The biggest factor that makes the State Semifinals and the State Championships so difficult to predict is the lack of schedule connectivity which the computer relies on very heavily. In fact, taking a look at all the finals matchups, here's a list of common opponents:
Lake Mary vs Vero Beach - No Common Opponents
West Boca vs West Broward - 1 Common Opponent (Western) West Boca won by 35, West Broward won by 28
Lakeland vs St Thomas Aquinas - No Common Opponents
American Heritage vs Jones - No Common Opponents
Miami Northwestern vs Raines - No Common Opponents
Cardinal Mooney vs Bolles - No Common Opponents
Chaminade vs Cardinal Newman - No Common Opponents
In the case of State Championships games, the schedule chains between opponents may be 2, 3 or more links away. It can be quite difficult to predict.
A lot of SSAA teams that are not leaving are in some districts. Merritt Island Christian and Calvary Chapel play 8-man. Expect a lot of changes from this original list.
Some of those schools don’t have football so the list will be smaller.
and i already seen multiple 3-4 team districts. That’s garbage.
This is a (very small) step in the right direction but they need to get down to 5 total classes with 1 open division for teams who get 6 football transfers or more before the playoffs start
As we well know the Laz Index actually makes the picks. The picks lean heavily towards South Florida as they should historically. The wild card is West Broward vs West Boca Raton.