Thank you (again) for the very interesting data. I would like to offer some statistical context, with two caveats: 1) I don’t know how the “Power” rankings are calculated, and 2) analyzing with a “mean of means” is tricky.
Nevertheless, basic statistical analysis indicates that the Rural, SSAA, and Independent values are statistically significant outliers from the 1A-7A values (which have no statistically different variation among them). In other words, the 1A-7A values are essentially the same, while the Rural, SSAA, and Independent values are “weaker” than those 7 classes.
This finding suggests that classes 1A-7A have comparable numbers of “strong”, “average”, and “weak” teams, and are essentially “equal” in overall strength when using “Power” rankings. It also indicates that school enrollment is not correlated with overall strength. Additionally, there may be statistical validation for the existence of a Rural class. Once again, competitive equity would be best served by sorting the “strong” teams into their own classes(es), the “average” teams into their own class(es), and the “weak” teams into their own class(es) and foregoing classification based on school enrollment.
That is the flaw of SOS, at least the way Max Preps **cough cough** does it. That in itself is a contradiction to the entire strength of schedule argument because it appears to weigh that strength relative to the team. It also raises the question of who is weighing these teams and how? Whatever the formula is, they got it all wrong. Just my opinion.
So on another florida high school football forum on Facebook me and few football bros was talking about the upcoming playoffs and the potential seedlings and matchups for each school if the playoffs were to start today.
and for example "4A REGION 4" if the playoffs started today
#1 (4-3) American heritage Would Host #8 (3-5) Miami norland
#3 (5-2) Archbishop McCarthy Would Host #6 (6-2) John Carroll Catholic
#2 (7-0) Jensen Beach Would Host #7 (6-2)
#4 DILLARD (8-0) Would Host #5 (4-3) Plantation.
Now what doesn't makes sense to us, is How in the world is a district winner not a automatic top 4 seed. And what's even crazier is how in the hell can a none district winner and dare I say a non district winner with a none winning district record be awarded a Top 4 seed.
for Example - Last year ALL 4 TEAMS from distrcit 4A-15 made it to the playoffs
American Heritage #1 seed (District champion (3-0) district play
Plantation #3 Seed (1-2) District play
Miami norland #2 Seed (2-1) District Play
Archbishop McCarthy #6 Seed (1-2) Distrcit play.
And before the point system and SOS warriors come out in full effect , this is rewarding bad football if ive ever seen it.
Number 1 there NEVER be 4 teams out of 1 distrcit making it to the playoffs, also if you did NOT win your district you should NOT be able to be a top 4 seed & host a round 1 playoff game when you didnt even have a winning record in your own division.
I get alot of folks were against terrible district champions making it in the playoffs and their were only 1 other team in the district, but in my opinion this new format is not the answer either. Its like the bad teams/none district champions are being rewarded for underachieving.
So you lost your district, but because you scheduled tough outside of your district even tho you lost those games to youre rewarded a playoff birth, thats INSANITY.