 3-2 0.577 0.600 0.627 0.494 5
Bishop Moore 4-3 0.575 0.571 0.605 0.544 7
Nature Coast 3-4 0.521 0.429 0.648 0.481 7
Orange Park 4-2 0.518 0.667 0.367 0.521 6
Menendez 3-2 0.515 0.600 0.400 0.551 5
Hernando 3-4 0.497 0.429 0.567 0.495 7
Tavares 3-3 0.493 0.500 0.467 0.516 6
Crystal River 2-5 0.476 0.286 0.652 0.491 7
Leesburg 2-4 0.448 0.333 0.533 0.484 6
Eastside 2-4 0.425 0.333 0.467 0.484 6
Central (Brooksville) 3-3 0.422 0.500 0.311 0.461 6
Mount Dora 2-4 0.416 0.333 0.472 0.447 6
Weeki Wachee 1-5 0.375 0.167 0.539 0.428 6
Eustis 1-5 0.357 0.167 0.467 0.450 6
Clay 0-6 0.348 0.000 0.600 0.461 6
Ridgeview 0-6 0.344 0.000 0.639 0.400 6
Lake Weir 1-5 0.327 0.167 0.383 0.448 6
Belleview 1-6 0.295 0.143 0.319 0.444 7

PROJECTED SEEDS

District Champions

No. 1 Jones (5A-7)
No. 2 Citrus (5A-8)
No. 3 Dunnellon (5A-6)
No. 4 Orange Park (5A-5)

Wildcards

No. 5 North Marion
No. 6 Vanguard
No. 7 Bishop Moore
No. 8 Nature Coast

PROJECTED REGIONAL QUARTERFINAL PAIRINGS

No. 8 Nature Coast at No. 1 Jones
No. 5 North Marion at No. 4 Orange Park
No. 6 Vanguard at No. 3 Dunnellon
No. 7 Bishop Moore at No. 2 Citrus

QUICK THOUGHTS: Some of the districts are not shaping out the way we thought they would this season and that has provided some interesting parings here in this first release of the RPI rankings. Jones is the best team in the region. Dunnellon could be a team that moves into the No. 2 seed at some point. Citrus is a nice surprise this year so far.

REGION 3

School W/L RPI WP OWP OOWP
Rockledge 5-1 0.747 0.833 0.758 0.634
Lake Wales 6-0 0.660 1.000 0.422 0.540
Eau Gallie 5-1 0.659 0.833 0.519 0.619
Atlantic (Port Orange) 5-1 0.627 0.833 0.442 0.602
Jesuit 4-2 0.563 0.667 0.406 0.624
Zephyrhills 3-3 0.551 0.500 0.617 0.534
Sebring 4-3 0.548 0.571 0.481 0.600
River Ridge 4-2 0.541 0.667 0.406 0.551
Merritt Island 3-2 0.525 0.600 0.430 0.548
Hardee 3-3 0.500 0.500 0.500 0.501
Wesley Chapel 3-3 0.500 0.500 0.511 0.486
Chamberlain 2-4 0.473 0.333 0.617 0.469
Robinson 3-3 0.432 0.500 0.272 0.538
Palm Bay 1-4 0.428 0.200 0.660 0.424
Mulberry 1-5 0.388 0.167 0.594 0.406
Anclote 2-5 0.348 0.286 0.314 0.460
Lake Region 1-5 0.340 0.167 0.450 0.413
Bayshore 1-6 0.317 0.143 0.398 0.427
Tarpon Springs 0-6 0.316 0.000 0.511 0.456
Gibbs 0-6 0.301 0.000 0.511 0.408
Booker 0-6 0.288 0.000 0.433 0.456
Gulf 0-6 0.254 0.000 0.389 0.393

PROJECTED SEEDS

District Champions

No. 1 Rockledge (5A-9)
No. 2 Lake Wales (5A-10)
No. 3 Jesuit (5A-12)
No. 4 Zephyrhills (5A-11)

Wildcards

No. 5 Eau Gallie
No. 6 Atlantic (Port Orange)
No. 7 Sebring
No. 8 River Ridge

PROJECTED REGIONAL QUARTERFINAL PAIRINGS

No. 8 River Ridge at No. 1 Rockledge
No. 5 Eau Gallie at No. 4 Zephyrhills
No. 6 Atlantic (Port Orange) at No. 3 Jesuit
No. 7 River Ridge at No. 2 Lake Wales

QUICK THOUGHTS: It is very clear Rockledge and Lake Wales are the two best teams in this region and they could be headed for a collision course in meeting up in the playoffs. Jesuit looks to be a lock solid for their district championship, but the rest of the seeding appears to be up in the air at the moment.

REGION 4

School W/L RPI WP OWP OOWP
American Heritage (Plantation) 5-1 0.718 0.833 0.683 0.624
Miami Northwestern 4-2 0.713 0.667 0.828 0.632
Jensen Beach 4-2 0.635 0.667 0.683 0.543
Key West 4-2 0.628 0.667 0.683 0.519
North Miami Beach 4-2 0.584 0.667 0.539 0.541
Miami Killian 5-2 0.580 0.714 0.462 0.560
Cypress Lake 5-2 0.562 0.714 0.424 0.546
Stranahan 4-2 0.560 0.667 0.544 0.454
DeSoto County 4-2 0.543 0.667 0.389 0.578
Coconut Creek 3-3 0.503 0.500 0.522 0.484
Suncoast 3-4 0.463 0.429 0.464 0.500
Hallandale 2-4 0.452 0.333 0.494 0.542
Miami Jackson 2-4 0.440 0.333 0.506 0.488
Miami Springs 2-5 0.403 0.286 0.452 0.481
LaBelle 2-4 0.385 0.333 0.367 0.468
Mariner 1-5 0.383 0.167 0.561 0.427
Estero 2-4 0.349 0.333 0.283 0.443
Boynton Beach 2-3 0.344 0.400 0.263 0.372
Cape Coral 0-6 0.321 0.000 0.572 0.402

PROJECTED SEEDS

District Champions

No. 1 American Heritage (Plantation) (5A-15)
No. 2 Miami Northwestern (5A-16)
No. 3 Jensen Beach (5A-14)
No. 4 Cypress Lake (5A-13)

Wildcards

No. 5 Key West
No. 6 North Miami Beach
No. 7 Miami Killian
No. 8 Stranahan

PROJECTED REGIONAL QUARTERFINAL PAIRINGS

No. 8 Stranahan at No. 1 American Heritage (Plantation)
No. 5 Key West at No. 4 Cypress Lake
No. 6 North Miami Beach at No. 3 Jensen Beach
No. 7 Miami Killian at No. 2 Miami Northwestern

QUICK THOUGHTS: The new District 5A-16 could likely get three teams in with Northwestern, Key West and Killian all doing well this season. However, I think seeds No. 3 through No. 8 are still very much fluid and a lot can change over the next few weeks as we get closer to the playoffs.