FPRI went 180-56 (.763) in Week 5, its second-best straight-up forecast percentage of the season. Through the first six completed weeks of forecasts, FPRI is now 950-398-1 (.705).
How FPRI Has Done This Season
Week 0: 23-13 (.639)
Week 1: 185-99-1 (.651)
Week 2: 188-91 (.674)
Week 3: 178-80 (.690)
Week 4: 196-59 (.769)
Week 5: 180-56 (.763)
Season: 950-398-1 (.705)
Ties count as half a win when calculating forecast percentage. Games without a result are excluded from the prediction record.
Week 6 brings another deep statewide slate, including district matchups, rivalry games, interstate tests and several games FPRI views as true toss-ups.
The forecasts below show the team FPRI projects to win and the expected margin of victory.
Games are organized by the classification of the projected winner. When teams from different classifications meet, the opponent’s classification is shown in parentheses.
For games in which an out-of-state team is projected to win, the matchup is placed in the classification of the Florida opponent.
RELATED: Projected scores and win probabilities for Week 6 of the 2026 season
Class 6A
Alonso (Tampa) 25 over Palm Harbor University
Boone (Orlando) 22 over Timber Creek (Orlando)
Centennial (Port St. Lucie) 3 over Treasure Coast (Port St. Lucie)
Columbus (Miami) 51 over Homestead
Creekside (St. Johns) 24 over Sandalwood (Jacksonville)
DeLand 14 over Spruce Creek (Port Orange)
Doral Academy 6 over (SSAA 11-Man) Monsignor Pace (Miami)
Dr. Joaquin Garcia (Lake Worth) 8 over Santaluces (Lantana)
Dr. Phillips (Orlando) 16 over Olympia (Orlando)
Durant (Plant City) 10 over Riverview (Riverview)
East Ridge (Clermont) 42 over Celebration
First Coast (Jacksonville) 3 over Atlantic Coast (Jacksonville)
Flagler Palm Coast 40 over Tocoi Creek (St. Augustine)
Gateway (Kissimmee) 36 over (Ind.) Nova Lakes (St. Cloud)
George Jenkins (Lakeland) 6 over Davenport
Goleman (Miami) 27 over Miami
Haines City 16 over Ridge Community (Davenport)
Jupiter 23 over Wellington
Lake Mary 23 over Lake Brantley (Altamonte Springs)
Lake Nona (Orlando) 17 over St. Cloud
Lakewood Ranch (Bradenton) 21 over North Port
Lennard (Ruskin) 3 over Plant City
Mainland (Daytona Beach) 6 over University (Orange City)
Miami Palmetto 49 over Southwest Miami
Nova (Davie) 18 over (SSAA Atlantic) Coral Springs Charter
Ocoee 30 over Horizon (Winter Garden)
Palm Beach Central (Wellington) 21 over Palm Beach Lakes (West Palm Beach)
Park Vista (Lake Worth) 3 over Boca Raton
Riverview (Sarasota) 54 over Lehigh (Lehigh Acres)
Seminole (Sanford) 22 over Apopka
South Dade (Homestead) 4 over Coral Gables
South Plantation 34 over (IND A) Stoneman Douglas (Parkland)
Spanish River (Boca Raton) 13 over Coral Glades (Coral Springs)
Steinbrenner (Lutz) 16 over Strawberry Crest (Dover)
Tohopekaliga (Kissimmee) 13 over Harmony
Venice 40 over Sarasota
Vero Beach 18 over Fort Pierce Central
West Broward (Pembroke Pines) 16 over (OOS) Camden County (GA)
West Orange (Winter Garden) 2 over Edgewater (Orlando)
Western (Davie) 5 over Cypress Bay (Weston)
Winter Haven 8 over Poinciana (Kissimmee)
Winter Park 2 over Hagerty (Oviedo)
Class 5A
Archbishop McCarthy (Southwest Ranches) 11 over Royal Palm Beach
Armwood (Seffner) 25 over Plant (Tampa)
Bartow 2 over Sebring
Beachside (St. Johns) 1 over Nease (Ponte Vedra)
Boyd Anderson (Lauderdale Lakes) 7 over Flanagan (Pembroke Pines)
Buchholz (Gainesville) 32 over Forest (Ocala)
(OOS) Catholic Memorial (MA) 19 over Viera (Melbourne)
Charlotte (Punta Gorda) 44 over East Lee County (Lehigh Acres)
Dwyer (Palm Beach Gardens) 15 over (SSAA Atlantic) Somerset Canyons (Boynton Beach)
Dwyer (Palm Beach Gardens) 1 over Palm Beach Gardens
Evans (Orlando) 35 over Lake Minneola
Gaither (Tampa) 7 over Largo
Immokalee 20 over North Fort Myers
Lake Howell (Winter Park) 25 over Lyman (Longwood)
Lakeland 24 over Auburndale
Land O Lakes 28 over Wharton (Tampa)
Mandarin (Jacksonville) 6 over Fletcher (Neptune Beach)
Martin County (Stuart) 23 over Seminole Ridge (Westlake)
Matanzas (Palm Coast) 22 over (IND A) Pine Ridge (Deltona)
Miami Southridge 3 over Mater Academy (Hialeah Gardens)
Mitchell (New Port Richey) 12 over East Lake (Tarpon Springs)
Monarch (Coconut Creek) 16 over Deerfield Beach
Oakleaf (Orange Park) 38 over West Port (Ocala)
Osceola (Kissimmee) 11 over Lake Gibson (Lakeland)
Oviedo 52 over East River (Orlando)
Pace 50 over Crestview
Palmetto 52 over Parrish Community
Ponte Vedra 5 over Bartram Trail (St. Johns)
Riverdale (Fort Myers) 6 over Cape Coral
Royal Palm Beach 14 over South Fork (Stuart)
Spoto (Riverview) 22 over Leto (Tampa)
Sumner (Riverview) 1 over Manatee (Bradenton)
Tampa Bay Tech 32 over Bloomingdale (Valrico)
Tate (Cantonment) 6 over Niceville
Wekiva (Apopka) 2 over South Lake (Groveland)
Wesley Chapel 32 over Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel)
West Boca Raton 63 over Olympic Heights (Boca Raton)
Wiregrass Ranch (Wesley Chapel) 3 over Sunlake (Land O’Lakes)
Class 4A
American (Hialeah) 24 over (2A) Miami Edison
American Heritage (Plantation) 28 over Miramar
Atlantic (Delray Beach) 28 over (SSAA Atlantic) Keystone Heights
Bishop Moore (Orlando) 27 over Deltona
Blanche Ely (Pompano Beach) 48 over Northeast (Oakland Park)
Choctawhatchee (Fort Walton Beach) 31 over Milton
Clearwater 40 over Northeast (St. Petersburg)
Columbia (Lake City) 44 over Riverside (Jacksonville)
Dunbar (Fort Myers) 23 over Fort Myers
East Bay (Gibsonton) 43 over Freedom (Tampa)
Ed White (Jacksonville) 12 over Yulee
Escambia (Pensacola) 6 over Booker T. Washington (Pensacola)
Fleming Island 13 over Orange Park
Fort Pierce Westwood 15 over Legacy (Port St. Lucie)
Fort Walton Beach 35 over Gulf Breeze
Golden Gate (Naples) 9 over Aubrey Rogers (Naples)
Gulf (New Port Richey) 3 over Springstead (Spring Hill)
Gulf Coast (Naples) 12 over Barron Collier (Naples)
Heritage (Palm Bay) 7 over (2A) Cocoa
Hialeah 8 over (Ind.) Hialeah-Miami Lakes
Hillsborough (Tampa) 17 over Blake (Tampa)
Jensen Beach 44 over Port St. Lucie
Jesuit (Tampa) 40 over Middleton (Tampa)
Jones (Orlando) 56 over Kathleen (Lakeland)
Lake Wales 55 over Brandon
Lake Weir (Ocala) 8 over Lecanto
Leon (Tallahassee) 6 over Chiles (Tallahassee)
Miami Norland 12 over McArthur (Hollywood)
Middleburg 38 over Ridgeview (Orange Park)
Mosley (Lynn Haven) 22 over Lincoln (Tallahassee)
Mount Dora 21 over Leesburg
Naples 12 over Estero
New Smyrna Beach 26 over Seabreeze (Daytona Beach)
Osceola (Seminole) 20 over Hollins (St. Petersburg)
Pasco (Dade City) 22 over Hudson
Pinellas Park (Largo) 1 over St. Petersburg
Port Charlotte 4 over South Fort Myers
Ribault (Jacksonville) 31 over (IND A) Englewood (Jacksonville)
Rickards (Tallahassee) 1 over Arnold (Panama City Beach)
St. Augustine 34 over Clay (Green Cove Springs)
Vanguard (Ocala) 19 over Gainesville
Zephyrhills 33 over Fivay (Hudson)
Class 3A
Bay (Panama City) 22 over Pensacola
Bayshore (Bradenton) 7 over Wellen Park (North Port)
Bishop Verot (Fort Myers) 40 over Lely (Naples)
Cardinal Gibbons (Fort Lauderdale) 10 over (4A) Plantation
Cardinal Mooney (Sarasota) 38 over Braden River (Bradenton)
Citrus (Inverness) 19 over Central (Brooksville)
Countryside (Clearwater) 12 over Anclote (Holiday)
Cypress Lake (Fort Myers) 3 over Island Coast (Cape Coral)
Dillard (Fort Lauderdale) 45 over Stranahan (Fort Lauderdale)
Dunnellon 19 over Eastside (Gainesville)
Eau Gallie (Melbourne) 12 over Astronaut (Titusville)
Glades Central (Belle Glade) 38 over Boynton Beach
Godby (Tallahassee) 5 over Baker County (Glen St. Mary)
Hernando (Brooksville) 19 over Crystal River
Jefferson (Tampa) 21 over Morgan (Wimauma)
King (Tampa) 3 over Chamberlain (Tampa)
Menendez (St. Augustine) 6 over Wolfson (Jacksonville)
Merritt Island 3 over Titusville
Miami Central 1 over (4A) Miami Northwestern
Miami Springs 31 over Miami Jackson
Nature Coast (Brooksville) 34 over Weeki Wachee
North Miami Beach 38 over St. Brendan (Miami)
Palatka 33 over Westside (Jacksonville)
Palm Bay (Melbourne) 6 over Rockledge
Robinson (Tampa) 23 over (5A) Sickles (Tampa)
Santa Fe (Alachua) 45 over North Marion (Citra)
Seminole (Seminole) 2 over Gibbs (St. Petersburg)
South Sumter (Bushnell) 39 over Eustis
South Walton (Santa Rosa Beach) 13 over Pine Forest (Pensacola)
Tarpon Springs 14 over Dunedin
Tenoroc (Lakeland) 5 over Mulberry
The Villages 16 over Tavares
Wakulla (Crawfordville) 9 over Suwannee (Live Oak)
Class 2A
Andrew Jackson (Jacksonville) 47 over KIPP Bold City (Jacksonville)
Bolles (Jacksonville) 40 over Baldwin
Bradford (Starke) 8 over (1A) Madison County (Madison)
Calvary Christian (Clearwater) 10 over Boca Ciega (Gulfport)
Chaminade-Madonna (Hollywood) 21 over (3A) Cardinal Gibbons (Fort Lauderdale)
Chaminade-Madonna (Hollywood) 19 over Saint Andrew’s (Boca Raton)
Clearwater Central Catholic 24 over Tampa Catholic
Florida High (Tallahassee) 25 over (SSAA Atlantic) Lafayette (Mayo)
Immaculata-La Salle (Miami) 12 over Ransom Everglades (Miami)
Lakewood (St. Petersburg) 6 over Berkeley Prep (Tampa)
Miami Carol City 21 over Booker T. Washington (Miami)
Miami Killian 4 over Westminster Christian (Miami)
Newberry 3 over Trinity Catholic (Ocala)
Pensacola Catholic 38 over Destin
Somerset Charter (Silver Palms) 3 over (SSAA 11-Man) NSU University School (Fort Lauderdale)
Walton (DeFuniak Springs) 15 over Freeport
Class 1A
Archbishop Carroll (Miami) 14 over Palmer Trinity (Miami)
Baker 43 over (2A) North Bay Haven (Panama City)
Benjamin (Palm Beach Gardens) 2 over (2A) Gulliver Prep (Pinecrest)
Blountstown 57 over Port St. Joe
Carrollwood Day (Tampa) 52 over Zephyrhills Christian
Father Lopez (Daytona Beach) 30 over (SSAA 11-Man) Gateway Charter (Fort Myers)
First Baptist (Naples) 33 over (IND A) Ida Baker (Cape Coral)
Hawthorne 32 over Williston
Holmes County (Bonifay) 3 over Northview (Century)
John Carroll (Fort Pierce) 2 over Pahokee
Lakeland Christian 43 over Moore Haven
Melbourne Central Catholic 18 over Wildwood
Moore Haven 24 over (IND A) Somerset Academy (Pembroke Pines)
Somerset Prep (North Lauderdale) 6 over (Ind.) Parkridge Christian (Coral Springs)
St. John Neumann (Naples) 14 over Community School (Naples)
Taylor County (Perry) 1 over Fort White
Trinity Christian (Jacksonville) 18 over North Florida Educational (Jacksonville)
True North (Miami) 10 over (3A) Key West
University Christian (Jacksonville) 31 over Impact Christian (Jacksonville)
Victory Christian (Lakeland) 9 over Fort Meade
SSAA 11-Man
Aucilla Christian (Monticello) 19 over Cornerstone Classical (Jacksonville)
Boca Raton Christian 51 over (Ind.) Faith Christian (Orlando)
(OOS) Brookwood School (GA) 34 over Rocky Bayou Christian (Niceville)
Episcopal (Jacksonville) 21 over Duval Charter (Jacksonville)
Florida Christian (Miami) 30 over (Ind.) NextGen Prep (Pompano Beach)
Glades Day (Belle Glade) 13 over Master’s Academy (Vero Beach)
Harvest Community (Jacksonville) 1 over (IND B) Halifax Academy (Daytona Beach)
Indian Rocks Christian (Largo) 20 over (1A) North Florida Christian (Tallahassee)
Jupiter Christian 43 over Tradition Prep (Port St. Lucie)
Maclay (Tallahassee) 35 over (1A) FAMU DRS (Tallahassee)
(OOS) McKinney Christian (TX) 7 over Christ’s Church Academy (Jacksonville)
Old Plank Christian (Jacksonville) 23 over Seven Rivers Christian (Lecanto)
Out-of-Door (Sarasota) 47 over (Ind.) IMG Academy State (Bradenton)
Saint Stephens Episcopal (Bradenton) 17 over (IND B) Marco Island Academy
Sarasota Christian 27 over (1A) Northside Christian (St. Petersburg)
Seffner Christian 16 over (IND B) Providence (Jacksonville)
St. Edward’s (Vero Beach) 12 over (IND B) All Saints (Winter Haven)
St. Joseph (St. Augustine) 48 over Bishop Snyder (Jacksonville)
Westminster Academy (Fort Lauderdale) 22 over (SSAA Atlantic) North Broward Prep (Coconut Creek)
SSAA Atlantic
Avon Park 9 over LaBelle
Bell 39 over (SSAA 11-Man) Eagle’s View (Jacksonville)
Branford 46 over Crescent City
Bronson 5 over (Ind.) Joshua Christian (Jacksonville)
Calvary Christian (Fort Lauderdale) 31 over (4A) North Miami
Coral Shores (Tavernier) 8 over (SSAA 11-Man) Oxbridge Academy (West Palm Beach)
Cottondale 20 over (IND B) Wewahitchka
Dixie County (Cross City) 40 over (Ind.) South Marion (Ocala)
Franklin County (Eastpoint) 51 over (IND B) Graceville
Hardee (Wauchula) 12 over (IND A) Umatilla
Keystone Heights 16 over (IND A) Atlantic (Port Orange)
Lake Placid 19 over Okeechobee
Lemon Bay (Englewood) 24 over Clewiston
Liberty County (Bristol) 21 over Sneads
Satellite (Satellite Beach) 4 over Cocoa Beach
Space Coast (Cocoa) 20 over Bayside (Palm Bay)
Space Coast (Cocoa) 44 over (3A) Discovery (Lake Alfred)
Stanton (Jacksonville) 23 over (SSAA 11-Man) First Coast Christian (Jacksonville)
Trenton 1 over (1A) Chiefland
Union County (Lake Butler) 24 over (3A) Terry Parker (Jacksonville)
West Nassau (Callahan) 29 over Fernandina Beach
SSAA 8-Man
Bradenton Christian 22 over SLAM Tampa
Calvary Chapel (West Melbourne) 26 over City of Life Christian (Kissimmee)
Countryside Christian (Gainesville) 17 over Florida Deaf and Blind (St. Augustine)
Donahue Academy (Ave Maria) 5 over Classical Academy (Sarasota)
First Academy-Leesburg 4 over (8-Man IND) Four Corners (Davenport)
Foundation Christian (Valrico) 27 over Bell Creek (Riverview)
Geneva Classical (Lakeland) 8 over Academy at the Lakes (Land O’ Lakes)
Hernando Christian (Brooksville) 14 over (8-Man IND) St. John Lutheran (Ocala)
Merritt Island Christian 42 over Lake Mary Prep
Real Life Christian (Clermont) 25 over Ocala Christian
Riverview Academy 6 over Eastland Christian (Orlando)
Shorecrest Prep (St. Petersburg) 8 over Lakeside Christian (Clearwater)
FHSAA Independent League A
Colonial (Orlando) 27 over Lake Buena Vista (Orlando)
Cooper City 11 over Fort Lauderdale
Innovation (Orlando) 55 over Cypress Creek (Orlando)
Oasis (Cape Coral) 34 over Bonita Springs
Pompano Beach 9 over Hollywood Hills
South Broward (Hollywood) 31 over Taravella (Coral Springs)
University (Orlando) 22 over Freedom (Orlando)
Windermere 54 over (3A) Liberty (Kissimmee)
FHSAA Independent League B
Canterbury (Fort Myers) 12 over Bishop McLaughlin (Spring Hill)
Central Florida Christian (Orlando) 43 over (SSAA 11-Man) Legacy Charter (Ocoee)
Evangelical Christian (Fort Myers) 39 over (SSAA Atlantic) DeSoto County (Arcadia)
Hilliard 38 over (OOS) Scintilla Charter (GA)
Holy Trinity (Melbourne) 14 over St. John Paul II (Boca Raton)
Jay 29 over Bozeman (Panama City)
Lake Highland Prep (Orlando) 13 over Orangewood Christian (Maitland)
Marathon 2 over Babcock (Babcock Ranch)
Mount Dora Christian 18 over The Masters Academy (Oviedo)
Oak Hall (Gainesville) 46 over P. K. Yonge (Gainesville)
Pine Crest (Fort Lauderdale) 39 over (Ind.) Palm Beach Christian Prep (Greenacres)
(OOS) Samson (AL) 22 over Central (Milton)
Santa Fe Catholic (Lakeland) 14 over (SSAA Atlantic) Frostproof
Southwest Florida Christian (Fort Myers) 16 over (1A) McLaughlin (Lake Wales)
Trinity Prep (Winter Park) 28 over Windermere Prep
Independents
Coral Reef (Miami) 23 over Miami Sunset
Cornerstone Charter (Belle Isle) 4 over (IND B) Geneva (Casselberry)
IMG Academy National (Bradenton) 67 over (OOS) Legacy School of Sport Sciences (TX)
Miami Beach 12 over (5A) Everglades (Miramar)
Reagan (Doral) 20 over Braddock (Miami)
South Miami 13 over Dr. Krop (Miami)
Varela (Miami) 36 over Miami Coral Park
West Oaks Academy (Orlando) 10 over Zarephath Academy (Jacksonville)
