FPRI enters Week 6 after going 180-56 (.763) in Week 5, pushing the season record to 950-398-1 (.705). Week 5 was the model’s second-best straight-up forecast percentage of the season, narrowly behind Week 4’s .769.
How FPRI Has Done This Season
Week 0: 23-13 (.639)
Week 1: 185-99-1 (.651)
Week 2: 188-91 (.674)
Week 3: 178-80 (.690)
Week 4: 196-59 (.769)
Week 5: 180-56 (.763)
Season: 950-398-1 (.705)
Ties count as half a win when calculating forecast percentage. Games without a result are excluded from the prediction record.
Week 6 gives the model another substantial statewide test, with several matchups sitting almost directly on the 50-50 line.
Taylor County is projected to edge Fort White 32-31 with only a 50.8% win probability, while Rickards carries a 50.9% edge over Arnold in another projected one-point game. Trenton is a 51.1% favorite over Chiefland, Pinellas Park holds a 51.5% edge over St. Petersburg, and Beachside is projected 30-29 over Nease with a 52.3% win probability.
One of the biggest games anywhere in Florida also lands in toss-up territory. Miami Central is projected to edge Miami Northwestern 36-35, with the Rockets holding only a 54.1% win probability. West Orange is projected 36-34 over Edgewater with a 58.6% edge, while Sumner is projected 32-31 over Manatee at 55.2%.
Elsewhere, FPRI projects Bradford 38-30 over Madison County, Mandarin 35-29 over Fletcher, Tate 30-24 over Niceville, Lakewood 28-22 over Berkeley Prep and Godby 30-25 over Baker County.
At the other end of the spectrum, Week 6 includes another sizable group of heavy favorites. The projected scores and probabilities will provide another test of the confidence calibration that has separated the model’s strongest favorites from its true toss-ups.
About The Projections
The tables below include FPRI’s projected final score and win probability for each team.
Games are organized by the classification of the projected winner, beginning with Class 6A and continuing through Class 1A, the SSAA divisions, the FHSAA independent leagues and standalone independents.
When teams from different classifications meet, the opponent’s classification is shown in parentheses where applicable.
For SSAA and FHSAA independent league opponents, the labels are shown as (SSAA 11-Man), (SSAA Atlantic), (SSAA 8-Man), (IND A) and (IND B).
When an out-of-state team is projected to win, the matchup is placed under the classification of the Florida school involved rather than creating a separate out-of-state section.
Class 6A
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Alonso (Tampa) vs. Palm Harbor University | Alonso (Tampa) 40, Palm Harbor University 15 | Alonso (Tampa) 98.0% / Palm Harbor University 2.0% |
| Apopka vs. Seminole (Sanford) | Seminole (Sanford) 31, Apopka 9 | Apopka 3.0% / Seminole (Sanford) 97.0% |
| Boca Raton vs. Park Vista (Lake Worth) | Park Vista (Lake Worth) 22, Boca Raton 19 | Boca Raton 40.0% / Park Vista (Lake Worth) 60.0% |
| Coral Gables vs. South Dade (Homestead) | South Dade (Homestead) 22, Coral Gables 18 | Coral Gables 33.8% / South Dade (Homestead) 66.2% |
| (SSAA Atlantic) Coral Springs Charter vs. Nova (Davie) | Nova (Davie) 30, Coral Springs Charter 12 | Coral Springs Charter 5.6% / Nova (Davie) 94.4% |
| Creekside (St. Johns) vs. Sandalwood (Jacksonville) | Creekside (St. Johns) 40, Sandalwood (Jacksonville) 16 | Creekside (St. Johns) 97.6% / Sandalwood (Jacksonville) 2.4% |
| Dr. Joaquin Garcia (Lake Worth) vs. Santaluces (Lantana) | Dr. Joaquin Garcia (Lake Worth) 28, Santaluces (Lantana) 20 | Dr. Joaquin Garcia (Lake Worth) 77.8% / Santaluces (Lantana) 22.2% |
| Dr. Phillips (Orlando) vs. Olympia (Orlando) | Dr. Phillips (Orlando) 28, Olympia (Orlando) 12 | Dr. Phillips (Orlando) 92.9% / Olympia (Orlando) 7.1% |
| East Ridge (Clermont) vs. Celebration | East Ridge (Clermont) 42, Celebration 0 | East Ridge (Clermont) 99.9% / Celebration 0.1% |
| First Coast (Jacksonville) vs. Atlantic Coast (Jacksonville) | First Coast (Jacksonville) 17, Atlantic Coast (Jacksonville) 14 | First Coast (Jacksonville) 62.5% / Atlantic Coast (Jacksonville) 37.5% |
| Flagler Palm Coast vs. Tocoi Creek (St. Augustine) | Flagler Palm Coast 43, Tocoi Creek (St. Augustine) 3 | Flagler Palm Coast 99.8% / Tocoi Creek (St. Augustine) 0.2% |
| Fort Pierce Central vs. Vero Beach | Vero Beach 45, Fort Pierce Central 27 | Fort Pierce Central 5.9% / Vero Beach 94.1% |
| Gateway (Kissimmee) vs. (Ind.) Nova Lakes (St. Cloud) | Gateway (Kissimmee) 36, Nova Lakes (St. Cloud) 0 | Gateway (Kissimmee) 99.7% / Nova Lakes (St. Cloud) 0.3% |
| George Jenkins (Lakeland) vs. Davenport | George Jenkins (Lakeland) 22, Davenport 16 | George Jenkins (Lakeland) 71.5% / Davenport 28.5% |
| Goleman (Miami) vs. Miami | Goleman (Miami) 36, Miami 9 | Goleman (Miami) 98.4% / Miami 1.6% |
| Hagerty (Oviedo) vs. Winter Park | Winter Park 27, Hagerty (Oviedo) 25 | Hagerty (Oviedo) 42.1% / Winter Park 57.9% |
| Harmony vs. Tohopekaliga (Kissimmee) | Tohopekaliga (Kissimmee) 30, Harmony 17 | Harmony 11.9% / Tohopekaliga (Kissimmee) 88.1% |
| Homestead vs. Columbus (Miami) | Columbus (Miami) 51, Homestead 0 | Homestead 0.0% / Columbus (Miami) 100.0% |
| Jupiter vs. Wellington | Jupiter 39, Wellington 16 | Jupiter 97.2% / Wellington 2.8% |
| Lake Brantley (Altamonte Springs) vs. Lake Mary | Lake Mary 41, Lake Brantley (Altamonte Springs) 18 | Lake Brantley (Altamonte Springs) 2.7% / Lake Mary 97.3% |
| Lakewood Ranch (Bradenton) vs. North Port | Lakewood Ranch (Bradenton) 28, North Port 7 | Lakewood Ranch (Bradenton) 96.2% / North Port 3.8% |
| Lehigh (Lehigh Acres) vs. Riverview (Sarasota) | Riverview (Sarasota) 54, Lehigh (Lehigh Acres) 0 | Lehigh (Lehigh Acres) 0.0% / Riverview (Sarasota) 100.0% |
| Lennard (Ruskin) vs. Plant City | Lennard (Ruskin) 28, Plant City 25 | Lennard (Ruskin) 64.2% / Plant City 35.8% |
| Mainland (Daytona Beach) vs. University (Orange City) | Mainland (Daytona Beach) 20, University (Orange City) 14 | Mainland (Daytona Beach) 70.7% / University (Orange City) 29.3% |
| (SSAA 11-Man) Monsignor Pace (Miami) vs. Doral Academy | Doral Academy 25, Monsignor Pace (Miami) 19 | Monsignor Pace (Miami) 28.5% / Doral Academy 71.5% |
| Ocoee vs. Horizon (Winter Garden) | Ocoee 36, Horizon (Winter Garden) 6 | Ocoee 99.0% / Horizon (Winter Garden) 1.0% |
| Palm Beach Central (Wellington) vs. Palm Beach Lakes (West Palm Beach) | Palm Beach Central (Wellington) 35, Palm Beach Lakes (West Palm Beach) 14 | Palm Beach Central (Wellington) 96.5% / Palm Beach Lakes (West Palm Beach) 3.5% |
| Poinciana (Kissimmee) vs. Winter Haven | Winter Haven 25, Poinciana (Kissimmee) 17 | Poinciana (Kissimmee) 23.8% / Winter Haven 76.2% |
| Ridge Community (Davenport) vs. Haines City | Haines City 21, Ridge Community (Davenport) 5 | Ridge Community (Davenport) 7.8% / Haines City 92.2% |
| Riverview (Riverview) vs. Durant (Plant City) | Durant (Plant City) 27, Riverview (Riverview) 17 | Riverview (Riverview) 19.2% / Durant (Plant City) 80.8% |
| Sarasota vs. Venice | Venice 63, Sarasota 23 | Sarasota 0.2% / Venice 99.8% |
| South Plantation vs. (IND A) Stoneman Douglas (Parkland) | South Plantation 34, Stoneman Douglas (Parkland) 0 | South Plantation 99.6% / Stoneman Douglas (Parkland) 0.4% |
| Southwest Miami vs. Miami Palmetto | Miami Palmetto 49, Southwest Miami 0 | Southwest Miami 0.0% / Miami Palmetto 100.0% |
| Spanish River (Boca Raton) vs. Coral Glades (Coral Springs) | Spanish River (Boca Raton) 26, Coral Glades (Coral Springs) 13 | Spanish River (Boca Raton) 87.9% / Coral Glades (Coral Springs) 12.1% |
| Spruce Creek (Port Orange) vs. DeLand | DeLand 39, Spruce Creek (Port Orange) 25 | Spruce Creek (Port Orange) 9.6% / DeLand 90.4% |
| St. Cloud vs. Lake Nona (Orlando) | Lake Nona (Orlando) 38, St. Cloud 21 | St. Cloud 6.2% / Lake Nona (Orlando) 93.8% |
| Steinbrenner (Lutz) vs. Strawberry Crest (Dover) | Steinbrenner (Lutz) 34, Strawberry Crest (Dover) 18 | Steinbrenner (Lutz) 91.9% / Strawberry Crest (Dover) 8.1% |
| Timber Creek (Orlando) vs. Boone (Orlando) | Boone (Orlando) 31, Timber Creek (Orlando) 9 | Timber Creek (Orlando) 3.2% / Boone (Orlando) 96.8% |
| Treasure Coast (Port St. Lucie) vs. Centennial (Port St. Lucie) | Centennial (Port St. Lucie) 17, Treasure Coast (Port St. Lucie) 14 | Treasure Coast (Port St. Lucie) 36.1% / Centennial (Port St. Lucie) 63.9% |
| West Broward (Pembroke Pines) vs. (OOS) Camden County (GA) | West Broward (Pembroke Pines) 40, Camden County (GA) 24 | West Broward (Pembroke Pines) 92.5% / Camden County (GA) 7.5% |
| West Orange (Winter Garden) vs. Edgewater (Orlando) | West Orange (Winter Garden) 36, Edgewater (Orlando) 34 | West Orange (Winter Garden) 58.6% / Edgewater (Orlando) 41.4% |
| Western (Davie) vs. Cypress Bay (Weston) | Western (Davie) 32, Cypress Bay (Weston) 27 | Western (Davie) 68.1% / Cypress Bay (Weston) 31.9% |
Class 5A
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Archbishop McCarthy (Southwest Ranches) vs. Royal Palm Beach | Archbishop McCarthy (Southwest Ranches) 35, Royal Palm Beach 24 | Archbishop McCarthy (Southwest Ranches) 83.5% / Royal Palm Beach 16.5% |
| Armwood (Seffner) vs. Plant (Tampa) | Armwood (Seffner) 42, Plant (Tampa) 17 | Armwood (Seffner) 97.7% / Plant (Tampa) 2.3% |
| Auburndale vs. Lakeland | Lakeland 45, Auburndale 21 | Auburndale 2.4% / Lakeland 97.6% |
| Bartow vs. Sebring | Bartow 22, Sebring 20 | Bartow 56.5% / Sebring 43.5% |
| Beachside (St. Johns) vs. Nease (Ponte Vedra) | Beachside (St. Johns) 30, Nease (Ponte Vedra) 29 | Beachside (St. Johns) 52.3% / Nease (Ponte Vedra) 47.7% |
| Bloomingdale (Valrico) vs. Tampa Bay Tech | Tampa Bay Tech 51, Bloomingdale (Valrico) 19 | Bloomingdale (Valrico) 0.7% / Tampa Bay Tech 99.3% |
| Crestview vs. Pace | Pace 50, Crestview 0 | Crestview 0.0% / Pace 100.0% |
| Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel) vs. Wesley Chapel | Wesley Chapel 32, Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel) 0 | Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel) 0.6% / Wesley Chapel 99.4% |
| Deerfield Beach vs. Monarch (Coconut Creek) | Monarch (Coconut Creek) 35, Deerfield Beach 19 | Deerfield Beach 8.2% / Monarch (Coconut Creek) 91.8% |
| Dwyer (Palm Beach Gardens) vs. Palm Beach Gardens | Dwyer (Palm Beach Gardens) 11, Palm Beach Gardens 10 | Dwyer (Palm Beach Gardens) 52.5% / Palm Beach Gardens 47.5% |
| East Lee County (Lehigh Acres) vs. Charlotte (Punta Gorda) | Charlotte (Punta Gorda) 44, East Lee County (Lehigh Acres) 0 | East Lee County (Lehigh Acres) 0.0% / Charlotte (Punta Gorda) 100.0% |
| Evans (Orlando) vs. Lake Minneola | Evans (Orlando) 41, Lake Minneola 6 | Evans (Orlando) 99.5% / Lake Minneola 0.5% |
| Flanagan (Pembroke Pines) vs. Boyd Anderson (Lauderdale Lakes) | Boyd Anderson (Lauderdale Lakes) 22, Flanagan (Pembroke Pines) 15 | Flanagan (Pembroke Pines) 26.9% / Boyd Anderson (Lauderdale Lakes) 73.1% |
| Fletcher (Neptune Beach) vs. Mandarin (Jacksonville) | Mandarin (Jacksonville) 35, Fletcher (Neptune Beach) 29 | Fletcher (Neptune Beach) 26.8% / Mandarin (Jacksonville) 73.2% |
| Forest (Ocala) vs. Buchholz (Gainesville) | Buchholz (Gainesville) 47, Forest (Ocala) 15 | Forest (Ocala) 0.7% / Buchholz (Gainesville) 99.3% |
| Gaither (Tampa) vs. Largo | Gaither (Tampa) 36, Largo 29 | Gaither (Tampa) 72.6% / Largo 27.4% |
| Immokalee vs. North Fort Myers | Immokalee 40, North Fort Myers 20 | Immokalee 95.4% / North Fort Myers 4.6% |
| Lake Gibson (Lakeland) vs. Osceola (Kissimmee) | Osceola (Kissimmee) 25, Lake Gibson (Lakeland) 14 | Lake Gibson (Lakeland) 15.3% / Osceola (Kissimmee) 84.7% |
| Lake Howell (Winter Park) vs. Lyman (Longwood) | Lake Howell (Winter Park) 32, Lyman (Longwood) 7 | Lake Howell (Winter Park) 97.9% / Lyman (Longwood) 2.1% |
| Manatee (Bradenton) vs. Sumner (Riverview) | Sumner (Riverview) 32, Manatee (Bradenton) 31 | Manatee (Bradenton) 44.8% / Sumner (Riverview) 55.2% |
| Martin County (Stuart) vs. Seminole Ridge (Westlake) | Martin County (Stuart) 28, Seminole Ridge (Westlake) 5 | Martin County (Stuart) 97.4% / Seminole Ridge (Westlake) 2.6% |
| Mater Academy (Hialeah Gardens) vs. Miami Southridge | Miami Southridge 29, Mater Academy (Hialeah Gardens) 26 | Mater Academy (Hialeah Gardens) 37.9% / Miami Southridge 62.1% |
| Mitchell (New Port Richey) vs. East Lake (Tarpon Springs) | Mitchell (New Port Richey) 37, East Lake (Tarpon Springs) 25 | Mitchell (New Port Richey) 85.9% / East Lake (Tarpon Springs) 14.1% |
| Olympic Heights (Boca Raton) vs. West Boca Raton | West Boca Raton 63, Olympic Heights (Boca Raton) 0 | Olympic Heights (Boca Raton) 0.0% / West Boca Raton 100.0% |
| Oviedo vs. East River (Orlando) | Oviedo 52, East River (Orlando) 0 | Oviedo 100.0% / East River (Orlando) 0.0% |
| Palmetto vs. Parrish Community | Palmetto 52, Parrish Community 0 | Palmetto 100.0% / Parrish Community 0.0% |
| (IND A) Pine Ridge (Deltona) vs. Matanzas (Palm Coast) | Matanzas (Palm Coast) 24, Pine Ridge (Deltona) 2 | Pine Ridge (Deltona) 3.7% / Matanzas (Palm Coast) 96.3% |
| Ponte Vedra vs. Bartram Trail (St. Johns) | Ponte Vedra 29, Bartram Trail (St. Johns) 24 | Ponte Vedra 67.8% / Bartram Trail (St. Johns) 32.2% |
| Riverdale (Fort Myers) vs. Cape Coral | Riverdale (Fort Myers) 34, Cape Coral 28 | Riverdale (Fort Myers) 73.2% / Cape Coral 26.8% |
| Royal Palm Beach vs. South Fork (Stuart) | Royal Palm Beach 34, South Fork (Stuart) 20 | Royal Palm Beach 89.5% / South Fork (Stuart) 10.5% |
| (SSAA Atlantic) Somerset Canyons (Boynton Beach) vs. Dwyer (Palm Beach Gardens) | Dwyer (Palm Beach Gardens) 17, Somerset Canyons (Boynton Beach) 2 | Somerset Canyons (Boynton Beach) 8.8% / Dwyer (Palm Beach Gardens) 91.2% |
| Spoto (Riverview) vs. Leto (Tampa) | Spoto (Riverview) 24, Leto (Tampa) 2 | Spoto (Riverview) 96.6% / Leto (Tampa) 3.4% |
| Tate (Cantonment) vs. Niceville | Tate (Cantonment) 30, Niceville 24 | Tate (Cantonment) 70.1% / Niceville 29.9% |
| Viera (Melbourne) vs. (OOS) Catholic Memorial (MA) | Catholic Memorial (MA) 46, Viera (Melbourne) 27 | Viera (Melbourne) 4.9% / Catholic Memorial (MA) 95.1% |
| Wekiva (Apopka) vs. South Lake (Groveland) | Wekiva (Apopka) 21, South Lake (Groveland) 19 | Wekiva (Apopka) 56.7% / South Lake (Groveland) 43.3% |
| West Port (Ocala) vs. Oakleaf (Orange Park) | Oakleaf (Orange Park) 40, West Port (Ocala) 2 | West Port (Ocala) 0.3% / Oakleaf (Orange Park) 99.7% |
| Wharton (Tampa) vs. Land O Lakes | Land O Lakes 38, Wharton (Tampa) 10 | Wharton (Tampa) 1.4% / Land O Lakes 98.6% |
| Wiregrass Ranch (Wesley Chapel) vs. Sunlake (Land O’Lakes) | Wiregrass Ranch (Wesley Chapel) 25, Sunlake (Land O’Lakes) 22 | Wiregrass Ranch (Wesley Chapel) 63.2% / Sunlake (Land O’Lakes) 36.8% |
Class 4A
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| American (Hialeah) vs. (2A) Miami Edison | American (Hialeah) 31, Miami Edison 7 | American (Hialeah) 97.4% / Miami Edison 2.6% |
| Atlantic (Delray Beach) vs. (SSAA Atlantic) Keystone Heights | Atlantic (Delray Beach) 34, Keystone Heights 6 | Atlantic (Delray Beach) 98.7% / Keystone Heights 1.3% |
| Aubrey Rogers (Naples) vs. Golden Gate (Naples) | Golden Gate (Naples) 29, Aubrey Rogers (Naples) 20 | Aubrey Rogers (Naples) 20.1% / Golden Gate (Naples) 79.9% |
| Brandon vs. Lake Wales | Lake Wales 55, Brandon 0 | Brandon 0.0% / Lake Wales 100.0% |
| Chiles (Tallahassee) vs. Leon (Tallahassee) | Leon (Tallahassee) 29, Chiles (Tallahassee) 23 | Chiles (Tallahassee) 28.8% / Leon (Tallahassee) 71.2% |
| Choctawhatchee (Fort Walton Beach) vs. Milton | Choctawhatchee (Fort Walton Beach) 40, Milton 9 | Choctawhatchee (Fort Walton Beach) 99.1% / Milton 0.9% |
| Clay (Green Cove Springs) vs. St. Augustine | St. Augustine 52, Clay (Green Cove Springs) 18 | Clay (Green Cove Springs) 0.5% / St. Augustine 99.5% |
| Deltona vs. Bishop Moore (Orlando) | Bishop Moore (Orlando) 39, Deltona 12 | Deltona 1.5% / Bishop Moore (Orlando) 98.5% |
| (IND A) Englewood (Jacksonville) vs. Ribault (Jacksonville) | Ribault (Jacksonville) 31, Englewood (Jacksonville) 0 | Englewood (Jacksonville) 0.3% / Ribault (Jacksonville) 99.7% |
| Escambia (Pensacola) vs. Booker T. Washington (Pensacola) | Escambia (Pensacola) 25, Booker T. Washington (Pensacola) 19 | Escambia (Pensacola) 71.9% / Booker T. Washington (Pensacola) 28.1% |
| Estero vs. Naples | Naples 42, Estero 30 | Estero 13.0% / Naples 87.0% |
| Fivay (Hudson) vs. Zephyrhills | Zephyrhills 41, Fivay (Hudson) 8 | Fivay (Hudson) 0.7% / Zephyrhills 99.3% |
| Fleming Island vs. Orange Park | Fleming Island 29, Orange Park 16 | Fleming Island 88.8% / Orange Park 11.2% |
| Fort Myers vs. Dunbar (Fort Myers) | Dunbar (Fort Myers) 38, Fort Myers 15 | Fort Myers 2.8% / Dunbar (Fort Myers) 97.2% |
| Fort Pierce Westwood vs. Legacy (Port St. Lucie) | Fort Pierce Westwood 22, Legacy (Port St. Lucie) 7 | Fort Pierce Westwood 89.9% / Legacy (Port St. Lucie) 10.1% |
| Fort Walton Beach vs. Gulf Breeze | Fort Walton Beach 35, Gulf Breeze 0 | Fort Walton Beach 99.7% / Gulf Breeze 0.3% |
| Freedom (Tampa) vs. East Bay (Gibsonton) | East Bay (Gibsonton) 43, Freedom (Tampa) 0 | Freedom (Tampa) 0.0% / East Bay (Gibsonton) 100.0% |
| Gainesville vs. Vanguard (Ocala) | Vanguard (Ocala) 33, Gainesville 14 | Gainesville 5.1% / Vanguard (Ocala) 94.9% |
| Gulf Coast (Naples) vs. Barron Collier (Naples) | Gulf Coast (Naples) 36, Barron Collier (Naples) 24 | Gulf Coast (Naples) 86.1% / Barron Collier (Naples) 13.9% |
| Heritage (Palm Bay) vs. (2A) Cocoa | Heritage (Palm Bay) 24, Cocoa 17 | Heritage (Palm Bay) 76.6% / Cocoa 23.4% |
| (Ind.) Hialeah-Miami Lakes vs. Hialeah | Hialeah 17, Hialeah-Miami Lakes 9 | Hialeah-Miami Lakes 24.8% / Hialeah 75.2% |
| Hillsborough (Tampa) vs. Blake (Tampa) | Hillsborough (Tampa) 30, Blake (Tampa) 13 | Hillsborough (Tampa) 93.3% / Blake (Tampa) 6.7% |
| Jesuit (Tampa) vs. Middleton (Tampa) | Jesuit (Tampa) 48, Middleton (Tampa) 8 | Jesuit (Tampa) 99.8% / Middleton (Tampa) 0.2% |
| Jones (Orlando) vs. Kathleen (Lakeland) | Jones (Orlando) 56, Kathleen (Lakeland) 0 | Jones (Orlando) 100.0% / Kathleen (Lakeland) 0.0% |
| Lecanto vs. Lake Weir (Ocala) | Lake Weir (Ocala) 29, Lecanto 21 | Lecanto 21.3% / Lake Weir (Ocala) 78.7% |
| Leesburg vs. Mount Dora | Mount Dora 25, Leesburg 4 | Leesburg 4.1% / Mount Dora 95.9% |
| Lincoln (Tallahassee) vs. Mosley (Lynn Haven) | Mosley (Lynn Haven) 40, Lincoln (Tallahassee) 18 | Lincoln (Tallahassee) 3.3% / Mosley (Lynn Haven) 96.7% |
| McArthur (Hollywood) vs. Miami Norland | Miami Norland 33, McArthur (Hollywood) 21 | McArthur (Hollywood) 13.6% / Miami Norland 86.4% |
| Middleburg vs. Ridgeview (Orange Park) | Middleburg 38, Ridgeview (Orange Park) 0 | Middleburg 99.8% / Ridgeview (Orange Park) 0.2% |
| Miramar vs. American Heritage (Plantation) | American Heritage (Plantation) 36, Miramar 8 | Miramar 1.4% / American Heritage (Plantation) 98.6% |
| Northeast (Oakland Park) vs. Blanche Ely (Pompano Beach) | Blanche Ely (Pompano Beach) 48, Northeast (Oakland Park) 0 | Northeast (Oakland Park) 0.0% / Blanche Ely (Pompano Beach) 100.0% |
| Northeast (St. Petersburg) vs. Clearwater | Clearwater 45, Northeast (St. Petersburg) 5 | Northeast (St. Petersburg) 0.2% / Clearwater 99.8% |
| Osceola (Seminole) vs. Hollins (St. Petersburg) | Osceola (Seminole) 22, Hollins (St. Petersburg) 2 | Osceola (Seminole) 95.6% / Hollins (St. Petersburg) 4.4% |
| Pasco (Dade City) vs. Hudson | Pasco (Dade City) 24, Hudson 2 | Pasco (Dade City) 96.8% / Hudson 3.2% |
| Pinellas Park (Largo) vs. St. Petersburg | Pinellas Park (Largo) 16, St. Petersburg 15 | Pinellas Park (Largo) 51.5% / St. Petersburg 48.5% |
| Port Charlotte vs. South Fort Myers | Port Charlotte 35, South Fort Myers 31 | Port Charlotte 66.0% / South Fort Myers 34.0% |
| Port St. Lucie vs. Jensen Beach | Jensen Beach 44, Port St. Lucie 0 | Port St. Lucie 0.0% / Jensen Beach 100.0% |
| Rickards (Tallahassee) vs. Arnold (Panama City Beach) | Rickards (Tallahassee) 17, Arnold (Panama City Beach) 16 | Rickards (Tallahassee) 50.9% / Arnold (Panama City Beach) 49.1% |
| Riverside (Jacksonville) vs. Columbia (Lake City) | Columbia (Lake City) 47, Riverside (Jacksonville) 3 | Riverside (Jacksonville) 0.1% / Columbia (Lake City) 99.9% |
| Seabreeze (Daytona Beach) vs. New Smyrna Beach | New Smyrna Beach 40, Seabreeze (Daytona Beach) 14 | Seabreeze (Daytona Beach) 1.9% / New Smyrna Beach 98.1% |
| Springstead (Spring Hill) vs. Gulf (New Port Richey) | Gulf (New Port Richey) 22, Springstead (Spring Hill) 19 | Springstead (Spring Hill) 40.5% / Gulf (New Port Richey) 59.5% |
| Yulee vs. Ed White (Jacksonville) | Ed White (Jacksonville) 40, Yulee 28 | Yulee 13.4% / Ed White (Jacksonville) 86.6% |
Class 3A
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Anclote (Holiday) vs. Countryside (Clearwater) | Countryside (Clearwater) 23, Anclote (Holiday) 11 | Anclote (Holiday) 13.6% / Countryside (Clearwater) 86.4% |
| Astronaut (Titusville) vs. Eau Gallie (Melbourne) | Eau Gallie (Melbourne) 30, Astronaut (Titusville) 18 | Astronaut (Titusville) 13.3% / Eau Gallie (Melbourne) 86.7% |
| Baker County (Glen St. Mary) vs. Godby (Tallahassee) | Godby (Tallahassee) 30, Baker County (Glen St. Mary) 25 | Baker County (Glen St. Mary) 32.9% / Godby (Tallahassee) 67.1% |
| Bay (Panama City) vs. Pensacola | Bay (Panama City) 38, Pensacola 16 | Bay (Panama City) 96.7% / Pensacola 3.3% |
| Bayshore (Bradenton) vs. Wellen Park (North Port) | Bayshore (Bradenton) 25, Wellen Park (North Port) 18 | Bayshore (Bradenton) 74.8% / Wellen Park (North Port) 25.2% |
| Boynton Beach vs. Glades Central (Belle Glade) | Glades Central (Belle Glade) 40, Boynton Beach 2 | Boynton Beach 0.3% / Glades Central (Belle Glade) 99.7% |
| Braden River (Bradenton) vs. Cardinal Mooney (Sarasota) | Cardinal Mooney (Sarasota) 55, Braden River (Bradenton) 17 | Braden River (Bradenton) 0.3% / Cardinal Mooney (Sarasota) 99.7% |
| Central (Brooksville) vs. Citrus (Inverness) | Citrus (Inverness) 22, Central (Brooksville) 3 | Central (Brooksville) 5.4% / Citrus (Inverness) 94.6% |
| Chamberlain (Tampa) vs. King (Tampa) | King (Tampa) 13, Chamberlain (Tampa) 10 | Chamberlain (Tampa) 39.1% / King (Tampa) 60.9% |
| Crystal River vs. Hernando (Brooksville) | Hernando (Brooksville) 24, Crystal River 5 | Crystal River 4.7% / Hernando (Brooksville) 95.3% |
| Cypress Lake (Fort Myers) vs. Island Coast (Cape Coral) | Cypress Lake (Fort Myers) 14, Island Coast (Cape Coral) 11 | Cypress Lake (Fort Myers) 58.2% / Island Coast (Cape Coral) 41.8% |
| Dunnellon vs. Eastside (Gainesville) | Dunnellon 33, Eastside (Gainesville) 14 | Dunnellon 94.7% / Eastside (Gainesville) 5.3% |
| Eustis vs. South Sumter (Bushnell) | South Sumter (Bushnell) 41, Eustis 2 | Eustis 0.2% / South Sumter (Bushnell) 99.8% |
| Lely (Naples) vs. Bishop Verot (Fort Myers) | Bishop Verot (Fort Myers) 46, Lely (Naples) 6 | Lely (Naples) 0.2% / Bishop Verot (Fort Myers) 99.8% |
| Menendez (St. Augustine) vs. Wolfson (Jacksonville) | Menendez (St. Augustine) 26, Wolfson (Jacksonville) 20 | Menendez (St. Augustine) 70.1% / Wolfson (Jacksonville) 29.9% |
| Miami Central vs. (4A) Miami Northwestern | Miami Central 36, Miami Northwestern 35 | Miami Central 54.1% / Miami Northwestern 45.9% |
| Miami Jackson vs. Miami Springs | Miami Springs 31, Miami Jackson 0 | Miami Jackson 0.8% / Miami Springs 99.2% |
| Morgan (Wimauma) vs. Jefferson (Tampa) | Jefferson (Tampa) 35, Morgan (Wimauma) 14 | Morgan (Wimauma) 3.8% / Jefferson (Tampa) 96.2% |
| Nature Coast (Brooksville) vs. Weeki Wachee | Nature Coast (Brooksville) 34, Weeki Wachee 0 | Nature Coast (Brooksville) 99.5% / Weeki Wachee 0.5% |
| North Miami Beach vs. St. Brendan (Miami) | North Miami Beach 38, St. Brendan (Miami) 0 | North Miami Beach 99.8% / St. Brendan (Miami) 0.2% |
| Palm Bay (Melbourne) vs. Rockledge | Palm Bay (Melbourne) 16, Rockledge 10 | Palm Bay (Melbourne) 70.7% / Rockledge 29.3% |
| Pine Forest (Pensacola) vs. South Walton (Santa Rosa Beach) | South Walton (Santa Rosa Beach) 33, Pine Forest (Pensacola) 20 | Pine Forest (Pensacola) 12.3% / South Walton (Santa Rosa Beach) 87.7% |
| (4A) Plantation vs. Cardinal Gibbons (Fort Lauderdale) | Cardinal Gibbons (Fort Lauderdale) 29, Plantation 19 | Plantation 17.1% / Cardinal Gibbons (Fort Lauderdale) 82.9% |
| Robinson (Tampa) vs. (5A) Sickles (Tampa) | Robinson (Tampa) 30, Sickles (Tampa) 7 | Robinson (Tampa) 97.1% / Sickles (Tampa) 2.9% |
| Santa Fe (Alachua) vs. North Marion (Citra) | Santa Fe (Alachua) 45, North Marion (Citra) 0 | Santa Fe (Alachua) 99.9% / North Marion (Citra) 0.1% |
| Seminole (Seminole) vs. Gibbs (St. Petersburg) | Seminole (Seminole) 17, Gibbs (St. Petersburg) 15 | Seminole (Seminole) 57.9% / Gibbs (St. Petersburg) 42.1% |
| Stranahan (Fort Lauderdale) vs. Dillard (Fort Lauderdale) | Dillard (Fort Lauderdale) 45, Stranahan (Fort Lauderdale) 0 | Stranahan (Fort Lauderdale) 0.1% / Dillard (Fort Lauderdale) 99.9% |
| Suwannee (Live Oak) vs. Wakulla (Crawfordville) | Wakulla (Crawfordville) 31, Suwannee (Live Oak) 22 | Suwannee (Live Oak) 20.4% / Wakulla (Crawfordville) 79.6% |
| Tarpon Springs vs. Dunedin | Tarpon Springs 24, Dunedin 10 | Tarpon Springs 89.6% / Dunedin 10.4% |
| Tenoroc (Lakeland) vs. Mulberry | Tenoroc (Lakeland) 16, Mulberry 11 | Tenoroc (Lakeland) 69.5% / Mulberry 30.5% |
| The Villages vs. Tavares | The Villages 41, Tavares 25 | The Villages 92.2% / Tavares 7.8% |
| Titusville vs. Merritt Island | Merritt Island 36, Titusville 33 | Titusville 38.5% / Merritt Island 61.5% |
| Westside (Jacksonville) vs. Palatka | Palatka 33, Westside (Jacksonville) 0 | Westside (Jacksonville) 0.1% / Palatka 99.9% |
Class 2A
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Baldwin vs. Bolles (Jacksonville) | Bolles (Jacksonville) 53, Baldwin 13 | Baldwin 0.2% / Bolles (Jacksonville) 99.8% |
| Booker T. Washington (Miami) vs. Miami Carol City | Miami Carol City 33, Booker T. Washington (Miami) 12 | Booker T. Washington (Miami) 3.7% / Miami Carol City 96.3% |
| Bradford (Starke) vs. (1A) Madison County (Madison) | Bradford (Starke) 38, Madison County (Madison) 30 | Bradford (Starke) 74.8% / Madison County (Madison) 25.2% |
| Calvary Christian (Clearwater) vs. Boca Ciega (Gulfport) | Calvary Christian (Clearwater) 35, Boca Ciega (Gulfport) 25 | Calvary Christian (Clearwater) 82.4% / Boca Ciega (Gulfport) 17.6% |
| Chaminade-Madonna (Hollywood) vs. (3A) Cardinal Gibbons (Fort Lauderdale) | Chaminade-Madonna (Hollywood) 43, Cardinal Gibbons (Fort Lauderdale) 22 | Chaminade-Madonna (Hollywood) 96.1% / Cardinal Gibbons (Fort Lauderdale) 3.9% |
| Clearwater Central Catholic vs. Tampa Catholic | Clearwater Central Catholic 42, Tampa Catholic 18 | Clearwater Central Catholic 97.4% / Tampa Catholic 2.6% |
| Destin vs. Pensacola Catholic | Pensacola Catholic 49, Destin 11 | Destin 0.3% / Pensacola Catholic 99.7% |
| Freeport vs. Walton (DeFuniak Springs) | Walton (DeFuniak Springs) 43, Freeport 28 | Freeport 9.1% / Walton (DeFuniak Springs) 90.9% |
| KIPP Bold City (Jacksonville) vs. Andrew Jackson (Jacksonville) | Andrew Jackson (Jacksonville) 47, KIPP Bold City (Jacksonville) 0 | KIPP Bold City (Jacksonville) 0.0% / Andrew Jackson (Jacksonville) 100.0% |
| (SSAA Atlantic) Lafayette (Mayo) vs. Florida High (Tallahassee) | Florida High (Tallahassee) 39, Lafayette (Mayo) 14 | Lafayette (Mayo) 2.2% / Florida High (Tallahassee) 97.8% |
| Lakewood (St. Petersburg) vs. Berkeley Prep (Tampa) | Lakewood (St. Petersburg) 28, Berkeley Prep (Tampa) 22 | Lakewood (St. Petersburg) 71.5% / Berkeley Prep (Tampa) 28.5% |
| Miami Killian vs. Westminster Christian (Miami) | Miami Killian 35, Westminster Christian (Miami) 31 | Miami Killian 65.9% / Westminster Christian (Miami) 34.1% |
| Newberry vs. Trinity Catholic (Ocala) | Newberry 19, Trinity Catholic (Ocala) 16 | Newberry 59.0% / Trinity Catholic (Ocala) 41.0% |
| Ransom Everglades (Miami) vs. Immaculata-La Salle (Miami) | Immaculata-La Salle (Miami) 35, Ransom Everglades (Miami) 23 | Ransom Everglades (Miami) 13.0% / Immaculata-La Salle (Miami) 87.0% |
| Saint Andrew’s (Boca Raton) vs. Chaminade-Madonna (Hollywood) | Chaminade-Madonna (Hollywood) 45, Saint Andrew’s (Boca Raton) 26 | Saint Andrew’s (Boca Raton) 4.7% / Chaminade-Madonna (Hollywood) 95.3% |
| Somerset Charter (Silver Palms) vs. (SSAA 11-Man) NSU University School (Fort Lauderdale) | Somerset Charter (Silver Palms) 26, NSU University School (Fort Lauderdale) 23 | Somerset Charter (Silver Palms) 60.3% / NSU University School (Fort Lauderdale) 39.7% |
Class 1A
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Archbishop Carroll (Miami) vs. Palmer Trinity (Miami) | Archbishop Carroll (Miami) 29, Palmer Trinity (Miami) 15 | Archbishop Carroll (Miami) 88.9% / Palmer Trinity (Miami) 11.1% |
| Baker vs. (2A) North Bay Haven (Panama City) | Baker 50, North Bay Haven (Panama City) 7 | Baker 99.9% / North Bay Haven (Panama City) 0.1% |
| Benjamin (Palm Beach Gardens) vs. (2A) Gulliver Prep (Pinecrest) | Benjamin (Palm Beach Gardens) 21, Gulliver Prep (Pinecrest) 19 | Benjamin (Palm Beach Gardens) 56.1% / Gulliver Prep (Pinecrest) 43.9% |
| Blountstown vs. Port St. Joe | Blountstown 57, Port St. Joe 0 | Blountstown 100.0% / Port St. Joe 0.0% |
| Carrollwood Day (Tampa) vs. Zephyrhills Christian | Carrollwood Day (Tampa) 61, Zephyrhills Christian 9 | Carrollwood Day (Tampa) 100.0% / Zephyrhills Christian 0.0% |
| Community School (Naples) vs. St. John Neumann (Naples) | St. John Neumann (Naples) 39, Community School (Naples) 25 | Community School (Naples) 9.7% / St. John Neumann (Naples) 90.3% |
| (SSAA 11-Man) Gateway Charter (Fort Myers) vs. Father Lopez (Daytona Beach) | Father Lopez (Daytona Beach) 30, Gateway Charter (Fort Myers) 0 | Gateway Charter (Fort Myers) 0.7% / Father Lopez (Daytona Beach) 99.3% |
| (IND A) Ida Baker (Cape Coral) vs. First Baptist (Naples) | First Baptist (Naples) 44, Ida Baker (Cape Coral) 11 | Ida Baker (Cape Coral) 0.7% / First Baptist (Naples) 99.3% |
| Impact Christian (Jacksonville) vs. University Christian (Jacksonville) | University Christian (Jacksonville) 42, Impact Christian (Jacksonville) 11 | Impact Christian (Jacksonville) 0.9% / University Christian (Jacksonville) 99.1% |
| John Carroll (Fort Pierce) vs. Pahokee | John Carroll (Fort Pierce) 27, Pahokee 25 | John Carroll (Fort Pierce) 56.8% / Pahokee 43.2% |
| Lakeland Christian vs. Moore Haven | Lakeland Christian 54, Moore Haven 11 | Lakeland Christian 99.9% / Moore Haven 0.1% |
| Northview (Century) vs. Holmes County (Bonifay) | Holmes County (Bonifay) 34, Northview (Century) 31 | Northview (Century) 39.5% / Holmes County (Bonifay) 60.5% |
| (IND A) Somerset Academy (Pembroke Pines) vs. Moore Haven | Moore Haven 27, Somerset Academy (Pembroke Pines) 3 | Somerset Academy (Pembroke Pines) 2.5% / Moore Haven 97.5% |
| Somerset Prep (North Lauderdale) vs. (Ind.) Parkridge Christian (Coral Springs) | Somerset Prep (North Lauderdale) 16, Parkridge Christian (Coral Springs) 10 | Somerset Prep (North Lauderdale) 72.8% / Parkridge Christian (Coral Springs) 27.2% |
| Taylor County (Perry) vs. Fort White | Taylor County (Perry) 32, Fort White 31 | Taylor County (Perry) 50.8% / Fort White 49.2% |
| Trinity Christian (Jacksonville) vs. North Florida Educational (Jacksonville) | Trinity Christian (Jacksonville) 37, North Florida Educational (Jacksonville) 19 | Trinity Christian (Jacksonville) 94.1% / North Florida Educational (Jacksonville) 5.9% |
| True North (Miami) vs. (3A) Key West | True North (Miami) 35, Key West 25 | True North (Miami) 81.5% / Key West 18.5% |
| Victory Christian (Lakeland) vs. Fort Meade | Victory Christian (Lakeland) 25, Fort Meade 16 | Victory Christian (Lakeland) 78.4% / Fort Meade 21.6% |
| Wildwood vs. Melbourne Central Catholic | Melbourne Central Catholic 37, Wildwood 19 | Wildwood 5.9% / Melbourne Central Catholic 94.1% |
| Williston vs. Hawthorne | Hawthorne 45, Williston 13 | Williston 0.7% / Hawthorne 99.3% |
SSAA 11-Man
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| (IND B) All Saints (Winter Haven) vs. St. Edward’s (Vero Beach) | St. Edward’s (Vero Beach) 28, All Saints (Winter Haven) 16 | All Saints (Winter Haven) 14.2% / St. Edward’s (Vero Beach) 85.8% |
| Boca Raton Christian vs. (Ind.) Faith Christian (Orlando) | Boca Raton Christian 53, Faith Christian (Orlando) 2 | Boca Raton Christian 100.0% / Faith Christian (Orlando) 0.0% |
| (OOS) Brookwood School (GA) vs. Rocky Bayou Christian (Niceville) | Brookwood School (GA) 39, Rocky Bayou Christian (Niceville) 5 | Brookwood School (GA) 99.5% / Rocky Bayou Christian (Niceville) 0.5% |
| Cornerstone Classical (Jacksonville) vs. Aucilla Christian (Monticello) | Aucilla Christian (Monticello) 32, Cornerstone Classical (Jacksonville) 13 | Cornerstone Classical (Jacksonville) 5.3% / Aucilla Christian (Monticello) 94.7% |
| Episcopal (Jacksonville) vs. Duval Charter (Jacksonville) | Episcopal (Jacksonville) 41, Duval Charter (Jacksonville) 20 | Episcopal (Jacksonville) 96.2% / Duval Charter (Jacksonville) 3.8% |
| (1A) FAMU DRS (Tallahassee) vs. Maclay (Tallahassee) | Maclay (Tallahassee) 47, FAMU DRS (Tallahassee) 12 | FAMU DRS (Tallahassee) 0.5% / Maclay (Tallahassee) 99.5% |
| Florida Christian (Miami) vs. (Ind.) NextGen Prep (Pompano Beach) | Florida Christian (Miami) 37, NextGen Prep (Pompano Beach) 7 | Florida Christian (Miami) 98.9% / NextGen Prep (Pompano Beach) 1.1% |
| (IND B) Halifax Academy (Daytona Beach) vs. Harvest Community (Jacksonville) | Harvest Community (Jacksonville) 13, Halifax Academy (Daytona Beach) 12 | Halifax Academy (Daytona Beach) 46.5% / Harvest Community (Jacksonville) 53.5% |
| Jupiter Christian vs. Tradition Prep (Port St. Lucie) | Jupiter Christian 43, Tradition Prep (Port St. Lucie) 0 | Jupiter Christian 99.9% / Tradition Prep (Port St. Lucie) 0.1% |
| Master’s Academy (Vero Beach) vs. Glades Day (Belle Glade) | Glades Day (Belle Glade) 22, Master’s Academy (Vero Beach) 9 | Master’s Academy (Vero Beach) 12.6% / Glades Day (Belle Glade) 87.4% |
| (OOS) McKinney Christian (TX) vs. Christ’s Church Academy (Jacksonville) | McKinney Christian (TX) 44, Christ’s Church Academy (Jacksonville) 37 | McKinney Christian (TX) 73.6% / Christ’s Church Academy (Jacksonville) 26.4% |
| (SSAA Atlantic) North Broward Prep (Coconut Creek) vs. Westminster Academy (Fort Lauderdale) | Westminster Academy (Fort Lauderdale) 41, North Broward Prep (Coconut Creek) 19 | North Broward Prep (Coconut Creek) 3.4% / Westminster Academy (Fort Lauderdale) 96.6% |
| (1A) North Florida Christian (Tallahassee) vs. Indian Rocks Christian (Largo) | Indian Rocks Christian (Largo) 31, North Florida Christian (Tallahassee) 11 | North Florida Christian (Tallahassee) 4.4% / Indian Rocks Christian (Largo) 95.6% |
| (1A) Northside Christian (St. Petersburg) vs. Sarasota Christian | Sarasota Christian 39, Northside Christian (St. Petersburg) 12 | Northside Christian (St. Petersburg) 1.7% / Sarasota Christian 98.3% |
| Out-of-Door (Sarasota) vs. (Ind.) IMG Academy State (Bradenton) | Out-of-Door (Sarasota) 54, IMG Academy State (Bradenton) 7 | Out-of-Door (Sarasota) 99.9% / IMG Academy State (Bradenton) 0.1% |
| (IND B) Providence (Jacksonville) vs. Seffner Christian | Seffner Christian 35, Providence (Jacksonville) 19 | Providence (Jacksonville) 7.5% / Seffner Christian 92.5% |
| Saint Stephens Episcopal (Bradenton) vs. (IND B) Marco Island Academy | Saint Stephens Episcopal (Bradenton) 30, Marco Island Academy 13 | Saint Stephens Episcopal (Bradenton) 92.6% / Marco Island Academy 7.4% |
| Seven Rivers Christian (Lecanto) vs. Old Plank Christian (Jacksonville) | Old Plank Christian (Jacksonville) 34, Seven Rivers Christian (Lecanto) 11 | Seven Rivers Christian (Lecanto) 3.0% / Old Plank Christian (Jacksonville) 97.0% |
| St. Joseph (St. Augustine) vs. Bishop Snyder (Jacksonville) | St. Joseph (St. Augustine) 48, Bishop Snyder (Jacksonville) 0 | St. Joseph (St. Augustine) 100.0% / Bishop Snyder (Jacksonville) 0.0% |
SSAA Atlantic
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| (IND A) Atlantic (Port Orange) vs. Keystone Heights | Keystone Heights 18, Atlantic (Port Orange) 2 | Atlantic (Port Orange) 6.9% / Keystone Heights 93.1% |
| Avon Park vs. LaBelle | Avon Park 27, LaBelle 18 | Avon Park 78.8% / LaBelle 21.2% |
| Bell vs. (SSAA 11-Man) Eagle’s View (Jacksonville) | Bell 39, Eagle’s View (Jacksonville) 0 | Bell 100.0% / Eagle’s View (Jacksonville) 0.0% |
| Bronson vs. (Ind.) Joshua Christian (Jacksonville) | Bronson 14, Joshua Christian (Jacksonville) 9 | Bronson 69.1% / Joshua Christian (Jacksonville) 30.9% |
| (1A) Chiefland vs. Trenton | Trenton 30, Chiefland 29 | Chiefland 48.9% / Trenton 51.1% |
| Cocoa Beach vs. Satellite (Satellite Beach) | Satellite (Satellite Beach) 34, Cocoa Beach 30 | Cocoa Beach 33.3% / Satellite (Satellite Beach) 66.7% |
| Coral Shores (Tavernier) vs. (SSAA 11-Man) Oxbridge Academy (West Palm Beach) | Coral Shores (Tavernier) 23, Oxbridge Academy (West Palm Beach) 15 | Coral Shores (Tavernier) 76.0% / Oxbridge Academy (West Palm Beach) 24.0% |
| Crescent City vs. Branford | Branford 46, Crescent City 0 | Crescent City 0.1% / Branford 99.9% |
| (3A) Discovery (Lake Alfred) vs. Space Coast (Cocoa) | Space Coast (Cocoa) 44, Discovery (Lake Alfred) 0 | Discovery (Lake Alfred) 0.1% / Space Coast (Cocoa) 99.9% |
| Dixie County (Cross City) vs. (Ind.) South Marion (Ocala) | Dixie County (Cross City) 40, South Marion (Ocala) 0 | Dixie County (Cross City) 99.9% / South Marion (Ocala) 0.1% |
| Franklin County (Eastpoint) vs. (IND B) Graceville | Franklin County (Eastpoint) 51, Graceville 0 | Franklin County (Eastpoint) 100.0% / Graceville 0.0% |
| Hardee (Wauchula) vs. (IND A) Umatilla | Hardee (Wauchula) 36, Umatilla 24 | Hardee (Wauchula) 87.0% / Umatilla 13.0% |
| Lemon Bay (Englewood) vs. Clewiston | Lemon Bay (Englewood) 32, Clewiston 8 | Lemon Bay (Englewood) 97.9% / Clewiston 2.1% |
| Liberty County (Bristol) vs. Sneads | Liberty County (Bristol) 38, Sneads 17 | Liberty County (Bristol) 96.0% / Sneads 4.0% |
| (4A) North Miami vs. Calvary Christian (Fort Lauderdale) | Calvary Christian (Fort Lauderdale) 38, North Miami 7 | North Miami 0.8% / Calvary Christian (Fort Lauderdale) 99.2% |
| Okeechobee vs. Lake Placid | Lake Placid 29, Okeechobee 10 | Okeechobee 5.1% / Lake Placid 94.9% |
| Space Coast (Cocoa) vs. Bayside (Palm Bay) | Space Coast (Cocoa) 33, Bayside (Palm Bay) 13 | Space Coast (Cocoa) 95.3% / Bayside (Palm Bay) 4.7% |
| Stanton (Jacksonville) vs. (SSAA 11-Man) First Coast Christian (Jacksonville) | Stanton (Jacksonville) 34, First Coast Christian (Jacksonville) 11 | Stanton (Jacksonville) 97.1% / First Coast Christian (Jacksonville) 2.9% |
| (3A) Terry Parker (Jacksonville) vs. Union County (Lake Butler) | Union County (Lake Butler) 27, Terry Parker (Jacksonville) 3 | Terry Parker (Jacksonville) 2.3% / Union County (Lake Butler) 97.7% |
| West Nassau (Callahan) vs. Fernandina Beach | West Nassau (Callahan) 46, Fernandina Beach 17 | West Nassau (Callahan) 98.7% / Fernandina Beach 1.3% |
| (IND B) Wewahitchka vs. Cottondale | Cottondale 45, Wewahitchka 25 | Wewahitchka 4.5% / Cottondale 95.5% |
SSAA 8-Man
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Bell Creek (Riverview) vs. Foundation Christian (Valrico) | Foundation Christian (Valrico) 33, Bell Creek (Riverview) 6 | Bell Creek (Riverview) 1.6% / Foundation Christian (Valrico) 98.4% |
| Calvary Chapel (West Melbourne) vs. City of Life Christian (Kissimmee) | Calvary Chapel (West Melbourne) 38, City of Life Christian (Kissimmee) 12 | Calvary Chapel (West Melbourne) 98.3% / City of Life Christian (Kissimmee) 1.7% |
| Classical Academy (Sarasota) vs. Donahue Academy (Ave Maria) | Donahue Academy (Ave Maria) 28, Classical Academy (Sarasota) 23 | Classical Academy (Sarasota) 30.4% / Donahue Academy (Ave Maria) 69.6% |
| Countryside Christian (Gainesville) vs. Florida Deaf and Blind (St. Augustine) | Countryside Christian (Gainesville) 37, Florida Deaf and Blind (St. Augustine) 20 | Countryside Christian (Gainesville) 93.8% / Florida Deaf and Blind (St. Augustine) 6.2% |
| Eastland Christian (Orlando) vs. Riverview Academy | Riverview Academy 12, Eastland Christian (Orlando) 6 | Eastland Christian (Orlando) 30.1% / Riverview Academy 69.9% |
| (8-Man IND) Four Corners (Davenport) vs. First Academy-Leesburg | First Academy-Leesburg 33, Four Corners (Davenport) 29 | Four Corners (Davenport) 36.1% / First Academy-Leesburg 63.9% |
| Geneva Classical (Lakeland) vs. Academy at the Lakes (Land O’ Lakes) | Geneva Classical (Lakeland) 28, Academy at the Lakes (Land O’ Lakes) 20 | Geneva Classical (Lakeland) 77.5% / Academy at the Lakes (Land O’ Lakes) 22.5% |
| Lake Mary Prep vs. Merritt Island Christian | Merritt Island Christian 51, Lake Mary Prep 9 | Lake Mary Prep 0.2% / Merritt Island Christian 99.8% |
| Lakeside Christian (Clearwater) vs. Shorecrest Prep (St. Petersburg) | Shorecrest Prep (St. Petersburg) 37, Lakeside Christian (Clearwater) 29 | Lakeside Christian (Clearwater) 24.4% / Shorecrest Prep (St. Petersburg) 75.6% |
| Real Life Christian (Clermont) vs. Ocala Christian | Real Life Christian (Clermont) 48, Ocala Christian 23 | Real Life Christian (Clermont) 97.8% / Ocala Christian 2.2% |
| SLAM Tampa vs. Bradenton Christian | Bradenton Christian 50, SLAM Tampa 28 | SLAM Tampa 3.2% / Bradenton Christian 96.8% |
| (8-Man IND) St. John Lutheran (Ocala) vs. Hernando Christian (Brooksville) | Hernando Christian (Brooksville) 33, St. John Lutheran (Ocala) 19 | St. John Lutheran (Ocala) 9.8% / Hernando Christian (Brooksville) 90.2% |
FHSAA Independent League A
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Bonita Springs vs. Oasis (Cape Coral) | Oasis (Cape Coral) 34, Bonita Springs 0 | Bonita Springs 0.3% / Oasis (Cape Coral) 99.7% |
| Colonial (Orlando) vs. Lake Buena Vista (Orlando) | Colonial (Orlando) 27, Lake Buena Vista (Orlando) 0 | Colonial (Orlando) 99.2% / Lake Buena Vista (Orlando) 0.8% |
| Cypress Creek (Orlando) vs. Innovation (Orlando) | Innovation (Orlando) 55, Cypress Creek (Orlando) 0 | Cypress Creek (Orlando) 0.0% / Innovation (Orlando) 100.0% |
| Fort Lauderdale vs. Cooper City | Cooper City 35, Fort Lauderdale 24 | Fort Lauderdale 16.9% / Cooper City 83.1% |
| Freedom (Orlando) vs. University (Orlando) | University (Orlando) 25, Freedom (Orlando) 3 | Freedom (Orlando) 3.1% / University (Orlando) 96.9% |
| (3A) Liberty (Kissimmee) vs. Windermere | Windermere 54, Liberty (Kissimmee) 0 | Liberty (Kissimmee) 0.0% / Windermere 100.0% |
| Pompano Beach vs. Hollywood Hills | Pompano Beach 20, Hollywood Hills 11 | Pompano Beach 80.9% / Hollywood Hills 19.1% |
| South Broward (Hollywood) vs. Taravella (Coral Springs) | South Broward (Hollywood) 33, Taravella (Coral Springs) 2 | South Broward (Hollywood) 99.2% / Taravella (Coral Springs) 0.8% |
FHSAA Independent League B
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Bozeman (Panama City) vs. Jay | Jay 39, Bozeman (Panama City) 10 | Bozeman (Panama City) 1.1% / Jay 98.9% |
| Canterbury (Fort Myers) vs. Bishop McLaughlin (Spring Hill) | Canterbury (Fort Myers) 35, Bishop McLaughlin (Spring Hill) 23 | Canterbury (Fort Myers) 85.9% / Bishop McLaughlin (Spring Hill) 14.1% |
| Evangelical Christian (Fort Myers) vs. (SSAA Atlantic) DeSoto County (Arcadia) | Evangelical Christian (Fort Myers) 39, DeSoto County (Arcadia) 0 | Evangelical Christian (Fort Myers) 100.0% / DeSoto County (Arcadia) 0.0% |
| (SSAA Atlantic) Frostproof vs. Santa Fe Catholic (Lakeland) | Santa Fe Catholic (Lakeland) 34, Frostproof 20 | Frostproof 10.5% / Santa Fe Catholic (Lakeland) 89.5% |
| Holy Trinity (Melbourne) vs. St. John Paul II (Boca Raton) | Holy Trinity (Melbourne) 32, St. John Paul II (Boca Raton) 18 | Holy Trinity (Melbourne) 89.2% / St. John Paul II (Boca Raton) 10.8% |
| (SSAA 11-Man) Legacy Charter (Ocoee) vs. Central Florida Christian (Orlando) | Central Florida Christian (Orlando) 43, Legacy Charter (Ocoee) 0 | Legacy Charter (Ocoee) 0.0% / Central Florida Christian (Orlando) 100.0% |
| Marathon vs. Babcock (Babcock Ranch) | Marathon 10, Babcock (Babcock Ranch) 8 | Marathon 56.5% / Babcock (Babcock Ranch) 43.5% |
| Mount Dora Christian vs. The Masters Academy (Oviedo) | Mount Dora Christian 42, The Masters Academy (Oviedo) 24 | Mount Dora Christian 94.1% / The Masters Academy (Oviedo) 5.9% |
| Oak Hall (Gainesville) vs. P. K. Yonge (Gainesville) | Oak Hall (Gainesville) 46, P. K. Yonge (Gainesville) 0 | Oak Hall (Gainesville) 100.0% / P. K. Yonge (Gainesville) 0.0% |
| Orangewood Christian (Maitland) vs. Lake Highland Prep (Orlando) | Lake Highland Prep (Orlando) 36, Orangewood Christian (Maitland) 23 | Orangewood Christian (Maitland) 13.3% / Lake Highland Prep (Orlando) 86.7% |
| (Ind.) Palm Beach Christian Prep (Greenacres) vs. Pine Crest (Fort Lauderdale) | Pine Crest (Fort Lauderdale) 39, Palm Beach Christian Prep (Greenacres) 0 | Palm Beach Christian Prep (Greenacres) 0.0% / Pine Crest (Fort Lauderdale) 100.0% |
| (OOS) Samson (AL) vs. Central (Milton) | Samson (AL) 28, Central (Milton) 6 | Samson (AL) 96.9% / Central (Milton) 3.1% |
| (OOS) Scintilla Charter (GA) vs. Hilliard | Hilliard 38, Scintilla Charter (GA) 0 | Scintilla Charter (GA) 0.3% / Hilliard 99.7% |
| Southwest Florida Christian (Fort Myers) vs. (1A) McLaughlin (Lake Wales) | Southwest Florida Christian (Fort Myers) 21, McLaughlin (Lake Wales) 5 | Southwest Florida Christian (Fort Myers) 91.3% / McLaughlin (Lake Wales) 8.7% |
| Trinity Prep (Winter Park) vs. Windermere Prep | Trinity Prep (Winter Park) 34, Windermere Prep 6 | Trinity Prep (Winter Park) 98.8% / Windermere Prep 1.2% |
Independents
| Matchup | Projected Score | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Braddock (Miami) vs. Reagan (Doral) | Reagan (Doral) 30, Braddock (Miami) 10 | Braddock (Miami) 4.7% / Reagan (Doral) 95.3% |
| Cornerstone Charter (Belle Isle) vs. (IND B) Geneva (Casselberry) | Cornerstone Charter (Belle Isle) 24, Geneva (Casselberry) 20 | Cornerstone Charter (Belle Isle) 64.1% / Geneva (Casselberry) 35.9% |
| (OOS) Legacy School of Sport Sciences (TX) vs. IMG Academy National (Bradenton) | IMG Academy National (Bradenton) 76, Legacy School of Sport Sciences (TX) 9 | Legacy School of Sport Sciences (TX) 0.0% / IMG Academy National (Bradenton) 100.0% |
| Miami Beach vs. (5A) Everglades (Miramar) | Miami Beach 25, Everglades (Miramar) 13 | Miami Beach 87.1% / Everglades (Miramar) 12.9% |
| Miami Coral Park vs. Varela (Miami) | Varela (Miami) 36, Miami Coral Park 0 | Miami Coral Park 0.0% / Varela (Miami) 100.0% |
| Miami Sunset vs. Coral Reef (Miami) | Coral Reef (Miami) 25, Miami Sunset 2 | Miami Sunset 2.8% / Coral Reef (Miami) 97.2% |
| South Miami vs. Dr. Krop (Miami) | South Miami 21, Dr. Krop (Miami) 8 | South Miami 87.4% / Dr. Krop (Miami) 12.6% |
| Zarephath Academy (Jacksonville) vs. West Oaks Academy (Orlando) | West Oaks Academy (Orlando) 21, Zarephath Academy (Jacksonville) 11 | Zarephath Academy (Jacksonville) 19.0% / West Oaks Academy (Orlando) 81.0% |
