FPRI went 196-59 (.769) in Week 4, its best straight-up forecast percentage of the season. Through the first five completed weeks of forecasts, FPRI is now 770-342-1 (.692).
How FPRI Has Done This Season
Week 0: 23-13 (.639)
Week 1: 185-99-1 (.651)
Week 2: 188-91 (.674)
Week 3: 178-80 (.690)
Week 4: 196-59 (.769)
Season: 770-342-1 (.692)
Ties count as half a win when calculating forecast percentage. Games without a result are excluded from the prediction record.
Week 5 brings another deep statewide slate with marquee Florida-vs.-Florida matchups, interstate tests and games across every FHSAA classification, the Sunshine State Athletic Association, the FHSAA independent leagues and independent programs.
The forecasts below show the team FPRI projects to win and the expected margin of victory.
Games are organized by the classification of the projected winner. When teams from different classifications meet, the opponent’s classification is shown in parentheses.
For games in which an out-of-state team is projected to win, the matchup is placed in the classification of the Florida opponent.
RELATED: Projected scores and win probabilities for Week 5 of the 2026 season
Class 6A
Alonso (Tampa) 9 over (5A) Wharton (Tampa)
Apopka 14 over Horizon (Winter Garden)
Boone (Orlando) 40 over (5A) East River (Orlando)
Columbus (Miami) 49 over South Dade (Homestead)
Creekside (St. Johns) 9 over (5A) Bartram Trail (St. Johns)
Cypress Bay (Weston) 28 over (IND A) Stoneman Douglas (Parkland)
DeLand 37 over (4A) Deltona
Dr. Phillips (Orlando) 7 over Winter Park
Fort Pierce Central 26 over (Ind.) SFA Academy (Dover)
Gateway (Kissimmee) 3 over Poinciana (Kissimmee)
Goleman (Miami) 16 over (Ind.) Hialeah Gardens
Jupiter 24 over Palm Beach Lakes (West Palm Beach)
Lake Brantley (Altamonte Springs) 4 over (5A) Lake Howell (Winter Park)
Lake Nona (Orlando) 43 over (5A) Wekiva (Apopka)
Lennard (Ruskin) 10 over (4A) East Bay (Gibsonton)
Miami Palmetto 32 over Coral Gables
Newsome (Lithia) 1 over (3A) Jefferson (Tampa)
Nova (Davie) 8 over Coral Glades (Coral Springs)
Palm Harbor University 32 over (4A) Hollins (St. Petersburg)
Plant City 8 over (5A) Wiregrass Ranch (Wesley Chapel)
Riverview (Riverview) 1 over (3A) Morgan (Wimauma)
Sandalwood (Jacksonville) 34 over (3A) Westside (Jacksonville)
Santaluces (Lantana) 2 over Park Vista (Lake Worth)
Sarasota 19 over (5A) Parrish Community
Seminole (Sanford) 28 over Mainland (Daytona Beach)
South Plantation 6 over Boca Raton
Southwest Miami 2 over Homestead
Spruce Creek (Port Orange) 23 over (4A) Dunbar (Fort Myers)
Steinbrenner (Lutz) 8 over (5A) Spoto (Riverview)
Strawberry Crest (Dover) 13 over (4A) Blake (Tampa)
Treasure Coast (Port St. Lucie) 3 over (IND A) Forest Hill (West Palm Beach)
Venice 31 over (5A) Cape Coral
Vero Beach 27 over Spanish River (Boca Raton)
West Broward (Pembroke Pines) 1 over Doral Academy
West Orange (Winter Garden) 3 over Lake Mary
Winter Haven 37 over (5A) Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel)
Class 5A
Armwood (Seffner) 12 over Sumner (Riverview)
Auburndale 49 over (4A) Kathleen (Lakeland)
Beachside (St. Johns) 42 over (IND A) Englewood (Jacksonville)
Bloomingdale (Valrico) 32 over (4A) Brandon
Buchholz (Gainesville) 12 over (4A) Jesuit (Tampa)
Coconut Creek 35 over Boyd Anderson (Lauderdale Lakes)
(OOS) Coffee (GA) 28 over Crestview
Dwyer (Palm Beach Gardens) 22 over (6A) Lake Worth
East Lake (Tarpon Springs) 8 over (3A) Tarpon Springs
Fletcher (Neptune Beach) 42 over (6A) First Coast (Jacksonville)
Forest (Ocala) 5 over (6A) East Ridge (Clermont)
Lakeland 1 over (4A) American Heritage (Plantation)
Lyman (Longwood) 6 over (4A) Winter Springs
Manatee (Bradenton) 3 over (6A) Riverview (Sarasota)
Martin County (Stuart) 4 over (6A) Dr. Joaquin Garcia (Lake Worth)
Melbourne 22 over (3A) Palm Bay (Melbourne)
Miami Southridge 19 over (1A) True North (Miami)
Mitchell (New Port Richey) 12 over Land O Lakes
Monarch (Coconut Creek) 13 over Piper (Sunrise)
North Fort Myers 19 over (IND A) Palmetto Ridge (Naples)
Oviedo 5 over (6A) Hagerty (Oviedo)
Palmetto 10 over (4A) Naples
Plant (Tampa) 6 over (6A) Durant (Plant City)
Ponte Vedra 10 over (4A) Fleming Island
Riverdale (Fort Myers) 32 over (3A) Cypress Lake (Fort Myers)
Seminole Ridge (Westlake) 3 over Olympic Heights (Boca Raton)
South Fork (Stuart) 27 over (4A) Sebastian River (Sebastian)
St. Thomas Aquinas (Fort Lauderdale) 30 over Archbishop McCarthy (Southwest Ranches)
Tampa Bay Tech 14 over Gaither (Tampa)
Tate (Cantonment) 16 over (3A) West Florida (Pensacola)
West Boca Raton 29 over (OOS) St. John’s College (DC)
West Port (Ocala) 7 over (3A) North Marion (Citra)
Class 4A
American (Hialeah) 14 over Hialeah
Atlantic (Delray Beach) 21 over (3A) Glades Central (Belle Glade)
Barron Collier (Naples) 2 over (3A) Lely (Naples)
Bishop Moore (Orlando) 26 over (5A) South Lake (Groveland)
Blanche Ely (Pompano Beach) 4 over (5A) Deerfield Beach
Choctawhatchee (Fort Walton Beach) 13 over (5A) Niceville
Clearwater 8 over (5A) Largo
(OOS) Colquitt County (GA) 3 over Lincoln (Tallahassee)
Columbia (Lake City) 19 over (1A) Trinity Christian (Jacksonville)
Ed White (Jacksonville) 8 over (OOS) Camden County (GA)
Escambia (Pensacola) 31 over (3A) Pensacola
Estero 16 over (IND A) Gateway (Fort Myers)
Fivay (Hudson) 14 over Pasco (Dade City)
Fort Myers 1 over Gulf Coast (Naples)
Golden Gate (Naples) 10 over (IND A) Ida Baker (Cape Coral)
Gulf Breeze 1 over (2A) North Bay Haven (Panama City)
Heritage (Palm Bay) 1 over Fort Pierce Westwood
Hillsborough (Tampa) 14 over (3A) Robinson (Tampa)
Jones (Orlando) 7 over (6A) Edgewater (Orlando)
Lake Region (Eagle Lake) 4 over (6A) Ridge Community (Davenport)
Lake Wales 13 over (5A) Osceola (Kissimmee)
Lake Weir (Ocala) 1 over (SSAA Atlantic) Union County (Lake Butler)
Legacy (Port St. Lucie) 20 over Port St. Lucie
Leon (Tallahassee) 14 over (1A) North Florida Christian (Tallahassee)
Mariner (Cape Coral) 15 over (3A) Island Coast (Cape Coral)
Miami Northwestern 53 over North Miami
Middleton (Tampa) 9 over (5A) Leto (Tampa)
Miramar 12 over (5A) Flanagan (Pembroke Pines)
Mosley (Lynn Haven) 26 over (2A) Gadsden County (Havana)
New Smyrna Beach 25 over (6A) University (Orange City)
Orange Park 21 over (3A) Terry Parker (Jacksonville)
Plantation 44 over Northeast (Oakland Park)
Ribault (Jacksonville) 21 over Ridgeview (Orange Park)
River Ridge (New Port Richey) 38 over Hudson
South Fort Myers 13 over (1A) Community School (Naples)
St. Augustine 18 over (5A) Evans (Orlando)
St. Petersburg 13 over (3A) Gibbs (St. Petersburg)
Zephyrhills 14 over Gulf (New Port Richey)
Class 3A
Astronaut (Titusville) 14 over Eustis
Baker County (Glen St. Mary) 15 over Palatka
Bay (Panama City) 33 over (2A) Rutherford (Panama City)
Braden River (Bradenton) 26 over (6A) North Port
Dillard (Fort Lauderdale) 14 over (4A) McArthur (Hollywood)
Dunnellon 22 over (6A) Lakewood Ranch (Bradenton)
Eastside (Gainesville) 9 over (4A) Gainesville
Eau Gallie (Melbourne) 6 over (2A) Cocoa
Godby (Tallahassee) 24 over (4A) Chiles (Tallahassee)
Hernando (Brooksville) 6 over (4A) Springstead (Spring Hill)
Key West 32 over St. Brendan (Miami)
Menendez (St. Augustine) 14 over (5A) Matanzas (Palm Coast)
Merritt Island 11 over Bishop Kenny (Jacksonville)
Miami Central 52 over Miami Jackson
Mulberry 31 over King (Tampa)
North Miami Beach 5 over Miami Springs
Raines (Jacksonville) 15 over (5A) Mandarin (Jacksonville)
Seminole (Seminole) 1 over (6A) George Jenkins (Lakeland)
South Sumter (Bushnell) 34 over (4A) Leesburg
South Walton (Santa Rosa Beach) 12 over (4A) Arnold (Panama City Beach)
Suwannee (Live Oak) 17 over (IND B) Hamilton County (Jasper)
Tavares 25 over (5A) Lake Minneola
Tenoroc (Lakeland) 2 over (SSAA Atlantic) Avon Park
The Villages 26 over (4A) Lecanto
Titusville 31 over (6A) Harmony
Wakulla (Crawfordville) 13 over (4A) Rickards (Tallahassee)
Wolfson (Jacksonville) 23 over (SSAA 11-Man) Eagle’s View (Jacksonville)
Class 2A
Boca Ciega (Gulfport) 10 over (3A) Countryside (Clearwater)
Bolles (Jacksonville) 7 over (5A) Oakleaf (Orange Park)
Bradford (Starke) 56 over (6A) Tocoi Creek (St. Augustine)
Cardinal Newman (West Palm Beach) 28 over (4A) Jensen Beach
Chaminade-Madonna (Hollywood) 23 over (3A) Cardinal Gibbons (Fort Lauderdale)
Clearwater Central Catholic 21 over (1A) St. Petersburg Catholic
Gadsden County (Havana) 24 over (3A) Southeast (Bradenton)
Immaculata-La Salle (Miami) 13 over (1A) Archbishop Carroll (Miami)
Lakewood (St. Petersburg) 22 over (4A) Northeast (St. Petersburg)
Miami Carol City 36 over Miami Edison
Newberry 10 over (4A) Middleburg
Pensacola Catholic 56 over (5A) Navarre
Ransom Everglades (Miami) 31 over (IND A) Somerset Academy (Pembroke Pines)
Saint Andrew’s (Boca Raton) 23 over (SSAA Atlantic) North Broward Prep (Coconut Creek)
Tampa Catholic 6 over Miami Killian
Walton (DeFuniak Springs) 20 over (4A) Fort Walton Beach
Westminster Christian (Miami) 8 over (IND A) Belen Jesuit (Miami)
Class 1A
Baker 40 over (IND B) Central (Milton)
Benjamin (Palm Beach Gardens) 7 over (2A) Somerset Charter (Silver Palms)
Carrollwood Day (Tampa) 45 over (3A) Chamberlain (Tampa)
Chiefland 19 over (2A) Trinity Catholic (Ocala)
Chipley 31 over (OOS) True Institute (GA)
FAMU DRS (Tallahassee) 14 over (SSAA Atlantic) Vernon
First Baptist (Naples) 34 over (IND A) Bonita Springs
Fort Meade 15 over McLaughlin (Lake Wales)
Fort White 3 over (3A) Santa Fe (Alachua)
Hawthorne 44 over (3A) Bayshore (Bradenton)
Lakeland Christian 15 over (5A) Sebring
Madison County (Madison) 1 over (2A) Florida High (Tallahassee)
Melbourne Central Catholic 10 over Father Lopez (Daytona Beach)
Moore Haven 4 over (IND B) Evangelical Christian (Fort Myers)
Northview (Century) 45 over (OOS) Monroe County (AL)
Pahokee 43 over (3A) Boynton Beach
(OOS) St. Francis Episcopal (TX) 3 over Palmer Trinity (Miami)
St. John Neumann (Naples) 54 over (Ind.) SmartEn Sports Academy (Miami)
University Christian (Jacksonville) 16 over North Florida Educational (Jacksonville)
Wildwood 23 over (3A) Crystal River
SSAA 11-Man
Aucilla Christian (Monticello) 14 over (OOS) Baconton Charter (GA)
Duval Charter (Jacksonville) 1 over First Coast Christian (Jacksonville)
Florida Christian (Miami) 38 over (IND B) Inlet Grove (Riviera Beach)
Glades Day (Belle Glade) 3 over (SSAA Atlantic) Coral Shores (Tavernier)
Harvest Community (Jacksonville) 2 over (SSAA Atlantic) Bronson
Jupiter Christian 22 over (IND B) St. John Paul II (Boca Raton)
Maclay (Tallahassee) 25 over (1A) Marianna
Monsignor Pace (Miami) 4 over (5A) Mater Academy (Hialeah Gardens)
Old Plank Christian (Jacksonville) 19 over Cornerstone Classical (Jacksonville)
Out-of-Door (Sarasota) 12 over Sarasota Christian
Saint Stephens Episcopal (Bradenton) 6 over Seven Rivers Christian (Lecanto)
Seffner Christian 39 over (1A) Northside Christian (St. Petersburg)
St. Joseph (St. Augustine) 23 over (IND B) Hilliard
Tradition Prep (Port St. Lucie) 16 over (IND A) Suncoast (Riviera Beach)
Westminster Academy (Fort Lauderdale) 35 over Master’s Academy (Vero Beach)
SSAA Atlantic
Bell 35 over Keystone Heights
Branford 38 over (1A) Port St. Joe
Cocoa Beach 6 over (SSAA 11-Man) St. Edward’s (Vero Beach)
Cottondale 27 over (Ind.) Joshua Christian (Jacksonville)
Dixie County (Cross City) 9 over Lafayette (Mayo)
Fernandina Beach 2 over (4A) Clay (Green Cove Springs)
Franklin County (Eastpoint) 38 over (SSAA 11-Man) Rocky Bayou Christian (Niceville)
Frostproof 5 over (1A) Victory Christian (Lakeland)
Interlachen 18 over (3A) Citrus (Inverness)
King’s Academy (West Palm Beach) 1 over American Heritage (Delray Beach)
LaBelle 6 over Lake Placid
Lemon Bay (Englewood) 42 over DeSoto County (Arcadia)
Paxon (Jacksonville) 24 over (2A) Andrew Jackson (Jacksonville)
Satellite (Satellite Beach) 11 over (IND A) Atlantic (Port Orange)
Sneads 13 over (IND B) Bozeman (Panama City)
Stanton (Jacksonville) 40 over (SSAA 11-Man) Bishop Snyder (Jacksonville)
West Nassau (Callahan) 16 over (4A) Yulee
SSAA 8-Man
Bradenton Christian 28 over Lake Mary Prep
First Academy-Leesburg 20 over Saint Francis Catholic (Gainesville)
Foundation Christian (Valrico) 9 over Lakeside Christian (Clearwater)
Hernando Christian (Brooksville) 13 over Bell Creek (Riverview)
Merritt Island Christian 35 over Academy at the Lakes (Land O’ Lakes)
Ocala Christian 5 over Calvary Chapel (West Melbourne)
Shorecrest Prep (St. Petersburg) 18 over SLAM Tampa
8-Man Independents
St. John Lutheran (Ocala) 20 over (SSAA 8-Man) Cornerstone Academy (Gainesville)
FHSAA Independent League A
Cooper City 19 over Pembroke Pines Charter
Hallandale 1 over (5A) Everglades (Miramar)
Hollywood Hills 7 over (3A) Stranahan (Fort Lauderdale)
Innovation (Orlando) 43 over Freedom (Orlando)
John I. Leonard (Greenacres) 20 over (IND B) Marathon
Lake Buena Vista (Orlando) 16 over Cypress Creek (Orlando)
Oak Ridge (Orlando) 15 over University (Orlando)
Oasis (Cape Coral) 31 over (SSAA 11-Man) Gateway Charter (Fort Myers)
Pompano Beach 8 over (SSAA Atlantic) Coral Springs Charter
South Broward (Hollywood) 34 over Coral Springs
Umatilla 18 over (3A) Belleview
Windermere 17 over (6A) Olympia (Orlando)
FHSAA Independent League B
All Saints (Winter Haven) 26 over (3A) Discovery (Lake Alfred)
(OOS) Bluffton (SC) 35 over P. K. Yonge (Gainesville)
Canterbury (Fort Myers) 19 over (3A) Anclote (Holiday)
Central Florida Christian (Orlando) 4 over (Ind.) NextGen Prep (Pompano Beach)
Foundation Academy (Winter Garden) 18 over (SSAA 11-Man) Cambridge Christian (Tampa)
Geneva (Casselberry) 9 over (SSAA 11-Man) Boca Raton Christian
Halifax Academy (Daytona Beach) 3 over (SSAA 11-Man) Legacy Charter (Ocoee)
Holy Trinity (Melbourne) 11 over (SSAA Atlantic) Somerset Canyons (Boynton Beach)
Jay 1 over (1A) Holmes County (Bonifay)
Lake Highland Prep (Orlando) 4 over (Ind.) Cornerstone Charter (Belle Isle)
Marco Island Academy 16 over Babcock (Babcock Ranch)
Mount Dora Christian 50 over (IND A) Pine Ridge (Deltona)
Orangewood Christian (Maitland) 29 over (SSAA Atlantic) Crescent City
Pine Crest (Fort Lauderdale) 12 over (SSAA 11-Man) Oxbridge Academy (West Palm Beach)
Providence (Jacksonville) 3 over (1A) Impact Christian (Jacksonville)
The Masters Academy (Oviedo) 24 over (Ind.) West Oaks Academy (Orlando)
Windermere Prep 2 over Bishop McLaughlin (Spring Hill)
Independents
Ferguson (Miami) 20 over (2A) Gulliver Prep (Pinecrest)
IMG Academy National (Bradenton) 21 over (2A) The First Academy (Orlando)
Miami Beach 6 over Braddock (Miami)
Miami Sunset 13 over Miami Coral Park
Nova Lakes (St. Cloud) 1 over (IND A) Colonial (Orlando)
Parkridge Christian (Coral Springs) 19 over Palm Beach Christian Prep (Greenacres)
Reagan (Doral) 15 over Varela (Miami)
South Miami 17 over Hialeah-Miami Lakes
