The following info is based completely on the slope derived from Moving Averages from 1999-2025. It does not consider: Returning Starters, Player Transfers, Coaching Changes, injuries, FHSAA Sanctions, etc.   **Note** As a guide, the Class 5A team average power ranking is 129.4 and the average deviation is 12.2. STRENGTH   5A REG 4 DIST 15 146.11 St. Thomas Aquinas 160.48 Archbishop McCarthy 146.15 Flanagan 131.70     5A REG 1 DIST 2 142.17 Nease 150.23 Mandarin 148.47 Ponte Vedra 147.90 Bartram Trail 137.64 Fletcher 134.60 Beachside 134.20     5A REG 2 DIST 6 137.39 Lakeland 154.08 Osceola (Kissimmee) 142.61 Auburndale 137.12 Sebring 134.54 Lake Gibson 128.71 Bartow  127.29     5A REG 3 DIST 10 137.32 Sumner 143.03 Palmetto 140.08 Manatee 138.91 Parrish Community 127.26     5A REG 1 DIST 1 137.21 Pace 148.75 Niceville 142.18 Crestview 137.86 Tate 133.08 Navarre  124.20     5A REG 2 DIST 8 130.67 Gaither 148.33 Largo 134.80 Mitchell 134.23 East Lake 134.04 Sickles 101.95     5A REG 1 DIST 3 130.36 Buchholz 151.95 Oakleaf 143.25 Matanzas 126.08 Forest 123.29 West Port 107.24     5A REG 4 DIST 13 128.70 West Boca Raton 154.62 Monarch 141.67 Deerfield Beach 119.18 Olympic Heights 99.31     5A REG 3 DIST 9 127.50 Armwood 156.43 Tampa Bay Tech 143.28 Plant 136.29 Bloomingdale 118.65 Spoto 117.12 Leto 93.25     5A REG 4 DIST 14 127.08 Coconut Creek 142.48 Piper 131.60 Boyd Anderson 107.17     5A REG 4 DIST 16 124.45 Miami Southridge  148.32 Mater Academy 131.96 Miami Beach  109.42 Everglades 108.12     5A REG 3 DIST 12 123.25 Martin County 130.34 Palm Beach Gardens  129.42 Royal Palm Beach 128.65 Seminole Ridge 122.87 South Fork 114.34 Dwyer 113.88     5A REG 1 DIST 4 122.64 Evans 140.83 South Lake 134.33 Wekiva 112.63 Lake Minneola 102.77     5A REG 2 DIST 5 121.29 Oviedo 138.16 Viera 129.60 Melbourne  126.38 Lake Howell  124.29 East River 107.40 Lyman 101.92     5A REG 3 DIST 11 121.03 Riverdale 131.87 Immokalee 128.12 Cape Coral 126.87 Charlotte 124.96 North Fort Myers 116.62 East Lee County  97.71     5A REG 2 DIST 7 120.79 Wiregrass Ranch 136.55 Land O’Lakes  125.56 Wharton 124.09 Wesley Chapel 121.57 Sunlake 112.09 Cypress Creek (Wesley Chpl) 104.91 PARITY   5A REG 3 DIST 10 5.03 Sumner 143.03 Palmetto 140.08 Manatee 138.91 Parrish Community 127.26     5A REG 3 DIST 12 6.22 Martin County 130.34 Palm Beach Gardens  129.42 Royal Palm Beach 128.65 Seminole Ridge 122.87 South Fork 114.34 Dwyer 113.88     5A REG 1 DIST 2 6.69 Nease 150.23 Mandarin 148.47 Ponte Vedra 147.90 Bartram Trail 137.64 Fletcher 134.60 Beachside 134.20     5A REG 1 DIST 1 6.86 Pace 148.75 Niceville 142.18 Crestview 137.86 Tate 133.08 Navarre  124.20     5A REG 2 DIST 6 7.30 Lakeland 154.08 Osceola (Kissimmee) 142.61 Auburndale 137.12 Sebring 134.54 Lake Gibson 128.71 Bartow  127.29     5A REG 2 DIST 7 8.20 Wiregrass Ranch 136.55 Land O’Lakes  125.56 Wharton 124.09 Wesley Chapel 121.57 Sunlake 112.09 Cypress Creek (Wesley Chpl) 104.91     5A REG 3 DIST 11 9.24 Riverdale 131.87 Immokalee 128.12 Cape Coral 126.87 Charlotte 124.96 North Fort Myers 116.62 East Lee County  97.71     5A REG 4 DIST 15 9.61 St. Thomas Aquinas 160.48 Archbishop McCarthy 146.15 Flanagan 131.70     5A REG 2 DIST 5 11.09 Oviedo 138.16 Viera 129.60 Melbourne  126.38 Lake Howell  124.29 East River 107.40 Lyman 101.92     5A REG 2 DIST 8 11.49 Gaither 148.33 Largo 134.80 Mitchell 134.23 East Lake 134.04 Sickles 101.95     5A REG 4 DIST 14 13.28 Coconut Creek 142.48 Piper 131.60 Boyd Anderson 107.17     5A REG 1 DIST 3 13.79 Buchholz 151.95 Oakleaf 143.25 Matanzas 126.08 Forest 123.29 West Port 107.24     5A REG 1 DIST 4 14.94 Evans 140.83 South Lake 134.33 Wekiva 112.63 Lake Minneola 102.77     5A REG 4 DIST 16 15.69 Miami Southridge  148.32 Mater Academy 131.96 Miami Beach  109.42 Everglades 108.12     5A REG 3 DIST 9 17.83 Armwood 156.43 Tampa Bay Tech 143.28 Plant 136.29 Bloomingdale 118.65 Spoto 117.12 Leto 93.25     5A REG 4 DIST 13 19.45 West Boca Raton 154.62 Monarch 141.67 Deerfield Beach 119.18 Olympic Heights 99.31 By taking all of this in consideration "mathematically", we can project the following chances of winning the district for each team: CLASS 5A DISTRICT 1       Pace 35% Niceville 24% Crestview 19% Tate  16% Navarre  6%     CLASS 5A DISTRICT 2       Nease 22% Mandarin 21% Ponte Vedra 21% Bartram Trail 13% Fletcher 12% Beachside  12%     CLASS 5A DISTRICT 3       Buchholz 53% Oakleaf 33% Matanzas 8% Forest 6% West Port 0%     CLASS 5A DISTRICT 4       Evans 56% South Lake 37% Wekiva  7% Lake Minneola 0%     CLASS 5A DISTRICT 5       Oviedo 38% Viera  22% Melbourne  20% Lake Howell  17% East River  2% Lyman 0%     CLASS 5A DISTRICT 6       Lakeland 41% Osceola (Kissimmee) 19% Auburndale 16% Sebring 14% Lake Gibson 6% Bartow  5%     CLASS 5A DISTRICT 7       Wiregrass Ranch 39% Land O’Lakes  19% Wharton 18% Wesley Chapel 16% Sunlake 6% Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel) 2%     CLASS 5A DISTRICT 8       Gaither 45% Largo 18% Mitchell 18% East Lake 18% Sickles 0%     CLASS 5A DISTRICT 9       Armwood 57% Tampa Bay Tech 24% Plant  19% Bloomingdale 0% Spoto  0% Leto 0%     CLASS 5A DISTRICT 10       Sumner 31% Palmetto 27% Manatee 27% Parrish Community 16%     CLASS 5A DISTRICT 11       Riverdale 25% Immokalee 21% Cape Coral 21% Charlotte 19% North Fort Myers 13% East Lee County  0%     CLASS 5A DISTRICT 12       Martin County 21% Palm Beach Gardens  21% Royal Palm Beach 20% Seminole Ridge 16% South Fork 11% Dwyer 11%     CLASS 5A DISTRICT 13       West Boca Raton 69% Monarch  30% Deerfield Beach 1% Olympic Heights 0%     CLASS 5A DISTRICT 14       Coconut Creek 66% Piper 33% Boyd Anderson 1%     CLASS 5A DISTRICT 15       St. Thomas Aquinas 67% Archbishop McCarthy 27% Flanagan 6%     CLASS 5A DISTRICT 16       Miami Southridge  73% Mater Academy  27% Miami Beach  0% Everglades 0%  

By taking all of this in consideration "mathematically", we can project the following chances of winning the district for each team:   CLASS 6A DISTRICT 1       Creekside 21% Flagler Palm Coast 19% First Coast  18% Tocoi Creek 16% Atlantic Coast 15% Sandalwood  11%     CLASS 6A DISTRICT 2       DeLand 46% Mainland 31% Spruce Creek 23% University (Orange City) 1%     CLASS 6A DISTRICT 3       Lake Mary 60% Seminole (Sanford) 28% Lake Brantley 12% Apopka 1%     CLASS 6A DISTRICT 4       Winter Park 30% Boone 29% Hagerty  26% Timber Creek  14%     CLASS 6A DISTRICT 5       Lake Nona 33% St. Cloud 27% Tohopekaliga 17% Harmony 16% Gateway (Kissimmee) 8%     CLASS 6A DISTRICT 6       Edgewater 43% West Orange  28% Dr. Phillips 23% Olympia 6%     CLASS 6A DISTRICT 7       Ocoee 52% East Ridge 26% Horizon 21% Celebration 1%     CLASS 6A DISTRICT 8       Vero Beach 68% Fort Pierce Central 23% Treasure Coast 5% Centennial 5%     CLASS 6A DISTRICT 9       Winter Haven  23% Ridge Community 22% Davenport 18% Poinciana 14% George Jenkins 12% Haines City 11%     CLASS 6A DISTRICT 10       Plant City 27% Durant 22% Lennard  21% Riverview (Riverview) 16% Newsome 14%     CLASS 6A DISTRICT 11       Alonso 29% Palm Harbor University 26% Strawberry Crest 24% Steinbrenner 21%     CLASS 6A DISTRICT 12       Venice 66% Riverview (Sarasota) 32% Lehigh 1% Sarasota  1% Lakewood Ranch 0% North Port 0%     CLASS 6A DISTRICT 13       Palm Beach Central 26% Jupiter  24% Dr. Garcia 19% Santaluces 16% Palm Beach Lakes 7% Wellington 6% Lake Worth 3%     CLASS 6A DISTRICT 14       Spanish River 23% South Plantation 18% Boca Raton 16% Park Vista  16% Nova  14% Coral Glades 13%     CLASS 6A DISTRICT 15       West Broward 48% Western 21% Goleman 19% Doral Academy 7% Cypress Bay 6% Miami 0%     CLASS 6A DISTRICT 16       Miami Palmetto 37% Christopher Columbus 30% South Dade 19% Coral Gables 7% Homestead 7% Southwest Miami 0%  

The following info is based completely on the slope derived from Moving Averages from 1999-2025. It does not consider: Returning Starters, Player Transfers, Coaching Changes, injuries, FHSAA Sanctions, etc. **Note** As a guide, the Class 6A team average power ranking is 125.8 and the average deviation is 9.9. STRENGTH 6A REG 1 DIST 2 137.67 DeLand 151.02 Mainland 144.45 Spruce Creek 137.96 University (Orange City) 117.26     6A REG 2 DIST 6 136.20 Edgewater 147.61 West Orange  140.41 Dr. Phillips 136.36 Olympia 120.43     6A REG 1 DIST 3 135.69 Lake Mary 151.99 Seminole (Sanford) 140.40 Lake Brantley 130.41 Apopka 119.98     6A REG 2 DIST 8 132.74 Vero Beach 152.00 Fort Pierce Central 134.36 Treasure Coast 122.83 Centennial 121.76     6A REG 1 DIST 4 132.21 Winter Park 138.52 Boone 138.08 Hagerty 132.86 Timber Creek 119.40     6A REG 3 DIST 10 128.11 Plant City 134.97 Durant 130.30 Lennard 129.44 Riverview (Riverview) 123.76 Newsome 122.08     6A REG 4 DIST 15 127.10 West Broward 147.25 Western 134.47 Goleman 130.95 Doral Academy 122.32 Cypress Bay 120.67 Miami 106.97     6A REG 4 DIST 16 125.88 Miami Palmetto 146.29 Christopher Columbus 141.15 South Dade 131.32 Coral Gables 121.22 Homestead 121.19 Southwest Miami 94.14     6A REG 1 DIST 1 125.6 Creekside 132.74 Flagler Palm Coast 129.59 First Coast 126.56 Tocoi Creek 125.82 Atlantic Coast  123.37 Sandalwood 115.39     6A REG 3 DIST 12 125.35 Venice 154.15 Riverview (Sarasota) 143.14 Lehigh 120.33 Sarasota  119.11 Lakewood Ranch 114.35 North Port 101.03     6A REG 4 DIST 13 125.00 Palm Beach Central 138.65 Jupiter  137.03 Dr. Garcia 130.32 Santaluces 126.63 Palm Beach Lakes 116.62 Wellington 116.14 Lake Worth 109.61     6A REG 3 DIST 11 123.46 Alonso 127.70 Palm Harbor University 124.64 Strawberry Crest 121.56 Steinbrenner 119.94     6A REG 2 DIST 5 120.55 Lake Nona 132.21 St. Cloud 127.32 Tohopekaliga 117.29 Harmony 116.02 Gateway (Kissimmee) 109.92     6A REG 4 DIST 14 118.28 Spanish River 125.69 South Plantation 119.42 Boca Raton 118.01 Park Vista 118.00 Nova 115.59 Coral Glades 112.98     6A REG 2 DIST 7 118.22 Ocoee 132.72 East Ridge 123.00 Horizon 116.65 Celebration 100.52     6A REG 3 DIST 9 112.77 Winter Haven  121.71 Ridge Community 120.74 Davenport 115.02 Poinciana 109.60 George Jenkins 105.44 Haines City 104.09     PARITY 6A REG 3 DIST 11 2.71 Alonso 127.70 Palm Harbor University 124.64 Strawberry Crest 121.56 Steinbrenner 119.94     6A REG 4 DIST 14 2.85 Spanish River 125.69 South Plantation 119.42 Boca Raton 118.01 Park Vista 118.00 Nova 115.59 Coral Glades 112.98     6A REG 1 DIST 1 4.13 Creekside 132.74 Flagler Palm Coast 129.59 First Coast 126.56 Tocoi Creek 125.82 Atlantic Coast  123.37 Sandalwood 115.39     6A REG 3 DIST 10 4.15 Plant City 134.97 Durant 130.30 Lennard 129.44 Riverview (Riverview) 123.76 Newsome 122.08     6A REG 3 DIST 9 6.39 Winter Haven  121.71 Ridge Community 120.74 Davenport 115.02 Poinciana 109.60 George Jenkins 105.44 Haines City 104.09     6A REG 1 DIST 4 6.41 Winter Park 138.52 Boone 138.08 Hagerty 132.86 Timber Creek 119.40     6A REG 2 DIST 5 7.37 Lake Nona 132.21 St. Cloud 127.32 Tohopekaliga 117.29 Harmony 116.02 Gateway (Kissimmee) 109.92     6A REG 2 DIST 6 7.89 Edgewater 147.61 West Orange  140.41 Dr. Phillips 136.36 Olympia 120.43     6A REG 4 DIST 13 9.32 Palm Beach Central 138.65 Jupiter  137.03 Dr. Garcia 130.32 Santaluces 126.63 Palm Beach Lakes 116.62 Wellington 116.14 Lake Worth 109.61     6A REG 2 DIST 7 9.64 Ocoee 132.72 East Ridge 123.00 Horizon 116.65 Celebration 100.52     6A REG 1 DIST 2 10.21 DeLand 151.02 Mainland 144.45 Spruce Creek 137.96 University (Orange City) 117.26     6A REG 2 DIST 8 10.44 Vero Beach 152.00 Fort Pierce Central 134.36 Treasure Coast 122.83 Centennial 121.76     6A REG 4 DIST 15 10.45 West Broward 147.25 Western 134.47 Goleman 130.95 Doral Academy 122.32 Cypress Bay 120.67 Miami 106.97     6A REG 1 DIST 3 10.50 Lake Mary 151.99 Seminole (Sanford) 140.40 Lake Brantley 130.41 Apopka 119.98     6A REG 4 DIST 16 13.70 Miami Palmetto 146.29 Christopher Columbus 141.15 South Dade 131.32 Coral Gables 121.22 Homestead 121.19 Southwest Miami 94.14     6A REG 3 DIST 12 15.53 Venice 154.15 Riverview (Sarasota) 143.14 Lehigh 120.33 Sarasota  119.11 Lakewood Ranch 114.35 North Port 101.03

Do you think that an inadvertent whistle was blown during the play when the Westwood defender was running with the football in the open field?  

Great breakdown Mark. Good to see you again. Agree on Mainland they had several WR with sticky fingers who were electric after the catch. The RB (#3) is apparently Tamaj Woodard, who was listed at 6'1 200 last year. He's a load. On Friday, Judy and I went to Melbourne to watch Fort Pierce Westwood v Melbourne. Melbourne was solid up front, had a RB with a good burst and some shimmy, and some WR. They dominated the game, racing out to a 28-0 lead. It was 42-0 at the end of three, so we cut out.   Melbourne will probably be a playoff team again, but unless Westwood can work some portal magic this summer, they are going to struggle. They were out talented and outplayed in every phase of the game. Their lone bright spot came on a great play that was bizarrely blown dead. WW stopped Melbourne at the 1 as time expired at the end of the half but a personal foul gave them another play and they put 1 second back on the clock. Melbourne tried to throw a slant, but the safety jumped the route, made a clean pick and was off to the races for a 100+ yard pick six, until they blew it dead when he was up around the 30. The WW staff was livid. I have no idea what the explanation from the official was, but it didn't go over well. I though that being a scrimmage, maybe they didn't want returns on turnovers, like they don't have kick returns. Then, in the 3rd quarter, a Melbourne player scored on a 50 yard scoop and score on a fumble, so who knows. The WW staff wasn't happy about that one either. The pick six that was blown dead wasn't going to affect the outcome, but a play like that is a dream for a defensive back. I hate that he didn't get to finish it.  Mark and I are going to see South Dade at Piper tomorrow. I've never been to Piper, so I'm looking forward to that.