FPRI went 196-59 (.769) in Week 4, improving the season record to 770-342-1 (.692) through the first five completed weeks of forecasts.
The week-by-week trend has continued moving in the right direction. FPRI opened at .639 in Week 0, improved to .651 in Week 1, climbed to .674 in Week 2, reached .690 in Week 3 and then jumped to .769 in Week 4.
How FPRI Has Done This Season
Week 0: 23-13 (.639)
Week 1: 185-99-1 (.651)
Week 2: 188-91 (.674)
Week 3: 178-80 (.690)
Week 4: 196-59 (.769)
Season: 770-342-1 (.692)
Ties count as half a win when calculating forecast percentage. Games without a result are excluded from the prediction record.
Week 5 presents several highly competitive projections. Seminole (Seminole) carries only a 50.1% edge over George Jenkins in a projected 17-16 finish, while Fort Myers holds a 51.6% advantage over Gulf Coast in a projected 27-26 game. Newsome is a 52.1% favorite over Jefferson in a projected 32-31 finish, and King’s Academy holds a 52.6% edge over American Heritage (Delray Beach) in another projected one-point game.
Among the week’s marquee matchups, Lakeland is projected to edge American Heritage (Plantation) 30-29 with a 55.0% win probability. Madison County is projected 29-28 over Florida High with a 53.8% win probability, while West Orange carries a 62.3% edge over Lake Mary in a projected 33-30 game.
FPRI also sees Manatee-Riverview (Sarasota) as a competitive matchup, with Manatee holding a 62.1% win probability in a projected 38-35 finish. Dr. Phillips is projected 29-22 over Winter Park, while Jones is projected 32-25 over Edgewater.
At the other end of the spectrum, Week 5 includes another large group of heavy favorites, providing a fresh test of how the updated FPRI ratings translate into the model’s highest-confidence projections.
About The Projections
The tables below include FPRI’s projected final score and win probability for each team.
Games are organized by the classification of the projected winner, beginning with Class 6A and continuing through Class 1A, the SSAA divisions, the FHSAA independent leagues and standalone independents.
When teams from different classifications meet, the opponent’s classification is shown in parentheses where applicable.
For SSAA and FHSAA independent league opponents, the labels are shown as (SSAA 11-Man), (SSAA Atlantic), (SSAA 8-Man), (IND A) and (IND B).
When an out-of-state team is projected to win, the matchup is placed under the classification of the Florida school involved rather than creating a separate out-of-state section.
Class 6A
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wharton (Tampa) vs. Alonso (Tampa) | Alonso (Tampa) 37, Wharton (Tampa) 28 | Wharton (Tampa) 19.9% / Alonso (Tampa) 80.1% |
| Horizon (Winter Garden) vs. Apopka | Apopka 25, Horizon (Winter Garden) 11 | Horizon (Winter Garden) 11.3% / Apopka 88.7% |
| (5A) East River (Orlando) vs. Boone (Orlando) | Boone (Orlando) 40, East River (Orlando) 0 | East River (Orlando) 0.2% / Boone (Orlando) 99.8% |
| Columbus (Miami) vs. South Dade (Homestead) | Columbus (Miami) 51, South Dade (Homestead) 2 | Columbus (Miami) 100.0% / South Dade (Homestead) 0.0% |
| (5A) Bartram Trail (St. Johns) vs. Creekside (St. Johns) | Creekside (St. Johns) 30, Bartram Trail (St. Johns) 21 | Bartram Trail (St. Johns) 18.1% / Creekside (St. Johns) 81.9% |
| (IND A) Stoneman Douglas (Parkland) vs. Cypress Bay (Weston) | Cypress Bay (Weston) 39, Stoneman Douglas (Parkland) 11 | Stoneman Douglas (Parkland) 1.5% / Cypress Bay (Weston) 98.5% |
| (4A) Deltona vs. DeLand | DeLand 48, Deltona 11 | Deltona 0.3% / DeLand 99.7% |
| Dr. Phillips (Orlando) vs. Winter Park | Dr. Phillips (Orlando) 29, Winter Park 22 | Dr. Phillips (Orlando) 73.5% / Winter Park 26.5% |
| Fort Pierce Central vs. (Ind.) SFA Academy (Dover) | Fort Pierce Central 43, SFA Academy (Dover) 17 | Fort Pierce Central 97.9% / SFA Academy (Dover) 2.1% |
| Gateway (Kissimmee) vs. Poinciana (Kissimmee) | Gateway (Kissimmee) 22, Poinciana (Kissimmee) 19 | Gateway (Kissimmee) 60.9% / Poinciana (Kissimmee) 39.1% |
| Goleman (Miami) vs. (Ind.) Hialeah Gardens | Goleman (Miami) 30, Hialeah Gardens 14 | Goleman (Miami) 92.0% / Hialeah Gardens 8.0% |
| Jupiter vs. Palm Beach Lakes (West Palm Beach) | Jupiter 43, Palm Beach Lakes (West Palm Beach) 19 | Jupiter 97.5% / Palm Beach Lakes (West Palm Beach) 2.5% |
| Lake Brantley (Altamonte Springs) vs. (5A) Lake Howell (Winter Park) | Lake Brantley (Altamonte Springs) 38, Lake Howell (Winter Park) 34 | Lake Brantley (Altamonte Springs) 63.4% / Lake Howell (Winter Park) 36.6% |
| Lake Nona (Orlando) vs. (5A) Wekiva (Apopka) | Lake Nona (Orlando) 43, Wekiva (Apopka) 0 | Lake Nona (Orlando) 99.9% / Wekiva (Apopka) 0.1% |
| Lennard (Ruskin) vs. (4A) East Bay (Gibsonton) | Lennard (Ruskin) 33, East Bay (Gibsonton) 23 | Lennard (Ruskin) 82.1% / East Bay (Gibsonton) 17.9% |
| Coral Gables vs. Miami Palmetto | Miami Palmetto 42, Coral Gables 10 | Coral Gables 0.8% / Miami Palmetto 99.2% |
| (3A) Jefferson (Tampa) vs. Newsome (Lithia) | Newsome (Lithia) 32, Jefferson (Tampa) 31 | Jefferson (Tampa) 47.9% / Newsome (Lithia) 52.1% |
| Coral Glades (Coral Springs) vs. Nova (Davie) | Nova (Davie) 21, Coral Glades (Coral Springs) 13 | Coral Glades (Coral Springs) 21.6% / Nova (Davie) 78.4% |
| Palm Harbor University vs. (4A) Hollins (St. Petersburg) | Palm Harbor University 32, Hollins (St. Petersburg) 0 | Palm Harbor University 99.5% / Hollins (St. Petersburg) 0.5% |
| Plant City vs. (5A) Wiregrass Ranch (Wesley Chapel) | Plant City 31, Wiregrass Ranch (Wesley Chapel) 23 | Plant City 77.3% / Wiregrass Ranch (Wesley Chapel) 22.7% |
| (3A) Morgan (Wimauma) vs. Riverview (Riverview) | Riverview (Riverview) 17, Morgan (Wimauma) 16 | Morgan (Wimauma) 45.3% / Riverview (Riverview) 54.7% |
| (3A) Westside (Jacksonville) vs. Sandalwood (Jacksonville) | Sandalwood (Jacksonville) 34, Westside (Jacksonville) 0 | Westside (Jacksonville) 0.4% / Sandalwood (Jacksonville) 99.6% |
| Park Vista (Lake Worth) vs. Santaluces (Lantana) | Santaluces (Lantana) 22, Park Vista (Lake Worth) 20 | Park Vista (Lake Worth) 42.9% / Santaluces (Lantana) 57.1% |
| (5A) Parrish Community vs. Sarasota | Sarasota 37, Parrish Community 18 | Parrish Community 5.2% / Sarasota 94.8% |
| Seminole (Sanford) vs. Mainland (Daytona Beach) | Seminole (Sanford) 40, Mainland (Daytona Beach) 12 | Seminole (Sanford) 98.8% / Mainland (Daytona Beach) 1.2% |
| South Plantation vs. Boca Raton | South Plantation 24, Boca Raton 18 | South Plantation 72.2% / Boca Raton 27.8% |
| Homestead vs. Southwest Miami | Southwest Miami 12, Homestead 10 | Homestead 43.2% / Southwest Miami 56.8% |
| (4A) Dunbar (Fort Myers) vs. Spruce Creek (Port Orange) | Spruce Creek (Port Orange) 40, Dunbar (Fort Myers) 17 | Dunbar (Fort Myers) 2.9% / Spruce Creek (Port Orange) 97.1% |
| Steinbrenner (Lutz) vs. (5A) Spoto (Riverview) | Steinbrenner (Lutz) 27, Spoto (Riverview) 19 | Steinbrenner (Lutz) 76.5% / Spoto (Riverview) 23.5% |
| Strawberry Crest (Dover) vs. (4A) Blake (Tampa) | Strawberry Crest (Dover) 28, Blake (Tampa) 15 | Strawberry Crest (Dover) 88.5% / Blake (Tampa) 11.5% |
| Treasure Coast (Port St. Lucie) vs. (IND A) Forest Hill (West Palm Beach) | Treasure Coast (Port St. Lucie) 12, Forest Hill (West Palm Beach) 9 | Treasure Coast (Port St. Lucie) 62.1% / Forest Hill (West Palm Beach) 37.9% |
| (5A) Cape Coral vs. Venice | Venice 55, Cape Coral 24 | Cape Coral 0.9% / Venice 99.1% |
| Spanish River (Boca Raton) vs. Vero Beach | Vero Beach 45, Spanish River (Boca Raton) 18 | Spanish River (Boca Raton) 1.5% / Vero Beach 98.5% |
| Doral Academy vs. West Broward (Pembroke Pines) | West Broward (Pembroke Pines) 26, Doral Academy 25 | Doral Academy 46.2% / West Broward (Pembroke Pines) 53.8% |
| West Orange (Winter Garden) vs. Lake Mary | West Orange (Winter Garden) 33, Lake Mary 30 | West Orange (Winter Garden) 62.3% / Lake Mary 37.7% |
| Winter Haven vs. (5A) Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel) | Winter Haven 37, Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel) 0 | Winter Haven 99.8% / Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel) 0.2% |
Class 5A
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Sumner (Riverview) vs. Armwood (Seffner) | Armwood (Seffner) 40, Sumner (Riverview) 28 | Sumner (Riverview) 14.9% / Armwood (Seffner) 85.1% |
| Auburndale vs. (4A) Kathleen (Lakeland) | Auburndale 49, Kathleen (Lakeland) 0 | Auburndale 100.0% / Kathleen (Lakeland) 0.0% |
| Beachside (St. Johns) vs. (IND A) Englewood (Jacksonville) | Beachside (St. Johns) 42, Englewood (Jacksonville) 0 | Beachside (St. Johns) 99.9% / Englewood (Jacksonville) 0.1% |
| Bloomingdale (Valrico) vs. (4A) Brandon | Bloomingdale (Valrico) 34, Brandon 2 | Bloomingdale (Valrico) 99.2% / Brandon 0.8% |
| Buchholz (Gainesville) vs. (4A) Jesuit (Tampa) | Buchholz (Gainesville) 44, Jesuit (Tampa) 32 | Buchholz (Gainesville) 86.3% / Jesuit (Tampa) 13.7% |
| Coconut Creek vs. Boyd Anderson (Lauderdale Lakes) | Coconut Creek 41, Boyd Anderson (Lauderdale Lakes) 6 | Coconut Creek 99.6% / Boyd Anderson (Lauderdale Lakes) 0.4% |
| (OOS) Coffee (GA) vs. Crestview | Coffee (GA) 37, Crestview 9 | Coffee (GA) 98.6% / Crestview 1.4% |
| Dwyer (Palm Beach Gardens) vs. (6A) Lake Worth | Dwyer (Palm Beach Gardens) 22, Lake Worth 0 | Dwyer (Palm Beach Gardens) 98.9% / Lake Worth 1.1% |
| (3A) Tarpon Springs vs. East Lake (Tarpon Springs) | East Lake (Tarpon Springs) 29, Tarpon Springs 21 | Tarpon Springs 23.8% / East Lake (Tarpon Springs) 76.2% |
| Fletcher (Neptune Beach) vs. (6A) First Coast (Jacksonville) | Fletcher (Neptune Beach) 44, First Coast (Jacksonville) 2 | Fletcher (Neptune Beach) 99.8% / First Coast (Jacksonville) 0.2% |
| Forest (Ocala) vs. (6A) East Ridge (Clermont) | Forest (Ocala) 37, East Ridge (Clermont) 32 | Forest (Ocala) 68.1% / East Ridge (Clermont) 31.9% |
| (4A) American Heritage (Plantation) vs. Lakeland | Lakeland 30, American Heritage (Plantation) 29 | American Heritage (Plantation) 45.0% / Lakeland 55.0% |
| Lyman (Longwood) vs. (4A) Winter Springs | Lyman (Longwood) 15, Winter Springs 9 | Lyman (Longwood) 71.2% / Winter Springs 28.8% |
| Manatee (Bradenton) vs. (6A) Riverview (Sarasota) | Manatee (Bradenton) 38, Riverview (Sarasota) 35 | Manatee (Bradenton) 62.1% / Riverview (Sarasota) 37.9% |
| Martin County (Stuart) vs. (6A) Dr. Joaquin Garcia (Lake Worth) | Martin County (Stuart) 24, Dr. Joaquin Garcia (Lake Worth) 20 | Martin County (Stuart) 62.9% / Dr. Joaquin Garcia (Lake Worth) 37.1% |
| (3A) Palm Bay (Melbourne) vs. Melbourne | Melbourne 35, Palm Bay (Melbourne) 13 | Palm Bay (Melbourne) 3.3% / Melbourne 96.7% |
| (1A) True North (Miami) vs. Miami Southridge | Miami Southridge 42, True North (Miami) 23 | True North (Miami) 5.2% / Miami Southridge 94.8% |
| Mitchell (New Port Richey) vs. Land O Lakes | Mitchell (New Port Richey) 34, Land O Lakes 22 | Mitchell (New Port Richey) 86.5% / Land O Lakes 13.5% |
| Piper (Sunrise) vs. Monarch (Coconut Creek) | Monarch (Coconut Creek) 35, Piper (Sunrise) 22 | Piper (Sunrise) 12.3% / Monarch (Coconut Creek) 87.7% |
| (IND A) Palmetto Ridge (Naples) vs. North Fort Myers | North Fort Myers 26, Palmetto Ridge (Naples) 7 | Palmetto Ridge (Naples) 5.3% / North Fort Myers 94.7% |
| Oviedo vs. (6A) Hagerty (Oviedo) | Oviedo 37, Hagerty (Oviedo) 32 | Oviedo 68.9% / Hagerty (Oviedo) 31.1% |
| (4A) Naples vs. Palmetto | Palmetto 39, Naples 29 | Naples 16.9% / Palmetto 83.1% |
| Plant (Tampa) vs. (6A) Durant (Plant City) | Plant (Tampa) 29, Durant (Plant City) 23 | Plant (Tampa) 70.4% / Durant (Plant City) 29.6% |
| Ponte Vedra vs. (4A) Fleming Island | Ponte Vedra 35, Fleming Island 25 | Ponte Vedra 82.7% / Fleming Island 17.3% |
| Riverdale (Fort Myers) vs. (3A) Cypress Lake (Fort Myers) | Riverdale (Fort Myers) 38, Cypress Lake (Fort Myers) 6 | Riverdale (Fort Myers) 99.3% / Cypress Lake (Fort Myers) 0.7% |
| Olympic Heights (Boca Raton) vs. Seminole Ridge (Westlake) | Seminole Ridge (Westlake) 24, Olympic Heights (Boca Raton) 21 | Olympic Heights (Boca Raton) 36.0% / Seminole Ridge (Westlake) 64.0% |
| (4A) Sebastian River (Sebastian) vs. South Fork (Stuart) | South Fork (Stuart) 29, Sebastian River (Sebastian) 2 | Sebastian River (Sebastian) 1.3% / South Fork (Stuart) 98.7% |
| St. Thomas Aquinas (Fort Lauderdale) vs. Archbishop McCarthy (Southwest Ranches) | St. Thomas Aquinas (Fort Lauderdale) 51, Archbishop McCarthy (Southwest Ranches) 21 | St. Thomas Aquinas (Fort Lauderdale) 99.1% / Archbishop McCarthy (Southwest Ranches) 0.9% |
| Gaither (Tampa) vs. Tampa Bay Tech | Tampa Bay Tech 44, Gaither (Tampa) 30 | Gaither (Tampa) 10.9% / Tampa Bay Tech 89.1% |
| Tate (Cantonment) vs. (3A) West Florida (Pensacola) | Tate (Cantonment) 30, West Florida (Pensacola) 14 | Tate (Cantonment) 91.8% / West Florida (Pensacola) 8.2% |
| (OOS) St. John’s College (DC) vs. West Boca Raton | West Boca Raton 46, St. John’s College (DC) 17 | St. John’s College (DC) 1.2% / West Boca Raton 98.8% |
| West Port (Ocala) vs. (3A) North Marion (Citra) | West Port (Ocala) 15, North Marion (Citra) 8 | West Port (Ocala) 73.7% / North Marion (Citra) 26.3% |
Class 4A
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Hialeah vs. American (Hialeah) | American (Hialeah) 28, Hialeah 14 | Hialeah 10.4% / American (Hialeah) 89.6% |
| (3A) Glades Central (Belle Glade) vs. Atlantic (Delray Beach) | Atlantic (Delray Beach) 38, Glades Central (Belle Glade) 17 | Glades Central (Belle Glade) 3.6% / Atlantic (Delray Beach) 96.4% |
| (3A) Lely (Naples) vs. Barron Collier (Naples) | Barron Collier (Naples) 28, Lely (Naples) 26 | Lely (Naples) 41.5% / Barron Collier (Naples) 58.5% |
| (5A) South Lake (Groveland) vs. Bishop Moore (Orlando) | Bishop Moore (Orlando) 44, South Lake (Groveland) 18 | South Lake (Groveland) 1.6% / Bishop Moore (Orlando) 98.4% |
| Blanche Ely (Pompano Beach) vs. (5A) Deerfield Beach | Blanche Ely (Pompano Beach) 23, Deerfield Beach 19 | Blanche Ely (Pompano Beach) 63.8% / Deerfield Beach 36.2% |
| (5A) Niceville vs. Choctawhatchee (Fort Walton Beach) | Choctawhatchee (Fort Walton Beach) 35, Niceville 22 | Niceville 12.2% / Choctawhatchee (Fort Walton Beach) 87.8% |
| (5A) Largo vs. Clearwater | Clearwater 35, Largo 27 | Largo 24.7% / Clearwater 75.3% |
| Lincoln (Tallahassee) vs. (OOS) Colquitt County (GA) | Colquitt County (GA) 30, Lincoln (Tallahassee) 27 | Lincoln (Tallahassee) 40.9% / Colquitt County (GA) 59.1% |
| Columbia (Lake City) vs. (1A) Trinity Christian (Jacksonville) | Columbia (Lake City) 38, Trinity Christian (Jacksonville) 19 | Columbia (Lake City) 95.4% / Trinity Christian (Jacksonville) 4.6% |
| Ed White (Jacksonville) vs. (OOS) Camden County (GA) | Ed White (Jacksonville) 45, Camden County (GA) 37 | Ed White (Jacksonville) 75.5% / Camden County (GA) 24.5% |
| Escambia (Pensacola) vs. (3A) Pensacola | Escambia (Pensacola) 31, Pensacola 0 | Escambia (Pensacola) 99.5% / Pensacola 0.5% |
| (IND A) Gateway (Fort Myers) vs. Estero | Estero 34, Gateway (Fort Myers) 18 | Gateway (Fort Myers) 8.0% / Estero 92.0% |
| Pasco (Dade City) vs. Fivay (Hudson) | Fivay (Hudson) 24, Pasco (Dade City) 10 | Pasco (Dade City) 11.2% / Fivay (Hudson) 88.8% |
| Gulf Coast (Naples) vs. Fort Myers | Fort Myers 27, Gulf Coast (Naples) 26 | Gulf Coast (Naples) 48.4% / Fort Myers 51.6% |
| Golden Gate (Naples) vs. (IND A) Ida Baker (Cape Coral) | Golden Gate (Naples) 31, Ida Baker (Cape Coral) 21 | Golden Gate (Naples) 82.9% / Ida Baker (Cape Coral) 17.1% |
| (2A) North Bay Haven (Panama City) vs. Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze 18, North Bay Haven (Panama City) 17 | North Bay Haven (Panama City) 48.5% / Gulf Breeze 51.5% |
| Fort Pierce Westwood vs. Heritage (Palm Bay) | Heritage (Palm Bay) 20, Fort Pierce Westwood 19 | Fort Pierce Westwood 45.3% / Heritage (Palm Bay) 54.7% |
| Hillsborough (Tampa) vs. (3A) Robinson (Tampa) | Hillsborough (Tampa) 26, Robinson (Tampa) 12 | Hillsborough (Tampa) 88.9% / Robinson (Tampa) 11.1% |
| (6A) Edgewater (Orlando) vs. Jones (Orlando) | Jones (Orlando) 32, Edgewater (Orlando) 25 | Edgewater (Orlando) 24.8% / Jones (Orlando) 75.2% |
| (6A) Ridge Community (Davenport) vs. Lake Region (Eagle Lake) | Lake Region (Eagle Lake) 14, Ridge Community (Davenport) 10 | Ridge Community (Davenport) 32.7% / Lake Region (Eagle Lake) 67.3% |
| (5A) Osceola (Kissimmee) vs. Lake Wales | Lake Wales 37, Osceola (Kissimmee) 24 | Osceola (Kissimmee) 13.1% / Lake Wales 86.9% |
| Lake Weir (Ocala) vs. (SSAA Atlantic) Union County (Lake Butler) | Lake Weir (Ocala) 22, Union County (Lake Butler) 21 | Lake Weir (Ocala) 53.6% / Union County (Lake Butler) 46.4% |
| Legacy (Port St. Lucie) vs. Port St. Lucie | Legacy (Port St. Lucie) 20, Port St. Lucie 0 | Legacy (Port St. Lucie) 98.4% / Port St. Lucie 1.6% |
| Leon (Tallahassee) vs. (1A) North Florida Christian (Tallahassee) | Leon (Tallahassee) 34, North Florida Christian (Tallahassee) 20 | Leon (Tallahassee) 90.1% / North Florida Christian (Tallahassee) 9.9% |
| Mariner (Cape Coral) vs. (3A) Island Coast (Cape Coral) | Mariner (Cape Coral) 22, Island Coast (Cape Coral) 7 | Mariner (Cape Coral) 90.6% / Island Coast (Cape Coral) 9.4% |
| North Miami vs. Miami Northwestern | Miami Northwestern 53, North Miami 0 | North Miami 0.0% / Miami Northwestern 100.0% |
| (5A) Leto (Tampa) vs. Middleton (Tampa) | Middleton (Tampa) 16, Leto (Tampa) 7 | Leto (Tampa) 19.7% / Middleton (Tampa) 80.3% |
| (5A) Flanagan (Pembroke Pines) vs. Miramar | Miramar 27, Flanagan (Pembroke Pines) 15 | Flanagan (Pembroke Pines) 12.9% / Miramar 87.1% |
| (2A) Gadsden County (Havana) vs. Mosley (Lynn Haven) | Mosley (Lynn Haven) 39, Gadsden County (Havana) 13 | Gadsden County (Havana) 1.6% / Mosley (Lynn Haven) 98.4% |
| New Smyrna Beach vs. (6A) University (Orange City) | New Smyrna Beach 34, University (Orange City) 9 | New Smyrna Beach 97.7% / University (Orange City) 2.3% |
| (3A) Terry Parker (Jacksonville) vs. Orange Park | Orange Park 26, Terry Parker (Jacksonville) 5 | Terry Parker (Jacksonville) 4.3% / Orange Park 95.7% |
| Northeast (Oakland Park) vs. Plantation | Plantation 44, Northeast (Oakland Park) 0 | Northeast (Oakland Park) 0.0% / Plantation 100.0% |
| Ribault (Jacksonville) vs. Ridgeview (Orange Park) | Ribault (Jacksonville) 24, Ridgeview (Orange Park) 3 | Ribault (Jacksonville) 95.7% / Ridgeview (Orange Park) 4.3% |
| Hudson vs. River Ridge (New Port Richey) | River Ridge (New Port Richey) 38, Hudson 0 | Hudson 0.1% / River Ridge (New Port Richey) 99.9% |
| South Fort Myers vs. (1A) Community School (Naples) | South Fort Myers 36, Community School (Naples) 23 | South Fort Myers 86.4% / Community School (Naples) 13.6% |
| (5A) Evans (Orlando) vs. St. Augustine | St. Augustine 46, Evans (Orlando) 28 | Evans (Orlando) 6.1% / St. Augustine 93.9% |
| St. Petersburg vs. (3A) Gibbs (St. Petersburg) | St. Petersburg 21, Gibbs (St. Petersburg) 8 | St. Petersburg 87.7% / Gibbs (St. Petersburg) 12.3% |
| Gulf (New Port Richey) vs. Zephyrhills | Zephyrhills 35, Gulf (New Port Richey) 21 | Gulf (New Port Richey) 10.2% / Zephyrhills 89.8% |
Class 3A
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Astronaut (Titusville) vs. Eustis | Astronaut (Titusville) 22, Eustis 8 | Astronaut (Titusville) 88.9% / Eustis 11.1% |
| Baker County (Glen St. Mary) vs. Palatka | Baker County (Glen St. Mary) 27, Palatka 12 | Baker County (Glen St. Mary) 91.6% / Palatka 8.4% |
| Bay (Panama City) vs. (2A) Rutherford (Panama City) | Bay (Panama City) 47, Rutherford (Panama City) 14 | Bay (Panama City) 99.4% / Rutherford (Panama City) 0.6% |
| Braden River (Bradenton) vs. (6A) North Port | Braden River (Bradenton) 31, North Port 5 | Braden River (Bradenton) 98.4% / North Port 1.6% |
| Dillard (Fort Lauderdale) vs. (4A) McArthur (Hollywood) | Dillard (Fort Lauderdale) 39, McArthur (Hollywood) 25 | Dillard (Fort Lauderdale) 89.4% / McArthur (Hollywood) 10.6% |
| Dunnellon vs. (6A) Lakewood Ranch (Bradenton) | Dunnellon 36, Lakewood Ranch (Bradenton) 14 | Dunnellon 96.9% / Lakewood Ranch (Bradenton) 3.1% |
| Eastside (Gainesville) vs. (4A) Gainesville | Eastside (Gainesville) 23, Gainesville 14 | Eastside (Gainesville) 81.2% / Gainesville 18.8% |
| (2A) Cocoa vs. Eau Gallie (Melbourne) | Eau Gallie (Melbourne) 28, Cocoa 22 | Cocoa 26.7% / Eau Gallie (Melbourne) 73.3% |
| Godby (Tallahassee) vs. (4A) Chiles (Tallahassee) | Godby (Tallahassee) 40, Chiles (Tallahassee) 16 | Godby (Tallahassee) 97.5% / Chiles (Tallahassee) 2.5% |
| (4A) Springstead (Spring Hill) vs. Hernando (Brooksville) | Hernando (Brooksville) 19, Springstead (Spring Hill) 13 | Springstead (Spring Hill) 28.9% / Hernando (Brooksville) 71.1% |
| Key West vs. St. Brendan (Miami) | Key West 32, St. Brendan (Miami) 0 | Key West 99.3% / St. Brendan (Miami) 0.7% |
| Menendez (St. Augustine) vs. (5A) Matanzas (Palm Coast) | Menendez (St. Augustine) 25, Matanzas (Palm Coast) 11 | Menendez (St. Augustine) 89.6% / Matanzas (Palm Coast) 10.4% |
| Bishop Kenny (Jacksonville) vs. Merritt Island | Merritt Island 40, Bishop Kenny (Jacksonville) 29 | Bishop Kenny (Jacksonville) 15.9% / Merritt Island 84.1% |
| Miami Jackson vs. Miami Central | Miami Central 52, Miami Jackson 0 | Miami Jackson 0.0% / Miami Central 100.0% |
| King (Tampa) vs. Mulberry | Mulberry 31, King (Tampa) 0 | King (Tampa) 0.1% / Mulberry 99.9% |
| Miami Springs vs. North Miami Beach | North Miami Beach 29, Miami Springs 24 | Miami Springs 31.4% / North Miami Beach 68.6% |
| (5A) Mandarin (Jacksonville) vs. Raines (Jacksonville) | Raines (Jacksonville) 46, Mandarin (Jacksonville) 31 | Mandarin (Jacksonville) 8.9% / Raines (Jacksonville) 91.1% |
| Seminole (Seminole) vs. (6A) George Jenkins (Lakeland) | Seminole (Seminole) 17, George Jenkins (Lakeland) 16 | Seminole (Seminole) 50.1% / George Jenkins (Lakeland) 49.9% |
| (4A) Leesburg vs. South Sumter (Bushnell) | South Sumter (Bushnell) 40, Leesburg 6 | Leesburg 0.5% / South Sumter (Bushnell) 99.5% |
| South Walton (Santa Rosa Beach) vs. (4A) Arnold (Panama City Beach) | South Walton (Santa Rosa Beach) 28, Arnold (Panama City Beach) 16 | South Walton (Santa Rosa Beach) 86.4% / Arnold (Panama City Beach) 13.6% |
| (IND B) Hamilton County (Jasper) vs. Suwannee (Live Oak) | Suwannee (Live Oak) 32, Hamilton County (Jasper) 15 | Hamilton County (Jasper) 6.5% / Suwannee (Live Oak) 93.5% |
| Tavares vs. (5A) Lake Minneola | Tavares 34, Lake Minneola 9 | Tavares 97.9% / Lake Minneola 2.1% |
| (SSAA Atlantic) Avon Park vs. Tenoroc (Lakeland) | Tenoroc (Lakeland) 22, Avon Park 20 | Avon Park 45.5% / Tenoroc (Lakeland) 54.5% |
| The Villages vs. (4A) Lecanto | The Villages 42, Lecanto 16 | The Villages 98.4% / Lecanto 1.6% |
| Titusville vs. (6A) Harmony | Titusville 40, Harmony 9 | Titusville 99.2% / Harmony 0.8% |
| (4A) Rickards (Tallahassee) vs. Wakulla (Crawfordville) | Wakulla (Crawfordville) 30, Rickards (Tallahassee) 17 | Rickards (Tallahassee) 11.7% / Wakulla (Crawfordville) 88.3% |
| (SSAA 11-Man) Eagle’s View (Jacksonville) vs. Wolfson (Jacksonville) | Wolfson (Jacksonville) 28, Eagle’s View (Jacksonville) 5 | Eagle’s View (Jacksonville) 2.8% / Wolfson (Jacksonville) 97.2% |
Class 2A
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| (3A) Countryside (Clearwater) vs. Boca Ciega (Gulfport) | Boca Ciega (Gulfport) 26, Countryside (Clearwater) 16 | Countryside (Clearwater) 18.2% / Boca Ciega (Gulfport) 81.8% |
| (5A) Oakleaf (Orange Park) vs. Bolles (Jacksonville) | Bolles (Jacksonville) 37, Oakleaf (Orange Park) 30 | Oakleaf (Orange Park) 23.0% / Bolles (Jacksonville) 77.0% |
| Bradford (Starke) vs. (6A) Tocoi Creek (St. Augustine) | Bradford (Starke) 56, Tocoi Creek (St. Augustine) 0 | Bradford (Starke) 100.0% / Tocoi Creek (St. Augustine) 0.0% |
| (4A) Jensen Beach vs. Cardinal Newman (West Palm Beach) | Cardinal Newman (West Palm Beach) 45, Jensen Beach 17 | Jensen Beach 1.4% / Cardinal Newman (West Palm Beach) 98.6% |
| Chaminade-Madonna (Hollywood) vs. (3A) Cardinal Gibbons (Fort Lauderdale) | Chaminade-Madonna (Hollywood) 44, Cardinal Gibbons (Fort Lauderdale) 21 | Chaminade-Madonna (Hollywood) 97.4% / Cardinal Gibbons (Fort Lauderdale) 2.6% |
| Clearwater Central Catholic vs. (1A) St. Petersburg Catholic | Clearwater Central Catholic 50, St. Petersburg Catholic 29 | Clearwater Central Catholic 96.6% / St. Petersburg Catholic 3.4% |
| (3A) Southeast (Bradenton) vs. Gadsden County (Havana) | Gadsden County (Havana) 33, Southeast (Bradenton) 9 | Southeast (Bradenton) 2.5% / Gadsden County (Havana) 97.5% |
| Immaculata-La Salle (Miami) vs. (1A) Archbishop Carroll (Miami) | Immaculata-La Salle (Miami) 37, Archbishop Carroll (Miami) 24 | Immaculata-La Salle (Miami) 87.5% / Archbishop Carroll (Miami) 12.5% |
| Lakewood (St. Petersburg) vs. (4A) Northeast (St. Petersburg) | Lakewood (St. Petersburg) 36, Northeast (St. Petersburg) 14 | Lakewood (St. Petersburg) 96.7% / Northeast (St. Petersburg) 3.3% |
| Miami Edison vs. Miami Carol City | Miami Carol City 38, Miami Edison 2 | Miami Edison 0.4% / Miami Carol City 99.6% |
| Newberry vs. (4A) Middleburg | Newberry 28, Middleburg 18 | Newberry 83.6% / Middleburg 16.4% |
| (5A) Navarre vs. Pensacola Catholic | Pensacola Catholic 56, Navarre 0 | Navarre 0.0% / Pensacola Catholic 100.0% |
| Ransom Everglades (Miami) vs. (IND A) Somerset Academy (Pembroke Pines) | Ransom Everglades (Miami) 33, Somerset Academy (Pembroke Pines) 2 | Ransom Everglades (Miami) 99.3% / Somerset Academy (Pembroke Pines) 0.7% |
| Saint Andrew’s (Boca Raton) vs. (SSAA Atlantic) North Broward Prep (Coconut Creek) | Saint Andrew’s (Boca Raton) 40, North Broward Prep (Coconut Creek) 17 | Saint Andrew’s (Boca Raton) 97.1% / North Broward Prep (Coconut Creek) 2.9% |
| Tampa Catholic vs. Miami Killian | Tampa Catholic 30, Miami Killian 24 | Tampa Catholic 72.3% / Miami Killian 27.7% |
| Walton (DeFuniak Springs) vs. (4A) Fort Walton Beach | Walton (DeFuniak Springs) 34, Fort Walton Beach 14 | Walton (DeFuniak Springs) 95.5% / Fort Walton Beach 4.5% |
| (IND A) Belen Jesuit (Miami) vs. Westminster Christian (Miami) | Westminster Christian (Miami) 34, Belen Jesuit (Miami) 26 | Belen Jesuit (Miami) 24.3% / Westminster Christian (Miami) 75.7% |
Class 1A
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| (IND B) Central (Milton) vs. Baker | Baker 42, Central (Milton) 2 | Central (Milton) 0.2% / Baker 99.8% |
| (2A) Somerset Charter (Silver Palms) vs. Benjamin (Palm Beach Gardens) | Benjamin (Palm Beach Gardens) 23, Somerset Charter (Silver Palms) 16 | Somerset Charter (Silver Palms) 24.2% / Benjamin (Palm Beach Gardens) 75.8% |
| (3A) Chamberlain (Tampa) vs. Carrollwood Day (Tampa) | Carrollwood Day (Tampa) 55, Chamberlain (Tampa) 10 | Chamberlain (Tampa) 0.1% / Carrollwood Day (Tampa) 99.9% |
| Chiefland vs. (2A) Trinity Catholic (Ocala) | Chiefland 32, Trinity Catholic (Ocala) 13 | Chiefland 95.5% / Trinity Catholic (Ocala) 4.5% |
| (OOS) True Institute (GA) vs. Chipley | Chipley 31, True Institute (GA) 0 | True Institute (GA) 0.4% / Chipley 99.6% |
| FAMU DRS (Tallahassee) vs. (SSAA Atlantic) Vernon | FAMU DRS (Tallahassee) 18, Vernon 4 | FAMU DRS (Tallahassee) 90.2% / Vernon 9.8% |
| (IND A) Bonita Springs vs. First Baptist (Naples) | First Baptist (Naples) 34, Bonita Springs 0 | Bonita Springs 0.4% / First Baptist (Naples) 99.6% |
| McLaughlin (Lake Wales) vs. Fort Meade | Fort Meade 19, McLaughlin (Lake Wales) 4 | McLaughlin (Lake Wales) 8.9% / Fort Meade 91.1% |
| (3A) Santa Fe (Alachua) vs. Fort White | Fort White 34, Santa Fe (Alachua) 31 | Santa Fe (Alachua) 40.1% / Fort White 59.9% |
| Hawthorne vs. (3A) Bayshore (Bradenton) | Hawthorne 48, Bayshore (Bradenton) 4 | Hawthorne 99.9% / Bayshore (Bradenton) 0.1% |
| Lakeland Christian vs. (5A) Sebring | Lakeland Christian 41, Sebring 26 | Lakeland Christian 90.8% / Sebring 9.2% |
| Madison County (Madison) vs. (2A) Florida High (Tallahassee) | Madison County (Madison) 29, Florida High (Tallahassee) 28 | Madison County (Madison) 53.8% / Florida High (Tallahassee) 46.2% |
| Melbourne Central Catholic vs. Father Lopez (Daytona Beach) | Melbourne Central Catholic 29, Father Lopez (Daytona Beach) 19 | Melbourne Central Catholic 80.5% / Father Lopez (Daytona Beach) 19.5% |
| Moore Haven vs. (IND B) Evangelical Christian (Fort Myers) | Moore Haven 21, Evangelical Christian (Fort Myers) 17 | Moore Haven 63.5% / Evangelical Christian (Fort Myers) 36.5% |
| Northview (Century) vs. (OOS) Monroe County (AL) | Northview (Century) 47, Monroe County (AL) 2 | Northview (Century) 99.9% / Monroe County (AL) 0.1% |
| Pahokee vs. (3A) Boynton Beach | Pahokee 43, Boynton Beach 0 | Pahokee 99.9% / Boynton Beach 0.1% |
| (OOS) St. Francis Episcopal (TX) vs. Palmer Trinity (Miami) | St. Francis Episcopal (TX) 27, Palmer Trinity (Miami) 24 | St. Francis Episcopal (TX) 58.2% / Palmer Trinity (Miami) 41.8% |
| (Ind.) SmartEn Sports Academy (Miami) vs. St. John Neumann (Naples) | St. John Neumann (Naples) 54, SmartEn Sports Academy (Miami) 0 | SmartEn Sports Academy (Miami) 0.0% / St. John Neumann (Naples) 100.0% |
| North Florida Educational (Jacksonville) vs. University Christian (Jacksonville) | University Christian (Jacksonville) 39, North Florida Educational (Jacksonville) 23 | North Florida Educational (Jacksonville) 8.3% / University Christian (Jacksonville) 91.7% |
| (3A) Crystal River vs. Wildwood | Wildwood 31, Crystal River 8 | Crystal River 3.1% / Wildwood 96.9% |
SSAA 11-Man
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Aucilla Christian (Monticello) vs. (OOS) Baconton Charter (GA) | Aucilla Christian (Monticello) 27, Baconton Charter (GA) 13 | Aucilla Christian (Monticello) 89.7% / Baconton Charter (GA) 10.3% |
| Duval Charter (Jacksonville) vs. First Coast Christian (Jacksonville) | Duval Charter (Jacksonville) 20, First Coast Christian (Jacksonville) 19 | Duval Charter (Jacksonville) 54.2% / First Coast Christian (Jacksonville) 45.8% |
| (IND B) Inlet Grove (Riviera Beach) vs. Florida Christian (Miami) | Florida Christian (Miami) 43, Inlet Grove (Riviera Beach) 5 | Inlet Grove (Riviera Beach) 0.3% / Florida Christian (Miami) 99.7% |
| Glades Day (Belle Glade) vs. (SSAA Atlantic) Coral Shores (Tavernier) | Glades Day (Belle Glade) 17, Coral Shores (Tavernier) 14 | Glades Day (Belle Glade) 59.9% / Coral Shores (Tavernier) 40.1% |
| (SSAA Atlantic) Bronson vs. Harvest Community (Jacksonville) | Harvest Community (Jacksonville) 14, Bronson 12 | Bronson 41.6% / Harvest Community (Jacksonville) 58.4% |
| Jupiter Christian vs. (IND B) St. John Paul II (Boca Raton) | Jupiter Christian 37, St. John Paul II (Boca Raton) 15 | Jupiter Christian 96.9% / St. John Paul II (Boca Raton) 3.1% |
| Maclay (Tallahassee) vs. (1A) Marianna | Maclay (Tallahassee) 39, Marianna 14 | Maclay (Tallahassee) 98.1% / Marianna 1.9% |
| (5A) Mater Academy (Hialeah Gardens) vs. Monsignor Pace (Miami) | Monsignor Pace (Miami) 28, Mater Academy (Hialeah Gardens) 24 | Mater Academy (Hialeah Gardens) 34.7% / Monsignor Pace (Miami) 65.3% |
| Old Plank Christian (Jacksonville) vs. Cornerstone Classical (Jacksonville) | Old Plank Christian (Jacksonville) 36, Cornerstone Classical (Jacksonville) 17 | Old Plank Christian (Jacksonville) 94.6% / Cornerstone Classical (Jacksonville) 5.4% |
| Sarasota Christian vs. Out-of-Door (Sarasota) | Out-of-Door (Sarasota) 39, Sarasota Christian 27 | Sarasota Christian 14.1% / Out-of-Door (Sarasota) 85.9% |
| Seven Rivers Christian (Lecanto) vs. Saint Stephens Episcopal (Bradenton) | Saint Stephens Episcopal (Bradenton) 23, Seven Rivers Christian (Lecanto) 17 | Seven Rivers Christian (Lecanto) 30.9% / Saint Stephens Episcopal (Bradenton) 69.1% |
| (1A) Northside Christian (St. Petersburg) vs. Seffner Christian | Seffner Christian 48, Northside Christian (St. Petersburg) 9 | Northside Christian (St. Petersburg) 0.3% / Seffner Christian 99.7% |
| (IND B) Hilliard vs. St. Joseph (St. Augustine) | St. Joseph (St. Augustine) 43, Hilliard 20 | Hilliard 2.6% / St. Joseph (St. Augustine) 97.4% |
| (IND A) Suncoast (Riviera Beach) vs. Tradition Prep (Port St. Lucie) | Tradition Prep (Port St. Lucie) 16, Suncoast (Riviera Beach) 0 | Suncoast (Riviera Beach) 5.9% / Tradition Prep (Port St. Lucie) 94.1% |
| Westminster Academy (Fort Lauderdale) vs. Master’s Academy (Vero Beach) | Westminster Academy (Fort Lauderdale) 44, Master’s Academy (Vero Beach) 9 | Westminster Academy (Fort Lauderdale) 99.5% / Master’s Academy (Vero Beach) 0.5% |
SSAA Atlantic
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Keystone Heights vs. Bell | Bell 35, Keystone Heights 0 | Keystone Heights 0.3% / Bell 99.7% |
| (1A) Port St. Joe vs. Branford | Branford 45, Port St. Joe 7 | Port St. Joe 0.3% / Branford 99.7% |
| (SSAA 11-Man) St. Edward’s (Vero Beach) vs. Cocoa Beach | Cocoa Beach 29, St. Edward’s (Vero Beach) 23 | St. Edward’s (Vero Beach) 28.6% / Cocoa Beach 71.4% |
| (Ind.) Joshua Christian (Jacksonville) vs. Cottondale | Cottondale 42, Joshua Christian (Jacksonville) 15 | Joshua Christian (Jacksonville) 1.7% / Cottondale 98.3% |
| Dixie County (Cross City) vs. Lafayette (Mayo) | Dixie County (Cross City) 26, Lafayette (Mayo) 17 | Dixie County (Cross City) 79.0% / Lafayette (Mayo) 21.0% |
| (4A) Clay (Green Cove Springs) vs. Fernandina Beach | Fernandina Beach 29, Clay (Green Cove Springs) 27 | Clay (Green Cove Springs) 44.2% / Fernandina Beach 55.8% |
| Franklin County (Eastpoint) vs. (SSAA 11-Man) Rocky Bayou Christian (Niceville) | Franklin County (Eastpoint) 46, Rocky Bayou Christian (Niceville) 8 | Franklin County (Eastpoint) 99.7% / Rocky Bayou Christian (Niceville) 0.3% |
| (1A) Victory Christian (Lakeland) vs. Frostproof | Frostproof 30, Victory Christian (Lakeland) 25 | Victory Christian (Lakeland) 30.6% / Frostproof 69.4% |
| Interlachen vs. (3A) Citrus (Inverness) | Interlachen 30, Citrus (Inverness) 12 | Interlachen 94.3% / Citrus (Inverness) 5.7% |
| American Heritage (Delray Beach) vs. King’s Academy (West Palm Beach) | King’s Academy (West Palm Beach) 32, American Heritage (Delray Beach) 31 | American Heritage (Delray Beach) 47.4% / King’s Academy (West Palm Beach) 52.6% |
| LaBelle vs. Lake Placid | LaBelle 26, Lake Placid 20 | LaBelle 73.4% / Lake Placid 26.6% |
| Lemon Bay (Englewood) vs. DeSoto County (Arcadia) | Lemon Bay (Englewood) 42, DeSoto County (Arcadia) 0 | Lemon Bay (Englewood) 100.0% / DeSoto County (Arcadia) 0.0% |
| (2A) Andrew Jackson (Jacksonville) vs. Paxon (Jacksonville) | Paxon (Jacksonville) 41, Andrew Jackson (Jacksonville) 17 | Andrew Jackson (Jacksonville) 2.5% / Paxon (Jacksonville) 97.5% |
| Satellite (Satellite Beach) vs. (IND A) Atlantic (Port Orange) | Satellite (Satellite Beach) 28, Atlantic (Port Orange) 17 | Satellite (Satellite Beach) 85.6% / Atlantic (Port Orange) 14.4% |
| (IND B) Bozeman (Panama City) vs. Sneads | Sneads 26, Bozeman (Panama City) 13 | Bozeman (Panama City) 11.6% / Sneads 88.4% |
| Stanton (Jacksonville) vs. (SSAA 11-Man) Bishop Snyder (Jacksonville) | Stanton (Jacksonville) 43, Bishop Snyder (Jacksonville) 3 | Stanton (Jacksonville) 99.8% / Bishop Snyder (Jacksonville) 0.2% |
| (4A) Yulee vs. West Nassau (Callahan) | West Nassau (Callahan) 40, Yulee 24 | Yulee 8.5% / West Nassau (Callahan) 91.5% |
SSAA 8-Man
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Bradenton Christian vs. Lake Mary Prep | Bradenton Christian 45, Lake Mary Prep 17 | Bradenton Christian 98.8% / Lake Mary Prep 1.2% |
| Saint Francis Catholic (Gainesville) vs. First Academy-Leesburg | First Academy-Leesburg 43, Saint Francis Catholic (Gainesville) 23 | Saint Francis Catholic (Gainesville) 4.1% / First Academy-Leesburg 95.9% |
| Lakeside Christian (Clearwater) vs. Foundation Christian (Valrico) | Foundation Christian (Valrico) 36, Lakeside Christian (Clearwater) 27 | Lakeside Christian (Clearwater) 20.8% / Foundation Christian (Valrico) 79.2% |
| Bell Creek (Riverview) vs. Hernando Christian (Brooksville) | Hernando Christian (Brooksville) 31, Bell Creek (Riverview) 18 | Bell Creek (Riverview) 10.7% / Hernando Christian (Brooksville) 89.3% |
| Academy at the Lakes (Land O’ Lakes) vs. Merritt Island Christian | Merritt Island Christian 46, Academy at the Lakes (Land O’ Lakes) 11 | Academy at the Lakes (Land O’ Lakes) 0.5% / Merritt Island Christian 99.5% |
| Calvary Chapel (West Melbourne) vs. Ocala Christian | Ocala Christian 33, Calvary Chapel (West Melbourne) 28 | Calvary Chapel (West Melbourne) 32.4% / Ocala Christian 67.6% |
| SLAM Tampa vs. Shorecrest Prep (St. Petersburg) | Shorecrest Prep (St. Petersburg) 42, SLAM Tampa 24 | SLAM Tampa 6.4% / Shorecrest Prep (St. Petersburg) 93.6% |
8-Man Independents
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| (SSAA 8-Man) Cornerstone Academy (Gainesville) vs. St. John Lutheran (Ocala) | St. John Lutheran (Ocala) 20, Cornerstone Academy (Gainesville) 0 | Cornerstone Academy (Gainesville) 3.5% / St. John Lutheran (Ocala) 96.5% |
FHSAA Independent League A
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Cooper City vs. Pembroke Pines Charter | Cooper City 36, Pembroke Pines Charter 17 | Cooper City 95.0% / Pembroke Pines Charter 5.0% |
| Hallandale vs. (5A) Everglades (Miramar) | Hallandale 14, Everglades (Miramar) 13 | Hallandale 52.3% / Everglades (Miramar) 47.7% |
| Hollywood Hills vs. (3A) Stranahan (Fort Lauderdale) | Hollywood Hills 18, Stranahan (Fort Lauderdale) 11 | Hollywood Hills 75.0% / Stranahan (Fort Lauderdale) 25.0% |
| Innovation (Orlando) vs. Freedom (Orlando) | Innovation (Orlando) 45, Freedom (Orlando) 2 | Innovation (Orlando) 99.9% / Freedom (Orlando) 0.1% |
| John I. Leonard (Greenacres) vs. (IND B) Marathon | John I. Leonard (Greenacres) 22, Marathon 2 | John I. Leonard (Greenacres) 96.6% / Marathon 3.4% |
| Lake Buena Vista (Orlando) vs. Cypress Creek (Orlando) | Lake Buena Vista (Orlando) 16, Cypress Creek (Orlando) 0 | Lake Buena Vista (Orlando) 91.7% / Cypress Creek (Orlando) 8.3% |
| University (Orlando) vs. Oak Ridge (Orlando) | Oak Ridge (Orlando) 27, University (Orlando) 12 | University (Orlando) 8.8% / Oak Ridge (Orlando) 91.2% |
| Oasis (Cape Coral) vs. (SSAA 11-Man) Gateway Charter (Fort Myers) | Oasis (Cape Coral) 31, Gateway Charter (Fort Myers) 0 | Oasis (Cape Coral) 99.9% / Gateway Charter (Fort Myers) 0.1% |
| Pompano Beach vs. (SSAA Atlantic) Coral Springs Charter | Pompano Beach 21, Coral Springs Charter 13 | Pompano Beach 76.5% / Coral Springs Charter 23.5% |
| South Broward (Hollywood) vs. Coral Springs | South Broward (Hollywood) 34, Coral Springs 0 | South Broward (Hollywood) 99.8% / Coral Springs 0.2% |
| Umatilla vs. (3A) Belleview | Umatilla 36, Belleview 18 | Umatilla 94.2% / Belleview 5.8% |
| (6A) Olympia (Orlando) vs. Windermere | Windermere 37, Olympia (Orlando) 20 | Olympia (Orlando) 7.0% / Windermere 93.0% |
FHSAA Independent League B
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| (3A) Discovery (Lake Alfred) vs. All Saints (Winter Haven) | All Saints (Winter Haven) 28, Discovery (Lake Alfred) 2 | Discovery (Lake Alfred) 1.9% / All Saints (Winter Haven) 98.1% |
| (OOS) Bluffton (SC) vs. P. K. Yonge (Gainesville) | Bluffton (SC) 37, P. K. Yonge (Gainesville) 2 | Bluffton (SC) 99.6% / P. K. Yonge (Gainesville) 0.4% |
| (3A) Anclote (Holiday) vs. Canterbury (Fort Myers) | Canterbury (Fort Myers) 34, Anclote (Holiday) 15 | Anclote (Holiday) 4.9% / Canterbury (Fort Myers) 95.1% |
| (Ind.) NextGen Prep (Pompano Beach) vs. Central Florida Christian (Orlando) | Central Florida Christian (Orlando) 26, NextGen Prep (Pompano Beach) 22 | NextGen Prep (Pompano Beach) 35.2% / Central Florida Christian (Orlando) 64.8% |
| (SSAA 11-Man) Cambridge Christian (Tampa) vs. Foundation Academy (Winter Garden) | Foundation Academy (Winter Garden) 34, Cambridge Christian (Tampa) 16 | Cambridge Christian (Tampa) 6.0% / Foundation Academy (Winter Garden) 94.0% |
| Geneva (Casselberry) vs. (SSAA 11-Man) Boca Raton Christian | Geneva (Casselberry) 36, Boca Raton Christian 27 | Geneva (Casselberry) 79.5% / Boca Raton Christian 20.5% |
| (SSAA 11-Man) Legacy Charter (Ocoee) vs. Halifax Academy (Daytona Beach) | Halifax Academy (Daytona Beach) 5, Legacy Charter (Ocoee) 2 | Legacy Charter (Ocoee) 35.1% / Halifax Academy (Daytona Beach) 64.9% |
| Holy Trinity (Melbourne) vs. (SSAA Atlantic) Somerset Canyons (Boynton Beach) | Holy Trinity (Melbourne) 29, Somerset Canyons (Boynton Beach) 18 | Holy Trinity (Melbourne) 84.4% / Somerset Canyons (Boynton Beach) 15.6% |
| (1A) Holmes County (Bonifay) vs. Jay | Jay 34, Holmes County (Bonifay) 33 | Holmes County (Bonifay) 47.3% / Jay 52.7% |
| (Ind.) Cornerstone Charter (Belle Isle) vs. Lake Highland Prep (Orlando) | Lake Highland Prep (Orlando) 27, Cornerstone Charter (Belle Isle) 23 | Cornerstone Charter (Belle Isle) 34.3% / Lake Highland Prep (Orlando) 65.7% |
| Marco Island Academy vs. Babcock (Babcock Ranch) | Marco Island Academy 20, Babcock (Babcock Ranch) 4 | Marco Island Academy 92.1% / Babcock (Babcock Ranch) 7.9% |
| Mount Dora Christian vs. (IND A) Pine Ridge (Deltona) | Mount Dora Christian 50, Pine Ridge (Deltona) 0 | Mount Dora Christian 100.0% / Pine Ridge (Deltona) 0.0% |
| (SSAA Atlantic) Crescent City vs. Orangewood Christian (Maitland) | Orangewood Christian (Maitland) 38, Crescent City 9 | Crescent City 1.2% / Orangewood Christian (Maitland) 98.8% |
| Pine Crest (Fort Lauderdale) vs. (SSAA 11-Man) Oxbridge Academy (West Palm Beach) | Pine Crest (Fort Lauderdale) 27, Oxbridge Academy (West Palm Beach) 15 | Pine Crest (Fort Lauderdale) 85.4% / Oxbridge Academy (West Palm Beach) 14.6% |
| Providence (Jacksonville) vs. (1A) Impact Christian (Jacksonville) | Providence (Jacksonville) 23, Impact Christian (Jacksonville) 20 | Providence (Jacksonville) 61.9% / Impact Christian (Jacksonville) 38.1% |
| (Ind.) West Oaks Academy (Orlando) vs. The Masters Academy (Oviedo) | The Masters Academy (Oviedo) 35, West Oaks Academy (Orlando) 11 | West Oaks Academy (Orlando) 2.5% / The Masters Academy (Oviedo) 97.5% |
| Windermere Prep vs. Bishop McLaughlin (Spring Hill) | Windermere Prep 22, Bishop McLaughlin (Spring Hill) 20 | Windermere Prep 57.1% / Bishop McLaughlin (Spring Hill) 42.9% |
Independents
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Ferguson (Miami) vs. (2A) Gulliver Prep (Pinecrest) | Ferguson (Miami) 34, Gulliver Prep (Pinecrest) 14 | Ferguson (Miami) 95.5% / Gulliver Prep (Pinecrest) 4.5% |
| IMG Academy National (Bradenton) vs. (2A) The First Academy (Orlando) | IMG Academy National (Bradenton) 50, The First Academy (Orlando) 29 | IMG Academy National (Bradenton) 96.0% / The First Academy (Orlando) 4.0% |
| Braddock (Miami) vs. Miami Beach | Miami Beach 23, Braddock (Miami) 17 | Braddock (Miami) 28.9% / Miami Beach 71.1% |
| Miami Coral Park vs. Miami Sunset | Miami Sunset 13, Miami Coral Park 0 | Miami Coral Park 10.1% / Miami Sunset 89.9% |
| Nova Lakes (St. Cloud) vs. (IND A) Colonial (Orlando) | Nova Lakes (St. Cloud) 12, Colonial (Orlando) 11 | Nova Lakes (St. Cloud) 52.2% / Colonial (Orlando) 47.8% |
| Palm Beach Christian Prep (Greenacres) vs. Parkridge Christian (Coral Springs) | Parkridge Christian (Coral Springs) 19, Palm Beach Christian Prep (Greenacres) 0 | Palm Beach Christian Prep (Greenacres) 2.1% / Parkridge Christian (Coral Springs) 97.9% |
| Reagan (Doral) vs. Varela (Miami) | Reagan (Doral) 25, Varela (Miami) 10 | Reagan (Doral) 91.0% / Varela (Miami) 9.0% |
| Hialeah-Miami Lakes vs. South Miami | South Miami 19, Hialeah-Miami Lakes 2 | Hialeah-Miami Lakes 6.5% / South Miami 93.5% |
